Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Arizona St. def. San Diego 3–1

Arizona St. beat visiting San Diego 3-1 (25-15, 23-25, 25-11, 25-14) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Arizona St.'s Noemie Glover led with 18 kills, and Faith Frame added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
USD152511141
AZ ST252325253

Win probability

Arizona St. above 50 · San Diego below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.3% USDrally 162 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.3% to San Diego — set 2, USD 24-23 AZ ST. Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Nemo Beach). AZ ST win probability 92% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USD 10.2%89.8% AZ ST

San Diego wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
5.7%

Arizona St. wins

3-0
44.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.1%
USD break %
38.4% vs this opp
AZ ST break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma BrewerKill+8.3%

    Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Nemo Beach)

    Set 2 · USD 24-23 AZ ST · USD 8% → 16%

  2. 02

    Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Antonina Serafinowska & Grace Martin

    Set 2 · USD 23-23 AZ ST · AZ ST 89% → 92%

  3. 03

    Una Vajagic stuffed by Kylie Munday & Meghan Scholz

    Set 2 · USD 23-21 AZ ST · USD 9% → 12%

  4. 04
    Emma BrewerKill+2.7%

    Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Meghan Scholz)

    Set 2 · USD 22-21 AZ ST · USD 7% → 9%

  5. 05
    Una VajagicAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Una Vajagic

    Set 2 · USD 20-17 AZ ST · USD 10% → 12%

  6. 06
    Nemo BeachAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Nemo Beach

    Set 2 · USD 20-20 AZ ST · AZ ST 91% → 93%

  7. 07
    Emma BrewerAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Emma Brewer

    Set 2 · USD 20-21 AZ ST · AZ ST 93% → 95%

  8. 08
    San DiegoAce+2.0%

    San Diego ace on Piper Rama

    Set 2 · USD 19-17 AZ ST · USD 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411637.1351013200011
45930-.13320053031.56.5
4002.000241090010.51.5
40311-.273000000211
35414.071001831016
1102.500000000001
48525.12001353010.59.5
4001.0002201700002
4000–021000002
21210-.10000000010.51.5
2023-.667100000211
Team totals3131135.00030664713110665
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418440.35010070010.518.5
413739.154221130010.515.5
44211.18200100233.57.5
4216.167011002447
4409.4443401130031.55.5
4000–151620005
45517.000000420216
4000–331500003
4000–5101520001
4001.000000000000
3216.167000000002
2000–011000001
Team totals4820129.217461376364141198

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 USD · AZ ST 8

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 USDAZ ST 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 6 USDAZ ST 4

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 1 USDAZ ST 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 USDAZ ST 8

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
14%1/7
2
75%6/8
13%1/8
3
35%6/17
33%3/9
4
35%6/17
14%1/7
5
63%5/8
0%0/6
6
44%4/9
0%0/5
All
47%34/73
14%6/42

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
44%4/9
2
75%6/8
57%8/14
3
75%6/8
33%3/9
4
86%6/7
74%17/23
5
100%6/6
33%3/9
6
100%5/5
44%4/9
All
86%36/42
53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

