Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026

North Dakota def. California Baptist 3–2

North Dakota won at California Baptist 3-2 (25-19, 23-25, 10-25, 25-23, 15-13) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026. North Dakota's Ellee McIntosh led with 18 kills, and Haley Patton added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set12345Sets
NO DAK25231025153
CALBAP19252523132

Win probability

California Baptist above 50 · North Dakota below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+22.8% NO DAKrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 22.8% to North Dakota — set 5, NO DAK 15-13 CALBAP. California Baptist service error. CALBAP win probability 23% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO DAK 35.8%64.2% CALBAP

North Dakota wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.5%

California Baptist wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.6%
3-2
20.0%
NO DAK break %
42.7% vs this opp
CALBAP break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    California BaptistService error+22.8%

    California Baptist service error

    Set 5 · NO DAK 15-13 CALBAP · NO DAK 77% → 100%

  2. 02
    Ellee McIntoshKill+18.0%

    Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 5 · NO DAK 13-11 CALBAP · NO DAK 62% → 80%

  3. 03
    Olivia EdlundBlock+17.8%

    Emery DeJong stuffed by Olivia Edlund

    Set 5 · NO DAK 12-11 CALBAP · NO DAK 45% → 62%

  4. 04
    Ellee McIntoshKill+16.9%

    Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 5 · NO DAK 14-12 CALBAP · NO DAK 70% → 87%

  5. 05
    Ellee McIntoshKill+14.7%

    Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Olivia Edlund)

    Set 5 · NO DAK 11-11 CALBAP · NO DAK 30% → 45%

  6. 06
    Lauren PeruginiAttack error+12.2%

    Attack error by Lauren Perugini

    Set 5 · NO DAK 8-9 CALBAP · CALBAP 53% → 65%

  7. 07
    Bella BreuerBlock+11.7%

    Ellee McIntosh stuffed by Bella Breuer

    Set 5 · NO DAK 8-10 CALBAP · CALBAP 65% → 77%

  8. 08
    Lauren PeruginiKill+11.7%

    Kill by Lauren Perugini (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 4 · NO DAK 25-23 CALBAP · NO DAK 31% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518541.3170016210119
59219.368000100009
55010.50010310212.57.5
54010.4004332700007
54620-.10012030010.56.5
35515.000000200005
54316.0634361000007
5102.5000111310002
4001.000000510000
3000–000530000
21011.000000000001
2000–000210000
1102.500000000001
Team totals5221137.2264991355932498
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516135.4292013000016
513739.1540149300014
511218.50010030212.513.5
56015.400101100217
5306.5004001130010.53.5
2000–001010000
510532.15631451010.511.5
5000–3401240004
5000–021800002
5004.00070010010.50.5
4000–011100001
2204.500000000002
Team totals6115153.30157914569265105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NO DAK · CALBAP 7

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 NO DAKCALBAP 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NO DAKCALBAP 7

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 2 NO DAKCALBAP 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 NO DAKCALBAP 5

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 NO DAKCALBAP 5

Bars above the line = California Baptist leads, below = North Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%12/26
52%11/21
2
69%11/16
15%2/13
3
60%9/15
31%4/13
4
31%8/26
57%12/21
5
62%8/13
53%9/17
6
78%7/9
38%5/13
All
52%55/105
44%43/98

