TCU vs Arizona State Volleyball: Arizona State Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026ESPN2

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Arizona St. 68.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arizona St. beat visiting TCU 3-0 (25-16, 25-17, 25-10) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Noemie Glover led Arizona St. with 11 kills; TCU's Evan Hendrix had a match-high 12.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 11

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TCU	16	17	10	0
AZ ST	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 11 Arizona St. over TCU.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. TCU peaked at 34% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Arizona St. went in as RallyIQ's 68% pick.

TCUArizona St.

Break %+35.1 pts
15.650.7
On serve: 37/73 against 7/45 (TCU sideout 49.3%).
Hitting+.309
.048.357
37 K / 7 E against 28 K / 23 E.
Longest run+7
310
10 straight Arizona St. points in the third set stretched a 14–9 lead to 24–9. Final score of the set: 25–10.

Arizona St. above 50TCU belowMax swing 2.4%

TCUArizona St.

Aces: TCU 2·Arizona St. 7
Serve err: TCU 8·Arizona St. 6
Blocks: TCU 2.5·Arizona St. 120 BS · 5 BA vs 4 BS · 16 BA
Digs: TCU 33·Arizona St. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona St. above 50 · TCU below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to TCU — set 1, TCU 1-0 AZ ST. Una Vajagic stuffed by Kinsley Young & Reese Robins. AZ ST win probability 68% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 19.5%80.5% AZ ST

TCU wins

3-0

3.2%

3-1

6.5%

3-2

9.9%

Arizona St. wins

3-0

32.0%

3-1

30.3%

3-2

18.1%

TCU break %: 37.7% vs this opp
AZ ST break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kinsley Young&Reese RobinsBlock+2.4%
Una Vajagic stuffed by Kinsley Young & Reese Robins
Set 1 · TCU 1-0 AZ ST · TCU 32% → 34%
02
Noemie GloverKill+2.3%
Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Isabella Costantini)
Set 1 · TCU 1-2 AZ ST · AZ ST 68% → 70%
03
Zoey BurgessBlock+2.3%
De'Andrea McMillian stuffed by Zoey Burgess
Set 1 · TCU 3-5 AZ ST · AZ ST 70% → 72%
04
Arizona St.Ace+2.1%
Arizona St. ace on Becca Kelley
Set 1 · TCU 3-6 AZ ST · AZ ST 72% → 74%
05
Noemie GloverAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Noemie Glover
Set 2 · TCU 3-2 AZ ST · TCU 18% → 20%
06
Noemie GloverKill+2.0%
Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Isabella Costantini)
Set 2 · TCU 3-4 AZ ST · AZ ST 82% → 84%
07
Becca KelleyKill+2.0%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 2 · TCU 7-8 AZ ST · TCU 14% → 16%
08
Elle Mottola&Zoey BurgessBlock+2.0%
Becca Kelley stuffed by Elle Mottola & Zoey Burgess
Set 2 · TCU 4-6 AZ ST · AZ ST 84% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Evan HendrixOH	3	12	5	44	.159	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	12
11Becca KelleyOH	3	8	7	25	.040	2	0	2	7	1	1	0.5	8.5
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
7Reese RobinsMB	2	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	2	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	1	7	2	1	0.5	2.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	0	0	1	.000	20	2	1	4	0	0	0	2
0Alice VolpeL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	0
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
8Mia LeeMB	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		28	23	104	.048	27	2	8	33	7	5	2.5	43

Arizona St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Noemie GloverOPP	3	11	2	25	.360	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	12
1Una VajagicOH	3	8	3	20	.250	2	2	1	12	0	0	2	1	11
25Ella LomigoraMB	3	4	0	7	.571	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	7
7Zoey BurgessMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	4	6
11Isabella CostantiniS	3	1	0	1	1.000	19	1	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Piper RamaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	0	1
5Aniya ClintonOH	3	8	1	17	.412	0	0	0	5	0	1	2	2	10
8Elle MottolaS	3	3	1	5	.400	9	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
15Faith FrameL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
21Paige LehmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Grace MartinOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Ella LewisOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	7	84	.357	35	7	6	48	2	4	16	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

TCU vs Arizona St.

Season series · Arizona St. leads 1-0

Sun, Oct 11, 2026TCU at Arizona St. · Arizona St. won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 20, 2026Arizona St. at TCUPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TCU · AZ ST 10

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 TCUAZ ST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 TCUAZ ST 3

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 1 TCUAZ ST 10

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	0%0/4
2	50%4/8	0%0/5
3	67%4/6	20%1/5
4	27%4/15	0%0/4
5	50%3/6	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	50%3/6
All	47%23/49	14%4/28

Arizona St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	20%1/5
2	80%4/5	60%6/10
3	100%4/4	43%3/7
4	100%4/4	20%1/5
5	57%4/7	76%13/17
6	100%3/3	40%2/5
All	86%24/28	53%26/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

