Sacramento State def. California Baptist 3-0 (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Sacramento St. 78.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Sacramento St. won at California Baptist 3-0 (25-11, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler led with 13 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SAC ST	25	25	25	3
CALBAP	11	20	21	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

California Baptist hit -.057. Sacramento St. held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; California Baptist topped out at 26% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Sacramento St. 78% before first serve.

Sacramento St.California Baptist

Break %+19.6 pts
54.835.2
40 of 73 on serve vs 19 of 54, so California Baptist's sideout was 45.2%.
Hitting+.344
.287-.057
39 K / 16 E against 17 K / 21 E.
Longest run+2
75
7 straight Sacramento St. points in the first set stretched an 18–11 lead to 25–11. That set ended 25–11.

California Baptist above 50Sacramento St. belowMax swing 2.1%

Sacramento St.California Baptist

Aces: Sacramento St. 7·California Baptist 2
Serve err: Sacramento St. 15·California Baptist 5
Blocks: Sacramento St. 9·California Baptist 63 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Sacramento St. 26·California Baptist 21

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

California Baptist above 50 · Sacramento St. below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to California Baptist — set 1, SAC ST 0-2 CALBAP. Kill by Emery DeJong (set by Eleftheria Baxa). CALBAP win probability 24% → 26%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAC ST 80.8%19.2% CALBAP

Sacramento St. wins

3-0

32.3%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.0%

California Baptist wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.4%

3-2

9.8%

SAC ST break %: 46.6% vs this opp
CALBAP break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Emery DeJongKill+2.1%
Kill by Emery DeJong (set by Eleftheria Baxa)
Set 1 · SAC ST 0-2 CALBAP · CALBAP 24% → 26%
02
California BaptistAce+2.0%
California Baptist ace on Keonahi'ilani Solaita
Set 1 · SAC ST 5-5 CALBAP · CALBAP 20% → 22%
03
Victoria MarthalerAce+1.9%
Ace by Victoria Marthaler
Set 1 · SAC ST 9-7 CALBAP · SAC ST 79% → 81%
04
Emery DeJongKill+1.9%
Kill by Emery DeJong (set by Maddie Brown)
Set 1 · SAC ST 0-1 CALBAP · CALBAP 22% → 24%
05
Keonahi'ilani SolaitaAce+1.9%
Ace by Keonahi'ilani Solaita on Emery DeJong
Set 1 · SAC ST 2-2 CALBAP · SAC ST 76% → 78%
06
Victoria MarthalerKill+1.8%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Reese Ampi)
Set 1 · SAC ST 3-2 CALBAP · SAC ST 78% → 79%
07
Keonahi'ilani SolaitaKill+1.7%
Kill by Keonahi'ilani Solaita (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 1 · SAC ST 10-7 CALBAP · SAC ST 81% → 83%
08
Victoria MarthalerAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Victoria Marthaler
Set 1 · SAC ST 5-4 CALBAP · CALBAP 18% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sacramento St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Victoria MarthalerOH	3	13	5	24	.333	0	2	4	1	0	1	1	1.5	16.5
6Mia MolnarOH	3	10	4	18	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
14Keonahi'ilani SolaitaOH	3	10	3	18	.389	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	11
7Skyler GartinMB	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	2	0	0	2	3	3.5	6.5
3Nikola GamlinMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
18Makenna WiepertS	3	0	0	0	–	36	1	4	7	0	0	2	1	2
2Reese AmpiDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	7	1	0	0	0	2
4Amy ItoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		39	16	80	.287	39	7	15	26	2	3	12	9	75

California Baptisthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Emery DeJongOH	3	4	6	19	-.105	1	1	1	4	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
17Daria ChekhovskikhMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
8Filippa BotcherMB	3	1	2	5	-.200	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3
1Maddie BrownS	3	1	0	1	1.000	10	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
13Eleftheria BaxaOH	2	2	5	10	-.300	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Anaiya CampbellOH	2	2	2	9	.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
12Audrey HeiringOH	3	0	3	9	-.333	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
22Jagoda BialekL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	0
23Nalanie NealOH	2	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
7Avery BarberS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Mia RossmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Devyn MasiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Nika SafaviOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	21	70	-.057	16	2	5	21	7	1	10	6	52

