Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arizona St. def. Arizona 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Arizona St. 97.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arizona St. beat visiting Arizona 3-1 (26-24, 25-14, 23-25, 25-16) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Arizona St.'s Noemie Glover led with 23 kills, and Faith Frame added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set1234Sets
ARIZ241425161
AZ ST262523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Arizona St. in control, mostly on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; Arizona topped out at 8% in Set 1. Arizona St. went in as RallyIQ's 98% pick.

ArizonaArizona St.
  • Break %+14.2 pts
    28.742.9

    42 of 98 on serve vs 23 of 80, so Arizona's sideout was 57.1%.

  • Hitting+.119
    .129.248

    Kills and errors: 58–23 vs 42–24.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    Arizona St. scored 5 straight in the fourth set to open the set 5–0. That set ended 25–16.

Arizona St. above 50Arizona belowMax swing 2.8%

ArizonaArizona St.

Aces
Arizona 2·Arizona St. 6
Serve err
Arizona 10·Arizona St. 12
Blocks
Arizona 11·Arizona St. 83 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Arizona 55·Arizona St. 69

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona St. above 50 · Arizona below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.8% AZ STrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Arizona St. — set 1, ARIZ 24-24 AZ ST. Destiny Ndam-Simpson stuffed by Zoey Burgess & Elle Mottola. AZ ST win probability 93% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARIZ 1.5%98.5% AZ ST

Arizona wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.0%

Arizona St. wins

3-0
70.1%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
4.9%
ARIZ break %
33.7% vs this opp
AZ ST break %
50.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Destiny Ndam-Simpson stuffed by Zoey Burgess & Elle Mottola

    Set 1 · ARIZ 24-24 AZ ST · AZ ST 93% → 96%

  2. 02

    Aniya Clinton stuffed by Marina Vosloo & Harmony Sample

    Set 1 · ARIZ 24-22 AZ ST · ARIZ 5% → 8%

  3. 03
    Marina VoslooAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Marina Vosloo

    Set 1 · ARIZ 24-25 AZ ST · AZ ST 96% → 98%

  4. 04

    Kill by Carlie Cisneros (set by Gigi Whann)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 23-22 AZ ST · ARIZ 4% → 5%

  5. 05
    Destiny Ndam-SimpsonAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Destiny Ndam-Simpson

    Set 1 · ARIZ 24-26 AZ ST · AZ ST 98% → 99%

  6. 06
    Faith FrameAce+1.3%

    Ace by Faith Frame on Carlie Cisneros

    Set 1 · ARIZ 21-21 AZ ST · AZ ST 95% → 96%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedy Osunsanmi (set by Harmony Sample)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 22-21 AZ ST · ARIZ 4% → 5%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kennedy Osunsanmi (set by Harmony Sample)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 21-19 AZ ST · ARIZ 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411125.4000001002112
45316.125112101228
47526.077101193010.57.5
43220.050000001647
4308.37530011201225
391135-.05701150010.510.5
4000–301420000
4000–000000000
4000–5021010000
34210.200002300215
Team totals4224140.129402105563161179
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423648.35421316002125
413534.23500413002114
42210.00001120153.56.5
4000–121810002
4001.0003212800001
3113.000000000001
413733.1820001000013
4205.400180010031.53.5
4000–4111810001
4000–000100000
2203.667000000213
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
1224.000000100002
Team totals5823141.24857612692114899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Arizona vs Arizona St.

Season series · Arizona St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 ARIZ · AZ ST 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 ARIZAZ ST 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 ARIZAZ ST 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 ARIZAZ ST 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 ARIZAZ ST 5

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
9%1/11
2
77%10/13
35%6/17
3
56%10/18
17%2/12
4
69%9/13
36%5/14
5
42%8/19
18%2/11
6
80%8/10
47%7/15
All
57%56/98
29%23/80

