FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeBIG-12

Southern California def. Arizona St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-21, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USC	25	25	25	3
AZ ST	23	21	22	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

AZ ST above 50 · USC below

Biggest swing: 11.7% to Southern California — set 3, USC 24-22 AZ ST. Kill by London Wijay (set by Adonia Faumuina). AZ ST win probability 19% → 7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

USC 16.1%83.9% AZ ST

Southern California wins

3-0

2.4%

3-1

5.2%

3-2

8.4%

Arizona St. wins

3-0

35.8%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.0%

USC break %: 35.4% vs this opp
AZ ST break %: 42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
London WijayKill+11.7%
Kill by London Wijay (set by Adonia Faumuina)
Set 3 · USC 24-22 AZ ST · USC 81% → 93%
02
Adonia FaumuinaKill+10.8%
Kill by Adonia Faumuina (set by Lilli Etter)
Set 3 · USC 23-22 AZ ST · USC 71% → 81%
03
Noemie GloverAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Noemie Glover
Set 1 · USC 25-23 AZ ST · USC 26% → 35%
04
Elle MottolaAttack error+7.7%
Attack error by Elle Mottola
Set 3 · USC 22-22 AZ ST · USC 63% → 71%
05
Mia TvrdyKill+6.9%
Kill by Mia Tvrdy (set by Lilli Etter)
Set 3 · USC 25-22 AZ ST · USC 93% → 100%
06
Una VajagicKill+6.0%
Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 1 · USC 23-23 AZ ST · AZ ST 73% → 79%
07
Una VajagicAttack error+5.7%
Una Vajagic stuffed by Abigail Mullen & Mia Tvrdy
Set 3 · USC 17-16 AZ ST · USC 69% → 75%
08
Abigail MullenAttack error+5.4%
Abigail Mullen stuffed by Zoey Burgess & Una Vajagic
Set 3 · USC 17-18 AZ ST · AZ ST 28% → 34%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Southern Californiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2London WijayOH	3	14	2	35	.343	0	0	0	9	1	5	2.5	16.5
5Abigail MullenOPP	3	10	4	21	.286	0	2	2	5	0	4	2	14
1Adonia FaumuinaOH	3	9	2	20	.350	1	0	4	6	2	1	0.5	9.5
8Mia TvrdyMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	8
7Leah FordMB	3	3	1	10	.200	1	0	3	1	0	5	2.5	5.5
16Lilli EtterS	3	0	1	2	-.500	36	2	1	4	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Taylor DeckertL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	1	10	1	0	0	0
3Layli OstovarOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
10Quinn LoperOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Brooklyn TealerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Elena BaicS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	11	103	.301	41	5	14	37	5	20	10	75

Arizona St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Una VajagicOH	3	13	4	25	.360	2	2	0	9	1	0	1	0.5	15.5
10Noemie GloverOPP	3	8	9	33	-.030	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	9
5Aniya ClintonOH	3	8	6	27	.074	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
25Ella LomigoraMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	5
7Zoey BurgessMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	5
8Elle MottolaS	3	3	1	5	.400	23	0	0	9	0	0	2	1	4
11Isabella CostantiniS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
13Piper RamaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	1
4Ella LewisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Faith FrameL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
14Jillian NealOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
20Grace MartinOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
43Kiylah PresleyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ziva LabinjanS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	21	105	.143	34	5	5	39	5	2	12	8	66

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 USC · AZ ST 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 USCAZ ST 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 USCAZ ST 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 USCAZ ST 5

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Southern California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%9/16
2	89%8/9	47%7/15
3	50%8/16	47%7/15
4	53%8/15	27%3/11
5	71%5/7	55%6/11
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	63%42/67	45%33/74

