Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Colorado def. Kansas St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado 71.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado beat visiting Kansas St. 3-2 (21-25, 26-28, 25-22, 25-22, 15-10) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 25 kills, and Tinons Munar Galmes added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set12345Sets
KAN ST25282222102
COLO21262525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ines Losada served 5 aces, and Colorado needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Colorado's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Colorado at 72%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Kansas St. 25–25 Colorado

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Kansas St., enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0.

    Colorado 49% → 24%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Kansas St. 0–0 Colorado

    Kansas St. scored 5 straight to open the set 5–0.

    Colorado 37% → 18%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Kansas St. 5–3 Colorado

    Colorado scored 4 straight to turn a 3–5 deficit into a 7–5 lead. The match swung to Colorado.

    Colorado 40% → 76%

Colorado above 50Kansas St. belowMax swing 13.3%

Kansas St.Colorado

Sideout %
Kansas St. 64.0·Colorado 66.7
Break %
Kansas St. 33.3·Colorado 36.0
Hitting
Kansas St. .241·Colorado .273
Longest run
Kansas St. 5·Colorado 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colorado above 50 · Kansas St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.3% KAN STrally 219 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.3% to Kansas St. — set 2, KAN ST 28-26 COLO. Attack error by Lily Dwinell. COLO win probability 37% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KAN ST 26.0%74.0% COLO

Kansas St. wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.4%

Colorado wins

3-0
26.2%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
19.5%
KAN ST break %
38.9% vs this opp
COLO break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lily DwinellAttack error+13.3%

    Attack error by Lily Dwinell

    Set 2 · KAN ST 28-26 COLO · KAN ST 63% → 76%

  2. 02
    Kansas St.Ace+12.0%

    Kansas St. ace on Tinons Munar Galmes

    Set 2 · KAN ST 26-25 COLO · KAN ST 51% → 63%

  3. 03
    Ana BurilovicKill+11.1%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · KAN ST 23-24 COLO · COLO 46% → 57%

  4. 04
    Ines LosadaKill+9.9%

    Kill by Ines Losada

    Set 5 · KAN ST 5-6 COLO · COLO 57% → 67%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jenna Ylivainio (set by Ines Losada)

    Set 5 · KAN ST 5-5 COLO · COLO 47% → 57%

  6. 06
    Ana BurilovicKill+9.4%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · KAN ST 26-26 COLO · COLO 37% → 46%

  7. 07

    Kill by Addison Massey (set by Emerson Van Lannen)

    Set 2 · KAN ST 27-26 COLO · KAN ST 54% → 63%

  8. 08

    Sydney Maue stuffed by Ines Losada & Cayla Payne

    Set 5 · KAN ST 5-7 COLO · COLO 67% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5251057.2632136102127
514327.407034122031.518.5
58214.4290001112210
5228.00000310254.56.5
54615-.13310031010.54.5
52021.0003002800002
55318.11100000010.55.5
5000–020100002
5000–1701800000
5000–9041110000
Team totals6026141.2415961751831410107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
525757.31621450111.527.5
510519.2630011018515
56623.00000030073.59.5
55110.400101000427
5306.500460150031.54.5
5002.000000430000
511421.33315530010.516.5
5000–121700002
51011.0003041720001
3000–000000000
Team totals6123139.2735481745622414112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 KAN ST · COLO 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 KAN STCOLO 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 KAN STCOLO 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 KAN STCOLO 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 KAN STCOLO 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 KAN STCOLO 4

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Kansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%15/28
35%7/20
2
74%14/19
36%8/22
3
75%12/16
38%8/21
4
48%10/21
37%7/19
5
77%10/13
0%0/10
6
71%10/14
38%6/16
All
64%71/111
33%36/108

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%15/27
45%10/22
2
57%13/23
35%8/23
3
81%13/16
28%5/18
4
69%11/16
27%4/15
5
91%10/11
55%12/22
6
67%10/15
9%1/11
All
67%72/108
36%40/111

