FinalThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on Arizona's Family Sports, MW+

Grand Canyon def. Wyoming 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Grand Canyon 65.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grand Canyon beat visiting Wyoming 3-0 (27-25, 25-21, 25-14) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Grand Canyon's Starr Williams led with 11 kills, and Nika Zupanic added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set123Sets
WYO2521140
GCANYN2725253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wyoming pushed; Grand Canyon held.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Grand Canyon's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Grand Canyon went in as RallyIQ's 65% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Wyoming 6–9 Grand Canyon

    Wyoming scored 7 straight to turn a 6–9 deficit into a 13–9 lead.

    Grand Canyon 72% → 53%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Wyoming 23–19 Grand Canyon

    Down 19–23, Grand Canyon scored 4 straight to tie it at 23. The match swung to Grand Canyon.

    Grand Canyon 46% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 1 · Wyoming 24–24 Grand Canyon

    Grand Canyon closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 1–0.

    Grand Canyon 62% → 80%

Grand Canyon above 50Wyoming belowMax swing 9.4%

WyomingGrand Canyon

Sideout %
Wyoming 47.4·Grand Canyon 60.7
Break %
Wyoming 39.3·Grand Canyon 52.6
Hitting
Wyoming .202·Grand Canyon .351
Longest run
Wyoming 7·Grand Canyon 7

Milica Zigic
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .455, 10.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grand Canyon above 50 · Wyoming below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.4% GCANYNrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Grand Canyon — set 1, WYO 24-25 GCANYN. Ace by Taylor Kubacak. GCANYN win probability 62% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WYO 28.4%71.6% GCANYN

Wyoming wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
9.9%
3-2
13.2%

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
24.4%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.7%
WYO break %
38.2% vs this opp
GCANYN break %
42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Taylor Kubacak

    Set 1 · WYO 24-25 GCANYN · GCANYN 62% → 71%

  2. 02

    Kill by Starr Williams (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 1 · WYO 25-27 GCANYN · GCANYN 71% → 80%

  3. 03

    Ace by Aubrey Bellus on Peyton Carruth

    Set 1 · WYO 23-23 GCANYN · GCANYN 55% → 62%

  4. 04
    Emma WinterKill+6.6%

    Kill by Emma Winter (set by Sara Quigley)

    Set 1 · WYO 24-23 GCANYN · WYO 38% → 45%

  5. 05
    Addy ThoringtonAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Addy Thorington

    Set 1 · WYO 24-24 GCANYN · GCANYN 55% → 62%

  6. 06
    Ruby JensenKill+6.2%

    Kill by Ruby Jensen (set by Sara Quigley)

    Set 1 · WYO 25-25 GCANYN · WYO 29% → 35%

  7. 07
    Bella NunezKill+6.2%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 1 · WYO 25-26 GCANYN · GCANYN 65% → 71%

  8. 08

    Kill by Aubrey Goodere

    Set 1 · WYO 23-22 GCANYN · GCANYN 50% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37424.125000820007
37220.250002400007
37419.158101100007
34311.091000000004
3329.11100000010.53.5
31011.000602600001
39116.50000040010.59.5
3000–620400002
3000–323210002
3103.3331901700001
3000–000300000
2016-.167001100000
Team totals3917109.2023541040502160
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311221.42923150010.514.5
36112.41700000031.57.5
35212.250010000217
36214.286150290010.56.5
3000–1711500001
1000–000010000
310022.45500050010.510.5
34213.154000100215
3000–101410000
3000–000100000
3000–0021100000
Team totals42994.3513557414010577

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Wyoming vs Grand Canyon

Season series · Grand Canyon leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 WYO · GCANYN 7

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 7 WYOGCANYN 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 WYOGCANYN 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 WYOGCANYN 7

Bars above the line = Grand Canyon leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wyoming

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%7/21
14%1/7
2
60%6/10
22%2/9
3
75%6/8
60%9/15
4
35%6/17
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
50%5/10
60%9/15
All
47%36/76
39%24/61

