FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026 · Neutral site

Arizona St. def. Stanford 3–0

Arizona St. beat Stanford 3-0 (25-19, 25-21, 26-24) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026 at a neutral site. Una Vajagic and Aniya Clinton led Arizona St. with 15 kills each; Stanford's Jordyn Harvey had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set123Sets
AZ ST2525263
STAN1921240

Win probability

Stanford above 50 · Arizona St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.8% AZ STrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Arizona St. — set 3, AZ ST 25-24 STAN. Ipar Kurt stuffed by Noemie Glover & Ella Lomigora. STAN win probability 7% → 3%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AZ ST 73.3%26.7% STAN

Arizona St. wins

3-0
25.7%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
19.6%

Stanford wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.2%
3-2
12.6%
AZ ST break %
43.6% vs this opp
STAN break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ipar Kurt stuffed by Noemie Glover & Ella Lomigora

    Set 3 · AZ ST 25-24 STAN · AZ ST 93% → 97%

  2. 02
    Noemie GloverKill+3.4%

    Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Elle Mottola)

    Set 3 · AZ ST 26-24 STAN · AZ ST 97% → 100%

  3. 03
    Jordyn HarveyKill+3.3%

    Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Faith Frame)

    Set 3 · AZ ST 22-23 STAN · STAN 6% → 9%

  4. 04

    Una Vajagic stuffed by Logan Parks & Ella Andrews

    Set 1 · AZ ST 14-14 STAN · STAN 25% → 28%

  5. 05
    Una VajagicKill+3.0%

    Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Elle Mottola)

    Set 1 · AZ ST 16-14 STAN · AZ ST 74% → 77%

  6. 06
    Jordyn HarveyKill+2.9%

    Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 3 · AZ ST 23-24 STAN · STAN 7% → 10%

  7. 07
    Una VajagicKill+2.9%

    Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Elle Mottola)

    Set 3 · AZ ST 24-24 STAN · AZ ST 90% → 93%

  8. 08
    Jordyn HarveyKill+2.8%

    Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Spencer Etzler)

    Set 1 · AZ ST 7-10 STAN · STAN 33% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315742.19011314002117
315323.52200011111.516.5
314329.3791004002115
3309.333000000425
3327.143451160010.54.5
3207.286001201224
3000–010100001
3000–112710001
3000–000900000
3000–001200000
2000–000000000
Team totals5215117.3164848462212876
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318333.4550034000018
310123.39100180010.510.5
35317.11800010031.56.5
3315.40000000010.53.5
3117.000330180031.52.5
21212-.083000100001
3000–110300001
3000–1111010001
3000–000000000
2000–000020000
1125-.200000111012
Team totals3913102.255352636418564

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AZ ST · STAN 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 AZ STSTAN 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 AZ STSTAN 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 AZ STSTAN 4

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = Arizona St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
38%3/8
2
100%5/5
29%2/7
3
63%5/8
58%7/12
4
57%4/7
43%3/7
5
80%4/5
56%5/9
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
68%28/41
45%22/49