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

219 rallies

#KAN ST-COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
20-2COLOCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Ana Burilovic+1.9
31-2COLOKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+1.5
42-2KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.1
52-3KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.6
63-3COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+1.7
73-4KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
83-5COLOCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Camdyn Stucky+2.0
94-5COLOKAN STAttack errCayla Payne+1.6
104-6KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.6
115-6COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+1.6
125-7KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+1.6
136-7COLOKAN ST×5KillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+1.6
147-7KAN STKAN ST×5KillReagan Fox+2.4
158-7KAN STKAN ST×5KillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+2.6
169-7KAN STKAN ST×5Attack errLily Dwinell+2.7
1710-7KAN STKAN ST×5KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.7
1810-8KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
1910-9COLOCOLOAceInes Losadaaced Fuka Sekita+2.6
2011-9COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.3
2111-10KAN STCOLOAttack errReagan Fox+2.1
2212-10COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.3
2312-11KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+2.1
2413-11COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+2.4
2513-12KAN STCOLOAttack errAddison Massey+2.2
2613-13COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
2714-13COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.5
2815-13KAN STKAN STBlockedCayla Payneblk Cadence Lundgren, Skylar Brady+3.4
2915-14KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+2.4
3016-14COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+2.8
3116-15KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
3217-15COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.9
3318-15KAN STKAN STBlockedInes Losadablk Ellah Derrer, Skylar Brady+3.6
3418-16KAN STCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
3518-17COLOCOLO×3AceInes Losadaaced Skylar Brady+3.5
3618-18COLOCOLO×3AceInes Losada+3.9
3719-18COLOKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+3.4
3820-18KAN STKAN ST×4AceKansas St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+4.6
3921-18KAN STKAN ST×4BlockedLily Dwinellblk Addison Massey, Ellah Derrer+4.2
4022-18KAN STKAN ST×4AceKansas St.aced Sydney Jordan+3.3
4122-19KAN STCOLO×3Attack errAddison Massey+1.4
4222-20COLOCOLO×3Attack errReagan Fox+3.0
4322-21COLOCOLO×3Attack errEllah Derrer+4.3
4423-21COLOKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+4.9
4524-21KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+4.9
4625-21KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errAna Burilovic+2.1
Set 2
10-1COLOCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
20-2COLOCOLOBlockedEllah Derrerblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+2.5
31-2COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.9
41-3KAN STCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
51-4COLOCOLOBlockedReagan Foxblk Ana Burilovic+2.3
62-4COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
72-5KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.8
83-5COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Camdyn Stucky+1.8
94-5KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.+2.6
104-6KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
115-6COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+2.1
125-7KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+2.1
136-7COLOKAN STKillSydney Maueset Camdyn Stucky+2.2
146-8KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
157-8COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.2
167-9KAN STCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
177-10COLOCOLO×3Attack errAddison Massey+2.7
187-11COLOCOLO×3BlockedAddison Masseyblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+2.3
198-11COLOKAN STServe errColorado+1.6
208-12KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
218-13COLOCOLOBlockedCadence Lundgrenblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+2.0
229-13COLOKAN STServe errColorado+1.3
239-14KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
2410-14COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Camdyn Stucky+1.3
2510-15KAN STCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Avery Bolles+1.5
2611-15COLOKAN STKillSydney Maueset Camdyn Stucky+1.3
2711-16KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
2812-16COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+1.2
2913-16KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.2
3013-17KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
3114-17COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
3214-18KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Ana Burilovic+2.1
3315-18COLOKAN STServe errColorado+1.7
3415-19KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+2.1
3516-19COLOKAN ST×4Serve errColorado+1.7
3617-19KAN STKAN ST×4BlockedCayla Payneblk Cadence Lundgren+3.1
3718-19KAN STKAN ST×4Attack errAna Burilovic+4.2
3819-19KAN STKAN ST×4KillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+5.3
3919-20KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+4.4
4020-20COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Camdyn Stucky+4.5
4121-20KAN STKAN STAttack errAna Burilovic+6.9
4221-21KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+5.1
4322-21COLOKAN STServe errColorado+6.2
4422-22KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+5.8
4523-22COLOKAN STServe errColorado+7.4
4623-23KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+6.9
4723-24COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+11.1
4824-24COLOKAN STBlockedInes Losadablk Ellah Derrer, Skylar Brady+8.5
4924-25KAN STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Maria Splawska+8.5
5025-25COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+8.5
5126-25KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+12.0
5226-26KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+9.4
5327-26COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+9.4
5428-26KAN STKAN STAttack errLily Dwinell+13.3
Set 3
10-1KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.7
21-1COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+1.8
31-2KAN STCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
41-3COLOCOLOBlockedAddison Masseyblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+2.1
52-3COLOKAN STServe errColorado+1.7
62-4KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
73-4COLOKAN STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Cadence Lundgren, Sydney Maue+1.7
84-4KAN STKAN STAttack errCayla Payne+2.4
94-5KAN STCOLO×3Serve errKansas St.+1.9
