FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeSEC

Mississippi St. def. Alcorn 3–0

(25-8, 25-19, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ALCORN	8	19	16	0
MISSST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MISSST above 50 · ALCORN below

Biggest swing: 0.0% to Alcorn — set 3, ALCORN 13-9 MISSST. Sydnie Waller stuffed by Bailey Upshaw & Courtney Carter. MISSST win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ALCORN 0.0%100.0% MISSST

Alcorn wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.0%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

98.1%

3-1

1.8%

3-2

0.0%

ALCORN break %: 28.9% vs this opp
MISSST break %: 62.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sydnie WallerAttack error+0.0%
Sydnie Waller stuffed by Bailey Upshaw & Courtney Carter
Set 3 · ALCORN 13-9 MISSST · ALCORN 0% → 0%
02
Cristin WebbKill+0.0%
Kill by Cristin Webb (set by Daylin Saiki)
Set 3 · ALCORN 14-11 MISSST · ALCORN 0% → 0%
03
Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossKill+0.0%
Kill by Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 3 · ALCORN 13-11 MISSST · MISSST 100% → 100%
04
Courtney CarterKill+0.0%
Kill by Courtney Carter (set by Daylin Saiki)
Set 3 · ALCORN 12-9 MISSST · ALCORN 0% → 0%
05
Paloma RoutaboulAttack error+0.0%
Paloma Routaboul stuffed by Alexis Burton & Bailey Upshaw
Set 3 · ALCORN 11-8 MISSST · ALCORN 0% → 0%
06
Lindsey MangelsonKill+0.0%
Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 3 · ALCORN 14-13 MISSST · MISSST 100% → 100%
07
Paloma RoutaboulKill+0.0%
Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 3 · ALCORN 13-10 MISSST · MISSST 100% → 100%
08
Paloma RoutaboulKill+0.0%
Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 3 · ALCORN 14-12 MISSST · MISSST 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Alcornaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Cristin WebbMB	3	10	3	23	.304	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
1Rylan JonesMB	3	9	10	32	-.031	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	9
16Courtney CarterOH	3	8	1	21	.333	1	0	0	10	1	1	0.5	8.5
18Daylin SaikiS	3	1	0	8	.125	23	1	1	9	0	0	0	2
12Alexis BurtonOH	3	1	4	8	-.375	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Bailey UpshawMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	1
9Ma'kayla CoatsOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
5Kasey WatkinsOPP	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0
10Tomoni GiddingsL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	13	2	0	0	0
11Brayla DossL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Juliana HenaoS	2	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
0Jaylynn McNeillOH	1	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
4Kelsey BurksMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	20	106	.094	29	1	7	46	5	7	3.5	43

Mississippi St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	13	1	25	.480	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	3	6	0	8	.750	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	2	8
13Sydnie WallerOH	3	7	1	23	.261	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Cassidy CageMB	3	5	0	13	.385	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
8Mary NealDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
24Cayley HansonS	3	0	1	3	-.333	32	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Avery PowerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
17Kyla ScharfmanDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	15	0	0	0	0	1
10Paloma RoutaboulOH	2	7	1	16	.375	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	7
28Olivia StantOH	1	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
21Ava AndersonMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Adriana JeanpierreS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	7	97	.351	39	5	4	47	1	2	5	4.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 ALCORN · MISSST 6

Set 1

8-25

Longest run 1 ALCORNMISSST 6

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 ALCORNMISSST 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 ALCORNMISSST 6

Bars above the line = Mississippi St. leads, below = Alcorn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alcorn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	33%3/9
2	46%6/13	30%3/10
3	38%5/13	25%2/8
4	38%5/13	0%0/5
5	42%5/12	38%3/8
6	29%4/14	0%0/5
All	44%32/73	24%11/45

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	62%8/13
2	70%7/10	36%4/11
3	83%5/6	62%8/13
4	83%5/6	55%6/11
5	71%5/7	55%6/11
6	71%5/7	64%9/14
All	76%34/45	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