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
44%4/9
2
71%5/7
25%2/8
3
44%4/9
29%2/7
4
36%4/11
33%2/6
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
20%1/5
All
55%27/49
32%13/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#AZ ST-STANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.4
21-1AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.5
32-1STANAZ STServe errStanford+1.4
42-2AZ STSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.5
52-3STANSTAN×3BlockedNoemie Gloverblk Lizzy Andrew, Julia Blyashov+2.3
62-4STANSTAN×3KillLogan Parks+2.4
73-4STANAZ STAttack errLizzy Andrew+1.6
83-5AZ STSTANAttack errUna Vajagic+1.8
94-5STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.6
104-6AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.8
115-6STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Piper Rama+1.7
125-7AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.9
136-7STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.7
147-7AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+2.5
157-8AZ STSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.9
167-9STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.8
177-10STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler+2.8
188-10STANAZ ST×3Serve errStanford+1.7
199-10AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errLizzy Andrew+2.7
2010-10AZ STAZ ST×3KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+2.8
2110-11AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.1
2211-11STANAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+2.0
2312-11AZ STAZ ST×3KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+2.8
2413-11AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedLogan Parksblk Aniya Clinton+2.6
2513-12AZ STSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.8
2614-12STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.9
2714-13AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+1.9
2814-14STANSTANBlockedUna Vajagicblk Logan Parks, Ella Andrews+3.1
2915-14STANAZ ST×5KillElle Mottolaset Logan Parks+2.2
3016-14AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+3.0
3117-14AZ STAZ ST×5AceArizona St.aced Simone Roslon+2.6
3218-14AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedJulia Blyashovblk Elle Mottola, Ella Lomigora+2.0
3319-14AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedElla Andrewsblk Ella Lomigora, Una Vajagic+1.4
3419-15AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.7
3520-15STANAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Elle Mottola+1.0
3621-15AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Simone Roslon+0.8
3721-16AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.3
3822-16STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.5
3922-17AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.2
4023-17STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
4123-18AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
4224-18STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Logan Parks+0.3
4324-19AZ STSTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+0.1
4425-19STANAZ STBlockedLizzy Andrewblk Zoey Burgess+0.1
Set 2
11-0AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.6
21-1AZ STSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.2
32-1STANAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Elle Mottola+1.1
42-2AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.2
53-2STANAZ ST×6KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.2
64-2AZ STAZ ST×6KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.6
75-2AZ STAZ ST×6KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.5
86-2AZ STAZ ST×6BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton+1.3
97-2AZ STAZ ST×6KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.1
108-2AZ STAZ ST×6Attack errJordyn Harvey+0.9
118-3AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.5
128-4STANSTANAttack errElle Mottola+0.9
139-4STANAZ ST×4KillElle Mottola+0.8
1410-4AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic+0.9
1511-4AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errKaci Demaria+0.7
1612-4AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Kaci Demaria+0.5
1712-5AZ STSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.2
1812-6STANSTAN×3Attack errUna Vajagic+0.5
1912-7STANSTAN×3Attack errNoemie Glover+0.7
2013-7STANAZ STKillElle Mottola+0.6
2114-7AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Noemie Glover+0.6
2214-8AZ STSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.3
2315-8STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.4
2415-9AZ STSTAN×3Attack errUna Vajagic+0.3
2515-10STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.6
2615-11STANSTAN×3AceStanfordaced Piper Rama+0.9
2716-11STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.8
2817-11AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Spencer Etzler+0.8
2917-12AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
3018-12STANAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.5
3118-13AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
3219-13STANAZ STServe errStanford+0.5
3319-14AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.3
3420-14STANAZ STServe errStanford+0.5
3520-15AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.3
3621-15STANAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.4
3721-16AZ STSTANBlockedElle Mottolablk Kaci Demaria+0.2
3821-17STANSTANBlockedUna Vajagicblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks+0.6
3922-17STANAZ STServe errStanford+0.7
4023-17AZ STAZ STBlockedKaci Demariablk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora+0.4
4123-18AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
4224-18STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.2
4324-19AZ STSTAN×3Serve errArizona St.·
4424-20STANSTAN×3Attack errNoemie Glover+0.1
4524-21STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
4625-21STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.6
Set 3
11-0STANAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.6
22-0AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.9
32-1AZ STSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.6
43-1STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.6
53-2AZ STSTANAttack errAniya Clinton+0.6
64-2STANAZ STAttack errAniya Clinton+0.6
74-3AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.6
85-3STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.6
95-4AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+0.6
105-5STANSTANAttack errUna Vajagic+1.0
116-5STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Una Vajagic+0.7
126-6AZ STSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.7
137-6AZ ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
148-6AZ STAZ STAttack errIpar Kurt+1.0
158-7AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.7
168-8STANSTANAceStanfordaced Aniya Clinton+1.1
179-8STANAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.8
1810-8AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.1
1910-9AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.7
2010-10STANSTANAttack errAniya Clinton+1.2
2111-10STANAZ STServe errStanford+0.8
2211-11AZ STSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
2312-11STANAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.9
2412-12AZ STSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.9
2513-12STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.9
2614-12AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.2
2714-13AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.8
2815-13STANAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Elle Mottola+0.9
2915-14AZ STSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.9
3016-14STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.9
3116-15AZ STSTANServe errArizona St.+0.9
3217-15STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.0
3318-15AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.2
3418-16AZ STSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.7
3519-16STANAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.9
3620-16AZ STAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.9
3720-17AZ STSTANAttack errAniya Clinton+0.5
3821-17STANAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.6
3921-18AZ STSTANBlockedUna Vajagicblk Logan Parks, Lizzy Andrew+0.4
4021-19STANSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+1.0
4122-19STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.0
4222-20AZ STSTAN×4KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.7
4322-21STANSTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.6
4422-22STANSTAN×4KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.5
4522-23STANSTAN×4KillJordyn Harveyset Faith Frame+3.3
4623-23STANAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+2.1
4723-24AZ STSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.9
4824-24STANAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+2.9
4925-24AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedIpar Kurtblk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora+3.8
5026-24AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+3.4

Score shown after each rally, Arizona St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).