104-6COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
114-7COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Camdyn Stucky+2.1
125-7COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+1.6
135-8KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
146-8COLOKAN STKillSydney Maueset Camdyn Stucky+1.6
156-9KAN STCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
167-9COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.6
177-10KAN STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
188-10COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
198-11KAN STCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
209-11COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
219-12KAN STCOLOAttack errAddison Massey+1.8
2210-12COLOKAN ST×4KillSydney Maueset Camdyn Stucky+1.8
2311-12KAN STKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+2.7
2412-12KAN STKAN ST×4Attack errAna Burilovic+3.1
2513-12KAN STKAN ST×4KillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+3.4
2613-13KAN STCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
2713-14COLOCOLO×4BlockedSkylar Bradyblk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne+3.3
2813-15COLOCOLO×4KillCayla Payne+3.1
2913-16COLOCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Avery Bolles+2.8
3014-16COLOKAN STAttack errInes Losada+1.9
3114-17KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+2.2
3215-17COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.0
3315-18KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
3416-18COLOKAN ST×3KillEmerson Van Lannenset Fuka Sekita+2.0
3517-18KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errLily Dwinell+3.4
3618-18KAN STKAN ST×3BlockedInes Losadablk Ellah Derrer, Addison Massey+4.2
3718-19KAN STCOLO×3Serve errKansas St.+3.4
3818-20COLOCOLO×3AceInes Losadaaced Skylar Brady+4.2
3918-21COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.4
4019-21COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.0
4119-22KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
4220-22COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.0
4321-22KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+4.1
4421-23KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+4.3
4522-23COLOKAN STAttack errAna Burilovic+3.3
4622-24KAN STCOLOKillSydney Maueset Tinons Munar Galmes+5.0
4722-25COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.5
Set 4
11-0COLOKAN ST×5KillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+3.0
22-0KAN STKAN ST×5BlockedMaria Splawskablk Ellah Derrer+4.1
33-0KAN STKAN ST×5BlockedLily Dwinellblk Ellah Derrer+4.1
44-0KAN STKAN ST×5Bad setJenna Ylivainio+4.1
55-0KAN STKAN ST×5AceSkylar Bradyaced Sydney Jordan+4.0
65-1KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
76-1COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+3.1
86-2KAN STCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
96-3COLOCOLO×3AceAvery Bollesaced Reagan Fox+3.8
106-4COLOCOLO×3AceAvery Bollesaced Addison Massey+4.0
117-4COLOKAN STKillEmerson Van Lannenset Addison Massey+3.6
127-5KAN STCOLO×3BlockedCadence Lundgrenblk Cayla Payne+3.1
137-6COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+4.3
147-7COLOCOLO×3AceAna Burilovicaced Cadence Lundgren+4.4
158-7COLOKAN STServe errColorado+3.6
168-8KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.4
179-8COLOKAN STServe errColorado+3.7
189-9KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+3.6
1910-9COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+3.9
2010-10KAN STCOLO×4KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.7
2110-11COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovic+4.7
2210-12COLOCOLO×4AceInes Losada+4.5
2310-13COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+4.0
2411-13COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.9
2511-14KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.2
2612-14COLOKAN STAttack errCayla Payne+3.0
2713-14KAN STKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+4.7
2813-15KAN STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.9
2914-15COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+3.8
3014-16KAN STCOLOAttack errSydney Maue+4.0
3115-16COLOKAN STServe errColorado+3.9
3215-17KAN STCOLO×4BlockedSkylar Bradyblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+4.3
3315-18COLOCOLO×4Attack errSkylar Brady+4.8
3415-19COLOCOLO×4Attack errAddison Massey+3.8
3515-20COLOCOLO×4Attack errSydney Maue+2.7
3616-20COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+1.4
3716-21KAN STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
3817-21COLOKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Camdyn Stucky+1.2
3917-22KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.8
4018-22COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.0
4118-23KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+1.6
4219-23COLOKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.7
4320-23KAN STKAN ST×3AceChandler Carteraced Sydney Jordan+1.8
4421-23KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errAna Burilovic+3.6
4521-24KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+4.8
4622-24COLOKAN STServe errColorado+2.0
4722-25KAN STCOLOBlockedAddison Masseyblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+5.3
Set 5
11-0KAN STKAN STBlockedLily Dwinellblk Ellah Derrer, Reagan Fox+8.5
22-0KAN STKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+9.0
32-1KAN STCOLOAttack errReagan Fox+6.3
43-1COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+7.3
53-2KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+6.6
64-2COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Reagan Fox+7.6
74-3KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+6.8
85-3COLOKAN STKillReagan Foxset Addison Massey+7.9
95-4KAN STCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+7.1
105-5COLOCOLO×4KillJenna Ylivainioset Ines Losada+9.8
115-6COLOCOLO×4KillInes Losada+9.9
125-7COLOCOLO×4BlockedSydney Maueblk Ines Losada, Cayla Payne+9.3
136-7COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+6.8
146-8KAN STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+7.5
157-8COLOKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+7.1
167-9KAN STCOLOServe errKansas St.+8.0
178-9COLOKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+7.5
188-10KAN STCOLOKillTinons Munar Galmes+8.6
198-11COLOCOLOBlockedReagan Foxblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+9.3
209-11COLOKAN STServe errColorado+5.5
219-12KAN STCOLO×3BlockedAddison Masseyblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+7.4
229-13COLOCOLO×3BlockedAddison Masseyblk Lily Dwinell, Cayla Payne+6.2
239-14COLOCOLO×3BlockedReagan Foxblk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne+2.8
2410-14COLOKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.6
2510-15KAN STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Kansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).