FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arizona St. def. Houston 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Arizona St. 96.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arizona St. beat visiting Houston 3-0 (25-19, 25-10, 25-16) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Arizona St.'s Una Vajagic led with 15 kills, and Maeva Schalk added 12 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
HOU1910160
AZ ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Una Vajagic. Arizona St. swept Houston.

Win probability never moved more than 1.4 points on one rally; Houston topped out at 7% in Set 1. Arizona St. went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

HoustonArizona St.
  • Break %+29.3 pts
    25.554.8

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 12 of 47. Houston sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.222
    .033.255

    37 K / 12 E against 23 K / 20 E.

  • Longest run+5
    27

    Down 16–17 in the first set, Arizona St. scored 7 straight to lead 23–17. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Arizona St. above 50Houston belowMax swing 1.4%

HoustonArizona St.

Aces
Houston 3·Arizona St. 7
Serve err
Houston 9·Arizona St. 5
Blocks
Houston 6·Arizona St. 102 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Houston 40·Arizona St. 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arizona St. above 50 · Houston below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% HOUrally 120 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Houston — set 1, HOU 16-14 AZ ST. Attack error by Una Vajagic. AZ ST win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOU 2.9%97.1% AZ ST

Houston wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.8%

Arizona St. wins

3-0
62.9%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
7.2%
HOU break %
34.1% vs this opp
AZ ST break %
48.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Una VajagicAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Una Vajagic

    Set 1 · HOU 16-14 AZ ST · HOU 6% → 7%

  2. 02
    Una VajagicKill+1.2%

    Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Ella Lewis)

    Set 1 · HOU 16-16 AZ ST · AZ ST 94% → 95%

  3. 03
    Noemie GloverKill+1.1%

    Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Isabella Costantini)

    Set 1 · HOU 17-18 AZ ST · AZ ST 95% → 96%

  4. 04
    Sydney JonesBlock+1.1%

    Zoey Burgess stuffed by Sydney Jones

    Set 1 · HOU 14-13 AZ ST · HOU 5% → 6%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kamille Gibson (set by Shannon Dworaczyk)

    Set 1 · HOU 17-16 AZ ST · HOU 5% → 6%

  6. 06

    Kill by Noemi Despaigne (set by Shannon Dworaczyk)

    Set 1 · HOU 10-8 AZ ST · HOU 5% → 6%

  7. 07
    Una VajagicKill+0.9%

    Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Isabella Costantini)

    Set 1 · HOU 17-19 AZ ST · AZ ST 96% → 97%

  8. 08
    Maeva SchalkService error+0.8%

    Service error by Maeva Schalk

    Set 1 · HOU 15-14 AZ ST · HOU 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37627.037001110007
36525.04000370010.56.5
35521.00000340111.56.5
3204.50000010132.54.5
3116.00000010010.51.5
2000–1100300000
31011.000000800001
3000–111420001
3000–300920000
2126-.16700010010.51.5
2001.00071110010.51.5
2000–010000001
2011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals232092.033223940728645
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315535.2860332100018
37219.2633021210218
3519.444000200638
36321.143000100031.57.5
3207.286000000424
3217.1432900400424
3000–120100002
3000–010000001
3000–010100001
3000–1001000000
1000–10001010.50.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals371298.25535754230201075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 2 HOU · AZ ST 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 HOUAZ ST 7

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 2 HOUAZ ST 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 HOUAZ ST 5

Bars above the line = Arizona St. leads, below = Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
40%4/10
2
50%7/14
13%1/8
3
45%5/11
13%1/8
4
50%5/10
17%1/6
5
45%5/11
29%2/7
6
36%4/11
38%3/8
All
45%33/73
26%12/47