Grand Canyon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
50%6/12
2
54%7/13
59%10/17
3
60%6/10
40%4/10
4
86%6/7
65%11/17
5
46%6/13
33%3/9
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
61%37/61
53%40/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#WYO-GCANYNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0GCANYNWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Maddy Stucky+1.7
21-1WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming+1.6
31-2GCANYNGCANYNBad setMaddy Stucky+2.4
42-2GCANYNWYO×3KillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.6
53-2WYOWYO×3Attack errStarr Williams+2.6
64-2WYOWYO×3Attack errStarr Williams+2.7
74-3WYOGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
85-3GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Peyton Carruth+1.8
95-4WYOGCANYN×5Serve errWyoming+1.7
105-5GCANYNGCANYN×5AceStarr Williamsaced Paige Lauterwasser+2.7
115-6GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errRylee Heinz+2.7
125-7GCANYNGCANYN×5BlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Bellus+2.6
135-8GCANYNGCANYN×5KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.3
146-8GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.4
156-9WYOGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.6
167-9GCANYNWYO×7KillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.5
178-9WYOWYO×7KillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.6
189-9WYOWYO×7Attack errMacey Hughes+2.9
1910-9WYOWYO×7KillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+3.2
2011-9WYOWYO×7KillEmma Winterset Anna Melgren+3.3
2112-9WYOWYO×7AceAnna Melgren+3.2
2213-9WYOWYO×7KillEmma Winterset Anna Melgren+2.9
2313-10WYOGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+1.6
2413-11GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMilica Zigicset Taylor Kubacak+2.8
2513-12GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedAddy Thoringtonblk Aubrey Goodere, Bella Nunez+3.2
2614-12GCANYNWYOServe errTaylor Kubacak+2.4
2714-13WYOGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+2.2
2814-14GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errReagan Sharp+3.6
2914-15GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedReagan Sharpblk Starr Williams, Aubrey Goodere+3.7
3015-15GCANYNWYO×3KillAddy Thoringtonset Maddy Stucky+2.5
3116-15WYOWYO×3KillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+4.1
3217-15WYOWYO×3KillRuby Jensen+4.2
3317-16WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.4
3418-16GCANYNWYO×3Serve errNika Zupanic+3.0
3519-16WYOWYO×3AcePeyton Carruthaced Gentry Oblad+4.1
3620-16WYOWYO×3KillRylee Heinz+3.3
3720-17WYOGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+1.4
3821-17GCANYNWYOKillReagan Sharpset Anna Melgren+2.2
3921-18WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.3
4021-19GCANYNGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+3.1
4122-19GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+3.1
4223-19WYOWYOAttack errMacey Hughes+3.1
4323-20WYOGCANYN×4KillMilica Zigicset Bella Nunez+0.9
4423-21GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMilica Zigicset Bella Nunez+2.5
4523-22GCANYNGCANYN×4KillAubrey Goodere+4.6
4623-23GCANYNGCANYN×4AceAubrey Bellusaced Peyton Carruth+7.5
4724-23GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+6.6
4824-24WYOGCANYNAttack errAddy Thorington+6.6
4924-25GCANYNGCANYNAceTaylor Kubacak+9.4
5025-25GCANYNWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+6.2
5125-26WYOGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+6.2
5225-27GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+8.7
Set 2
11-0WYOWYOAttack errBella Nunez+2.2
21-1WYOGCANYN×5KillStarr Williamsset Paige Lauterwasser+1.4
31-2GCANYNGCANYN×5Bad setMaddy Stucky+2.1
41-3GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errRuby Jensen+2.0
51-4GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+1.9
61-5GCANYNGCANYN×5KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
72-5GCANYNWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.0
82-6WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming+1.1
92-7GCANYNGCANYNAttack errRuby Jensen+1.4
103-7GCANYNWYOServe errBella Nunez+0.8
114-7WYOWYOKillReagan Sharp+1.5
124-8WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming+1.1
135-8GCANYNWYOKillReagan Sharpset Anna Melgren+1.0
145-9WYOGCANYNKillMilica Zigicset Bella Nunez+1.2
