Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

California Baptist def. New Mexico 3–1

California Baptist won at New Mexico 3-1 (27-25, 18-25, 25-15, 25-22) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. California Baptist's Nalanie Neal led with 17 kills, and Avery Barber added 14 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set1234Sets
CALBAP271825253
N MEX252515221

Win probability

New Mexico above 50 · California Baptist below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.6% CALBAPrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.6% to California Baptist — set 4, CALBAP 24-22 N MEX. Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber). N MEX win probability 26% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALBAP 10.3%89.7% N MEX

California Baptist wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

New Mexico wins

3-0
43.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.2%
CALBAP break %
37.8% vs this opp
N MEX break %
47.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nalanie NealKill+13.6%

    Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber)

    Set 4 · CALBAP 24-22 N MEX · CALBAP 74% → 88%

  2. 02

    Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Eleftheria Baxa & Ifeoma Okeke

    Set 4 · CALBAP 25-22 N MEX · CALBAP 88% → 100%

  3. 03
    Bella BreuerKill+11.3%

    Kill by Bella Breuer (set by Avery Barber)

    Set 4 · CALBAP 23-21 N MEX · CALBAP 71% → 82%

  4. 04
    California BaptistService error+10.5%

    California Baptist service error

    Set 4 · CALBAP 20-18 N MEX · CALBAP 62% → 72%

  5. 05
    Seenane BrewerAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Seenane Brewer

    Set 4 · CALBAP 22-20 N MEX · CALBAP 68% → 78%

  6. 06

    Aylin Ravell stuffed by Eleftheria Baxa & Bella Breuer

    Set 4 · CALBAP 21-19 N MEX · CALBAP 66% → 75%

  7. 07
    Aylin RavellKill+8.1%

    Kill by Aylin Ravell

    Set 4 · CALBAP 18-18 N MEX · N MEX 37% → 45%

  8. 08
    New MexicoAce+7.8%

    New Mexico ace on Anaiya Campbell

    Set 4 · CALBAP 18-17 N MEX · N MEX 29% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4171048.14632391212.521.5
49320.3001000004211
46423.08700020073.59.5
4316.3333801140010.53.5
38418.2220105102110
2226.00000200132.54.5
4000–413720001
4000–0111000001
34113.231201610004
2205.400001200424
2000–100000000
2000–000000000
Team totals5125139.187495125553221495
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411635.14351319110113
49731.065001210009
45827-.111021400007
4506.8332700400216
34512-.083000200215
32216.00001120010.53.5
4000–6101710001
36211.36400000010.56.5
3225.000101320213
2000–000000000
Team totals4432143.084395753518587

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CALBAP · N MEX 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 CALBAPN MEX 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 CALBAPN MEX 5

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 7 CALBAPN MEX 2

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 CALBAPN MEX 3

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California Baptist

No clean sets to split.