California Baptist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
40%6/15
2
100%11/11
52%12/23
3
60%9/15
35%6/17
4
38%8/21
43%6/14
5
50%8/16
64%14/22
6
53%8/15
43%6/14
All
56%55/98
48%50/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#NO DAK-CALBAPSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALBAPCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Emery DeJong+2.2
21-1CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.8
32-1NO DAKNO DAKAttack errBella Breuer+2.4
42-2NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.8
52-3CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAn de Hamer+2.3
63-3CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.9
73-4NO DAKCALBAP×4KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.8
83-5CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAndrea Zaric+2.3
93-6CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Haley Patton+2.1
103-7CALBAPCALBAP×4KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.9
114-7CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.4
124-8NO DAKCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Bella Breuer+1.5
135-8CALBAPNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.4
146-8NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAnaiya Campbell+2.1
157-8NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Anaiya Campbell+2.4
168-8NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Jagoda Bialek+2.7
178-9NO DAKCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.1
189-9CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.2
1910-9NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Jagoda Bialek+2.9
2010-10NO DAKCALBAPAttack errEllee McIntosh+2.2
2111-10CALBAPNO DAK×5Serve errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
2212-10NO DAKNO DAK×5KillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
2313-10NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errEmery DeJong+3.1
2414-10NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errEmery DeJong+2.8
2515-10NO DAKNO DAK×5AceNorth Dakotaaced Devyn Masi+2.5
2615-11NO DAKCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+1.5
2716-11CALBAPNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
2816-12NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.5
2917-12CALBAPNO DAKBad setEleftheria Baxa+2.0
3017-13NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+1.5
3117-14CALBAPCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Maria Contreras+2.4
3218-14CALBAPNO DAKBad setBella Breuer+2.5
3319-14NO DAKNO DAKBad setAvery Barber+2.5
3419-15NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.3
3520-15CALBAPNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
3620-16NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+1.2
3721-16CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
3822-16NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.5
3922-17NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+0.5
4023-17CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Lauren Perugini+1.0
4123-18NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Eleftheria Baxa+0.3
4223-19CALBAPCALBAPAttack errAn de Hamer+0.8
4324-19CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.3
4425-19NO DAKNO DAKBlockedEmery DeJongblk An de Hamer, Olivia Edlund+0.4
Set 2
11-0NO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
22-0NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+2.8
32-1NO DAKCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+2.1
43-1CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.3
53-2NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Jagoda Bialek+2.1
64-2CALBAPNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
74-3NO DAKCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Anaiya Campbell+2.2
85-3CALBAPNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
95-4NO DAKCALBAP×7Serve errNorth Dakota+2.2
105-5CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+2.9
115-6CALBAPCALBAP×7Attack errLauren Perugini+2.9
125-7CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+2.8
135-8CALBAPCALBAP×7AceCalifornia Baptistaced Kenya Prescott+2.6
145-9CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+2.4
155-10CALBAPCALBAP×7KillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+2.0
166-10CALBAPNO DAK×4KillReagan McIntoshset Lauren Perugini+1.4
177-10NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.2
188-10NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errEmery DeJong+2.6
199-10NO DAKNO DAK×4KillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
209-11NO DAKCALBAPKillEmery DeJongset Avery Barber+2.5
2110-11CALBAPNO DAK×3KillEllee McIntoshset Lauren Perugini+2.4
2211-11NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Emery DeJong+3.5
2312-11NO DAKNO DAK×3Bad setEmery DeJong+3.7
2412-12NO DAKCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+2.8
2513-12CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+3.1
2614-12NO DAKNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+4.0
2714-13NO DAKCALBAP×5KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.9
2814-14CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errAn de Hamer+4.0
2914-15CALBAPCALBAP×5KillEleftheria Baxaset Reagan McIntosh+4.0
3014-16CALBAPCALBAP×5KillEleftheria Baxaset Jagoda Bialek+3.9
3114-17CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errAn de Hamer+3.5
3215-17CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.4
3315-18NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.8
3416-18CALBAPNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
3516-19NO DAKCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Eleftheria Baxa+3.0
3616-20CALBAPCALBAPAceCalifornia Baptistaced Kenya Prescott+3.0
3717-20CALBAPNO DAK×4Serve errCalifornia Baptist+1.7
3818-20NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedBella Breuerblk Ellee McIntosh+3.1
3919-20NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+4.4
4020-20NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+5.6
4120-21NO DAKCALBAP×3Serve errNorth Dakota+4.9
4220-22CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedLilliana Montesblk Bella Breuer+5.9
4320-23CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errLauren Perugini+4.6
4421-23CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+2.1
4521-24NO DAKCALBAPKillEmery DeJongset Jagoda Bialek+3.7
4622-24CALBAPNO DAKAttack errEmery DeJong+1.5
4723-24NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakotaaced Emery DeJong+4.6
4823-25NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+8.0
Set 3
10-1CALBAPCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+3.0
20-2CALBAPCALBAPBlockedAn de Hamerblk Bella Breuer, Anaiya Campbell+2.9
31-2CALBAPNO DAKAttack errEleftheria Baxa+2.3
41-3NO DAKCALBAP×4KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.3
51-4CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAndrea Zaric+2.8
61-5CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAndrea Zaric+2.5
71-6CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Ellee McIntosh+2.2
