Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

TCU def. Kansas St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 86.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

TCU beat visiting Kansas St. 3-1 (25-21, 25-17, 17-25, 25-18) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley and Evan Hendrix led with 20 kills each, and Alice Volpe added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set1234Sets
KAN ST211725181
TCU252517253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

TCU won every phase.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.6 points. Kansas St. peaked at 14% in Set 4. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had TCU at 87%.

Kansas St.TCU
  • Hitting+.089
    .252.341

    Kills and errors: 56–14 vs 54–21.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    TCU scored 5 straight in the second set to go from 1–1 to a 6–1 lead. The set finished 25–17.

TCU above 50Kansas St. belowMax swing 2.6%

Kansas St.TCU

Aces
Kansas St. 1·TCU 3
Serve err
Kansas St. 10·TCU 9
Blocks
Kansas St. 7·TCU 92 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Kansas St. 48·TCU 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · Kansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.6% KAN STrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Kansas St. — set 4, KAN ST 8-6 TCU. Attack error by Kinsley Young. TCU win probability 89% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KAN ST 13.6%86.4% TCU

Kansas St. wins

3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
7.3%

TCU wins

3-0
38.9%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
16.0%
KAN ST break %
36.3% vs this opp
TCU break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kinsley YoungAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Kinsley Young

    Set 4 · KAN ST 8-6 TCU · KAN ST 11% → 14%

  2. 02
    Addison MasseyAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Addison Massey

    Set 4 · KAN ST 10-10 TCU · TCU 87% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by De'Andrea McMillian (set by Emerson Van Lannen)

    Set 4 · KAN ST 10-11 TCU · TCU 90% → 92%

  4. 04
    Skylar BradyBlock+2.3%

    Kinsley Young stuffed by Skylar Brady

    Set 4 · KAN ST 7-6 TCU · KAN ST 9% → 11%

  5. 05
    Addison MasseyAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Addison Massey

    Set 4 · KAN ST 11-13 TCU · TCU 92% → 94%

  6. 06
    Becca KelleyAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Becca Kelley

    Set 1 · KAN ST 13-13 TCU · KAN ST 12% → 14%

  7. 07
    Kinsley YoungAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Kinsley Young

    Set 4 · KAN ST 6-6 TCU · KAN ST 7% → 9%

  8. 08
    TCUService error+1.9%

    TCU service error

    Set 4 · KAN ST 10-8 TCU · KAN ST 12% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131347.0000116000014
49013.69210000031.510.5
45313.154000001227
45113.308001600216
4204.5002403400002
4000–102110000
410427.22200011012212
49011.81800000010.59.5
4103.3331601400001
4000–000100000
4000–9021510000
Team totals5421131.25251110483210781
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420342.4051056012222
420440.4000015000020
47419.1581112004210
44041.000000101226
4219.111121600215
4102.500320120031.52.5
4000–4001910000
3215.20000000010.52.5
3000–000000000
3000–000100000
2012-.500000000000
2000–700200000
2000–400300000
1000–000000000
Team totals5614123.3415039471214992

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas St. vs TCU

Season series · TCU leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 KAN ST · TCU 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 KAN STTCU 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 KAN STTCU 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 KAN STTCU 2

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 4 KAN STTCU 3

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Kansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
41%7/17
2
36%8/22
41%7/17
3
57%8/14
0%0/8
4
57%8/14
38%5/13
5
67%8/12
56%10/18
6
62%8/13
11%1/9
All
56%51/91
37%30/82