New Mexico

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#CALBAP-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
1–22-0CALBAP 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
32-1CALBAPN MEXKillMadeleine Miller+0.9
4–64-2CALBAP 2 · N MEX
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
74-3CALBAPN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.9
84-4N MEXN MEXAceNew Mexicoaced Nalanie Neal+1.2
95-4N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.0
105-5CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.9
116-5N MEXCALBAP×4KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.1
127-5CALBAPCALBAP×4KillNalanie Neal+1.6
138-5CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Aylin Ravell+1.7
149-5CALBAPCALBAP×4KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.8
159-6CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+1.1
1610-6N MEXCALBAPAttack errReagan Miller+1.4
1710-7CALBAPN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.1
1811-7N MEXCALBAPServe errNew Mexico+1.4
1911-8N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
2012-8N MEXCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+1.5
2113-8CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
2213-9CALBAPN MEX×4Attack errAudrey Heiring+1.1
2313-10N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.6
2413-11N MEXN MEX×4Attack errEleftheria Baxa+1.8
2513-12N MEXN MEX×4Attack errDaria Chekhovskikh+1.8
2614-12CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
2715-12CALBAPCALBAPBlockedZoe Leonardblk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer+2.2
2815-13CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.3
2916-13N MEXCALBAPAttack errAddison France+1.8
3016-14CALBAPN MEXBlockedAvery Barberblk Mina Stanojevic+1.4
3116-15N MEXN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+2.1
3217-15N MEXCALBAPAttack errMadeleine Miller+1.9
3317-16CALBAPN MEXBlockedNalanie Nealblk Zoe Leonard, Madeleine Miller+1.6
3418-16N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.0
3518-17CALBAPN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevic+1.7
3618-18N MEXN MEX×3Attack errDaria Chekhovskikh+2.4
37–3819-19CALBAP · N MEX
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
3919-20CALBAPN MEX×3Attack errNalanie Neal+1.9
4019-21N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.2
4119-22N MEXN MEX×3Attack errNalanie Neal+1.6
4220-22CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
4321-22CALBAPCALBAPAttack errReagan Miller+2.0
4421-23CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.0
4522-23N MEXCALBAP×3Attack errAddison France+1.6
4623-23CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.8
4724-23CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAudrey Heiring+6.0
4824-24CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravellset Camila Canedo+4.6
4924-25N MEXN MEXAceNew Mexicoaced Audrey Heiring+5.1
5025-25N MEXCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+3.6
5126-25CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+6.0
5227-25CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAudrey Heiringset Madeleine Miller+7.5
Set 2
10-1CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.5
20-2N MEXN MEXAttack errEleftheria Baxa+1.8
31-2N MEXCALBAP×4KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.4
42-2CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedCampbell Hollisterblk Daria Chekhovskikh+2.2
53-2CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAylin Ravell+2.6
64-2CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Mina Stanojevic+2.9
74-3CALBAPN MEX×5KillAylin Ravellset Madeleine Miller+1.9
84-4N MEXN MEX×5Serve errNew Mexico+2.5
94-5N MEXN MEX×5KillZoe Leonardset Nalanie Neal+2.3
104-6N MEXN MEX×5Attack errAudrey Heiring+2.1
114-7N MEXN MEX×5Bad setJagoda Bialek+1.8
125-7N MEXCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Nalanie Neal+1.3
135-8CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.3
145-9N MEXN MEXAttack errAudrey Heiring+1.5
156-9N MEXCALBAPKillAudrey Heiring+1.1
167-9CALBAPCALBAPAceCalifornia Baptistaced Camila Canedo+1.8
177-10N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
187-11N MEXN MEXAttack errBella Breuer+1.6
198-11N MEXCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Jagoda Bialek+1.1
208-12CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.2
219-12N MEXCALBAPServe errNew Mexico+1.1
229-13CALBAPN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.2
2310-13N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Neal+1.1
2410-14N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
2510-15N MEXN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.3
2611-15N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.8
2711-16CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravellset Camila Canedo+0.9
2811-17N MEXN MEXAceNew Mexicoaced Jagoda Bialek+0.9
2912-17N MEXCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+0.5
3012-18CALBAPN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Bella Breuer+0.6
3113-18N MEXCALBAPAttack errAddison France+0.5
3214-18CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAddison France+1.0
3314-19CALBAPN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.9
3415-19N MEXCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+0.7
3515-20CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+0.9
3615-21N MEXN MEXAceNew Mexicoaced Jagoda Bialek+0.7
3716-21N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+0.3
3817-21CALBAPCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Nalanie Neal+0.7
3917-22CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.8
4018-22N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.5
4118-23N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