82-6CALBAPNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+1.6
92-7NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.8
103-7CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.6
114-7NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.4
124-8NO DAKCALBAP×3KillEmery DeJongset Avery Barber+2.1
134-9CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptistaced Skylar Darr+2.3
144-10CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Maria Contreras+1.9
155-10CALBAPNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.3
165-11NO DAKCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Avery Barber+1.5
175-12CALBAPCALBAPAttack errLilliana Montes+1.5
186-12CALBAPNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+0.9
196-13NO DAKCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.2
206-14CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errEllee McIntosh+1.1
216-15CALBAPCALBAP×3KillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+0.7
227-15CALBAPNO DAKKillTessa Jacobsonset Reagan McIntosh+0.4
237-16NO DAKCALBAP×3KillAnaiya Campbellset Daria Chekhovskikh+0.5
247-17CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.4
257-18CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errEllee McIntosh+0.2
268-18CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.1
278-19NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+0.1
289-19CALBAPNO DAKKillElena Stefanovset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
299-20NO DAKCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Avery Barber+0.1
309-21CALBAPCALBAPKillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+0.1
3110-21CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh·
3210-22NO DAKCALBAP×4KillEmery DeJongset Avery Barber·
3310-23CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptistaced Kenya Prescott·
3410-24CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Avery Barber, Daria Chekhovskikh·
3510-25CALBAPCALBAP×4AceCalifornia Baptist·
Set 4
10-1NO DAKCALBAP×3KillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+2.1
20-2CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptistaced Ellee McIntosh+2.6
30-3CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.4
41-3CALBAPNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
51-4NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+1.9
62-4CALBAPNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+1.9
72-5NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+2.0
83-5CALBAPNO DAK×3Serve errCalifornia Baptist+1.9
94-5NO DAKNO DAK×3KillReagan McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.7
105-5NO DAKNO DAK×3KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+3.0
115-6NO DAKCALBAP×5Attack errAn de Hamer+2.4
125-7CALBAPCALBAP×5AceCalifornia Baptistaced Bilge Balla+2.9
135-8CALBAPCALBAP×5Bad setReagan McIntosh+2.7
145-9CALBAPCALBAP×5KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.4
155-10CALBAPCALBAP×5KillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+2.1
166-10CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+1.4
176-11NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+1.7
187-11CALBAPNO DAKKillReagan McIntoshset Lauren Perugini+1.4
197-12NO DAKCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+1.7
208-12CALBAPNO DAKKillHaley Pattonset Avery Barber+1.4
219-12NO DAKNO DAKBad setDaria Chekhovskikh+2.3
229-13NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+2.1
239-14CALBAPCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+2.2
2410-14CALBAPNO DAKBad setAnaiya Campbell+1.4
2510-15NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.7
2611-15CALBAPNO DAKAttack errAnaiya Campbell+1.4
2711-16NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+1.7
2812-16CALBAPNO DAK×5KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.4
2913-16NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errAnaiya Campbell+2.4
3014-16NO DAKNO DAK×5Attack errEmery DeJong+3.1
3115-16NO DAKNO DAK×5AceNorth Dakotaaced Jagoda Bialek+3.8
3216-16NO DAKNO DAK×5AceNorth Dakotaaced Emery DeJong+4.4
3316-17NO DAKCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Anaiya Campbell+3.6
3417-17CALBAPNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+3.7
3518-17NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+5.2
3619-17NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+5.4
3720-17NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Jagoda Bialek+5.0
3820-18NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+3.0
3921-18CALBAPNO DAKBad setAudrey Heiring+4.1
4021-19NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+3.0
4122-19CALBAPNO DAKBlockedAnaiya Campbellblk Olivia Edlund+4.4
4222-20NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.9
4322-21CALBAPCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+5.5
4423-21CALBAPNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+6.2
4523-22NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+4.5
4623-23CALBAPCALBAPAttack errEllee McIntosh+8.8
4724-23CALBAPNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+9.4
4825-23NO DAKNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+11.7
Set 5
10-1NO DAKCALBAPKillEmery DeJongset Anaiya Campbell+6.3
21-1CALBAPNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+6.5
31-2NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+6.6
42-2CALBAPNO DAK×4KillOlivia Edlundset An de Hamer+6.7
53-2NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLauren Peruginiset Reagan McIntosh+9.2
64-2NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+9.4
75-2NO DAKNO DAK×4KillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+9.2
85-3NO DAKCALBAPServe errNorth Dakota+6.2
96-3CALBAPNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+7.5
107-3NO DAKNO DAKAttack errAnaiya Campbell+8.6
117-4NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+5.3
127-5CALBAPCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+8.3
138-5CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+8.2
148-6NO DAKCALBAP×5Serve errNorth Dakota+6.7
158-7CALBAPCALBAP×5KillEmery DeJongset Avery Barber+10.3
168-8CALBAPCALBAP×5KillEmery DeJongset Maria Contreras+11.7
178-9CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errLauren Perugini+12.2
188-10CALBAPCALBAP×5BlockedEllee McIntoshblk Bella Breuer+11.7
199-10CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+8.2
209-11NO DAKCALBAPKillBella Breuerset Avery Barber+9.9
2110-11CALBAPNO DAK×4Bad setMaria Contreras+8.6
2211-11NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Olivia Edlund+14.7
2312-11NO DAKNO DAK×4BlockedEmery DeJongblk Olivia Edlund+17.8
2413-11NO DAKNO DAK×4KillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+18.0
2513-12NO DAKCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+10.2
2614-12CALBAPNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+16.9
2714-13NO DAKCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+9.7
2815-13CALBAPNO DAKServe errCalifornia Baptist+22.8

Score shown after each rally, North Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).