162 rallies

#USD-AZ STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Faith Frame+1.2
21-1USDAZ STKillElle Mottolaset Piper Rama+0.8
32-1AZ STUSDBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks+1.0
43-1USDUSDAttack errUna Vajagic+1.4
53-2USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Faith Frame+0.9
63-3AZ STAZ STBlockedRyann Knuthblk Noemie Glover, Antonina Serafinowska+1.2
74-3AZ STUSD×3KillRyann Knuthset Kierstyn Barton+1.0
85-3USDUSD×3BlockedNoemie Gloverblk Ryann Knuth+1.5
96-3USDUSD×3Attack errUna Vajagic+1.6
106-4USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.1
117-4AZ STUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
128-4USDUSDKillAllie Dunnionset Kylie Munday+1.7
138-5USDAZ ST×3BlockedNemo Beachblk Antonina Serafinowska+1.1
148-6AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.5
158-7AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.aced Ryann Knuth+1.5
169-7AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.+1.3
179-8USDAZ STAttack errNemo Beach+1.1
1810-8AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.4
1910-9USDAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+1.2
2010-10AZ STAZ STKillElle Mottolaset Una Vajagic+1.6
2111-10AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.3
2211-11USDAZ ST×7KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.2
2311-12AZ STAZ ST×7BlockedBayLea Sparksblk Antonina Serafinowska+1.5
2411-13AZ STAZ ST×7AceArizona St.+1.3
2511-14AZ STAZ ST×7KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.1
2611-15AZ STAZ ST×7BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Elle Mottola, Antonina Serafinowska+0.9
2711-16AZ STAZ ST×7Attack errKierstyn Barton+0.7
2811-17AZ STAZ ST×7KillElle Mottolaset Noemie Glover+0.4
2912-17AZ STUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
3012-18USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.3
3113-18AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.2
3213-19USDAZ ST×5KillAntonina Serafinowskaset Elle Mottola+0.3
3313-20AZ STAZ ST×5AceArizona St.aced Kierstyn Barton+0.2
3413-21AZ STAZ ST×5KillNoemie Gloverset Faith Frame+0.1
3513-22AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Antonina Serafinowska, Grace Martin·
3613-23AZ STAZ ST×5KillNoemie Gloverset Faith Frame·
3714-23AZ STUSDAttack errGrace Martin·
3814-24USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
3915-24AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
4015-25USDAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola·
Set 2
10-1AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errKierstyn Barton+0.7
20-2AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedBayLea Sparksblk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic+0.6
30-3AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Kierstyn Barton+0.5
40-4AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errNemo Beach+0.4
51-4AZ STUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
61-5USDAZ STAttack errKierstyn Barton+0.3
72-5AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
82-6USDAZ STKillElle Mottolaset Faith Frame+0.3
93-6AZ STUSDAttack errUna Vajagic+0.3
103-7USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
113-8AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Nemo Beach+0.4
124-8AZ STUSDAttack errUna Vajagic+0.3
134-9USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.3
144-10AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.3
155-10AZ STUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Lauren Lynch+0.2
166-10USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.4
177-10USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Grace Martin+0.5
188-10USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Elle Mottola+0.6
199-10USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Grace Martin+0.8
209-11USDAZ STServe errSan Diego+0.6
219-12AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Nemo Beach+0.7
2210-12AZ STUSD×3Serve errArizona St.+0.5
2311-12USDUSD×3BlockedGrace Martinblk BayLea Sparks, Kierstyn Barton+0.9
2412-12USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.1
2512-13USDAZ ST×4BlockedBayLea Sparksblk Zoey Burgess+0.8
2612-14AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess+1.0
2712-15AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Emma Brewer+0.8
2812-16AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errNemo Beach+0.6
2913-16AZ STUSDAttack errNoemie Glover+0.4
3014-16USDUSDAttack errZoey Burgess+0.8
3114-17USDAZ STBlockedEmma Brewerblk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess+0.6
3215-17AZ STUSD×6KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.6
3316-17USDUSD×6AceSan Diegoaced Piper Rama+1.1
3417-17USDUSD×6BlockedUna Vajagicblk Meghan Scholz, Kierstyn Barton+1.4
3518-17USDUSD×6KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.7
3619-17USDUSD×6AceSan Diegoaced Piper Rama+2.0
3720-17USDUSD×6Attack errUna Vajagic+2.0
3820-18USDAZ ST×4Attack errEmma Brewer+1.1
3920-19AZ STAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.8