156-9GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.0
167-9WYOWYOBlockedAubrey Goodereblk Rylee Heinz, Emma Winter+1.9
177-10WYOGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+1.4
187-11GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodere+1.8
198-11GCANYNWYO×3KillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.1
209-11WYOWYO×3KillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+2.0
2110-11WYOWYO×3AceAnna Melgren+2.4
2210-12WYOGCANYNKillMilica Zigicset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
2311-12GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.6
2411-13WYOGCANYN×4Serve errWyoming+1.7
2511-14GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errReagan Sharp+2.4
2611-15GCANYNGCANYN×4KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.0
2711-16GCANYNGCANYN×4KillBella Nunezset Maddy Stucky+1.5
2812-16GCANYNWYOKillReagan Sharpset Anna Melgren+0.8
2912-17WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming+1.0
3013-17GCANYNWYO×3KillMaddy Stuckyset Ruby Jensen+0.7
3114-17WYOWYO×3AcePeyton Carruthaced Katie Schulz+1.6
3215-17WYOWYO×3Attack errAubrey Bellus+2.2
3315-18WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.8
3416-18GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Peyton Carruth+1.5
3516-19WYOGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.9
3617-19GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.5
3717-20WYOGCANYNKillMilica Zigicset Bella Nunez+1.9
3818-20GCANYNWYOKillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.5
3919-20WYOWYOAttack errBella Nunez+3.3
4019-21WYOGCANYNAttack errSenna Roberts-Navarro+2.7
4120-21GCANYNWYOServe errKatie Schulz+2.3
4220-22WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Rya Fingerlin+3.0
4320-23GCANYNGCANYNAttack errRuby Jensen+3.3
4421-23GCANYNWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.2
4521-24WYOGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.2
4621-25GCANYNGCANYNAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+1.1
Set 3
11-0GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+0.8
21-1WYOGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+0.8
31-2GCANYNGCANYNKillBella Nunez+1.2
42-2GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+0.8
52-3WYOGCANYNAttack errEmma Winter+0.8
62-4GCANYNGCANYNBlockedRuby Jensenblk Aubrey Bellus, Macey Hughes+1.2
73-4GCANYNWYOServe errBella Nunez+0.8
83-5WYOGCANYN×7Serve errWyoming+0.8
93-6GCANYNGCANYN×7AceStarr Williams+1.1
103-7GCANYNGCANYN×7KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.0
113-8GCANYNGCANYN×7Bad setRuby Jensen+0.8
123-9GCANYNGCANYN×7KillMilica Zigicset Starr Williams+0.7
133-10GCANYNGCANYN×7AceStarr Williamsaced Paige Lauterwasser+0.5
143-11GCANYNGCANYN×7KillMilica Zigicset Starr Williams+0.4
154-11GCANYNWYOServe errStarr Williams+0.2
164-12WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming+0.2
175-12GCANYNWYOKillSara Quigleyset Anna Melgren+0.2
185-13WYOGCANYNKillMilica Zigicset Bella Nunez+0.2
196-13GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+0.2
206-14WYOGCANYN×4KillMilica Zigicset Taylor Kubacak+0.2
216-15GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errPaige Lauterwasser+0.2
226-16GCANYNGCANYN×4KillStarr Williamsset Katie Schulz+0.1
236-17GCANYNGCANYN×4KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+0.1
247-17GCANYNWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley·
257-18WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak·
268-18GCANYNWYO×3Serve errNika Zupanic·
279-18WYOWYO×3Attack errAubrey Bellus·
2810-18WYOWYO×3Bad setTaylor Kubacak+0.1
2910-19WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+0.1
3010-20GCANYNGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.1
3111-20GCANYNWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley·
3212-20WYOWYOKillAddy Thorington·
3312-21WYOGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.1
3413-21GCANYNWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley·
3513-22WYOGCANYNServe errWyoming·
3614-22GCANYNWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Peyton Carruth·
3714-23WYOGCANYN×3Serve errWyoming·
3814-24GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedRylee Heinzblk Milica Zigic, Aubrey Goodere·
3914-25GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errPaige Lauterwasser·

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).