FinalThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on MW+

Wyoming def. Nevada 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Wyoming 74.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wyoming won at Nevada 3-0 (25-21, 25-19, 25-15) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Wyoming's Paige Lauterwasser led with 10 kills, and Emma Winter added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set123Sets
WYO2525253
NEVADA2119150

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wyoming broke it open with an 8–0 run in the third set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.1 points, and Nevada's high was 27% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Wyoming 74% before first serve.

WyomingNevada
  • Break %+16.2 pts
    54.838.6

    40 of 73 on serve vs 22 of 57, so Nevada's sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.136
    .224.088

    Kills and errors: 39–17 vs 26–18.

  • Longest run+0
    88

    8 straight Wyoming points in the third set stretched a 15–13 lead to 23–13. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Nevada above 50Wyoming belowMax swing 4.1%

WyomingNevada

Aces
Wyoming 6·Nevada 3
Serve err
Wyoming 7·Nevada 10
Blocks
Wyoming 2·Nevada 50 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Wyoming 39·Nevada 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Nevada above 50 · Wyoming below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.1% WYOrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.1% to Wyoming — set 1, WYO 21-19 NEVADA. Attack error by Paige Thies. NEVADA win probability 24% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WYO 74.0%26.0% NEVADA

Wyoming wins

3-0
26.2%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
19.5%

Nevada wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.0%
3-2
12.4%
WYO break %
43.9% vs this opp
NEVADA break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Paige ThiesAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Paige Thies

    Set 1 · WYO 21-19 NEVADA · WYO 76% → 80%

  2. 02
    Kamryn TifftAce+3.8%

    Ace by Kamryn Tifft on Paige Lauterwasser

    Set 1 · WYO 18-18 NEVADA · NEVADA 24% → 27%

  3. 03
    Emma WinterAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Emma Winter

    Set 1 · WYO 16-16 NEVADA · NEVADA 24% → 27%

  4. 04
    Ruby JensenKill+3.3%

    Kill by Ruby Jensen (set by Emma Winter)

    Set 1 · WYO 18-16 NEVADA · WYO 75% → 79%

  5. 05
    Paige ThiesAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Paige Thies

    Set 1 · WYO 22-19 NEVADA · WYO 80% → 83%

  6. 06
    Ruby JensenKill+3.0%

    Kill by Ruby Jensen (set by Sara Quigley)

    Set 1 · WYO 20-19 NEVADA · WYO 73% → 76%

  7. 07
    WyomingService error+2.9%

    Wyoming service error

    Set 1 · WYO 19-19 NEVADA · NEVADA 25% → 27%

  8. 08
    Kamryn TifftService error+2.8%

    Service error by Kamryn Tifft

    Set 1 · WYO 19-18 NEVADA · WYO 73% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310534.1470114100011
37219.263021700009
36617.000101910217
36312.250100000006
3507.714000100216
3417.4292710500005
3001.000124210002
31011.000000300001
3000–100800000
Team totals391798.224316739304275
Nevadahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38622.091114810009
35118.222000200216
3439.11101310010.55.5
33317.00000000031.54.5
3012-.5002501501011
3000–000230000
36423.087000400217
3000–012000001
3000–0001320000
Team totals261891.0882631035618555

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Wyoming vs Nevada

Season series · Wyoming leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 WYO · NEVADA 8

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 WYONEVADA 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 WYONEVADA 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 8 WYONEVADA 8

Bars above the line = Nevada leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wyoming

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
65%11/17
2
88%7/8
61%11/18
3
71%5/7
50%5/10
4
56%5/9
62%8/13
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
61%35/57
55%40/73

