California Baptist def. New Mexico 3–1
(27-25, 18-25, 25-15, 25-22)| Set | 1* | 2* | 3* | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALBAP | 27 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| N MEX | 25 | 25 | 15 | 22 | 1 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 11.6% to California Baptist — set 4, CALBAP 24-22 N MEX. Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber). N MEX win probability 21% → 10%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
California Baptist wins
New Mexico wins
- CALBAP break %
- 40.2% vs this opp
- N MEX break %
- 46.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Nalanie NealKill+11.6%
Kill by Nalanie Neal (set by Avery Barber)
Set 4 · CALBAP 24-22 N MEX · CALBAP 79% → 90%
- 02Bella BreuerKill+9.8%
Kill by Bella Breuer (set by Avery Barber)
Set 4 · CALBAP 23-21 N MEX · CALBAP 76% → 85%
- 03Mina StanojevicAttack error+9.6%
Mina Stanojevic stuffed by Eleftheria Baxa & Ifeoma Okeke
Set 4 · CALBAP 25-22 N MEX · CALBAP 90% → 100%
- 04Audrey HeiringKill+9.4%
Kill by Audrey Heiring (set by Madeleine Miller)
Set 1 · CALBAP 27-25 N MEX · CALBAP 30% → 40%
- 05CALBAP serverService error+9.0%
California Baptist service error
Set 4 · CALBAP 20-18 N MEX · CALBAP 69% → 78%
- 06Seenane BrewerAttack error+8.6%
Attack error by Seenane Brewer
Set 4 · CALBAP 22-20 N MEX · CALBAP 74% → 82%
- 07
- 08Mina StanojevicAttack error+8.1%
Attack error by Mina Stanojevic
Set 1 · CALBAP 26-25 N MEX · CALBAP 22% → 30%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 48 | .146 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 21.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | .087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | .333 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | .231 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 25 | 139 | .187 | 49 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 35 | .143 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 31 | .065 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 8 | 27 | -.111 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -.083 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 32 | 143 | .084 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
27-25
Set 2*
18-25
Set 3*
25-15
Set 4*
25-22
Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
California Baptist
No clean sets to split.
New Mexico
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
182 rallies
Rally log
| # | CALBAP-N MEX | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.0 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | N MEX | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.8 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | N MEX server | aced Nalanie Neal | +1.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | CALBAP server | aced Aylin Ravell | +2.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +2.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Camila Canedo | +1.5 |
| 16 | 10-6 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Reagan Miller | +1.9 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +1.5 |
| 18 | 11-7 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | N MEX server | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.5 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Daria Chekhovskikh | set Avery Barber | +1.9 |
| 21 | 13-8 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.3 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | CALBAP | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +1.4 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +2.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | N MEX | N MEX×4 | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.5 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.2 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer | +2.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +1.9 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +2.4 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Avery Barber | blk Mina Stanojevic | +1.9 |
| 31 | 16-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Mina Stanojevic | +2.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Madeleine Miller | +2.6 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | blk Zoe Leonard, Madeleine Miller | +2.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +2.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | +2.3 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Daria Chekhovskikh | +3.4 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.4 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.7 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.8 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +3.4 |
| 41 | 19-22 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.6 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.4 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Reagan Miller | +3.1 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +3.2 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Addison France | +2.4 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +5.5 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Audrey Heiring | +8.1 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Camila Canedo | +6.3 |
| 49 | 24-25 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | N MEX server | aced Audrey Heiring | +7.2 |
| 50 | 25-25 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +5.5 |
| 51 | 26-25 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | +8.1 | |
| 52 | 27-25 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Madeleine Miller | +9.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +2.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Campbell Hollister | blk Daria Chekhovskikh | +2.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +2.9 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | CALBAP server | aced Mina Stanojevic | +3.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | N MEX×5 | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Serve err | N MEX server | +2.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Kill | Zoe Leonard | set Nalanie Neal | +2.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | N MEX | N MEX×5 | Bad set | Jagoda Bialek | +2.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Nalanie Neal | +1.7 |
| 13 | 5-8 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Audrey Heiring | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Ace | CALBAP server | aced Camila Canedo | +2.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.9 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Bella Breuer | +2.1 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Jagoda Bialek | +1.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +1.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | N MEX server | +1.5 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +1.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +1.5 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +1.8 |
| 26 | 11-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +1.1 |
| 27 | 11-16 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Camila Canedo | +1.3 |
| 28 | 11-17 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | N MEX server | aced Jagoda Bialek | +1.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +0.7 |
