Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

Nicholls def. Alcorn 3–1

Nicholls won at Alcorn 3-1 (21-25, 25-9, 25-12, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Nicholls' Kera Arrington led with 12 kills, and Natalia Navarro added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
NICHST212525253
ALCORN25912201

Win probability

Alcorn above 50 · Nicholls below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.2% ALCORNrally 162 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Alcorn — set 1, NICHST 20-22 ALCORN. Kill by Courtney Carter (set by Daylin Saiki). ALCORN win probability 20% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 86.7%13.3% ALCORN

Nicholls wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

Alcorn wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
NICHST break %
49.2% vs this opp
ALCORN break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Courtney Carter (set by Daylin Saiki)

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-22 ALCORN · ALCORN 20% → 24%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jaylynn McNeill (set by Daylin Saiki)

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-23 ALCORN · ALCORN 24% → 28%

  3. 03
    Kera ArringtonBad set+3.8%

    Bad set by Kera Arrington

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-21 ALCORN · ALCORN 16% → 20%

  4. 04

    Kill by Courtney Carter

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-20 ALCORN · ALCORN 13% → 16%

  5. 05
    AlcornAce+2.6%

    Alcorn ace

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-24 ALCORN · ALCORN 28% → 30%

  6. 06

    Kera Arrington stuffed by Daylin Saiki & Cristin Webb

    Set 4 · NICHST 2-5 ALCORN · ALCORN 12% → 15%

  7. 07

    Kill by Courtney Carter

    Set 1 · NICHST 20-19 ALCORN · ALCORN 11% → 13%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 4 · NICHST 23-20 ALCORN · NICHST 96% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411119.5262214000013
412831.1290002000012
46111.45510010515.511.5
49013.69231117002111
45210.30002020031.58.5
4000–012200001
47416.18800010111.58.5
4000–2231100002
4001.000011600001
2203.66700010010.52.5
1000–001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5216104.3463699383681096
Alcornhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4111034.0290023100011
49428.17900020031.510.5
46312.250001200217
45219.158000311016
4206.333282130010.54.5
4002.000000002233
4226.000001100002
4003.0001101010001
4000–000100000
4000–001110000
3000–100000000
3000–002100000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals3621111.135303927938766

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Nicholls vs Alcorn

Season series · Nicholls leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NICHST · ALCORN 10

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 NICHSTALCORN 10

Set 2

25-9

Longest run 7 NICHSTALCORN 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 4 NICHSTALCORN 2

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 NICHSTALCORN 2

Bars above the line = Alcorn leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
63%12/19
2
67%8/12
57%12/21
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
88%7/8
50%7/14
5
78%7/9
36%4/11
6
86%6/7
65%11/17
All
66%44/67
55%52/95

Alcorn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%9/24
56%9/16
2
53%8/15
27%3/11
3
47%7/15
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
30%3/10
5
54%7/13
22%2/9
6
36%5/14
22%2/9
All
45%43/95
34%23/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

