FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayBIG-12

3:0

HomeACC

Arizona St. def. Stanford 3–0

(25-19, 25-21, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
AZ ST	25	25	26	3
STAN	19	21	24	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STAN above 50 · AZ ST below

Biggest swing: 5.6% to Arizona St. — set 3, AZ ST 25-24 STAN. Ipar Kurt stuffed by Noemie Glover & Ella Lomigora. STAN win probability 11% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

AZ ST 59.3%40.7% STAN

Arizona St. wins

3-0

16.8%

3-1

22.6%

3-2

19.9%

Stanford wins

3-0

9.0%

3-1

14.9%

3-2

16.8%

AZ ST break %: 41.3% vs this opp
STAN break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ipar KurtAttack error+5.6%
Ipar Kurt stuffed by Noemie Glover & Ella Lomigora
Set 3 · AZ ST 25-24 STAN · AZ ST 89% → 95%
02
Noemie GloverKill+5.4%
Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 3 · AZ ST 26-24 STAN · AZ ST 95% → 100%
03
Jordyn HarveyKill+4.7%
Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Faith Frame)
Set 3 · AZ ST 22-23 STAN · STAN 9% → 14%
04
Jordyn HarveyKill+4.0%
Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Logan Parks)
Set 3 · AZ ST 23-24 STAN · STAN 11% → 15%
05
Una VajagicKill+4.0%
Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 3 · AZ ST 24-24 STAN · AZ ST 85% → 89%
06
Una VajagicKill+3.7%
Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 1 · AZ ST 16-14 STAN · AZ ST 62% → 65%
07
Jordyn HarveyKill+3.7%
Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Logan Parks)
Set 3 · AZ ST 22-22 STAN · STAN 6% → 9%
08
Una VajagicAttack error+3.7%
Una Vajagic stuffed by Logan Parks & Ella Andrews
Set 1 · AZ ST 14-14 STAN · STAN 37% → 41%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Arizona St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Una VajagicOH	3	15	7	42	.190	1	1	3	14	0	0	2	1	17
5Aniya ClintonOH	3	15	3	23	.522	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1.5	16.5
10Noemie GloverOPP	3	14	3	29	.379	1	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	15
25Ella LomigoraMB	3	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
8Elle MottolaS	3	3	2	7	.143	45	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
7Zoey BurgessMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	2	4
21Paige LehmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
13Piper RamaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	7	1	0	0	0	1
15Faith FrameL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
11Isabella CostantiniS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Ella LewisOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	15	117	.316	48	4	8	46	2	2	12	8	76

Stanfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jordyn HarveyOPP	3	18	3	33	.455	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	18
7Julia BlyashovOH	3	10	1	23	.391	0	0	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Lizzy AndrewMB	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
16Ella AndrewsMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
24Logan ParksS	3	1	1	7	.000	33	0	1	8	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
15Ipar KurtOH	2	1	2	12	-.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
14Malyssa CawaDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
9Spencer EtzlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
6Koko KirschDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Simone RoslonOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
10Kaci DemariaOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	2
Team totals		39	13	102	.255	35	2	6	36	4	1	8	5	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 AZ ST · STAN 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 AZ STSTAN 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 AZ STSTAN 3

Set 3*

26-24

Longest run 3 AZ STSTAN 4

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = Arizona St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arizona St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	38%3/8
2	100%5/5	29%2/7
3	63%5/8	58%7/12
4	57%4/7	43%3/7
5	80%4/5	56%5/9
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	68%28/41	45%22/49

Stanford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	44%4/9
2	71%5/7	25%2/8
3	44%4/9	29%2/7
4	36%4/11	33%2/6
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	67%4/6	20%1/5
All	55%27/49	32%13/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