4218-24N MEXN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.4
4318-25N MEXN MEX×3Attack errNalanie Neal+0.1
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEXAttack errNalanie Neal+1.8
21-1N MEXCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.5
31-2CALBAPN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.4
42-2N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Bella Breuer+1.5
52-3CALBAPN MEXAttack errNalanie Neal+1.4
63-3N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+1.6
74-3CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAddison France+2.4
84-4CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.6
94-5N MEXN MEXAttack errNalanie Neal+2.1
105-5N MEXCALBAP×7Serve errNew Mexico+1.7
116-5CALBAPCALBAP×7Attack errZoe Leonard+2.6
127-5CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
138-5CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEleftheria Baxaset Jagoda Bialek+3.1
149-5CALBAPCALBAP×7Attack errMina Stanojevic+3.3
1510-5CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEleftheria Baxa+3.3
1611-5CALBAPCALBAP×7BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Ifeoma Okeke, Eleftheria Baxa+3.1
1711-6CALBAPN MEXAttack errEleftheria Baxa+1.7
1812-6N MEXCALBAP×4KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.4
1913-6CALBAPCALBAP×4KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.8
2014-6CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Seenane Brewer+2.3
2115-6CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke+1.8
2215-7CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.8
2315-8N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
2416-8N MEXCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.6
2516-9CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.9
2617-9N MEXCALBAPServe errNew Mexico+1.5
2717-10CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.9
2818-10N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.4
2918-11CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.8
3019-11CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
3120-11CALBAPCALBAP×4KillAvery Barberset Nalanie Neal+1.0
3221-11CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
3322-11CALBAPCALBAP×4KillNalanie Neal+0.2
3422-12CALBAPN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Mina Stanojevic·
3523-12N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+0.1
3623-13CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller·
3724-13N MEXCALBAPServe errNew Mexico·
3824-14CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller·
3924-15N MEXN MEXAttack errEleftheria Baxa·
4025-15N MEXCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber·
Set 4
10-1CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
21-1N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.7
31-2CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravellset Madeleine Miller+2.5
42-2N MEXCALBAPAttack errAylin Ravell+2.8
53-2CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAylin Ravell+4.3
63-3CALBAPN MEXServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.9
74-3N MEXCALBAP×3KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+3.4
85-3CALBAPCALBAP×3KillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+5.0
96-3CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptistaced Seenane Brewer+5.4
106-4CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravell+3.4
117-4N MEXCALBAPBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Avery Barber, Ifeoma Okeke+4.3
127-5CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravellset Mina Stanojevic+3.5
138-5N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+4.4
149-5CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAylin Ravell+6.0
15–1610-6CALBAP · N MEX
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
1711-6CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAylin Ravell+6.1
1811-7CALBAPN MEXKillAylin Ravellset Madeleine Miller+3.5
19–2012-8CALBAP · N MEX
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
2112-9CALBAPN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+3.9
2213-9N MEXCALBAP×3KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+5.2
2314-9CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errSeenane Brewer+6.5
2415-9CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.8
2515-10CALBAPN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollister+2.9
2615-11N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.9
2715-12N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+5.7
2816-12N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+5.7
29–3017-13CALBAP · N MEX
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
3117-14CALBAPN MEXKillMina Stanojevic+4.2
3217-15N MEXN MEXAttack errNalanie Neal+6.7
3318-15N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+6.6
3418-16CALBAPN MEX×3KillMadeleine Millerset Seenane Brewer+5.0
3518-17N MEXN MEX×3AceNew Mexicoaced Anaiya Campbell+7.8
3618-18N MEXN MEX×3KillAylin Ravell+8.1
3719-18N MEXCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+7.1
3820-18CALBAPCALBAPServe errCalifornia Baptist+10.5
3920-19N MEX
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+6.3
4021-19N MEXCALBAPBlockedAylin Ravellblk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer+8.8
4121-20CALBAPN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+6.7
4222-20N MEXCALBAPAttack errSeenane Brewer+9.8
4322-21CALBAPN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+7.1
4423-21N MEXCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+11.3
4523-22CALBAPN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+7.5
4624-22N MEXCALBAPKillNalanie Nealset Avery Barber+13.6
4725-22CALBAPCALBAPBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke+12.0

Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).