162 rallies

#NICHST-ALCORNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ALCORNNICHST×3KillIsabella Padillaset Rylan Jones+0.9
22-0NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errCourtney Carter+1.1
33-0NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmer+0.9
43-1NICHSTALCORNBlockedMaya Schirmerblk Bailey Upshaw+0.8
53-2ALCORNALCORNKillRylan Jones+1.1
64-2ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.9
74-3NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+1.0
85-3ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.9
96-3NICHSTNICHSTBlockedCristin Webbblk Maya Schirmer+1.0
106-4NICHSTALCORNBlockedZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Rylan Jones+0.9
117-4ALCORNNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Maya Schirmer+0.9
127-5NICHSTALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Juliana Henao+0.9
138-5ALCORNNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+0.9
149-5NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errCourtney Carter+0.9
1510-5NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padillaset Courtney Carter+0.8
1610-6NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+0.6
1711-6ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+0.6
1811-7NICHSTALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+0.6
1912-7ALCORNNICHSTBlockedCourtney Carterblk Harper Holden, Sydney Valentine+0.6
2012-8NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.6
2113-8ALCORNNICHSTKillIsabella Padilla+0.6
2213-9NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.6
2313-10ALCORNALCORNBlockedKera Arringtonblk Jaylynn McNeill, Cristin Webb+0.9
2414-10ALCORNNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.9
2514-11NICHSTALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Tomoni Giddings+0.8
2615-11ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+0.9
2715-12NICHSTALCORNAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+0.8
2816-12ALCORNNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Natalia Navarro+0.9
2917-12NICHSTNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Tomoni Giddings+0.8
3017-13NICHSTALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+0.6
3117-14ALCORNALCORNKillDaylin Saiki+1.0
3218-14ALCORNNICHST×3BlockedCourtney Carterblk Harper Holden, Isabella Padilla+1.0
3319-14NICHSTNICHST×3KillHarper Holden+0.8
3420-14NICHSTNICHST×3KillHarper Holden+0.5
3520-15NICHSTALCORN×10KillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+0.3
3620-16ALCORNALCORN×10Attack errKera Arrington+0.6
3720-17ALCORNALCORN×10AceAlcorn+0.9
3820-18ALCORNALCORN×10BlockedHarper Holdenblk Bailey Upshaw+1.5
3920-19ALCORNALCORN×10KillCourtney Carter+2.2
4020-20ALCORNALCORN×10KillCourtney Carter+3.0
4120-21ALCORNALCORN×10Bad setKera Arrington+3.8
4220-22ALCORNALCORN×10KillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+4.2
4320-23ALCORNALCORN×10KillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+3.8
4420-24ALCORNALCORN×10AceAlcorn+2.6
4521-24ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.7
4621-25NICHSTALCORNBlockedKera Arringtonblk Bailey Upshaw, Jaylynn McNeill+1.6
Set 2
11-0NICHSTNICHST×6KillKera Arrington+2.1
22-0NICHSTNICHST×6Attack errJaylynn McNeill+1.9
33-0NICHSTNICHST×6BlockedCourtney Carterblk Harper Holden, Isabella Padilla+1.7
44-0NICHSTNICHST×6AceNichollsaced Courtney Carter+1.5
55-0NICHSTNICHST×6AceNichollsaced Rylan Jones+1.2
66-0NICHSTNICHST×6Attack errRylan Jones+1.0
76-1NICHSTALCORNAttack errKera Arrington+0.7
87-1ALCORNNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.8
98-1NICHSTNICHST×7AceNicholls+0.8
109-1NICHSTNICHST×7KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.6
1110-1NICHSTNICHST×7KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.4
1211-1NICHSTNICHST×7KillIsabella Padillaset Tomoni Giddings+0.3
1312-1NICHSTNICHST×7Bad setBailey Upshaw+0.2
1413-1NICHSTNICHST×7AceNicholls+0.1
1513-2NICHSTALCORN×3KillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+0.1
1613-3ALCORNALCORN×3AceAlcorn+0.1
1713-4ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errKera Arrington+0.2
1814-4ALCORNNICHSTKillIsabella Padilla+0.2
1915-4NICHSTNICHSTBlockedRylan Jonesblk Maya Schirmer+0.1
2015-5NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+0.1
2115-6ALCORNALCORNAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.1
2216-6ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+0.2
2316-7NICHSTALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+0.1
2416-8ALCORNALCORNKillCourtney Carter+0.2
2517-8ALCORNNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.2
2618-8NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.2
2718-9NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+0.1
2819-9ALCORNNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Cristin Webb+0.1
2920-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.1
3021-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3122-9NICHSTNICHST×7Attack errCourtney Carter·
3223-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3324-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Mckenzie Mitchell·
3425-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
Set 3
11-0ALCORNNICHST×4Serve errAlcorn+1.6
22-0NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedCourtney Carterblk Maya Schirmer+1.8
