California Baptist def. Texas Southern 3-0 (Sep 18)

FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

California Baptist beat Texas Southern 3-0 (25-17, 25-21, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. California Baptist's Eleftheria Baxa led with 15 kills, and Avery Barber added 7 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALBAP	25	25	25	3
TX SOU	17	21	19	0

Win probability

Texas Southern above 50 · California Baptist below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to California Baptist — set 2, CALBAP 20-19 TX SOU. Morgynne McQueen stuffed by Filippa Botcher & Emery DeJong. TX SOU win probability 9% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALBAP 86.8%13.2% TX SOU

California Baptist wins

3-0

39.4%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

15.8%

Texas Southern wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.2%

3-2

7.2%

CALBAP break %: 48.7% vs this opp
TX SOU break %: 40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Filippa Botcher&Emery DeJongBlock+2.1%
Morgynne McQueen stuffed by Filippa Botcher & Emery DeJong
Set 2 · CALBAP 20-19 TX SOU · CALBAP 91% → 93%
02
Lauren BattleKill+2.0%
Kill by Lauren Battle (set by Kadence Davison)
Set 2 · CALBAP 15-18 TX SOU · TX SOU 12% → 14%
03
Emery DeJongKill+1.9%
Kill by Emery DeJong (set by Daria Chekhovskikh)
Set 2 · CALBAP 18-18 TX SOU · CALBAP 89% → 91%
04
California BaptistAce+1.8%
California Baptist ace
Set 2 · CALBAP 21-19 TX SOU · CALBAP 93% → 95%
05
Eleftheria BaxaKill+1.8%
Kill by Eleftheria Baxa (set by Avery Barber)
Set 2 · CALBAP 17-18 TX SOU · CALBAP 88% → 89%
06
Lauren BattleKill+1.8%
Kill by Lauren Battle (set by Kadence Davison)
Set 2 · CALBAP 18-19 TX SOU · TX SOU 9% → 10%
07
Texas SouthernAce+1.7%
Texas Southern ace on Mia Rossman
Set 1 · CALBAP 6-7 TX SOU · TX SOU 14% → 16%
08
California BaptistAce+1.6%
California Baptist ace on Lauanna Pino
Set 2 · CALBAP 15-16 TX SOU · CALBAP 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

California Baptistaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Eleftheria BaxaOH	3	15	1	25	.560	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	15
19Emery DeJongOH	3	10	5	24	.208	1	2	1	5	0	0	2	1	13
11Anaiya CampbellOH	3	8	5	24	.125	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	1	9
7Avery BarberS	3	0	0	4	.000	22	3	0	7	0	0	0	0	3
21Ifeoma OkekeMB	2	4	1	5	.600	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
18Jana CetkovicMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
14Maria ContrerasS	3	2	0	5	.400	9	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
9Mia RossmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	1
8Filippa BotcherMB	2	1	2	4	-.250	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	2
22Jagoda BialekL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
2Nika SafaviOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Devyn MasiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
17Daria ChekhovskikhMB	1	0	2	5	-.400	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3
Team totals		40	17	100	.230	38	12	6	29	2	1	12	7	75

Texas Southernhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Lauren BattleOH	3	11	1	17	.588	0	1	0	8	2	0	0	0	12
2Lacey KusnierOH	3	4	2	13	.154	1	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Aliyah Spencer	3	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
20Aaliyah BrownMB	3	3	3	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
3Gracie LeeOH	3	0	2	5	-.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Kadence DavisonS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
6Ava HoustonMB	3	4	3	12	.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
11Ava RayS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
1Keagan St. JuniousL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
17Lauanna PinoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	0
4Selana MoralesOH	2	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
10Emory HarperOPP	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
7Morgynne McQueenMB	2	1	3	4	-.500	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Kaiulani SherrowS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	17	83	.181	31	2	2	35	12	1	8	5	57

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CALBAP · TX SOU 6

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 CALBAPTX SOU 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 CALBAPTX SOU 6

