San Francisco def. California Baptist 3-0 (Sep 19)

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

0:3

San Francisco beat visiting California Baptist 3-0 (25-13, 25-11, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. San Francisco's Petra Fritz led with 10 kills, and Katariina Korhonen added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALBAP	13	11	16	0
S FRAN	25	25	25	3

Win probability

San Francisco above 50 · California Baptist below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to San Francisco — set 1, CALBAP 1-2 S FRAN. Eleftheria Baxa stuffed by Hokulani Perez. S FRAN win probability 72% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALBAP 27.5%72.5% S FRAN

California Baptist wins

3-0

5.0%

3-1

9.5%

3-2

12.9%

San Francisco wins

3-0

25.1%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

19.6%

CALBAP break %: 40.7% vs this opp
S FRAN break %: 45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hokulani PerezBlock+2.0%
Eleftheria Baxa stuffed by Hokulani Perez
Set 1 · CALBAP 1-2 S FRAN · S FRAN 72% → 74%
02
Emery DejongKill+2.0%
Kill by Emery Dejong
Set 1 · CALBAP 10-12 S FRAN · CALBAP 21% → 23%
03
Hokulani PerezKill+1.9%
Kill by Hokulani Perez
Set 1 · CALBAP 11-15 S FRAN · S FRAN 79% → 81%
04
Eleftheria BaxaAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Eleftheria Baxa
Set 1 · CALBAP 1-3 S FRAN · S FRAN 74% → 76%
05
San FranciscoAce+1.9%
San Francisco ace on Emery Dejong
Set 2 · CALBAP 6-7 S FRAN · S FRAN 84% → 86%
06
Maria Contreras&Filippa BotcherBlock+1.9%
Andjela Sojic stuffed by Maria Contreras & Filippa Botcher
Set 2 · CALBAP 4-3 S FRAN · CALBAP 15% → 17%
07
Petra FritzAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Petra Fritz
Set 2 · CALBAP 9-10 S FRAN · CALBAP 12% → 14%
08
Katariina KorhonenKill+1.8%
Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 2 · CALBAP 6-8 S FRAN · S FRAN 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

California Baptistaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Emery DejongOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	2	0	0	6
11Anaiya CampbellOH	3	3	1	6	.333	1	1	1	3	0	0	3
8Filippa BotcherMB	3	2	1	3	.333	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Maria ContrerasS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	1	0	2	1	1
21Ifeoma OkekeMB	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
9Mia RossmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Eleftheria BaxaOH	3	7	7	20	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
12Audrey HeiringOH	3	7	4	17	.176	0	0	2	2	0	0	7
1Maddie BrownS	3	0	0	2	.000	9	0	3	0	0	0	0
4Samantha BaileyOPP	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Avery BarberS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	0	0	0	0
5Bella BreuerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Daria ChekhovskikhMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Devyn MasiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Jagoda BialekL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	2	0	0	0
18Jana CetkovicMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Nalanie NealOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Nika SafaviOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	18	72	.097	24	3	13	13	4	2	40

San Franciscohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	7	1	1	0	3	1.5	15.5
21Petra FritzOH	3	10	1	13	.692	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	12
19Hokulani PerezMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	9
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	7	4	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	5	3	11	.182	2	2	1	9	0	0	0	7
13Jordan SmartS	3	0	0	0	–	20	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
17Andjela SojicMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
1Talula LenoirOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Piper JustissS	3	0	0	0	–	11	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
4Adelynn LegatesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Anica BobicOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Laura AmaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
15Simona IvanovaMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11True TakemotoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	70	.443	35	13	4	21	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CALBAP · S FRAN 14

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 CALBAPS FRAN 10

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 CALBAPS FRAN 14

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 CALBAPS FRAN 5

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = California Baptist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

California Baptist

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%4/6	25%1/4
2	22%4/18	33%2/6
3	60%3/5	33%2/6
4	43%3/7	25%1/4
5	60%3/5	0%0/3
6	25%2/8	40%2/5
All	39%19/49	29%8/28

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	63%5/8
2	67%4/6	20%1/5
3	80%4/5	79%15/19
4	75%3/4	57%4/7
5	60%3/5	40%2/5
6	67%2/3	60%3/5
All	71%20/28	61%30/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