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sacramento St. vs California Baptist

Season series · Sacramento St. leads 2-0

Thu, Sep 24, 2026California Baptist at Sacramento St. · Sacramento St. won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Sacramento St. at California Baptist · Sacramento St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SAC ST · CALBAP 5

Set 1

25-11

Longest run 7 SAC STCALBAP 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 SAC STCALBAP 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 SAC STCALBAP 5

Bars above the line = California Baptist leads, below = Sacramento St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sacramento St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	40%4/10
2	75%6/8	70%14/20
3	75%6/8	14%1/7
4	71%5/7	44%4/9
5	50%5/10	58%7/12
6	100%5/5	67%10/15
All	65%35/54	55%40/73

California Baptist

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%6/18	46%6/13
2	67%6/9	40%4/10
3	86%6/7	14%1/7
4	45%5/11	14%1/7
5	28%5/18	58%7/12
6	50%5/10	0%0/5
All	45%33/73	35%19/54

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	SAC ST-CALBAP	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maddie Brown	+1.9
2	0-2	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Eleftheria Baxa	+2.1
3	1-2	CALBAP	SAC ST×5	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.4
4	2-2	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Ace	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	aced Emery DeJong	+1.9
5	3-2	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+1.8
6	4-2	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+1.7
7	5-2	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar	+1.5
8	5-3	SAC ST	CALBAP×3	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.1
9	5-4	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+1.7
10	5-5	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist	aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+2.0
11	6-5	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
12	6-6	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Maddie Brown	+1.6
13	7-6	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
14	7-7	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.6
15	8-7	CALBAP	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Anaiya Campbell	blk Makenna Wiepert, Nikola Gamlin	+1.6
16	9-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Ace	Victoria Marthaler		+1.9
17	10-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.7
18	10-8	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.3
19	11-8	CALBAP	SAC ST×5	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.3
20	12-8	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
21	13-8	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
22	14-8	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Ace	Reese Ampi	aced Jagoda Bialek	+0.9
23	15-8	SAC ST	SAC ST×5	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
24	15-9	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Daria Chekhovskikh	set Avery Barber	+0.4
25	16-9	CALBAP	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
26	17-9	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar	+0.4
27	18-9	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+0.2
28	18-10	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.1
29	18-11	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Filippa Botcher	+0.2
30	19-11	CALBAP	SAC ST×7	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.2
31	20-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+0.2
32	21-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Bad set	Emery DeJong		+0.1
33	22-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Skyler Gartin	·
34	23-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	·
35	24-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Attack err	Filippa Botcher		·
36	25-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×7	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	·
Set 2
1	0-1	SAC ST	CALBAP	Attack err	Skyler Gartin		+1.1
2	1-1	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
3	2-1	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Makenna Wiepert	aced Jagoda Bialek	+1.3
4	2-2	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.1
5	3-2	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
6	3-3	SAC ST	CALBAP	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Filippa Botcher, Audrey Heiring	+1.1
7	4-3	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
8	5-3	SAC ST	SAC ST	Blocked	Audrey Heiring	blk Nikola Gamlin, Victoria Marthaler	+1.3
9	5-4	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.0
10	5-5	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+1.5
11	6-5	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
12	7-5	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.4
13	7-6	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.1
14	8-6	CALBAP	SAC ST	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.1
15	9-6	SAC ST	SAC ST	Attack err	Nalanie Neal		+1.3
16	9-7	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.9
17	10-7	CALBAP	SAC ST	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.0
18	10-8	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Nalanie Neal	set Maddie Brown	+1.0
19	10-9	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Nalanie Neal		+1.5
20	11-9	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
21	12-9	SAC ST	SAC ST	Attack err	Filippa Botcher		+1.4
22	12-10	SAC ST	CALBAP	Attack err	Skyler Gartin		+1.0
