Arizona State vs Cincinnati: Arizona State Wins 3-1 (Sep 27)

Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026ESPN+

3:1

Arizona St. won at Cincinnati 3-1 (25-16, 25-15, 22-25, 25-20) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Arizona St.'s Noemie Glover led with 23 kills, and Una Vajagic added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:50 PM CT · final Sep 27

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
AZ ST	25	25	22	25	3
CINCY	16	15	25	20	1

Win probability

Cincinnati above 50 · Arizona St. below

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Arizona St. — set 4, AZ ST 21-20 CINCY. Kill by Maeva Schalk (set by Isabella Costantini). CINCY win probability 11% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AZ ST 90.3%9.7% CINCY

Arizona St. wins

3-0

44.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

13.8%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.5%

AZ ST break %: 46.4% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maeva SchalkKill+4.0%
Kill by Maeva Schalk (set by Isabella Costantini)
Set 4 · AZ ST 21-20 CINCY · AZ ST 89% → 93%
02
Ligia WilliamsBad set+3.3%
Bad set by Ligia Williams
Set 4 · AZ ST 22-20 CINCY · AZ ST 93% → 96%
03
Nina ScruccaKill+3.2%
Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 4 · AZ ST 13-16 CINCY · CINCY 14% → 17%
04
Arizona St.Service error+3.1%
Arizona St. service error
Set 4 · AZ ST 19-20 CINCY · CINCY 11% → 14%
05
Nina ScruccaKill+3.1%
Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Viktoria Ninova)
Set 4 · AZ ST 13-15 CINCY · CINCY 11% → 14%
06
Elle MottolaKill+2.9%
Kill by Elle Mottola (set by Noemie Glover)
Set 4 · AZ ST 16-16 CINCY · AZ ST 87% → 90%
07
Maeva SchalkKill+2.9%
Kill by Maeva Schalk (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 4 · AZ ST 15-16 CINCY · AZ ST 85% → 87%
08
Arizona St.Service error+2.8%
Arizona St. service error
Set 4 · AZ ST 18-19 CINCY · CINCY 10% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Arizona St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Noemie GloverOPP	4	23	6	48	.354	2	0	4	9	0	1	6	4	27
1Una VajagicOH	4	14	5	27	.333	1	1	1	12	1	2	0	2	17
23Maeva SchalkOH	4	11	4	22	.318	0	1	1	9	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
25Ella LomigoraMB	4	6	1	8	.625	1	0	1	3	0	0	6	3	9
7Zoey BurgessMB	4	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
11Isabella CostantiniS	4	0	1	3	-.333	31	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Elle MottolaS	4	1	0	2	.500	15	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
21Paige LehmanL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Faith FrameL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
5Aniya ClintonOH	3	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	3
4Ella LewisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
19Antonina SerafinowskaMB	2	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Grace MartinOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		59	21	125	.304	55	3	10	53	6	3	18	12	97

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Nina ScruccaOPP	4	11	3	26	.308	0	0	1	2	0	0	6	3	14
8Ligia WilliamsOH	4	10	4	23	.261	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	13
2Sydney NolanOH	4	11	13	46	-.043	1	0	0	8	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
4Audrey RomeMB	4	3	2	7	.143	1	1	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
7Andrea SimovskiOH	4	2	4	16	-.125	2	3	2	7	1	0	0	0	5
6Kate LijicS	4	0	0	0	–	19	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	3	7	1	0	0	0	0
5Lilian EntenmannMB	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
0Andi SpiesS	2	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	26	121	.107	34	6	7	37	3	1	14	8	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 AZ ST · CINCY 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 8 AZ STCINCY 5

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 8 AZ STCINCY 7

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 AZ STCINCY 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 6 AZ STCINCY 4

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = Arizona St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	68%17/25
2	56%9/16	63%15/24
3	100%8/8	53%9/17
4	89%8/9	11%1/9
5	41%7/17	36%4/11
6	44%7/16	30%3/10
All	62%48/77	51%49/96