140 rallies

Rally log

#	AZ ST-STAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
2	1-1	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.7
3	2-1	STAN	AZ ST	Serve err	STAN server		+1.7
4	2-2	AZ ST	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.7
5	2-3	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk Lizzy Andrew, Julia Blyashov	+2.7
6	2-4	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Logan Parks		+2.7
7	3-4	STAN	AZ ST	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+1.8
8	3-5	AZ ST	STAN	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.9
9	4-5	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.8
10	4-6	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.0
11	5-6	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Piper Rama	+1.8
12	5-7	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.0
13	6-7	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.9
14	7-7	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.9
15	7-8	AZ ST	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.1
16	7-9	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.1
17	7-10	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Spencer Etzler	+3.0
18	8-10	STAN	AZ ST×3	Serve err	STAN server		+1.8
19	9-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+3.0
20	10-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+3.2
21	10-11	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.3
22	11-11	STAN	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+2.2
23	12-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+3.4
24	13-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Logan Parks	blk Aniya Clinton	+3.3
25	13-12	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+2.1
26	14-12	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+2.3
27	14-13	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+2.2
28	14-14	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Logan Parks, Ella Andrews	+3.7
29	15-14	STAN	AZ ST×5	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Logan Parks	+2.6
30	16-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+3.7
31	17-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Simone Roslon	+3.3
32	18-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Julia Blyashov	blk Elle Mottola, Ella Lomigora	+2.7
33	19-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×5	Attack err	Ella Andrews	blk Ella Lomigora, Una Vajagic	+1.9
34	19-15	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+0.9
35	20-15	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+1.3
36	21-15	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Simone Roslon	+1.1
37	21-16	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.4
38	22-16	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.6
39	22-17	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.3
40	23-17	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.5
41	23-18	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.2
42	24-18	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Logan Parks	+0.3
43	24-19	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+0.1
44	25-19	STAN	AZ ST	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew	blk Zoey Burgess	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.3
2	1-1	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+1.6
3	2-1	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+1.6
4	2-2	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+1.6
5	3-2	STAN	AZ ST×6	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.6
6	4-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.3
7	5-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.2
8	6-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey	blk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton	+2.0
9	7-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
10	8-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+1.4
11	8-3	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.8
12	8-4	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Elle Mottola		+1.5
13	9-4	STAN	AZ ST×4	Kill	Elle Mottola		+1.2
14	10-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey	blk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic	+1.4
15	11-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Kaci Demaria		+1.1
16	12-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Kaci Demaria	+0.8
17	12-5	AZ ST	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.4
18	12-6	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.8
19	12-7	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+1.1
20	13-7	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola		+0.9
21	14-7	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Noemie Glover	+1.0
22	14-8	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Kaci Demaria	set Logan Parks	+0.5
23	15-8	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
24	15-9	AZ ST	STAN×3	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.5
25	15-10	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.0
26	15-11	STAN	STAN×3	Ace	STAN server	aced Piper Rama	+1.4
27	16-11	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.2
28	17-11	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Spencer Etzler	+1.3
29	17-12	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+0.6
30	18-12	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+0.8
31	18-13	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+0.5
32	19-13	STAN	AZ ST	Serve err	STAN server		+0.8
33	19-14	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.5
34	20-14	STAN	AZ ST	Serve err	STAN server		+0.7
35	20-15	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.4
36	21-15	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
37	21-16	AZ ST	STAN	Attack err	Elle Mottola	blk Kaci Demaria	+0.3
38	21-17	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks	+0.9
39	22-17	STAN	AZ ST	Serve err	STAN server		+1.0
40	23-17	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Kaci Demaria	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+0.7
41	23-18	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.1
42	24-18	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.3
43	24-19	AZ ST	STAN×3	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.1
44	24-20	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.2
45	24-21	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+0.5
46	25-21	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.9
Set 3
1	1-0	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
2	2-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
3	2-1	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+0.9
4	3-1	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
5	3-2	AZ ST	STAN	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+0.9
6	4-2	STAN	AZ ST	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+1.0
7	4-3	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.0
8	5-3	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
9	5-4	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Malyssa Cawa	+1.0
10	5-5	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.6
11	6-5	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Una Vajagic	+1.1
12	6-6	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Logan Parks	+1.1
13	7-6	STAN	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
14	8-6	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+1.6
15	8-7	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+1.0
16	8-8	STAN	STAN	Ace	STAN server	aced Aniya Clinton	+1.7
17	9-8	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.2
18	10-8	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
19	10-9	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.1
20	10-10	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+1.8
21	11-10	STAN	AZ ST	Serve err	STAN server		+1.3
22	11-11	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+1.3
23	12-11	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.3
24	12-12	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+1.3
25	13-12	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
26	14-12	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.9
27	14-13	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+1.2
28	15-13	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
29	15-14	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Logan Parks	+1.3
30	16-14	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
31	16-15	AZ ST	STAN	Serve err	AZ ST server		+1.3
32	17-15	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.5
33	18-15	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+2.0
34	18-16	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+1.1
35	19-16	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.4
36	20-16	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+1.6
37	20-17	AZ ST	STAN	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+0.7
38	21-17	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+1.0
39	21-18	AZ ST	STAN	Attack err	Una Vajagic	blk Logan Parks, Lizzy Andrew	+0.7
40	21-19	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Logan Parks	+1.6
41	22-19	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.6
42	22-20	AZ ST	STAN×4	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.0
43	22-21	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.5
44	22-22	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.7
45	22-23	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Faith Frame	+4.7
46	23-23	STAN	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+3.0
47	23-24	AZ ST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+4.0
48	24-24	STAN	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+4.0
49	25-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Ipar Kurt	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+5.6
50	26-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+5.4

Score shown after each rally, Arizona St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.