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 CALBAPTX SOU 3

Bars above the line = Texas Southern leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California Baptist

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	71%12/17
2	67%6/9	63%10/16
3	100%6/6	57%8/14
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	50%5/10	17%1/6
6	38%5/13	55%6/11
All	59%35/59	55%40/73

Texas Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	32%6/19	50%6/12
2	55%6/11	54%7/13
3	46%6/13	0%0/6
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	45%5/11	45%5/11
6	33%4/12	44%4/9
All	45%33/73	41%24/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#	CALBAP-TX SOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+0.9
2	1-1	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.0
3	2-1	TX SOU	CALBAP×3	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+1.0
4	3-1	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Blocked	Lauren Battle	blk Ifeoma Okeke, Maria Contreras	+1.1
5	4-1	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Maria Contreras	+1.0
6	4-2	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Kadence Davison	+0.8
7	5-2	TX SOU	CALBAP	Attack err	Gracie Lee		+0.8
8	5-3	CALBAP	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.8
9	5-4	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+1.2
10	5-5	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+1.4
11	6-5	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Ifeoma Okeke	set Maria Contreras	+1.1
12	6-6	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.2
13	6-7	TX SOU	TX SOU	Ace	Texas Southern	aced Mia Rossman	+1.7
14	7-7	TX SOU	CALBAP×3	Bad set	Lauren Battle		+1.2
15	8-7	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Blocked	Ava Houston	blk Jana Cetkovic, Emery DeJong	+1.5
16	9-7	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauren Battle	+1.3
17	9-8	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Ava Ray	+1.1
18	10-8	TX SOU	CALBAP×3	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Jagoda Bialek	+1.1
19	11-8	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauren Battle	+1.2
20	12-8	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+1.0
21	12-9	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.8
22	13-9	TX SOU	CALBAP×6	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.8
23	14-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Attack err	Selana Morales		+0.8
24	15-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.6
25	16-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+0.4
26	17-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Ace	California Baptist	aced Keagan St. Junious	+0.3
27	18-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Bad set	Lacey Kusnier		+0.1
28	18-10	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Kadence Davison	+0.1
29	19-10	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Ifeoma Okeke	set Avery Barber	+0.1
30	20-10	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Maria Contreras	+0.1
31	20-11	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Kadence Davison	·
32	21-11	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Maria Contreras	set Emery DeJong	·
33	21-12	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	·
34	22-12	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell		·
35	22-13	CALBAP	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		·
36	22-14	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Ava Ray	·
37	22-15	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Aliyah Spencer, Ava Houston	+0.1
38	23-15	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+0.1
39	23-16	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Ava Ray	·
40	23-17	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.1
41	24-17	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.1
42	25-17	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Ava Houston	blk Jana Cetkovic, Anaiya Campbell	·
Set 2
1	0-1	CALBAP	TX SOU×4	Kill	Emory Harper	set Kadence Davison	+0.8
2	0-2	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Ace	Texas Southern	aced Anaiya Campbell	+1.1
3	0-3	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Blocked	Daria Chekhovskikh	blk Aaliyah Brown	+1.2
4	0-4	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+1.2
5	1-4	TX SOU	CALBAP	Serve err	Texas Southern		+0.8
6	1-5	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+1.0
7	2-5	TX SOU	CALBAP×3	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+0.8
8	3-5	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen		+1.1
9	4-5	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist		+1.1
10	4-6	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.0
11	5-6	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.9
12	5-7	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+1.0
13	5-8	TX SOU	TX SOU	Blocked	Filippa Botcher	blk Lacey Kusnier, Morgynne McQueen	+1.3
14	6-8	TX SOU	CALBAP	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.9
15	7-8	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen		+1.2
16	7-9	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.1
17	7-10	TX SOU	TX SOU	Blocked	Anaiya Campbell	blk Aaliyah Brown, Ava Houston	+1.4
18	8-10	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Filippa Botcher	set Maria Contreras	+1.0
19	9-10	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Maria Contreras	set Lauren Battle	+1.3