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%9/23	43%6/14
2	41%9/22	31%4/13
3	53%8/15	25%3/12
4	58%7/12	0%0/8
5	78%7/9	36%4/11
6	47%7/15	63%12/19
All	49%47/96	38%29/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#	AZ ST-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CINCY	AZ ST	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Maeva Schalk, Ella Lomigora	+0.7
2	2-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+0.9
3	2-1	AZ ST	CINCY	Attack err	Isabella Costantini		+0.7
4	3-1	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.6
5	4-1	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.8
6	4-2	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Audrey Rome	+0.6
7	5-2	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.6
8	5-3	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+0.6
9	6-3	CINCY	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.6
10	7-3	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.7
11	8-3	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+0.5
12	9-3	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Blocked	Andrea Simovski	blk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess	+0.4
13	9-4	AZ ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kayla Hostetler	+0.3
14	9-5	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Zoey Burgess		+0.5
15	9-6	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Aniya Clinton	+0.7
16	10-6	CINCY	AZ ST	Blocked	Ligia Williams	blk Aniya Clinton, Noemie Glover	+0.5
17	10-7	AZ ST	CINCY×5	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
18	10-8	CINCY	CINCY×5	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+0.9
19	10-9	CINCY	CINCY×5	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Aniya Clinton	+1.2
20	10-10	CINCY	CINCY×5	Ace	Cincinnati		+1.5
21	10-11	CINCY	CINCY×5	Blocked	Aniya Clinton	blk Ligia Williams, Nina Scrucca	+1.7
22	11-11	CINCY	AZ ST×8	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+1.1
23	12-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.5
24	13-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+1.3
25	14-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Ella Lomigora, Aniya Clinton	+1.1
26	15-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+0.9
27	16-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.6
28	17-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Ella Lomigora		+0.4
29	18-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Ella Lomigora		+0.2
30	18-12	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andrea Simovski	+0.1
31	18-13	CINCY	CINCY	Blocked	Ella Lomigora	blk Audrey Rome, Nina Scrucca	+0.3
32	19-13	CINCY	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.3
33	20-13	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.2
34	21-13	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+0.1
35	21-14	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	·
36	22-14	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		·
37	22-15	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	·
38	23-15	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	·
39	23-16	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		·
40	24-16	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	·
41	25-16	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		·
Set 2
1	1-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.7
2	1-1	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Noemie Glover	+0.5
3	2-1	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.5
4	3-1	AZ ST	AZ ST	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora	+0.6
5	3-2	AZ ST	CINCY	Blocked	Una Vajagic	blk Audrey Rome, Nina Scrucca	+0.5
6	4-2	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.4
7	4-3	AZ ST	CINCY	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.5
8	5-3	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.5
9	5-4	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
10	6-4	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.5
11	6-5	AZ ST	CINCY×7	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
12	6-6	CINCY	CINCY×7	Blocked	Aniya Clinton	blk Ligia Williams, Nina Scrucca	+0.8
13	6-7	CINCY	CINCY×7	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.0
14	6-8	CINCY	CINCY×7	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+1.1
15	6-9	CINCY	CINCY×7	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Faith Frame	+1.2
16	6-10	CINCY	CINCY×7	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
17	6-11	CINCY	CINCY×7	Blocked	Zoey Burgess	blk Ligia Williams	+1.2
18	7-11	CINCY	AZ ST	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+0.7
19	8-11	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
20	8-12	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.0
21	8-13	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Una Vajagic	+1.3
22	9-13	CINCY	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
23	10-13	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+1.1
24	11-13	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+1.2
25	11-14	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+1.1
26	12-14	CINCY	AZ ST×8	Bad set	Nina Scrucca		+0.8
27	13-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Noemie Glover	+1.3
28	14-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Blocked	Audrey Rome	blk Una Vajagic	+1.3
29	15-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+1.2
30	16-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+1.1
31	17-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Viktoria Ninova	+0.9
32	18-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Kate Lijic	+0.6
33	19-14	AZ ST	AZ ST×8	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Ella Lomigora	+0.4
34	19-15	AZ ST	CINCY	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.2
35	20-15	CINCY	AZ ST×6	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Una Vajagic	+0.3
36	21-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.2
37	22-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+0.1
38	23-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Zoey Burgess, Noemie Glover	·
39	24-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Blocked	Audrey Rome	blk Una Vajagic	·
40	25-15	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		·
Set 3
1	1-0	CINCY	AZ ST	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+0.2
2	2-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+0.3
3	2-1	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.2