Arizona St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	40%4/10
2	53%8/15	27%3/11
3	62%8/13	27%3/11
4	78%7/9	43%6/14
5	45%5/11	53%8/15
6	63%5/8	17%1/6
All	55%41/74	37%25/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	USC-AZ ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+1.7
2	2-0	USC	USC	Ace	USC server	aced Una Vajagic	+1.9
3	2-1	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
4	3-1	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+1.3
5	4-1	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton	blk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen, London Wijay	+2.1
6	4-2	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.2
7	5-2	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.4
8	5-3	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.2
9	5-4	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+2.0
10	6-4	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.4
11	6-5	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.2
12	7-5	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+1.5
13	7-6	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Piper Rama	+1.3
14	8-6	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+1.5
15	8-7	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.3
16	9-7	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Taylor Deckert	+1.6
17	9-8	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
18	10-8	AZ ST	USC×3	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+1.6
19	11-8	USC	USC×3	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
20	12-8	USC	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.5
21	12-9	USC	AZ ST	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Ella Lomigora, Noemie Glover	+1.3
22	13-9	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.7
23	13-10	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.3
24	14-10	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+1.8
25	14-11	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Faith Frame	+1.3
26	14-12	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+2.4
27	15-12	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
28	15-13	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.5
29	15-14	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Team	+2.7
30	16-14	AZ ST	USC	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+2.1
31	16-15	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.8
32	16-16	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Lilli Etter	blk Aniya Clinton, Ella Lomigora	+3.0
33	17-16	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+2.2
34	17-17	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.0
35	18-17	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay		+2.3
36	19-17	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+3.8
37	19-18	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+2.0
38	19-19	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+3.7
39	20-19	AZ ST	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.7
40	21-19	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy	+4.5
41	22-19	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen	+4.1
42	22-20	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.6
43	23-20	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.8
44	23-21	USC	AZ ST×3	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Adonia Faumuina	+1.4
45	23-22	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Adonia Faumuina	+3.8
46	23-23	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+6.0
47	24-23	AZ ST	USC	Serve err	AZ ST server		+5.1
48	25-23	USC	USC	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+9.3
Set 2
1	1-0	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Taylor Deckert	+1.9
2	2-0	USC	USC	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+3.2
3	2-1	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Una Vajagic	+1.8
4	3-1	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.2
5	4-1	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+3.5
6	4-2	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.9
7	5-2	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.4
8	6-2	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton	blk Lilli Etter, Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay	+3.6
9	6-3	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Una Vajagic	+1.9
10	7-3	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.4
11	7-4	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+2.0
12	7-5	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Taylor Deckert	+3.4
13	8-5	AZ ST	USC	Serve err	AZ ST server		+2.6
14	8-6	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+2.1
15	9-6	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
16	10-6	USC	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Leah Ford	+4.0
17	10-7	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+2.1
18	11-7	AZ ST	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.7
19	12-7	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk London Wijay, Leah Ford	+3.8
20	13-7	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk London Wijay, Leah Ford	+3.3
21	13-8	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.5
22	14-8	AZ ST	USC	Serve err	AZ ST server		+2.2
23	14-9	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.5
24	14-10	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+2.9
25	15-10	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
26	15-11	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.8
27	16-11	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
28	16-12	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
29	17-12	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
30	17-13	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
31	18-13	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
32	19-13	USC	USC	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford	+2.9
33	19-14	USC	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Ziva Labinjan	+1.0
34	19-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced London Wijay	+2.4
35	19-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Ziva Labinjan	+3.4
36	19-17	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Leah Ford	blk Ella Lomigora	+4.4
37	20-17	AZ ST	USC	Attack err	Jillian Neal		+4.0
38	20-18	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+2.7
39	21-18	AZ ST	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+4.2
40	22-18	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Jillian Neal		+4.9
41	23-18	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+2.9
42	23-19	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Ziva Labinjan	+0.6
43	23-20	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Faith Frame	+2.0
44	24-20	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.7
45	24-21	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.7
46	25-21	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
Set 3
1	1-0	USC	USC	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+3.0
2	1-1	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.8
3	1-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Adonia Faumuina	+2.8
4	2-2	AZ ST	USC	Attack err	Ella Lomigora		+1.9
5	2-3	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.8
6	3-3	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
7	3-4	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+1.8
8	3-5	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola	+2.6
9	4-5	AZ ST	USC	Serve err	AZ ST server		+1.7
10	4-6	USC	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina		+1.7
11	4-7	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.4
12	4-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
13	4-9	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+1.5
14	4-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.2
15	5-10	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Taylor Deckert	+0.6
16	6-10	USC	USC	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+1.3
17	6-11	USC	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
18	7-11	AZ ST	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+0.9
19	8-11	USC	USC	Ace	USC server	aced Team	+1.8
20	8-12	USC	AZ ST	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina	blk Ella Lomigora, Elle Mottola	+1.3
21	9-12	AZ ST	USC×5	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.2
22	10-12	USC	USC×5	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.5
23	11-12	USC	USC×5	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+3.2
24	12-12	USC	USC×5	Ace	USC server	aced Grace Martin	+3.9
25	13-12	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford	+4.6
26	13-13	USC	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+2.7
27	13-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Abigail Mullen	blk Ella Lomigora, Noemie Glover	+4.3
28	13-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+3.8
29	14-15	AZ ST	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.4
30	14-16	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+2.5
31	15-16	AZ ST	USC×3	Serve err	AZ ST server		+2.4
32	16-16	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+4.8
33	17-16	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy	+5.7
34	17-17	USC	AZ ST×5	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+3.4
35	17-18	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Abigail Mullen	blk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic	+5.4
36	17-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Faith Frame	+4.8
37	17-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy	blk Zoey Burgess	+3.7
38	17-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Faith Frame	+2.4
39	18-21	AZ ST	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.0
40	19-21	USC	USC×3	Ace	USC server	aced Piper Rama	+2.7
41	20-21	USC	USC×3	Ace	USC server	aced Piper Rama	+4.5
42	20-22	USC	AZ ST	Serve err	USC server		+3.8
43	21-22	AZ ST	USC×5	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+3.1
44	22-22	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Elle Mottola		+7.7
45	23-22	USC	USC×5	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+10.8
46	24-22	USC	USC×5	Kill	London Wijay	set Adonia Faumuina	+11.7
47	25-22	USC	USC×5	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+6.9

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.