California Baptist def. New Mexico 3–1
California Baptist won at New Mexico 3-1 (27-25, 18-25, 25-15, 25-22) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. California Baptist's Nalanie Neal led with 17 kills, and Avery Barber added 14 digs.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALBAP | 27 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| N MEX | 25 | 25 | 15 | 22 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.6% to California Baptist — set 4, CALBAP 24-22 N MEX. Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber). N MEX win probability 26% → 12%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
California Baptist wins
New Mexico wins
- CALBAP break %
- 37.8% vs this opp
- N MEX break %
- 47.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Nalanie NealKill+13.6%
Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber)
Set 4 · CALBAP 24-22 N MEX · CALBAP 74% → 88%
- 02Eleftheria Baxa&Ifeoma OkekeBlock+12.0%
Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Eleftheria Baxa & Ifeoma Okeke
Set 4 · CALBAP 25-22 N MEX · CALBAP 88% → 100%
- 03Bella BreuerKill+11.3%
Kill by Bella Breuer (set by Avery Barber)
Set 4 · CALBAP 23-21 N MEX · CALBAP 71% → 82%
- 04California BaptistService error+10.5%
California Baptist service error
Set 4 · CALBAP 20-18 N MEX · CALBAP 62% → 72%
- 05Seenane BrewerAttack error+9.8%
Attack error by Seenane Brewer
Set 4 · CALBAP 22-20 N MEX · CALBAP 68% → 78%
- 06Eleftheria Baxa&Bella BreuerBlock+8.8%
Aylin Ravell stuffed by Eleftheria Baxa & Bella Breuer
Set 4 · CALBAP 21-19 N MEX · CALBAP 66% → 75%
- 07
- 08New MexicoAce+7.8%
New Mexico ace on Anaiya Campbell
Set 4 · CALBAP 18-17 N MEX · N MEX 29% → 37%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 48 | .146 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | .087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | .333 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 25 | 139 | .187 | 49 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 35 | .143 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 31 | .065 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 8 | 27 | -.111 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -.083 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 32 | 143 | .084 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
27-25
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
25-15
Set 4
25-22
Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
California Baptist
No clean sets to split.
New Mexico
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
182 rallies
| # | CALBAP-N MEX | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1–2 | 2-0 | CALBAP 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.3 | |||
| 3 | 2-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | +0.9 | |
| 4–6 | 4-2 | CALBAP 2 · N MEX | NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.2 | |||
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +0.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | New Mexico | aced Nalanie Neal | +1.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Aylin Ravell | +1.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Camila Canedo | +1.1 |
| 16 | 10-6 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Reagan Miller | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.1 |
| 18 | 11-7 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | New Mexico | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 20 | 12-8 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Daria Chekhovskikh | set Avery Barber | +1.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.9 | |||
| 22 | 13-9 | CALBAP | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.6 |
| 24 | 13-11 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +1.8 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +1.8 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.6 | |||
| 27 | 15-12 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Blocked | Zoe Leonard | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer | +2.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +1.3 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +1.8 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Blocked | Avery Barber | blk Mina Stanojevic | +1.4 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Mina Stanojevic | +2.1 |
| 32 | 17-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Madeleine Miller | +1.9 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | CALBAP | N MEX | Blocked | Nalanie Neal | blk Zoe Leonard, Madeleine Miller | +1.6 |
| 34 | 18-16 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +2.0 |
| 35 | 18-17 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | +1.7 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.4 | |
| 37–38 | 19-19 | CALBAP · N MEX | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 39 | 19-20 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.9 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.6 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.9 | |||
| 43 | 21-22 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Reagan Miller | +2.0 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.0 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Addison France | +1.6 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.8 | |||
| 47 | 24-23 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Audrey Heiring | +6.0 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Camila Canedo | +4.6 |
| 49 | 24-25 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | New Mexico | aced Audrey Heiring | +5.1 |
| 50 | 25-25 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +3.6 |
| 51 | 26-25 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | +6.0 | |
| 52 | 27-25 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Madeleine Miller | +7.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Campbell Hollister | blk Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Mina Stanojevic | +2.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | N MEX×5 | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +1.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Serve err | New Mexico | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Zoe Leonard | set Nalanie Neal | +2.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Bad set | Jagoda Bialek | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Nalanie Neal | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +1.3 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +1.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Ace | California Baptist | aced Camila Canedo | +1.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 18 | 7-11 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Bella Breuer | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Jagoda Bialek | +1.1 |