Nevada

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
59%10/17
2
36%5/14
33%4/12
3
42%5/12
17%1/6
4
63%5/8
50%5/10
5
56%5/9
17%1/6
6
38%5/13
17%1/6
All
45%33/73
39%22/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#WYO-NEVADASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NEVADAWYOKillSara Quigleyset Anna Melgren+1.4
21-1WYONEVADAAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+1.4
32-1NEVADAWYOServe errPaige Thies+1.4
42-2WYONEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Paige Thies+1.5
53-2NEVADAWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.4
64-2WYOWYOAcePaige Lauterwasseraced Masyn Navarro+2.0
74-3WYONEVADAKillJess Walkenhorstset Adriana Dorn+1.4
84-4NEVADANEVADAAceLara Pachecoaced Anna Melgren+2.2
95-4NEVADAWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.5
105-5WYONEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+1.6
116-5NEVADAWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.5
127-5WYOWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+2.1
137-6WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.5
148-6NEVADAWYOServe errKamryn Tifft+1.5
159-6WYOWYOAttack errPaige Thies+2.0
169-7WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.3
1710-7NEVADAWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+1.4
1810-8WYONEVADAServe errWyoming+1.3
1911-8NEVADAWYO×4Attack errMalia Pilimai+1.4
2012-8WYOWYO×4AceSara Quigleyaced Masyn Navarro+1.7
2113-8WYOWYO×4KillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.4
2214-8WYOWYO×4Attack errAdriana Dorn+1.0
2314-9WYONEVADAKillJess Walkenhorstset Adriana Dorn+0.6
2414-10NEVADANEVADAAttack errEmma Winter+1.1
2515-10NEVADAWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.0
2615-11WYONEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.8
2715-12NEVADANEVADA×4BlockedSara Quigleyblk Adriana Dorn+1.5
2815-13NEVADANEVADA×4KillKamryn Tifftset Adriana Dorn+2.1
2915-14NEVADANEVADA×4Attack errEmma Winter+2.6
3016-14NEVADAWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.0
3116-15WYONEVADAKillKamryn Tifftset Adriana Dorn+1.9
3216-16NEVADANEVADAAttack errEmma Winter+3.4
3317-16NEVADAWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+2.4
3418-16WYOWYOKillRuby Jensenset Emma Winter+3.3
3518-17WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+2.1
3618-18NEVADANEVADAAceKamryn Tifftaced Paige Lauterwasser+3.8
3719-18NEVADAWYOServe errKamryn Tifft+2.8
3819-19WYONEVADAServe errWyoming+2.9
3920-19NEVADAWYO×4KillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+3.0
4021-19WYOWYO×4Attack errPaige Thies+4.1
4122-19WYOWYO×4Attack errPaige Thies+3.1
4223-19WYOWYO×4AceAnna Melgrenaced Summer Suppik+1.9
4323-20WYONEVADAServe errAnna Melgren+0.6
4423-21NEVADANEVADAAcePaige Thiesaced Emma Winter+1.8
4524-21NEVADAWYOServe errPaige Thies+2.2
4625-21WYOWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Peyton Carruth+1.1
Set 2
11-0WYOWYOAceAddy Thoringtonaced Summer Suppik+1.6
22-0WYOWYOAttack errJess Walkenhorst+1.5
32-1WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.0
43-1NEVADAWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.0
54-1WYOWYOKillSara Quigleyset Adriana Dorn+1.4
64-2WYONEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.9
75-2NEVADAWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.0
85-3WYONEVADAKillKamryn Tifftset Adriana Dorn+0.9
96-3NEVADAWYOServe errLara Pacheco+1.0
107-3WYOWYOServe errWyoming+1.3
117-4WYONEVADAAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+0.8
128-4NEVADAWYOKillAnna Williamsset Sara Quigley+0.9
139-4WYOWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+1.1
149-5WYONEVADAAttack errEmma Winter+0.6
1510-5NEVADAWYOAttack errKarly Bonaventure+0.7
1610-6WYONEVADA×3Serve errWyoming+0.6
1710-7NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errRuby Jensen+1.2
