Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayWCC

1:3

HomeBIG-12

Arizona St. def. San Diego 3–1

(25-15, 23-24, 25-11, 25-14)

Set	1	2*	3	4	Sets
USD	15	24	11	14	1
AZ ST	25	23	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

AZ ST above 50 · USD below

Biggest swing: 8.2% to San Diego — set 2, USD 24-23 AZ ST. Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Nemo Beach). AZ ST win probability 92% → 84%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

USD 9.9%90.1% AZ ST

San Diego wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.6%

Arizona St. wins

3-0

44.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

13.9%

USD break %: 37.7% vs this opp
AZ ST break %: 47.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emma BrewerKill+8.2%
Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Nemo Beach)
Set 2 · USD 24-23 AZ ST · USD 8% → 16%
02
Kierstyn BartonAttack error+3.0%
Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Antonina Serafinowska & Grace Martin
Set 2 · USD 23-23 AZ ST · AZ ST 89% → 92%
03
Una VajagicAttack error+3.0%
Una Vajagic stuffed by Kylie Munday & Meghan Scholz
Set 2 · USD 23-21 AZ ST · USD 9% → 12%
04
Emma BrewerKill+2.6%
Kill by Emma Brewer (set by Meghan Scholz)
Set 2 · USD 22-21 AZ ST · USD 7% → 9%
05
Una VajagicAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Una Vajagic
Set 2 · USD 20-17 AZ ST · USD 10% → 12%
06
Nemo BeachAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Nemo Beach
Set 2 · USD 20-20 AZ ST · AZ ST 91% → 93%
07
Emma BrewerAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Emma Brewer
Set 2 · USD 20-21 AZ ST · AZ ST 93% → 95%
08
USD serverAce+1.9%
San Diego ace on Piper Rama
Set 2 · USD 19-17 AZ ST · USD 8% → 10%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Diegoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Nemo BeachOH	4	11	6	37	.135	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	11
7Kierstyn BartonOH	4	5	9	30	-.133	2	0	0	5	3	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Kylie MundayS	4	0	0	2	.000	24	1	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
18BayLea SparksMB	4	0	3	11	-.273	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
8Ryann KnuthOH	3	5	4	14	.071	0	0	1	8	3	1	0	1	6
16Allie DunnionMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Emma BrewerOH	4	8	5	25	.120	0	1	3	5	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
2Lauren LynchL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	2	0	17	0	0	0	0	2
4Reese BatesDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Ella FultonMB	2	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Meghan ScholzMB	2	0	2	3	-.667	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		31	31	135	.000	30	6	6	47	13	1	10	6	65

Arizona St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Noemie GloverOPP	4	18	4	40	.350	1	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	18.5
1Una VajagicOH	4	13	7	39	.154	2	2	1	13	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
7Zoey BurgessMB	4	4	2	11	.182	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	3.5	7.5
19Antonina SerafinowskaMB	4	2	1	6	.167	0	1	1	0	0	2	4	4	7
8Elle MottolaS	4	4	0	9	.444	34	0	1	13	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
13Piper RamaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	5	1	6	2	0	0	0	5
20Grace MartinOH	4	5	5	17	.000	0	0	0	4	2	0	2	1	6
11Isabella CostantiniS	4	0	0	0	–	3	3	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
15Faith FrameL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	15	2	0	0	0	1
21Paige LehmanL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
43Kiylah PresleyOH	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Ella LewisOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		48	20	129	.217	46	13	7	63	6	4	14	11	98

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 USD · AZ ST 8

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 USDAZ ST 7

Set 2*

24-23

Longest run 6 USDAZ ST 4

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 1 USDAZ ST 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 USDAZ ST 8

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	14%1/7
2	75%6/8	13%1/8
3	35%6/17	33%3/9
4	35%6/17	14%1/7
5	63%5/8	0%0/6
6	44%4/9	0%0/5
All	47%34/73	14%6/42

Arizona St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	44%4/9
2	75%6/8	57%8/14
3	75%6/8	33%3/9
4	86%6/7	74%17/23
5	100%6/6	33%3/9
6	100%5/5	44%4/9
All	86%36/42	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