| 20 | 8-12 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +1.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | New Mexico | +1.1 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +1.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.2 | |||
| 25 | 10-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +1.3 |
| 26 | 11-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.8 |
| 27 | 11-16 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Camila Canedo | +0.9 |
| 28 | 11-17 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | New Mexico | aced Jagoda Bialek | +0.9 |
| 29 | 12-17 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +0.5 |
| 30 | 12-18 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Zoe Leonard | set Bella Breuer | +0.6 |
| 31 | 13-18 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +0.9 |
| 34 | 15-19 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Avery Barber | +0.7 |
| 35 | 15-20 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Camila Canedo | +0.9 |
| 36 | 15-21 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | New Mexico | aced Jagoda Bialek | +0.7 |
| 37 | 16-21 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +0.3 |
| 38 | 17-21 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Avery Barber | set Nalanie Neal | +0.7 |
| 39 | 17-22 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.8 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.5 |
| 41 | 18-23 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.7 | |||
| 42 | 18-24 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +0.4 |
| 43 | 18-25 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +0.1 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Bella Breuer | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +2.4 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | N MEX | CALBAP×7 | Serve err | New Mexico | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.9 | |||
| 13 | 8-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Jagoda Bialek | +3.1 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | +3.3 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | +3.3 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Blocked | Mina Stanojevic | blk Ifeoma Okeke, Eleftheria Baxa | +3.1 |
| 17 | 11-6 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.4 |
| 19 | 13-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | +2.8 |
| 20 | 14-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Seenane Brewer | +2.3 |
| 21 | 15-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Blocked | Mina Stanojevic | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke | +1.8 |
| 22 | 15-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 24 | 16-8 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.6 |
| 25 | 16-9 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.9 | |
| 26 | 17-9 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | New Mexico | +1.5 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.9 | |
| 28 | 18-10 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.4 |
| 29 | 18-11 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +0.8 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.3 | |||
| 31 | 20-11 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Avery Barber | set Nalanie Neal | +1.0 |
| 32 | 21-11 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 33 | 22-11 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 22-12 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Seenane Brewer | set Mina Stanojevic | · |
| 35 | 23-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.1 |
| 36 | 23-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | New Mexico | · | |
| 38 | 24-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | · | |
| 40 | 25-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +2.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +2.8 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +4.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | California Baptist | +2.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +3.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +5.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Ace | California Baptist | aced Seenane Brewer | +5.4 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | N MEX | CALBAP | Blocked | Mina Stanojevic | blk Avery Barber, Ifeoma Okeke | +4.3 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Mina Stanojevic | +3.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +4.4 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +6.0 | |
| 15–16 | 10-6 | CALBAP · N MEX | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 17 | 11-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +6.1 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +3.5 |
| 19–20 | 12-8 | CALBAP · N MEX | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.3 | |||
| 21 | 12-9 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +3.9 |
| 22 | 13-9 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +5.2 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Seenane Brewer | +6.5 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | CALBAP | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +5.8 | |||
| 25 | 15-10 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | +2.9 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.9 | |||
| 27 | 15-12 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +5.7 |
| 28 | 16-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +5.7 |
| 29–30 | 17-13 | CALBAP · N MEX | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.7 | |||
| 31 | 17-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | +4.2 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +6.7 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +6.6 |
| 34 | 18-16 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Seenane Brewer | +5.0 |
| 35 | 18-17 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Ace | New Mexico | aced Anaiya Campbell | +7.8 |
| 36 | 18-18 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Aylin Ravell | +8.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | +7.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Serve err | California Baptist | +10.5 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | N MEX | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +6.3 | |||
| 40 | 21-19 | N MEX | CALBAP | Blocked | Aylin Ravell | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer | +8.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +6.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Seenane Brewer | +9.8 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Seenane Brewer | set Madeleine Miller | +7.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +11.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +7.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +13.6 |
| 47 | 25-22 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Blocked | Mina Stanojevic | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke | +12.0 |
Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).