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
50%10/20
2
79%11/14
42%8/19
3
75%9/12
33%5/15
4
69%9/13
36%5/14
5
62%8/13
47%7/15
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
71%57/80
43%42/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#ARIZ-AZ STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.3
20-2AZ STAZ ST×3AceIsabella Costantiniaced Carlie Cisneros+0.2
30-3AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.2
41-3AZ STARIZServe errIsabella Costantini+0.1
51-4ARIZAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Noemie Glover+0.1
62-4AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
72-5ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
83-5AZ STARIZBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Marina Vosloo+0.2
93-6ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
104-6AZ STARIZBlockedAniya Clintonblk Harmony Sample+0.2
115-6ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.3
125-7ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.2
136-7AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.2
147-7ARIZARIZBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Journey Tucker+0.4
157-8ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.3
168-8AZ STARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.3
178-9ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.3
189-9AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.3
1910-9ARIZARIZBlockedUna Vajagicblk Journey Tucker, Kennedy Osunsanmi+0.6
2010-10ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.4
2111-10AZ STARIZServe errUna Vajagic+0.5
2212-10ARIZARIZBlockedAniya Clintonblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Marina Vosloo+0.7
2312-11ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
2413-11AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.6
2514-11ARIZARIZAttack errAniya Clinton+0.9
2614-12ARIZAZ STBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Zoey Burgess+0.5
2715-12AZ STARIZServe errNoemie Glover+0.7
2815-13ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.5
2915-14AZ STAZ STBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola+0.8
3016-14AZ STARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Brenna Ginder+0.7
3117-14ARIZARIZ×3KillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+1.1
3218-14ARIZARIZ×3Attack errNoemie Glover+1.1
3318-15ARIZAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.5
3419-15AZ STARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+0.9
3519-16ARIZAZ ST×3Serve errArizona+0.6
3619-17AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.9
3719-18AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+1.0
3820-18AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Isabella Costantini+1.0
3920-19ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Noemie Glover+0.8
4021-19AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+1.1
4121-20ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.8
4221-21AZ STAZ STAceFaith Frameaced Carlie Cisneros+1.3
4322-21AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+1.2
4422-22ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+1.0
4523-22AZ STARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+1.5
4624-22ARIZARIZBlockedAniya Clintonblk Marina Vosloo, Harmony Sample+2.4
4724-23ARIZAZ ST×4KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.0
4824-24AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola+2.8
4924-25AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errMarina Vosloo+1.9
5024-26AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.3
Set 2
10-1ARIZAZ STBad setHarmony Sample+0.1
21-1AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.1
31-2ARIZAZ STAttack errCarlie Cisneros+0.1
41-3AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
52-3AZ STARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.1
62-4ARIZAZ ST×3Serve errArizona+0.1
72-5AZ STAZ ST×3KillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.1
82-6AZ STAZ ST×3KillAniya Clintonset Faith Frame+0.1
93-6AZ STARIZAttack errAniya Clinton+0.1
103-7ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
113-8AZ STAZ STAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.1
124-8AZ STARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.1
134-9ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.1
145-9AZ STARIZ×3KillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample+0.1
156-9ARIZARIZ×3AceArizonaaced Faith Frame+0.1
167-9ARIZARIZ×3BlockedZoey Burgessblk Destiny Ndam-Simpson, Journey Tucker+0.1
177-10ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.1
188-10AZ STARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.1
198-11ARIZAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.1
208-12AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
218-13AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errJourney Tucker+0.1
229-13AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
239-14ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
2410-14AZ STARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample+0.1
2510-15ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
2610-16AZ STAZ STAttack errCarlie Cisneros+0.1
2711-16AZ STARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample·
2811-17ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini·
2911-18AZ STAZ STAceNoemie Gloveraced Brenna Ginder·
3012-18AZ STARIZServe errNoemie Glover·
3112-19ARIZAZ ST×4KillAniya Clintonset Faith Frame·
3212-20AZ STAZ ST×4AcePiper Ramaaced Gigi Whann·
3312-21AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson·
3412-22AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola·
3513-22AZ STARIZKillHayden Reederset Marina Vosloo·
3613-23ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola·