20	9-11	CALBAP	TX SOU×6	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+1.2
21	9-12	TX SOU	TX SOU×6	Kill	Emory Harper	set Lauanna Pino	+1.5
22	9-13	TX SOU	TX SOU×6	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+1.5
23	9-14	TX SOU	TX SOU×6	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+1.5
24	9-15	TX SOU	TX SOU×6	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+1.3
25	9-16	TX SOU	TX SOU×6	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Lauanna Pino	+1.1
26	10-16	TX SOU	CALBAP×6	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.6
27	11-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.9
28	12-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Devyn Masi	+1.1
29	13-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+1.3
30	14-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Attack err	Emory Harper		+1.5
31	15-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+1.6
32	15-17	CALBAP	TX SOU	Attack err	Daria Chekhovskikh		+1.6
33	15-18	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+2.0
34	16-18	TX SOU	CALBAP×3	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+1.3
35	17-18	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+1.8
36	18-18	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Daria Chekhovskikh	+1.9
37	18-19	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+1.8
38	19-19	TX SOU	CALBAP×4	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+1.6
39	20-19	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Blocked	Morgynne McQueen	blk Filippa Botcher, Emery DeJong	+2.1
40	21-19	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Ace	California Baptist		+1.8
41	22-19	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+1.4
42	22-20	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.8
43	23-20	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.1
44	24-20	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Ava Houston	blk Filippa Botcher, Maria Contreras	+0.8
45	24-21	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.2
46	25-21	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	TX SOU	CALBAP×4	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.3
2	2-0	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Filippa Botcher	+0.4
3	3-0	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.3
4	4-0	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Ace	California Baptist		+0.3
5	4-1	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+0.2
6	4-2	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lauanna Pino	+0.3
7	5-2	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.3
8	5-3	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Lauanna Pino	+0.3
9	6-3	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Devyn Masi	+0.3
10	7-3	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+0.3
11	7-4	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.2
12	8-4	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+0.2
13	8-5	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.2
14	8-6	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+0.4
15	9-6	TX SOU	CALBAP	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+0.3
16	9-7	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+0.3
17	10-7	TX SOU	CALBAP×4	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.3
18	11-7	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Kill	Ifeoma Okeke	set Avery Barber	+0.3
19	12-7	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.3
20	13-7	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.2
21	13-8	CALBAP	TX SOU	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+0.1
22	13-9	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Ifeoma Okeke		+0.2
23	14-9	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Mia Rossman	+0.2
24	14-10	CALBAP	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.2
25	14-11	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Filippa Botcher		+0.3
26	14-12	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Lacey Kusnier	+0.4
27	15-12	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.4
28	15-13	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.4
29	16-13	TX SOU	CALBAP	Blocked	Gracie Lee	blk Anaiya Campbell, Maria Contreras	+0.4
30	17-13	CALBAP	CALBAP	Ace	California Baptist	aced Lauanna Pino	+0.4
31	17-14	CALBAP	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.3
32	18-14	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+0.3
33	18-15	CALBAP	TX SOU	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.3
34	19-15	TX SOU	CALBAP×4	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+0.3
35	20-15	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+0.3
36	21-15	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Bad set	Aaliyah Brown		+0.2
37	22-15	CALBAP	CALBAP×4	Bad set	Ava Houston		+0.1
38	22-16	CALBAP	TX SOU×3	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kaiulani Sherrow	·
39	22-17	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Aliyah Spencer		+0.1
40	22-18	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+0.1
41	23-18	TX SOU	CALBAP	Serve err	Texas Southern		+0.2
42	24-18	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Selana Morales	blk Ifeoma Okeke	+0.1
43	24-19	CALBAP	TX SOU	Blocked	Nika Safavi	blk Aliyah Spencer, Ava Houston	·
44	25-19	TX SOU	CALBAP	Kill	Ifeoma Okeke	set Avery Barber	·

Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

California Baptist def. Texas Southern 3–0