| 30 | 12-18 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Zoe Leonard | set Bella Breuer | +0.9 |
| 31 | 13-18 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +0.7 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +1.3 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Audrey Heiring | set Avery Barber | +1.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Camila Canedo | +1.3 |
| 36 | 15-21 | N MEX | N MEX | Ace | N MEX server | aced Jagoda Bialek | +1.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +0.4 |
| 38 | 17-21 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Kill | Avery Barber | set Nalanie Neal | +1.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.6 |
| 41 | 18-23 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.0 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +0.5 |
| 43 | 18-25 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +0.1 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Addison France | set Madeleine Miller | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Bella Breuer | +2.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +2.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Addison France | +3.0 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +2.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +2.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | N MEX | CALBAP×7 | Serve err | N MEX server | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Attack err | Zoe Leonard | +3.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Jagoda Bialek | +3.6 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | +3.4 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP×7 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Ifeoma Okeke, Eleftheria Baxa | +3.1 |
| 17 | 11-6 | CALBAP | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +2.4 |
| 19 | 13-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | +2.7 |
| 20 | 14-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Ace | CALBAP server | aced Seenane Brewer | +2.2 |
| 21 | 15-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke | +1.6 |
| 22 | 15-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | N MEX | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 16-8 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Eleftheria Baxa | set Avery Barber | +1.5 |
| 25 | 16-9 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +0.9 | |
| 26 | 17-9 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | N MEX server | +1.5 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +0.8 | |
| 28 | 18-10 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +1.4 |
| 29 | 18-11 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | N MEX | CALBAP×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Avery Barber | set Nalanie Neal | +0.9 |
| 32 | 21-11 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 22-11 | CALBAP | CALBAP×4 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 22-12 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Seenane Brewer | set Mina Stanojevic | +0.0 |
| 35 | 23-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +0.1 |
| 36 | 23-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +0.0 |
| 37 | 24-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Serve err | N MEX server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Eleftheria Baxa | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 25-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | +0.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +2.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +2.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +2.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +3.0 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +4.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CALBAP | N MEX | Serve err | CALBAP server | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +3.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +4.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Ace | CALBAP server | aced Seenane Brewer | +4.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | +3.3 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Avery Barber, Ifeoma Okeke | +3.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Mina Stanojevic | +3.4 |
| 13 | 8-5 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +4.0 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +5.1 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.3 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.1 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | +5.0 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Aylin Ravell | set Madeleine Miller | +3.0 |
| 19 | 11-8 | N MEX | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.5 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.3 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +3.5 |
| 22 | 13-9 | N MEX | CALBAP×3 | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +4.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Attack err | Seenane Brewer | +5.2 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | CALBAP | CALBAP×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.5 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Campbell Hollister | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.0 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | set Madeleine Miller | +4.8 |
| 28 | 16-12 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +4.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +3.6 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | N MEX | CALBAP | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +4.9 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Mina Stanojevic | +3.6 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | N MEX | N MEX | Attack err | Nalanie Neal | +5.8 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +5.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | CALBAP | N MEX×3 | Kill | Madeleine Miller | set Seenane Brewer | +4.4 |
| 35 | 18-17 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Ace | N MEX server | aced Anaiya Campbell | +6.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | N MEX | N MEX×3 | Kill | Aylin Ravell | +7.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Anaiya Campbell | set Avery Barber | +6.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Serve err | CALBAP server | +9.0 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | CALBAP | N MEX | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +5.8 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Aylin Ravell | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer | +7.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Reagan Miller | set Madeleine Miller | +6.1 |
| 42 | 22-20 | N MEX | CALBAP | Attack err | Seenane Brewer | +8.6 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Seenane Brewer | set Madeleine Miller | +6.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Bella Breuer | set Avery Barber | +9.8 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CALBAP | N MEX | Kill | Campbell Hollister | set Madeleine Miller | +6.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | N MEX | CALBAP | Kill | Nalanie Neal | set Avery Barber | +11.6 |
| 47 | 25-22 | CALBAP | CALBAP | Attack err | Mina Stanojevic | blk Eleftheria Baxa, Ifeoma Okeke | +9.6 |
Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.