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
36%5/14
2
100%10/10
44%8/18
3
73%8/11
65%15/23
4
47%8/17
20%2/10
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
73%8/11
38%5/13
All
63%52/82
44%40/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#KAN ST-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.3
20-2TCUTCUBlockedAddison Masseyblk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young+1.1
31-2TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+0.8
42-2KAN STKAN STBlockedKinsley Youngblk Cadence Lundgren+1.4
52-3KAN STTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.9
62-4TCUTCU×3AceJalyn Gibsonaced Caleigh Ponn+1.2
72-5TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+1.1
83-5TCUKAN STServe errJalyn Gibson+0.7
93-6KAN STTCU×3KillRosemary Archerset Alice Volpe+0.7
103-7TCUTCU×3BlockedCadence Lundgrenblk Becca Kelley+0.9
113-8TCUTCU×3Attack errAddison Massey+0.7
124-8TCUKAN ST×4KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.4
135-8KAN STKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+0.8
146-8KAN STKAN ST×4AceAddison Masseyaced Alice Volpe+1.1
157-8KAN STKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+1.4
167-9KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.9
178-9TCUKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Lauren Latham+1.0
188-10KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+1.0
199-10TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Lauren Latham+1.0
209-11KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.0
219-12TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.3
2210-12TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+0.8
2311-12KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.6
2411-13KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.1
2512-13TCUKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+1.1
2613-13KAN STKAN STAttack errBecca Kelley+2.0
2713-14KAN STTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.4
2813-15TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.8
2913-16TCUTCU×4Attack errAddison Massey+1.5
3013-17TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+1.1
3114-17TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+0.6
3214-18KAN STTCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.8
3314-19TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+0.8
3414-20TCUTCU×4Bad setEmerson Van Lannen+0.4
3514-21TCUTCU×4Attack errSkylar Brady+0.2
3615-21TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.1
3715-22KAN STTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+0.1
3816-22TCUKAN STKillLauren Lathamset Fuka Sekita·
3917-22KAN STKAN STBlockedLauren Murphyblk Ellah Derrer, Skylar Brady+0.1
4017-23KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+0.2
4118-23TCUKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.1
4218-24KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.1
4319-24TCUKAN ST×3KillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen·
4420-24KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Ellah Derrer+0.1
4521-24KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
4621-25KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
Set 2
10-1KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+0.6
21-1TCUKAN STBad setRosemary Archer+0.7
31-2KAN STTCU×5KillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+0.6
41-3TCUTCU×5KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.8
51-4TCUTCU×5Attack errAddison Massey+0.7
61-5TCUTCU×5BlockedCadence Lundgrenblk De'Andrea McMillian+0.6
71-6TCUTCU×5Attack errAddison Massey+0.5
82-6TCUKAN STServe errTCU+0.3
92-7KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.3
103-7TCUKAN STAttack errEvan Hendrix+0.3
114-7KAN STKAN STAttack errEvan Hendrix+0.6
124-8KAN STTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.4
134-9TCUTCUKillKinsley Young+0.5
145-9TCUKAN STBlockedEvan Hendrixblk Sydney Maue, Cadence Lundgren+0.3
155-10KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.3
166-10TCUKAN STServe errTCU+0.3
176-11KAN STTCUAttack errSkylar Brady+0.4
186-12TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Kinsley Young+0.4
197-12TCUKAN ST×3KillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+0.2
208-12KAN STKAN ST×3BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Reagan Fox, Ellah Derrer+0.5
219-12KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.6
229-13KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+0.5
239-14TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+0.6
2410-14TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
2510-15KAN STTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.4
2610-16TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrix+0.4
2710-17TCUTCU×3KillDe'Andrea McMillian+0.2
2811-17TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.1
2911-18KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.1
3012-18TCUKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+0.1
3113-18KAN STKAN STKillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+0.2
3213-19KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.2
3314-19TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+0.1
3414-20KAN STTCUBlockedSkylar Bradyblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+0.2
3514-21TCUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Addy Horner+0.2
3615-21TCUKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.1
3715-22KAN STTCUKillReese Robinsset Addy Horner+0.1
3815-23TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reagan Fox·