23	13-10	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
24	13-11	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Maddie Brown	+1.0
25	14-11	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
26	15-11	SAC ST	SAC ST	Bad set	Jagoda Bialek		+1.2
27	15-12	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Daria Chekhovskikh	set Maddie Brown	+0.8
28	15-13	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Daria Chekhovskikh	set Maddie Brown	+1.4
29	16-13	CALBAP	SAC ST×4	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.2
30	17-13	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+1.3
31	18-13	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
32	19-13	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Ace	Amy Ito		+0.6
33	19-14	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.3
34	20-14	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.4
35	20-15	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.3
36	21-15	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.4
37	21-16	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Nalanie Neal	set Filippa Botcher	+0.2
38	21-17	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	blk Audrey Heiring, Filippa Botcher	+0.5
39	22-17	CALBAP	SAC ST	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.6
40	22-18	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.3
41	23-18	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
42	23-19	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maddie Brown	+0.2
43	23-20	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Emery DeJong, Daria Chekhovskikh	+0.6
44	24-20	CALBAP	SAC ST	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+0.9
45	25-20	SAC ST	SAC ST	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Nikola Gamlin, Mia Molnar	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Jagoda Bialek	+0.8
2	1-1	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
3	1-2	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Nalanie Neal	set Maddie Brown	+0.6
4	2-2	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
5	2-3	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Maddie Brown	set Emery DeJong	+0.6
6	3-3	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
7	4-3	SAC ST	SAC ST	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.8
8	4-4	SAC ST	CALBAP	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.6
9	5-4	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
10	6-4	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Victoria Marthaler	aced Emery DeJong	+0.7
11	6-5	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.6
12	6-6	CALBAP	CALBAP	Ace	California Baptist	aced Reese Ampi	+0.8
13	7-6	CALBAP	SAC ST×6	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
14	8-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×6	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Reese Ampi	+0.8
15	9-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×6	Ace	Reese Ampi		+0.7
16	10-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×6	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.6
17	11-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×6	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
18	12-6	SAC ST	SAC ST×6	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.4
19	12-7	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.2
20	13-7	CALBAP	SAC ST×3	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.3
21	14-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Nalanie Neal	blk Skyler Gartin	+0.3
22	15-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.2
23	15-8	SAC ST	CALBAP×3	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.1
24	15-9	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita		+0.2
25	15-10	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Eleftheria Baxa, Daria Chekhovskikh	+0.3
26	16-10	CALBAP	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.3
27	17-10	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Eleftheria Baxa	blk Victoria Marthaler	+0.2
28	18-10	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.1
29	18-11	SAC ST	CALBAP	Attack err	Mia Molnar		+0.1
30	19-11	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.1
31	20-11	SAC ST	SAC ST	Bad set	Avery Barber		+0.1
32	20-12	SAC ST	CALBAP	Serve err	Sacramento St.		·
33	20-13	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Daria Chekhovskikh, Audrey Heiring	+0.1
34	21-13	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.1
35	21-14	SAC ST	CALBAP	Attack err	Nikola Gamlin		·
36	22-14	CALBAP	SAC ST	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.1
37	22-15	SAC ST	CALBAP×5	Attack err	Nikola Gamlin		·
38	22-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita		+0.1
39	22-17	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Kill	Filippa Botcher	set Maddie Brown	+0.1
40	22-18	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Devyn Masi	+0.2
41	22-19	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+0.4
42	23-19	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
43	23-20	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Maddie Brown	+0.3
44	24-20	CALBAP	SAC ST	Attack err	Nalanie Neal		+0.5
45	24-21	SAC ST	CALBAP	Kill	Nalanie Neal	set Maddie Brown	+0.1
46	25-21	CALBAP	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Sacramento St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Sacramento St. def. California Baptist 3–0

California Baptist hit -.057. Sacramento St. held them there all match.