162 rallies

Rally log

#	USD-AZ ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Faith Frame	+1.2
2	1-1	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Piper Rama	+0.8
3	2-1	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks	+0.9
4	3-1	USD	USD	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.4
5	3-2	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Faith Frame	+0.9
6	3-3	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Ryann Knuth	blk Noemie Glover, Antonina Serafinowska	+1.2
7	4-3	AZ ST	USD×3	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kierstyn Barton	+1.0
8	5-3	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk Ryann Knuth	+1.5
9	6-3	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.6
10	6-4	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
11	7-4	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
12	8-4	USD	USD	Kill	Allie Dunnion	set Kylie Munday	+1.7
13	8-5	USD	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Nemo Beach	blk Antonina Serafinowska	+1.1
14	8-6	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.5
15	8-7	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Ryann Knuth	+1.5
16	9-7	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+1.3
17	9-8	USD	AZ ST	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+1.1
18	10-8	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
19	10-9	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
20	10-10	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Una Vajagic	+1.5
21	11-10	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
22	11-11	USD	AZ ST×7	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.2
23	11-12	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Attack err	BayLea Sparks	blk Antonina Serafinowska	+1.5
24	11-13	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Team	+1.3
25	11-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
26	11-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Elle Mottola, Antonina Serafinowska	+0.9
27	11-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.6
28	11-17	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Noemie Glover	+0.4
29	12-17	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
30	12-18	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
31	13-18	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
32	13-19	USD	AZ ST×5	Kill	Antonina Serafinowska	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
33	13-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Kierstyn Barton	+0.2
34	13-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.1
35	13-22	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Antonina Serafinowska, Grace Martin	+0.0
36	13-23	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.0
37	14-23	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Grace Martin		+0.0
38	14-24	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
39	15-24	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
40	15-25	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.7
2	0-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	BayLea Sparks	blk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic	+0.6
3	0-3	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Kierstyn Barton	+0.5
4	0-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.4
5	1-4	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
6	1-5	USD	AZ ST	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.3
7	2-5	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
8	2-6	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Faith Frame	+0.3
9	3-6	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.3
10	3-7	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
11	3-8	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Nemo Beach	+0.4
12	4-8	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.3
13	4-9	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
14	4-10	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
15	5-10	AZ ST	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Lauren Lynch	+0.2
16	6-10	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
17	7-10	USD	USD×5	Ace	USD server	aced Grace Martin	+0.5
18	8-10	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Elle Mottola	+0.6
19	9-10	USD	USD×5	Ace	USD server	aced Grace Martin	+0.8
20	9-11	USD	AZ ST	Serve err	USD server		+0.6
21	9-12	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Nemo Beach	+0.7
22	10-12	AZ ST	USD×3	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.5
23	11-12	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Grace Martin	blk BayLea Sparks, Kierstyn Barton	+0.9
24	12-12	USD	USD×3	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
25	12-13	USD	AZ ST×4	Attack err	BayLea Sparks	blk Zoey Burgess	+0.8
26	12-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess	+0.9
27	12-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Emma Brewer	+0.8
28	12-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.6
29	13-16	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.4
30	14-16	USD	USD	Attack err	Zoey Burgess		+0.7
31	14-17	USD	AZ ST	Attack err	Emma Brewer	blk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess	+0.6
32	15-17	AZ ST	USD×6	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.6
33	16-17	USD	USD×6	Ace	USD server	aced Piper Rama	+1.1
34	17-17	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Meghan Scholz, Kierstyn Barton	+1.4
35	18-17	USD	USD×6	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.7
36	19-17	USD	USD×6	Ace	USD server	aced Piper Rama	+1.9
37	20-17	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+2.0
38	20-18	USD	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+1.0
39	20-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.8
40	20-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+1.9
41	20-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+1.9
42	21-21	AZ ST	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.5
43	22-21	USD	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Meghan Scholz	+2.6
44	23-21	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+3.0
45	23-22	USD	AZ ST	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+1.5
46	23-23	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Antonina Serafinowska, Grace Martin	+3.0
47	24-23	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Nemo Beach	+8.2
Set 3
1	0-1	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.3
2	0-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+1.6
3	1-2	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Grace Martin		+1.3
4	1-3	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin	set Elle Mottola	+1.2
5	2-3	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kierstyn Barton	+1.3
6	2-4	USD	AZ ST×4	Serve err	USD server		+1.2
7	2-5	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+1.5
8	2-6	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic		+1.2
9	2-7	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
10	3-7	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.7
11	3-8	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
12	4-8	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.7
13	4-9	USD	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.7
14	4-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.8
15	4-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.6
16	4-12	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+0.4
17	5-12	AZ ST	USD	Bad set	Elle Mottola		+0.2
18	5-13	USD	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
19	5-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.2
20	5-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Grace Martin	set Una Vajagic	+0.1
21	6-15	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.1
22	6-16	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin	set Elle Mottola	+0.1
23	7-16	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
24	7-17	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.1
25	8-17	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Kiylah Presley		+0.0
26	8-18	USD	AZ ST×3	Serve err	USD server		+0.1
27	8-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.0
28	8-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Ella Fulton	blk Zoey Burgess	+0.0
29	9-20	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Zoey Burgess		+0.0
30	9-21	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Kiylah Presley	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
31	9-22	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Ryann Knuth	+0.0
32	10-22	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.0
33	10-23	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
34	11-23	AZ ST	USD	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.0
35	11-24	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
36	11-25	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Antonina Serafinowska	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Grace Martin		+1.2
2	1-1	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
3	1-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin		+1.4
4	2-2	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.1
5	3-2	USD	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.7
6	3-3	USD	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+1.2
7	3-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Ryann Knuth	+1.5
8	3-5	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Emma Brewer	+1.3
9	4-5	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.0
10	4-6	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
11	4-7	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Ella Fulton		+1.2
12	5-7	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
13	5-8	USD	AZ ST	Serve err	USD server		+0.9
14	6-8	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Ella Fulton	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
15	6-9	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.9
16	7-9	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
17	7-10	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.9
18	8-10	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.9
19	8-11	USD	AZ ST	Serve err	USD server		+1.0
20	9-11	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Lauren Lynch	+1.0
21	9-12	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
22	10-12	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Grace Martin	blk Ella Fulton, Emma Brewer	+1.0
23	10-13	USD	AZ ST×8	Serve err	USD server		+1.0
24	10-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Emma Brewer	+1.1
25	10-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Kierstyn Barton	+0.8
26	10-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.6
27	10-17	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.4
28	10-18	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.2
29	10-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Team	+0.1
30	10-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+0.0
31	11-20	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
32	11-21	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
33	12-21	AZ ST	USD	Attack err	Antonina Serafinowska		+0.0
34	12-22	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Kiylah Presley	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
35	12-23	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
36	13-23	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
37	13-24	USD	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
38	14-24	AZ ST	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
39	14-25	USD	AZ ST	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.