118 rallies

Rally log

#	ALCORN-MISSST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ALCORN	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
2	1-1	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
3	2-1	MISSST	ALCORN	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.0
4	2-2	ALCORN	MISSST×5	Attack err	Courtney Carter		+0.0
5	2-3	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
6	2-4	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	MISSST server	aced Tomoni Giddings	+0.0
7	2-5	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
8	2-6	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+0.0
9	3-6	MISSST	ALCORN	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.0
10	3-7	ALCORN	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
11	3-8	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
12	3-9	MISSST	MISSST×4	Ace	MISSST server	aced Tomoni Giddings	+0.0
13	3-10	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
14	4-10	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
15	4-11	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
16	4-12	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
17	4-13	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
18	5-13	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
19	5-14	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
20	5-15	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
21	5-16	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Cassidy Cage	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
22	6-16	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Ma'kayla Coats	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
23	6-17	ALCORN	MISSST×6	Kill	Cassidy Cage	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
24	6-18	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
25	6-19	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set McKenna Yates	+0.0
26	6-20	MISSST	MISSST×6	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Mary Neal	+0.0
27	6-21	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+0.0
28	6-22	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Alexis Burton	blk Sydnie Waller, Cassidy Cage	+0.0
29	7-22	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
30	7-23	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
31	7-24	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Cassidy Cage	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
32	8-24	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
33	8-25	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MISSST	ALCORN	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.0
2	1-1	ALCORN	MISSST	Attack err	Jaylynn McNeill	blk Cassidy Cage, Olivia Stant	+0.0
3	1-2	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Jaylynn McNeill	blk Cassidy Cage, Lindsey Mangelson	+0.0
4	2-2	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
5	2-3	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
6	2-4	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
7	2-5	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Cristin Webb	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.0
8	3-5	MISSST	ALCORN	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.0
9	3-6	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set McKenna Yates	+0.0
10	3-7	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
11	3-8	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.0
12	4-8	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
13	4-9	ALCORN	MISSST	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
14	5-9	MISSST	ALCORN	Attack err	Olivia Stant	blk Cristin Webb, Juliana Henao	+0.0
15	5-10	ALCORN	MISSST	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
16	6-10	MISSST	ALCORN	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.0
17	6-11	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
18	7-11	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
19	8-11	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Olivia Stant	blk Kelsey Burks, Jaylynn McNeill	+0.0
20	8-12	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
21	8-13	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
22	8-14	MISSST	MISSST×3	Ace	MISSST server	aced Kasey Watkins	+0.0
23	9-14	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
24	10-14	ALCORN	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
25	10-15	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
26	11-15	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
27	11-16	ALCORN	MISSST	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
28	12-16	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
29	13-16	ALCORN	ALCORN	Kill	Daylin Saiki	set Courtney Carter	+0.0
30	13-17	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.0
31	14-17	MISSST	ALCORN	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.0
32	14-18	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
33	14-19	MISSST	MISSST×3	Bad set	Daylin Saiki		+0.0
34	14-20	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
35	15-20	MISSST	ALCORN×3	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
36	16-20	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Olivia Stant	+0.0
37	17-20	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Tomoni Giddings	+0.0
38	17-21	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Cassidy Cage	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.0
39	18-21	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
40	18-22	ALCORN	MISSST	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
41	19-22	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
42	19-23	ALCORN	MISSST×3	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
43	19-24	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
44	19-25	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Cristin Webb	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ALCORN	MISSST	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+0.0
2	1-1	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
3	2-1	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Cayley Hanson		+0.0
4	2-2	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Cassidy Cage	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
5	3-2	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
6	3-3	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
7	4-3	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
8	4-4	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
9	4-5	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	MISSST server	aced Kasey Watkins	+0.0
10	5-5	MISSST	ALCORN×3	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Juliana Henao	+0.0
11	6-5	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Bad set	Cayley Hanson		+0.0
12	7-5	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Kill	Rylan Jones		+0.0
13	7-6	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
14	8-6	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Juliana Henao	+0.0
15	8-7	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
16	9-7	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Juliana Henao	+0.0
17	9-8	ALCORN	MISSST	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
18	10-8	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
19	11-8	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Paloma Routaboul	blk Alexis Burton, Bailey Upshaw	+0.0
20	11-9	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
21	12-9	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
22	13-9	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Sydnie Waller	blk Bailey Upshaw, Courtney Carter	+0.0
23	13-10	ALCORN	MISSST	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
24	13-11	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
25	14-11	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
26	14-12	ALCORN	MISSST×4	Kill	Paloma Routaboul	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
27	14-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
28	14-14	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
29	14-15	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
30	15-15	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Juliana Henao	+0.0
31	15-16	ALCORN	MISSST×6	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
32	15-17	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Cristin Webb		+0.0
33	15-18	MISSST	MISSST×6	Bad set	Daylin Saiki		+0.0
34	15-19	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
35	15-20	MISSST	MISSST×6	Ace	MISSST server	aced Courtney Carter	+0.0
36	15-21	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0
37	16-21	MISSST	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.0
38	16-22	ALCORN	MISSST×4	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.0
39	16-23	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Cayley Hanson	+0.0
40	16-24	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.0
41	16-25	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Alcorn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.