3713-24AZ STAZ STAttack errHayden Reeder·
3814-24AZ STARIZKillHarmony Sampleset Brenna Ginder·
3914-25ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
Set 3
11-0AZ STARIZAttack errUna Vajagic+0.1
22-0ARIZARIZBlockedElla Lomigorablk Journey Tucker, Hayden Reeder+0.1
32-1ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.1
42-2AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.1
53-2AZ STARIZServe errIsabella Costantini+0.1
63-3ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.1
74-3AZ STARIZServe errUna Vajagic+0.1
85-3ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+0.1
95-4ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
105-5AZ STAZ STBlockedCarlie Cisnerosblk Zoey Burgess, Noemie Glover+0.1
116-5AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
126-6ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
137-6AZ STARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample+0.1
147-7ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.1
158-7AZ STARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample+0.1
168-8ARIZAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.1
178-9AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errCarlie Cisneros+0.1
188-10AZ STAZ ST×4AceZoey Burgessaced Carlie Cisneros+0.1
198-11AZ STAZ ST×4KillElle Mottolaset Piper Rama+0.1
209-11AZ STARIZBlockedUna Vajagicblk Journey Tucker, Harmony Sample+0.1
2110-11ARIZARIZAttack errUna Vajagic+0.1
2210-12ARIZAZ STKillElle Mottolaset Faith Frame+0.1
2311-12AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.1
2412-12ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+0.1
2512-13ARIZAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
2612-14AZ STAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Faith Frame+0.1
2712-15AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errCarlie Cisneros+0.1
2812-16AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errJourney Tucker+0.1
2913-16AZ STARIZAttack errNoemie Glover·
3014-16ARIZARIZAttack errAniya Clinton+0.1
3114-17ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
3215-17AZ STARIZServe errFaith Frame+0.1
3315-18ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
3416-18AZ STARIZ×3Attack errAniya Clinton+0.1
3517-18ARIZARIZ×3KillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample+0.1
3618-18ARIZARIZ×3KillHayden Reederset Harmony Sample+0.2
3718-19ARIZAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+0.1
3819-19AZ STARIZKillHarmony Sampleset Carlie Cisneros+0.2
3920-19ARIZARIZBlockedZoey Burgessblk Hayden Reeder, Journey Tucker+0.3
4020-20ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.2
4121-20AZ STARIZ×3KillHayden Reederset Harmony Sample+0.3
4222-20ARIZARIZ×3Attack errNoemie Glover+0.4
4323-20ARIZARIZ×3Attack errUna Vajagic+0.4
4423-21ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.2
4523-22AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
4624-22AZ STARIZKillHayden Reederset Harmony Sample+0.5
4724-23ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.3
4825-23AZ STARIZServe errUna Vajagic+0.7
Set 4
10-1ARIZAZ ST×5BlockedKennedy Osunsanmiblk Una Vajagic, Antonina Serafinowska+0.4
20-2AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.5
30-3AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedHayden Reederblk Noemie Glover, Antonina Serafinowska+0.4
40-4AZ STAZ ST×5KillAntonina Serafinowska+0.3
50-5AZ STAZ ST×5KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.2
61-5AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+0.2
72-5ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced Piper Rama+0.3
82-6ARIZAZ STKillAntonina Serafinowskaset Isabella Costantini+0.2
93-6AZ STARIZServe errUna Vajagic+0.2
103-7ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.2
113-8AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.3
124-8AZ STARIZ×3KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample+0.2
135-8ARIZARIZ×3KillHarmony Sample+0.3
146-8ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Brenna Ginder+0.5
156-9ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.4
167-9AZ STARIZServe errNoemie Glover+0.4
177-10ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
188-10AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.4
198-11ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.4
209-11AZ STARIZServe errZoey Burgess+0.4
219-12ARIZAZ STAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.4
2210-12AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Gigi Whann+0.4
2310-13ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.4
2411-13AZ STARIZBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Journey Tucker, Carlie Cisneros+0.5
2511-14ARIZAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.5
2612-14AZ STARIZAttack errMaeva Schalk+0.5
2712-15ARIZAZ STServe errArizona+0.5
2812-16AZ STAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Elle Mottola+0.5
2913-16AZ STARIZAttack errMaeva Schalk+0.3
3013-17ARIZAZ ST×5KillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
3113-18AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedMarina Voslooblk Una Vajagic, Zoey Burgess+0.3
3213-19AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.2
3313-20AZ STAZ ST×5AcePiper Ramaaced Brenna Ginder+0.1
3413-21AZ STAZ ST×5Attack errMarina Vosloo·
3514-21AZ STARIZServe errPiper Rama·
3614-22ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola·
3714-23AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
3815-23AZ STARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample·
3915-24ARIZAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
4016-24AZ STARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample·
4116-25ARIZAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).