4020-20AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errNemo Beach+2.0
4120-21AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errEmma Brewer+2.0
4221-21AZ STUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.6
4322-21USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Meghan Scholz+2.7
4423-21USDUSD×3BlockedUna Vajagicblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+3.0
4523-22USDAZ STAttack errMeghan Scholz+1.6
4623-23AZ STAZ STBlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Antonina Serafinowska, Grace Martin+3.0
4724-23AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Nemo Beach+8.3
Set 3
10-1USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.4
20-2AZ STAZ STAttack errEmma Brewer+1.6
31-2AZ STUSDAttack errGrace Martin+1.3
41-3USDAZ STKillGrace Martinset Elle Mottola+1.3
52-3AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kierstyn Barton+1.4
62-4USDAZ ST×4Serve errSan Diego+1.3
72-5AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errMeghan Scholz+1.5
82-6AZ STAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagic+1.3
92-7AZ STAZ ST×4KillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+1.0
103-7AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.+0.7
113-8USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.8
124-8AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.+0.7
134-9USDAZ ST×4Attack errKierstyn Barton+0.8
144-10AZ STAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.8
154-11AZ STAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.6
164-12AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errKierstyn Barton+0.4
175-12AZ STUSDBad setElle Mottola+0.2
185-13USDAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.3
195-14AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.3
205-15AZ STAZ ST×3KillGrace Martinset Una Vajagic+0.1
216-15AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.+0.1
226-16USDAZ STKillGrace Martinset Elle Mottola+0.1
237-16AZ STUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+0.1
247-17USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Faith Frame+0.1
258-17AZ STUSDAttack errKiylah Presley+0.1
268-18USDAZ ST×3Serve errSan Diego+0.1
278-19AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errNemo Beach·
288-20AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedElla Fultonblk Zoey Burgess·
299-20AZ STUSDAttack errZoey Burgess·
309-21USDAZ STKillKiylah Presleyset Isabella Costantini·
319-22AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Ryann Knuth·
3210-22AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.·
3310-23USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
3411-23AZ STUSDServe errArizona St.·
3511-24USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
3611-25AZ STAZ STKillAntonina Serafinowskaset Elle Mottola·
Set 4
11-0AZ STUSDAttack errGrace Martin+1.3
21-1USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.1
31-2AZ STAZ STKillGrace Martin+1.4
42-2AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
53-2USDUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.7
63-3USDAZ ST×3Attack errRyann Knuth+1.2
73-4AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.aced Ryann Knuth+1.5
83-5AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.aced Emma Brewer+1.3
94-5AZ STUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.1
104-6USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.0
114-7AZ STAZ STAttack errElla Fulton+1.2
125-7AZ STUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+0.9
135-8USDAZ STServe errSan Diego+0.9
146-8AZ STUSDKillElla Fultonset Kylie Munday+0.9
156-9USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.9
167-9AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.0
177-10USDAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.0
188-10AZ STUSDAttack errNoemie Glover+1.0
198-11USDAZ STServe errSan Diego+1.0
209-11AZ STUSDKillRyann Knuthset Lauren Lynch+1.0
219-12USDAZ STKillGrace Martinset Elle Mottola+1.0
2210-12AZ STUSDBlockedGrace Martinblk Ella Fulton, Emma Brewer+1.0
2310-13USDAZ ST×8Serve errSan Diego+1.1
2410-14AZ STAZ ST×8AceArizona St.aced Emma Brewer+1.2
2510-15AZ STAZ ST×8AceArizona St.aced Kierstyn Barton+0.9
2610-16AZ STAZ ST×8Attack errRyann Knuth+0.6
2710-17AZ STAZ ST×8KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
2810-18AZ STAZ ST×8KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.2
2910-19AZ STAZ ST×8AceArizona St.+0.1
3010-20AZ STAZ ST×8Attack errEmma Brewer+0.1
3111-20AZ STUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday·
3211-21USDAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola·
3312-21AZ STUSDAttack errAntonina Serafinowska·
3412-22USDAZ STKillKiylah Presleyset Isabella Costantini·
3512-23AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
3613-23AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
3713-24USDAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola·
3814-24AZ STUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
3914-25USDAZ STAttack errRyann Knuth·

Score shown after each rally, San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).