4	3-1	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Isabella Costantini	+0.2
5	3-2	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
6	4-2	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.2
7	4-3	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Viktoria Ninova	+0.2
8	5-3	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.2
9	5-4	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.2
10	6-4	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.2
11	6-5	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+0.2
12	7-5	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+0.2
13	7-6	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+0.3
14	8-6	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.2
15	8-7	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
16	9-7	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+0.3
17	9-8	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.3
18	10-8	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.3
19	10-9	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Una Vajagic	+0.3
20	11-9	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.3
21	11-10	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.3
22	11-11	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.5
23	12-11	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.3
24	12-12	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+0.4
25	13-12	CINCY	AZ ST	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.4
26	13-13	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+0.4
27	14-13	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+0.4
28	14-14	AZ ST	CINCY×5	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.4
29	14-15	CINCY	CINCY×5	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
30	14-16	CINCY	CINCY×5	Blocked	Maeva Schalk	blk Ligia Williams, Nina Scrucca	+0.8
31	14-17	CINCY	CINCY×5	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.8
32	14-18	CINCY	CINCY×5	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Sydney Nolan	+0.8
33	15-18	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Isabella Costantini	+0.4
34	16-18	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Isabella Costantini	+0.7
35	16-19	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andrea Simovski	+0.7
36	17-19	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+0.5
37	17-20	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.7
38	18-20	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.5
39	18-21	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.7
40	19-21	CINCY	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.5
41	20-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Sydney Nolan	+0.9
42	21-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Antonina Serafinowska	+1.1
43	21-22	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+1.0
44	21-23	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Maeva Schalk		+1.5
45	22-23	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
46	22-24	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+1.3
47	22-25	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+1.2
Set 4
1	1-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.4
2	2-0	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+1.2
3	2-1	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+0.9
4	3-1	CINCY	AZ ST×3	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+0.9
5	4-1	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
6	5-1	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+0.9
7	5-2	AZ ST	CINCY	Attack err	Maeva Schalk		+0.6
8	5-3	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Maeva Schalk		+1.1
9	6-3	CINCY	AZ ST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.8
10	6-4	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+0.8
11	7-4	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.8
12	8-4	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+1.0
13	8-5	AZ ST	CINCY	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.7
14	8-6	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.2
15	9-6	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.9
16	9-7	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Viktoria Ninova	+0.9
17	9-8	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Maeva Schalk	+1.5
18	10-8	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+1.1
19	10-9	AZ ST	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.2
20	10-10	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+2.0
21	10-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Noemie Glover	blk Ligia Williams, Sydney Nolan	+2.3
22	10-12	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+2.6
23	11-12	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+1.6
24	11-13	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+2.0
25	12-13	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.7
26	13-13	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Elle Mottola	+2.5
27	13-14	AZ ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
28	13-15	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+3.1
29	13-16	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+3.2
30	14-16	CINCY	AZ ST×3	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Elle Mottola	+1.8
31	15-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Elle Mottola	+2.9
32	16-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Noemie Glover	+2.9
33	16-17	AZ ST	CINCY	Blocked	Una Vajagic	blk Audrey Rome, Nina Scrucca	+2.4
34	17-17	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+2.1
35	17-18	AZ ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.6
36	18-18	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Noemie Glover	+2.3
37	18-19	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+2.8
38	19-19	CINCY	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+2.5
39	19-20	AZ ST	CINCY	Serve err	Arizona St.		+3.1
40	20-20	CINCY	AZ ST×6	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+2.7
41	21-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Maeva Schalk	set Isabella Costantini	+4.0
42	22-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Bad set	Ligia Williams		+3.3
43	23-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Zoey Burgess		+2.3
44	24-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.1
45	25-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Arizona St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Arizona St. def. Cincinnati 3–1