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
29%2/7
2
78%7/9
59%10/17
3
100%6/6
57%8/14
4
83%5/6
64%9/14
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
56%5/9
58%7/12
All
74%35/47
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#HOU-AZ STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.6
21-1HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.4
32-1AZ STHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.4
42-2HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.4
52-3AZ STAZ STAttack errKamille Gibson+0.5
63-3AZ STHOUAttack errNoemie Glover+0.4
73-4HOUAZ STServe errKamille Gibson+0.3
84-4AZ STHOUKillMattie Casale+0.4
94-5HOUAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.4
105-5AZ STHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.4
115-6HOUAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.4
126-6AZ STHOUKillSydney Jonesset Gillian Pitts+0.4
137-6HOUHOUBlockedUna Vajagicblk Alexis Roberson, Kamille Gibson+0.7
147-7HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.5
158-7AZ STHOUBlockedUna Vajagicblk Alexis Roberson, Sydney Jones+0.6
168-8HOUAZ STServe errSydney Jones+0.5
179-8AZ STHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.6
1810-8HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.0
1910-9HOUAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Isabella Costantini+0.6
2010-10AZ STAZ STBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Maeva Schalk, Ella Lomigora+0.8
2111-10AZ STHOUServe errUna Vajagic+0.7
2211-11HOUAZ STServe errKamille Gibson+0.6
2311-12AZ STAZ STBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Zoey Burgess, Maeva Schalk+0.8
2412-12AZ STHOUAttack errNoemie Glover+0.6
2512-13HOUAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.5
2613-13AZ STHOUKillSydney Jonesset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.6
2714-13HOUHOUBlockedZoey Burgessblk Sydney Jones+1.1
2814-14HOUAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.7
2915-14AZ STHOUServe errMaeva Schalk+0.8
3016-14HOUHOUAttack errUna Vajagic+1.4
3116-15HOUAZ STKillIsabella Costantiniset Maeva Schalk+0.8
3216-16AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Ella Lewis+1.2
3317-16AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+1.0
3417-17HOUAZ ST×7Serve errSydney Jones+0.8
3517-18AZ STAZ ST×7KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+1.1
3617-19AZ STAZ ST×7KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.9
3717-20AZ STAZ ST×7Attack errNoemi Despaigne+0.7
3817-21AZ STAZ ST×7KillUna Vajagicset Maeva Schalk+0.4
3917-22AZ STAZ ST×7Attack errKaitlyn Evans+0.2
4017-23AZ STAZ ST×7Bad setShannon Dworaczyk+0.1
4118-23AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk·
4218-24HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
4319-24AZ STHOUServe errUna Vajagic·
4419-25HOUAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
Set 2
11-0AZ STHOUBad setElla Lomigora+0.3
21-1HOUAZ STServe errSydney Jones+0.2
32-1AZ STHOUBad setIsabella Costantini+0.3
43-1HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.4
53-2HOUAZ STAttack errNoemi Despaigne+0.3
63-3AZ STAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.4
74-3AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.3
84-4HOUAZ ST×6Serve errKamille Gibson+0.3
94-5AZ STAZ ST×6Attack errKamille Gibson+0.3
104-6AZ STAZ ST×6BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Zoey Burgess, Isabella Costantini+0.3
114-7AZ STAZ ST×6KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini+0.2
124-8AZ STAZ ST×6AcePaige Lehman+0.2
134-9AZ STAZ ST×6BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Zoey Burgess, Isabella Costantini+0.1
145-9AZ STHOUKillTara Greenberryset Shannon Dworaczyk+0.1
155-10HOUAZ ST×5Attack errSydney Jones+0.1
165-11AZ STAZ ST×5Attack errSydney Jones+0.1
175-12AZ STAZ ST×5Attack errKamille Gibson+0.1
185-13AZ STAZ ST×5KillUna Vajagicset Maeva Schalk·
195-14AZ STAZ ST×5KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
206-14AZ STHOUKillSydney Jonesset Lily Barron·
216-15HOUAZ ST×6KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
226-16AZ STAZ ST×6KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
236-17AZ STAZ ST×6KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
246-18AZ STAZ ST×6AceElla Lewisaced Lily Barron·
256-19AZ STAZ ST×6KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
266-20AZ STAZ ST×6Attack errSydney Jones·
277-20AZ STHOUBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Alyssa Gonzales, Alexis Roberson·
288-20HOUHOUAceKalei Edsonaced Una Vajagic·
298-21HOUAZ STAttack errAlyssa Gonzales·
309-21AZ STHOUKillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson·
319-22HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini·
329-23AZ STAZ STAceUna Vajagicaced Gillian Pitts·
3310-23AZ STHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson·
3410-24HOUAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Faith Frame·
3510-25AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
Set 3
11-0HOUHOUAttack errUna Vajagic+0.2
22-0HOUHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Gillian Pitts+0.2
32-1HOUAZ ST×4BlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Isabella Costantini, Ella Lomigora+0.1
42-2AZ STAZ ST×4KillElla Lomigora+0.2
52-3AZ STAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.1
62-4AZ STAZ ST×4KillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.1
73-4AZ STHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson+0.1
83-5HOUAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+0.1
94-5AZ STHOUBlockedIsabella Costantiniblk Alexis Roberson+0.1
104-6HOUAZ STBlockedSydney Jonesblk Ella Lomigora, Noemie Glover+0.1
114-7AZ STAZ STAcePiper Rama+0.1
125-7AZ STHOUAttack errMaeva Schalk+0.1
135-8HOUAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.1
146-8AZ STHOUKillSydney Jonesset Gillian Pitts+0.1
156-9HOUAZ STBad setNoemi Despaigne+0.1
166-10AZ STAZ STBlockedNoemi Despaigneblk Zoey Burgess, Isabella Costantini+0.1
177-10AZ STHOUServe errMaeva Schalk+0.1
187-11HOUAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.1
198-11AZ STHOUAttack errUna Vajagic+0.1
208-12HOUAZ STServe errHouston+0.1
219-12AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.1
229-13HOUAZ ST×5Serve errHouston+0.1
239-14AZ STAZ ST×5BlockedSydney Jonesblk Ella Lomigora, Noemie Glover+0.1
249-15AZ STAZ ST×5AceUna Vajagicaced Gillian Pitts·
259-16AZ STAZ ST×5AceUna Vajagicaced Noemi Despaigne·
269-17AZ STAZ ST×5KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
2710-17AZ STHOUServe errUna Vajagic·
2810-18HOUAZ ST×3KillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
2910-19AZ STAZ ST×3KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini·
3010-20AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedAlyssa Gonzalesblk Zoey Burgess, Noemie Glover·
3111-20AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson·
3212-20HOUHOUBlockedMaeva Schalkblk Kalei Edson, Tara Greenberry·
3312-21HOUAZ STKillMaeva Schalkset Isabella Costantini·
3413-21AZ STHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson·
3514-21HOUHOUAceLily Barronaced Maeva Schalk·
3614-22HOUAZ STServe errLily Barron·
3714-23AZ STAZ STBlockedTara Greenberryblk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton·
3815-23AZ STHOUKillNoemi Despaigneset Kalei Edson·
3916-23HOUHOUAceCali Reeceaced Aniya Clinton·
4016-24HOUAZ STKillIsabella Costantiniset Aniya Clinton·
4116-25AZ STAZ STAceElla Lewisaced Lily Barron·

Score shown after each rally, Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).