FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

UTSA def. IU Indy 3–0

(25-14, 25-14, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IUINDY	14	14	16	0
UTSA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTSA above 50 · IUINDY below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to UTSA — set 1, IUINDY 0-2 UTSA. Attack error by Elle Patterson. UTSA win probability 86% → 87%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IUINDY 15.1%84.9% UTSA

IU Indy wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

8.0%

UTSA wins

3-0

36.9%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.6%

IUINDY break %: 38.2% vs this opp
UTSA break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Elle PattersonAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Elle Patterson
Set 1 · IUINDY 0-2 UTSA · UTSA 86% → 87%
02
Grace PurichiaBad set+1.1%
Bad set by Grace Purichia
Set 1 · IUINDY 0-3 UTSA · UTSA 87% → 88%
03
Bailey SinishAttack error+1.0%
Bailey Sinish stuffed by Caroline Tredwell & Brooke Elliott
Set 2 · IUINDY 0-1 UTSA · UTSA 92% → 93%
04
Caroline TredwellKill+1.0%
Kill by Caroline Tredwell (set by Valeria Ortiz)
Set 1 · IUINDY 0-1 UTSA · UTSA 85% → 86%
05
Jillian TippmannAttack error+1.0%
Jillian Tippmann stuffed by Sydney Bryant & Ledisi Kpea
Set 1 · IUINDY 1-5 UTSA · UTSA 88% → 89%
06
Amanda StephensAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Amanda Stephens
Set 2 · IUINDY 2-4 UTSA · UTSA 93% → 94%
07
Chloe MaciasAttack error+0.9%
Chloe Macias stuffed by Ledisi Kpea & Gigi Mason
Set 2 · IUINDY 4-7 UTSA · UTSA 94% → 95%
08
UTSA serverService error+0.8%
UTSA service error
Set 1 · IUINDY 1-3 UTSA · IUINDY 12% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

IU Indyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Jillian TippmannOPP	3	9	6	23	.130	0	1	1	4	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
2Grace PurichiaS	3	4	0	8	.500	18	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	5
14Bailey SinishOH	3	3	5	19	-.105	1	1	2	9	0	0	0	0	4
15Amanda StephensMB	3	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
11Elle PattersonOH	2	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
24Chloe MaciasMB	2	0	3	5	-.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Lexi GrissettS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Laura RoederL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	5	1	0	0	0	0
6Lila BrittMB	2	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Morgan BegleyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
18Ninah MirandaOH	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Maia LongOH	1	3	1	5	.400	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3
9Brynn ZastrowL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kate WhiteOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Lauren WhiteS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	21	86	.023	23	4	10	28	3	2	2	3	44

UTSAhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Sydney BryantOH	3	15	1	22	.636	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	17
5Ally TribeOH	3	8	3	20	.250	0	0	3	6	3	1	2	2	10
4Caroline TredwellMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	1	1	0	1	4	3	8
7Ledisi KpeaMB	3	4	2	8	.250	1	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	7
23Brooke ElliottOPP	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	4
21Valeria OrtizS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	3	7	0	0	0	0	1
3Alyssa ManitzasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
0Giada ObregonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	0	1
12Megan HawkinsS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Gigi MasonOPP	2	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
10Makinsey JonesMB	2	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Raegan RamirezDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Sydney BlackDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	7	77	.403	36	3	10	35	4	3	20	13	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 IUINDY · UTSA 4

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 IUINDYUTSA 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 IUINDYUTSA 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 IUINDYUTSA 4

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = IU Indy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

IU Indy

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%6/18	33%3/9
2	40%6/15	25%2/8
3	50%6/12	14%1/7
4	46%6/13	25%2/8
5	56%5/9	14%1/7
6	67%4/6	29%2/7
All	45%33/73	24%11/46