118 rallies

#	TCU-AZ ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Una Vajagic	blk Kinsley Young, Reese Robins	+2.4
2	1-1	TCU	AZ ST	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Isabella Costantini, Ella Lomigora	+1.6
3	1-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+2.3
4	2-2	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		+1.6
5	2-3	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Evan Hendrix		+1.6
6	3-3	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+1.7
7	3-4	TCU	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.6
8	3-5	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Blocked	De'Andrea McMillian	blk Zoey Burgess	+2.3
9	3-6	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Becca Kelley	+2.1
10	4-6	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.4
11	4-7	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+1.5
12	5-7	AZ ST	TCU	Blocked	Aniya Clinton	blk Jalyn Gibson, De'Andrea McMillian, Becca Kelley	+1.4
13	5-8	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Elle Mottola	+1.5
14	6-8	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Becca Kelley	+1.4
15	6-9	TCU	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.5
16	6-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Noemie Glover	+2.0
17	6-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.6
18	6-12	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Blocked	Jalyn Gibson	blk Una Vajagic, Ella Lomigora	+1.3
19	7-12	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
20	8-12	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Elle Mottola		+1.3
21	8-13	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Elle Mottola	+1.1
22	9-13	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
23	9-14	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.1
24	9-15		AZ ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.2
25	10-15	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.6
26	10-16	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.8
27	11-16	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Una Vajagic	+0.6
28	12-16	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.3
29	12-17	TCU	AZ ST	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.1
30	13-17	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
31	13-18	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Becca Kelley		+1.1
32	13-19	AZ ST	AZ ST	Blocked	Jalyn Gibson	blk Zoey Burgess, Una Vajagic	+1.1
33	14-19	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
34	14-20	TCU	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
35	14-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Ella Lomigora	+0.5
36	14-22	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Evan Hendrix	+0.2
37	14-23	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Ella Lomigora		+0.1
38	15-23	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	·
39	15-24	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	·
40	16-24	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		·
41	16-25	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Isabella Costantini	·
Set 2
1	1-0	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
2	1-1	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Alice Volpe		+1.3
3	1-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Alice Volpe	+1.9
4	2-2	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
5	3-2	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+2.1
6	3-3	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Jalyn Gibson		+1.4
7	3-4	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+2.0
8	4-4	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
9	4-5	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+1.4
10	4-6	AZ ST	AZ ST	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Elle Mottola, Zoey Burgess	+2.0
11	5-6	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+1.3
12	5-7	TCU	AZ ST	Attack err	Reese Robins		+1.4
13	5-8	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Reese Robins		+1.8
14	6-8	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		+1.2
15	7-8	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
16	7-9	TCU	AZ ST×3	Blocked	De'Andrea McMillian	blk Elle Mottola	+1.4
17	7-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Elle Mottola	+1.9
18	7-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+1.7
19	8-11	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.0
20	8-12	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Una Vajagic	+1.2
21	9-12	AZ ST	TCU	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+1.0
22	9-13	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Isabella Costantini	+1.2
23	10-13	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		+1.0
24	10-14	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+1.2
25	10-15	AZ ST	AZ ST	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.4
26	11-15	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.8
27	11-16	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.9
28	12-16	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.7
29	12-17	TCU	AZ ST×3	Blocked	Lauren Murphy	blk Aniya Clinton	+0.9
30	12-18	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Alice Volpe		+0.9
31	12-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Jalyn Gibson	+0.6
32	13-19	AZ ST	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
33	14-19	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	Rosemary Archer	aced Piper Rama	+0.5
34	15-19	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	Rosemary Archer	aced Piper Rama	+0.9
35	15-20	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Rosemary Archer		+0.9
36	16-20	AZ ST	TCU	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.6
37	16-21	TCU	AZ ST	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.8
38	16-22	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.7
39	17-22	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
40	17-23	TCU	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.4
41	17-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Ella Lomigora	+0.2
42	17-25	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	·
Set 3
1	0-1	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Isabella Costantini	set Una Vajagic	+0.7
2	0-2	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+1.0
3	1-2	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
4	1-3	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Becca Kelley		+0.7
5	2-3	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Mia Lee	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
6	2-4	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Faith Frame	+0.7
7	3-4	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Becca Kelley	+0.7
8	3-5	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.8
9	3-6	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	Noemie Glover	aced Jalyn Gibson	+1.0
10	4-6	AZ ST	TCU	Serve err	Arizona St.		+0.7
11	4-7	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Evan Hendrix		+0.7
12	5-7	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
13	5-8	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
14	6-8	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
15	6-9	TCU	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.7
16	6-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	Arizona St.	aced Alice Volpe	+0.9
17	6-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.8
18	7-11	AZ ST	TCU	Attack err	Noemie Glover		+0.5
19	7-12	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Isabella Costantini	+0.5
20	7-13	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.6
21	8-13	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
22	8-14	TCU	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.4
23	9-14	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
24	9-15	TCU	AZ ST×10	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Isabella Costantini	+0.4
25	9-16	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.4
26	9-17	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola	+0.3
27	9-18	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola	+0.1
28	9-19	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+0.1
29	9-20	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Blocked	Kinsley Young	blk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton	·
30	9-21	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Attack err	Becca Kelley		·
31	9-22	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Blocked	Jalyn Gibson	blk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton	·
32	9-23	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Kill	Elle Mottola	set Faith Frame	·
33	9-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×10	Attack err	Kinsley Young		·
34	10-24	AZ ST	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jaylen Clark	·
35	10-25	TCU	AZ ST	Serve err	Evan Hendrix		·

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Arizona St. def. TCU 3–0

No doubt about it: No. 11 Arizona St. over TCU.