1810-8NEVADANEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.5
1911-8NEVADAWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.1
2012-8WYOWYOAceAddy Thoringtonaced Summer Suppik+1.4
2112-9WYONEVADA×3KillJess Walkenhorstset Adriana Dorn+0.8
2212-10NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Karly Bonaventure, Jess Walkenhorst+1.5
2312-11NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Karly Bonaventure, Jess Walkenhorst+1.9
2413-11NEVADAWYOServe errPaige Thies+1.4
2513-12WYONEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+1.4
2614-12NEVADAWYOAttack errKamryn Tifft+1.4
2715-12WYOWYOKillSara Quigleyset Jess Walkenhorst+1.9
2815-13WYONEVADABlockedEmma Winterblk Malia Pilimai, Kamryn Tifft+1.2
2915-14NEVADANEVADAAttack errAddy Thorington+2.1
3016-14NEVADAWYOKillAnna Williamsset Sara Quigley+1.6
3117-14WYOWYOAttack errKamryn Tifft+2.0
3217-15WYONEVADAServe errWyoming+1.2
3318-15NEVADAWYOAttack errPaige Thies+1.4
3418-16WYONEVADAKillKamryn Tifftset Adriana Dorn+1.2
3519-16NEVADAWYOServe errKamryn Tifft+1.5
3619-17WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.2
3720-17NEVADAWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.5
3820-18WYONEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+1.2
3920-19NEVADANEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+2.6
4021-19NEVADAWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+2.2
4122-19WYOWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+2.5
4223-19WYOWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.5
4324-19WYOWYO×5AceAnna Melgrenaced Paige Thies+0.6
4425-19WYOWYO×5KillRya Fingerlinset Adriana Dorn+0.1
Set 3
10-1NEVADANEVADA×8KillJess Walkenhorstset Adriana Dorn+1.0
20-2NEVADANEVADA×8BlockedEmma Winterblk Malia Pilimai, Karly Bonaventure+1.0
30-3NEVADANEVADA×8KillJess Walkenhorstset Adriana Dorn+1.0
40-4NEVADANEVADA×8Attack errPaige Lauterwasser+1.0
50-5NEVADANEVADA×8Attack errRuby Jensen+1.0
60-6NEVADANEVADA×8Bad setSara Quigley+0.9
70-7NEVADANEVADA×8KillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+0.8
80-8NEVADANEVADA×8Attack errRuby Jensen+0.7
91-8NEVADAWYO×4KillSara Quigleyset Ruby Jensen+0.3
102-8WYOWYO×4KillAnna Williams+0.6
113-8WYOWYO×4Attack errKarly Bonaventure+0.7
124-8WYOWYO×4Attack errMalia Pilimai+0.9
134-9WYONEVADAServe errWyoming+0.7
145-9NEVADAWYOKillAnna Williamsset Sara Quigley+0.6
155-10WYONEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.8
166-10NEVADAWYO×6Serve errLara Pacheco+0.6
177-10WYOWYO×6Bad setAdriana Dorn+1.0
188-10WYOWYO×6KillAnna Williams+1.1
199-10WYOWYO×6Attack errMalia Pilimai+1.2
2010-10WYOWYO×6BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Emma Winter, Anna Williams+1.2
2111-10WYOWYO×6BlockedKamryn Tifftblk Anna Williams, Emma Winter+1.2
2211-11WYONEVADAAttack errAddy Thorington+0.8
2312-11NEVADAWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+0.8
2413-11WYOWYOKillEmma Winter+1.1
2513-12WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.8
2614-12NEVADAWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+0.8
2715-12WYOWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.0
2815-13WYONEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.6
2916-13NEVADAWYO×8Serve errAdriana Dorn+0.7
3017-13WYOWYO×8KillPaige Lauterwasser+0.9
3118-13WYOWYO×8Attack errPaige Thies+0.6
3219-13WYOWYO×8Attack errPaige Thies+0.4
3320-13WYOWYO×8KillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+0.2
3421-13WYOWYO×8KillRuby Jensenset Adriana Dorn+0.1
3522-13WYOWYO×8Attack errKarly Bonaventure·
3623-13WYOWYO×8KillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley·
3723-14WYONEVADAAttack errJess Walkenhorst·
3824-14NEVADAWYOServe errPaige Thies·
3924-15WYONEVADAServe errWyoming·
4025-15NEVADAWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley·

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).