115 rallies

#	CALBAP-S FRAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	S FRAN	CALBAP	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Maria Contreras, Ifeoma Okeke	+1.6
2	1-1	CALBAP	S FRAN×5	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.5
3	1-2	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Hokulani Perez	+2.0
4	1-3	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+1.9
5	1-4	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
6	1-5	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.6
7	2-5	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+1.1
8	2-6	CALBAP	S FRAN×4	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
9	2-7	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Ace	San Francisco	aced Anaiya Campbell	+1.3
10	2-8	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Ace	San Francisco	aced Anaiya Campbell	+1.1
11	2-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Ifeoma Okeke		+0.9
12	3-9	S FRAN	CALBAP	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.5
13	4-9	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa		+0.9
14	4-10	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
15	5-10	S FRAN	CALBAP×3	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.7
16	6-10	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa		+1.2
17	7-10	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+1.5
18	7-11	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Piper Justiss	+1.3
19	8-11	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Filippa Botcher	set Maria Contreras	+1.2
20–21	9-12		CALBAP · S FRAN	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
22	10-12	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong		+2.0
23	10-13	CALBAP	S FRAN	Attack err	Emery Dejong	set Mia Rossman	+1.6
24	11-13	S FRAN	CALBAP	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.5
25	11-14	CALBAP	S FRAN×10	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.7
26	11-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Kill	Hokulani Perez		+1.9
27	11-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+1.5
28	11-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+1.1
29	11-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Ace	San Francisco		+0.7
30	11-19	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.4
31	11-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Kill	Petra Fritz		+0.2
32	11-21	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Kill	Hokulani Perez		+0.1
33	11-22	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Attack err	Emery Dejong		·
34	11-23	S FRAN	S FRAN×10	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	·
35	12-23	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong	set Maddie Brown	·
36	12-24	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	·
37	13-24	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Maddie Brown	·
38	13-25	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	·
Set 2
1	0-1	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
2	1-1	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring		+1.3
3	1-2	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Katariina Korhonen	+1.2
4	2-2	S FRAN	CALBAP	Attack err	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+1.3
5	2-3	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
6	3-3	S FRAN	CALBAP	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.3
7	4-3	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Andjela Sojic	blk Maria Contreras, Filippa Botcher	+1.9
8	4-4	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+1.3
9	5-4	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Filippa Botcher	set Maria Contreras	+1.5
10	5-5	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Piper Justiss	+1.4
11	6-5	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong	set Maria Contreras	+1.5
12	6-6	CALBAP	S FRAN×4	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Piper Justiss	+1.4
13	6-7	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Ace	San Francisco	aced Emery Dejong	+1.9
14	6-8	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
15	6-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+1.6
16	7-9	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Maddie Brown	+1.1
17	7-10	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
18	8-10	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Jagoda Bialek	+1.2
19	9-10	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.8
20	9-11	CALBAP	S FRAN×14	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.4
21	9-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Attack err	Filippa Botcher		+1.7
22	9-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Ace	San Francisco		+1.5
23	9-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Kill	Maeve Bailey		+1.2
24	9-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+0.9
25	9-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Blocked	Audrey Heiring	blk Hokulani Perez, Maeve Bailey	+0.6
26	9-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Ace	San Francisco	aced Emery Dejong	+0.4
27	9-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+0.2
28	9-19	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Ace	San Francisco	aced Audrey Heiring	+0.1
29	9-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Ace	San Francisco	aced Audrey Heiring	+0.1
30	9-21	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	·
31	9-22	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	·
32	9-23	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Kill	Maeve Bailey		·
33	9-24	S FRAN	S FRAN×14	Attack err	Samantha Bailey		·
34	10-24	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell		·
35	11-24	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Jagoda Bialek	·
36	11-25	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	·
Set 3
1	0-1	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+0.9
2	0-2	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Hokulani Perez, Emma Neukirchen	+0.8
3	1-2	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+0.6
4	1-3	CALBAP	S FRAN	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+0.6
5	2-3	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.6
6	3-3	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+0.9
7	3-4	CALBAP	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+0.7
8	3-5	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco		+0.9
9	3-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
10	4-6	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.6
11	4-7	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Katariina Korhonen	+0.6
12	5-7	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong	set Maddie Brown	+0.6
13	5-8	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Piper Justiss	+0.6
14	6-8	S FRAN	CALBAP	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.6
15	6-9	CALBAP	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+0.6
16	6-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Emery Dejong		+0.7
17	6-11	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+0.6
18	7-11	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong	set Maddie Brown	+0.4
19	8-11	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+0.7
20	8-12	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Piper Justiss	+0.6
21	9-12	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+0.5
22	10-12	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Hokulani Perez		+0.9
23	10-13	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.7
24	10-14	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Jagoda Bialek	+0.8
25	11-14	S FRAN	CALBAP	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.5
26	11-15	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+0.6
27	12-15	S FRAN	CALBAP	Attack err	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+0.5
28	12-16	CALBAP	S FRAN×5	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+0.6
29	12-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+0.7
30	12-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Piper Justiss	+0.5
31	12-19	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+0.3
32	12-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Ace	San Francisco	aced Anaiya Campbell	+0.2
33	13-20	S FRAN	CALBAP	Kill	Emery Dejong	set Maddie Brown	+0.1
34	13-21	CALBAP	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+0.1
35	13-22	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco	aced Jagoda Bialek	+0.1
36	13-23	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco		·
37	14-23	S FRAN	CALBAP×3	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Anaiya Campbell	·
38	15-23	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Maddie Brown	·
39	16-23	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		·
40	16-24	CALBAP	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	·
41	16-25	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic		·

Score shown after each rally, California Baptist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

San Francisco def. California Baptist 3–0