3916-23TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen·
4016-24KAN STTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Addy Horner·
4117-24TCUKAN STKillEmerson Van Lannenset Emerson Van Lannen·
4217-25KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner·
Set 3
11-0TCUKAN STServe errTCU+0.3
21-1KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.3
32-1TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.4
42-2KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.3
52-3TCUTCUAceJalyn Gibson+0.5
63-3TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
73-4KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.3
83-5TCUTCUAttack errAddison Massey+0.4
94-5TCUKAN ST×4KillEmerson Van Lannenset Caleigh Ponn+0.3
105-5KAN STKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+0.5
116-5KAN STKAN ST×4KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+0.6
127-5KAN STKAN ST×4KillCadence Lundgrenset Lauren Latham+0.6
137-6KAN STTCUKillReese Robinsset Addy Horner+0.4
147-7TCUTCUAceKinsley Youngaced Fuka Sekita+0.6
158-7TCUKAN STServe errKinsley Young+0.4
168-8KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner+0.4
179-8TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+0.4
189-9KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.4
1910-9TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+0.5
2011-9KAN STKAN STAttack errJalyn Gibson+0.7
2111-10KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+0.4
2212-10TCUKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+0.5
2312-11KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
2413-11TCUKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+0.6
2513-12KAN STTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.5
2613-13TCUTCUBlockedAddison Masseyblk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young+0.7
2714-13TCUKAN ST×4KillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+0.6
2815-13KAN STKAN ST×4KillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.9
2916-13KAN STKAN ST×4KillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+0.9
3017-13KAN STKAN ST×4BlockedReese Robinsblk Skylar Brady, Cadence Lundgren+0.9
3117-14KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner+0.4
3218-14TCUKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.6
3319-14KAN STKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.7
3419-15KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Addy Horner+0.3
3519-16TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3620-16TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Lauren Latham+0.6
3720-17KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+0.4
3821-17TCUKAN ST×5Serve errTCU+0.7
3922-17KAN STKAN ST×5BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Reagan Fox, Ellah Derrer+0.7
4023-17KAN STKAN ST×5KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
4124-17KAN STKAN ST×5Attack errBecca Kelley+0.1
4225-17KAN STKAN ST×5KillEllah Derrer·
Set 4
11-0KAN STKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+1.9
21-1KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.2
32-1TCUKAN STServe errTCU+1.4
42-2KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+1.2
52-3TCUTCUAttack errAddison Massey+1.8
63-3TCUKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.3
73-4KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.2
84-4TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+1.3
94-5KAN STTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.2
104-6TCUTCUAttack errAddison Massey+1.7
115-6TCUKAN ST×4KillEllah Derrerset Lauren Latham+1.2
126-6KAN STKAN ST×4Attack errKinsley Young+2.0
137-6KAN STKAN ST×4BlockedKinsley Youngblk Skylar Brady+2.3
148-6KAN STKAN ST×4Attack errKinsley Young+2.6
158-7KAN STTCUServe errKansas St.+1.6
169-7TCUKAN STAttack errSkylar Brady+1.9
179-8KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.6
1810-8TCUKAN STServe errTCU+1.9
1910-9KAN STTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.7
2010-10TCUTCU×3Attack errAddison Massey+2.5
2110-11TCUTCU×3KillDe'Andrea McMillianset Emerson Van Lannen+2.3
2211-11TCUKAN STServe errTCU+1.7
2311-12KAN STTCU×3BlockedAddison Masseyblk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian+1.6
2411-13TCUTCU×3Attack errAddison Massey+2.2
2511-14TCUTCU×3Attack errCadence Lundgren+1.8
2612-14TCUKAN STKillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+1.1
2712-15KAN STTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.2
2813-15TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+1.2
2913-16KAN STTCU×3Serve errKansas St.+1.3
3013-17TCUTCU×3Attack errAddison Massey+1.5
3113-18TCUTCU×3BlockedSkylar Bradyblk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+1.0
3214-18TCUKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.5
3314-19KAN STTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.7
3414-20TCUTCU×3BlockedReagan Foxblk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian+0.6
3514-21TCUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.3
3615-21TCUKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.1
3715-22KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.2
3815-23TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.1
3916-23TCUKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen·
4017-23KAN STKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Chandler Carter·
4117-24KAN STTCUBad setEmerson Van Lannen+0.1
4218-24TCUKAN STServe errTCU·
4318-25KAN STTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer·

Score shown after each rally, Kansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).