33-0NICHSTNICHST×4KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.6
44-0NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedJaylynn McNeillblk Maya Schirmer+1.4
54-1NICHSTALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+1.1
65-1ALCORNNICHSTBlockedAlexis Burtonblk Maya Schirmer+1.1
76-1NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.2
86-2NICHSTALCORNKillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+0.9
97-2ALCORNNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.0
108-2NICHSTNICHSTAttack errCristin Webb+1.0
118-3NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+0.7
129-3ALCORNNICHST×4Serve errAlcorn+0.8
1310-3NICHSTNICHST×4AceNicholls+0.7
1411-3NICHSTNICHST×4KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.5
1512-3NICHSTNICHST×4AceNicholls+0.4
1612-4NICHSTALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+0.2
1712-5ALCORNALCORNAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.4
1813-5ALCORNNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.4
1914-5NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errCristin Webb+0.3
2015-5NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Tomoni Giddings+0.2
2115-6NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+0.1
2216-6ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Mckenzie Mitchell+0.2
2316-7NICHSTALCORNAttack errHarper Holden+0.1
2417-7ALCORNNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+0.1
2518-7NICHSTNICHSTAttack errAlexis Burton+0.1
2618-8NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki·
2719-8ALCORNNICHSTKillIsabella Padilla+0.1
2819-9NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki·
2920-9ALCORNNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla·
3021-9NICHSTNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla·
3121-10NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls·
3222-10ALCORNNICHSTKillSydney Valentineset Isabella Padilla·
3322-11NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls·
3423-11ALCORNNICHSTKillSydney Valentineset Isabella Padilla·
3523-12NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki·
3624-12ALCORNNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3725-12NICHSTNICHSTKillHarper Holden·
Set 4
10-1NICHSTALCORNKillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+1.5
20-2ALCORNALCORNBad setKera Arrington+2.0
31-2ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+1.4
41-3NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+1.7
52-3ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.5
62-4NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+1.7
72-5ALCORNALCORNBlockedKera Arringtonblk Daylin Saiki, Cristin Webb+2.2
83-5ALCORNNICHST×5KillKera Arringtonset Natalia Navarro+1.6
94-5NICHSTNICHST×5BlockedCourtney Carterblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.0
105-5NICHSTNICHST×5Bad setDaylin Saiki+1.9
116-5NICHSTNICHST×5Bad setAlexis Burton+1.8
127-5NICHSTNICHST×5AceNicholls+1.6
137-6NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+1.4
148-6ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+1.3
158-7NICHSTALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+1.4
169-7ALCORNNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.4
179-8NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+1.5
1810-8ALCORNNICHST×4Bad setDaylin Saiki+1.4
1911-8NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errJaylynn McNeill+1.5
2012-8NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errCourtney Carter+1.3
2113-8NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errJaylynn McNeill+1.0
2213-9NICHSTALCORNKillDe’Nyla Harlanset Daylin Saiki+0.7
2313-10ALCORNALCORNBlockedKera Arringtonblk Jaylynn McNeill, Bailey Upshaw+1.2
2414-10ALCORNNICHSTBad setDe’Nyla Harlan+1.1
2514-11NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+1.0
2615-11ALCORNNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.1
2716-11NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padillaset Mckenzie Mitchell+1.1
2817-11NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Kasey Watkins+0.8
2917-12NICHSTALCORNAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.5
3017-13ALCORNALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+0.9
3118-13ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+0.9
3218-14NICHSTALCORNKillDaylin Saiki+0.7
3319-14ALCORNNICHSTServe errAlcorn+0.9
3419-15NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+0.7
3519-16ALCORNALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+1.2
3620-16ALCORNNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.3
3720-17NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+1.0
3821-17ALCORNNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.3
3921-18NICHSTALCORNServe errNicholls+1.0
4022-18ALCORNNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.3
4122-19NICHSTALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.9
4222-20ALCORNALCORNAttack errKera Arrington+1.8
4323-20ALCORNNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.1
4424-20NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.4
4525-20NICHSTNICHST×3BlockedCourtney Carterblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Maya Schirmer+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).