Kansas St. at Omaha

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

KAN ST 89.5%10.5% OMAHA

Kansas St. wins

3-0

43.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.3%

Omaha wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.2%

3-2

5.9%

KAN ST break %: 46.8% vs this opp
OMAHA break %: 37.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.