UTSA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	56%5/9
2	86%6/7	65%11/17
3	75%6/8	54%7/13
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	86%6/7	54%7/13
6	71%5/7	38%3/8
All	76%35/46	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	IUINDY-UTSA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.0
2	0-2	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Elle Patterson		+1.3
3	0-3	UTSA	UTSA×3	Bad set	Grace Purichia		+1.1
4	1-3	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.8
5	1-4	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.8
6	1-5	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann	blk Sydney Bryant, Ledisi Kpea	+1.0
7	1-6	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ledisi Kpea		+0.8
8	2-6	UTSA	IUINDY	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea		+0.5
9	2-7	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.6
10	2-8	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Amanda Stephens		+0.6
11	3-8	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.4
12	3-9	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
13	3-10	UTSA	UTSA×4	Ace	UTSA server	aced Morgan Begley	+0.5
14	3-11	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
15	3-12	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Bailey Sinish		+0.2
16	4-12	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Bailey Sinish	set Grace Purichia	+0.1
17	4-13	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
18	5-13	UTSA	IUINDY×3	Kill	Amanda Stephens	set Grace Purichia	+0.1
19	6-13	IUINDY	IUINDY×3	Kill	Elle Patterson	set Grace Purichia	+0.2
20	7-13	IUINDY	IUINDY×3	Ace	IUINDY server	aced Ally Tribe	+0.4
21	7-14	IUINDY	UTSA	Attack err	Chloe Macias		+0.3
22	7-15	UTSA	UTSA	Ace	UTSA server	aced Laura Roeder	+0.3
23	8-15	UTSA	IUINDY	Attack err	Ally Tribe		+0.2
24	9-15	IUINDY	IUINDY	Attack err	Ally Tribe	blk Jillian Tippmann	+0.3
25	9-16	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
26	10-16	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Grace Purichia	set Laura Roeder	+0.2
27	11-16	IUINDY	IUINDY	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.5
28	11-17	IUINDY	UTSA	Attack err	Chloe Macias	blk Caroline Tredwell	+0.4
29	12-17	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.3
30	12-18	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
31	12-19	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Bailey Sinish	blk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason	+0.4
32	12-20	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.2
33	12-21	UTSA	UTSA×4	Bad set	Grace Purichia		+0.1
34	13-21	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
35	13-22	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
36	13-23	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Bailey Sinish	blk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason	+0.0
37	13-24	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Amanda Stephens	blk Ally Tribe, Ledisi Kpea	+0.0
38	14-24	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.0
39	14-25	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Bailey Sinish	blk Caroline Tredwell, Brooke Elliott	+1.0
2	1-1	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.8
3	1-2	IUINDY	UTSA	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann	blk Ally Tribe	+0.7
4	2-2	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Bailey Sinish	set Grace Purichia	+0.8
5	2-3	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.7
6	2-4	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Amanda Stephens		+0.9
7	3-4	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Grace Purichia	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.7
8	3-5	IUINDY	UTSA	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.7
9	4-5	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Grace Purichia	set Bailey Sinish	+0.7
10	4-6	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.7
11	4-7	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Chloe Macias	blk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason	+0.9
12	4-8	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.7
13	5-8	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.5
14	5-9	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Makinsey Jones	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
15	5-10	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.6
16	6-10	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.4
17	6-11	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann	blk Caroline Tredwell, Ally Tribe	+0.4
18	6-12	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.5
19	6-13	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
20	7-13	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
21	8-13	IUINDY	IUINDY	Attack err	Ally Tribe	blk Jillian Tippmann, Amanda Stephens	+0.4
22	8-14	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.3
23	8-15	UTSA	UTSA×4	Bad set	Grace Purichia		+0.3
24	8-16	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
25	8-17	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.1
26	9-17	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.1
27	9-18	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
28	10-18	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.0
29	11-18	IUINDY	IUINDY	Ace	IUINDY server	aced Ally Tribe	+0.1
30	11-19	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
31	11-20	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Elle Patterson	blk Ledisi Kpea, Makinsey Jones	+0.1
32	11-21	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Elle Patterson		+0.0
33	12-21	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Amanda Stephens	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
34	12-22	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
35	13-22	UTSA	IUINDY	Attack err	Makinsey Jones		+0.0
36	13-23	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
37	14-23	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Elle Patterson	set Laura Roeder	+0.0
38	14-24	IUINDY	UTSA	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.0
39	14-25	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	IUINDY	IUINDY	Ace	IUINDY server	aced Sydney Bryant	+0.6
2	2-0	IUINDY	IUINDY	Kill	Bailey Sinish	set Grace Purichia	+0.6
3	2-1	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.4
4	2-2	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.6
5	2-3	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann		+0.5
6	2-4	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Bailey Sinish	blk Caroline Tredwell, Brooke Elliott	+0.5
7	3-4	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.4
8	3-5	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.4
9	3-6	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Maia Long		+0.4
10	3-7	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann	blk Sydney Bryant	+0.4
11	3-8	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
12	4-8	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.2
13	5-8	IUINDY	IUINDY	Kill	Maia Long	set Grace Purichia	+0.3
14	5-9	IUINDY	UTSA	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.3
15	6-9	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.3
16	7-9	IUINDY	IUINDY	Ace	IUINDY server	aced Ally Tribe	+0.5
17	7-10	IUINDY	UTSA	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.3
18	8-10	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.3
19	8-11	IUINDY	UTSA×3	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.4
20	8-12	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Caroline Tredwell		+0.4
21	8-13	UTSA	UTSA×3	Ace	UTSA server	aced Maia Long	+0.3
22	9-13	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Grace Purichia	set Maia Long	+0.2
23	9-14	IUINDY	UTSA	Serve err	IUINDY server		+0.2
24	10-14	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
25	10-15	IUINDY	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
26	10-16	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Jillian Tippmann	blk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant	+0.2
27	10-17	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
28	10-18	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
29	11-18	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
30	11-19	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.1
31	11-20	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
32	12-20	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Maia Long	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
33	12-21	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.0
34	12-22	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Ledisi Kpea	+0.0
35	13-22	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Jillian Tippmann	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
36	13-23	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
37	14-23	UTSA	IUINDY	Kill	Maia Long	set Grace Purichia	+0.0
38	15-23	IUINDY	IUINDY	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea	blk Amanda Stephens	+0.0
39	15-24	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0
40	16-24	UTSA	IUINDY	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.0
41	16-25	IUINDY	UTSA	Kill	Makinsey Jones	set Megan Hawkins	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, IU Indy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.