Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

Ball St. def. IU Indy 3–1

Ball St. beat visiting IU Indy 3-1 (25-14, 23-25, 25-18, 25-14) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Ball St.'s Madison Buckley led with 13 kills, and Sophie Ledbetter added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
IUINDY142518141
BALLST252325253

Win probability

Ball St. above 50 · IU Indy below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.0% IUINDYrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.0% to IU Indy — set 2, IUINDY 25-23 BALLST. Attack error by Ava Smith. BALLST win probability 90% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IUINDY 9.4%90.6% BALLST

IU Indy wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.3%

Ball St. wins

3-0
45.4%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.6%
IUINDY break %
36.3% vs this opp
BALLST break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava SmithAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Ava Smith

    Set 2 · IUINDY 25-23 BALLST · IUINDY 10% → 15%

  2. 02
    Ava SmithKill+3.0%

    Kill by Ava Smith (set by Sophie Ledbetter)

    Set 2 · IUINDY 23-23 BALLST · BALLST 90% → 93%

  3. 03
    Lila BrittKill+2.9%

    Kill by Lila Britt (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 2 · IUINDY 24-23 BALLST · IUINDY 7% → 10%

  4. 04
    Mallory PikeAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Mallory Pike

    Set 2 · IUINDY 23-20 BALLST · IUINDY 11% → 13%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.1%

    Point IU Indy (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · IUINDY 20-18 BALLST · IUINDY 8% → 10%

  6. 06
    Tiffany SnookKill+2.1%

    Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)

    Set 2 · IUINDY 23-22 BALLST · BALLST 87% → 90%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.9%

    Point IU Indy (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · IUINDY 22-20 BALLST · IUINDY 9% → 11%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.8%

    Point Ball St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 3 · IUINDY 0-1 BALLST · BALLST 85% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412732.15611112010114
410737.0812004002111
48527.1110011120008
46112.417000100217
45412.083000201016
4109.11136121000002
42021.0002131300003
4011-1.000000000000
2002.000000000000
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4425134.142413753324471
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412635.1710121002114
49116.5001132014313
411024.4580001002112
410216.50000040031.511.5
4001.0002801900000
2137-.286000130212
413223.47800010212.515.5
4000–1800600000
4000–6021500000
35111.3640101001017
2000–001000000
2000–000000000
Team totals6115133.34653395034141198

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 IUINDY · BALLST 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 IUINDYBALLST 8

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 IUINDYBALLST 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 IUINDYBALLST 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 IUINDYBALLST 6

Bars above the line = Ball St. leads, below = IU Indy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

IU Indy

No clean sets to split.

Ball St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#IUINDY-BALLSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BALLSTBALLSTBlockedJillian Tippmannblk Audrey Geer, Camryn Wise+1.0
21-1BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.7
32-1IUINDYIUINDYAttack errCamryn Wise+1.2
4–53-2IUINDY · BALLST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
63-3IUINDYBALLSTAttack errNinah Miranda+0.8
74-3BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.9
8–95-4IUINDY · BALLST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
105-5IUINDYBALLST×3KillAva Smith+0.8
11–136-7IUINDY · BALLST 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
146-8IUINDYBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.7
156-9BALLSTBALLSTAttack errJillian Tippmann+0.9
167-9BALLSTIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.6
177-10IUINDYBALLSTServe errIU Indy+0.6
188-10BALLSTIUINDYKillBailey Sinish+0.6
198-11IUINDYBALLSTKillAudrey Geer+0.6
209-11BALLSTIUINDYAttack errAudrey Geer+0.6
219-12IUINDYBALLST×3Serve errIU Indy+0.7
22–2410-14IUINDY · BALLST 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
2511-14IUINDYIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+0.7
2611-15IUINDYBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.6
2711-16BALLSTBALLSTAttack errJillian Tippmann+0.6
2812-16BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.3
2913-16IUINDY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
3013-17IUINDYBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.6
3114-17BALLSTIUINDYAttack errAva Smith+0.5
32–3314-19BALLST 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
3414-20BALLSTBALLST×8KillMadison Buckley+0.3
3514-21BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3614-22BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errJillian Tippmann+0.1
3714-23BALLSTBALLST×8Attack errBailey Sinish·
3814-24BALLSTBALLST×8BlockedBailey Sinishblk Gwen Crull, Madison Buckley·
3914-25BALLSTBALLST×8Bad setGrace Purichia·
Set 2
11-0IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Audrey Geer+0.8
2–53-2IUINDY 2 · BALLST 2
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
64-2IUINDYIUINDY×3KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.0
74-3IUINDYBALLSTServe errIU Indy+0.6
84-4BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
95-4BALLSTIUINDYAttack errAva Smith+0.7
105-5IUINDYBALLSTAttack errNinah Miranda+0.6
116-5BALLSTIUINDY×3Serve errBall St.+0.7
127-5IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedGwen Crullblk Chloe Macias+1.1
138-5IUINDY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
148-6IUINDYBALLST×6KillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.7
158-7BALLSTBALLST×6KillMadison Buckley+1.0
168-8BALLSTBALLST×6BlockedBailey Sinishblk Madison Buckley+1.0
178-9BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errChloe Macias+0.9
188-10BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errBailey Sinish+0.8
198-11BALLSTBALLST×6KillCamryn Wiseset Grace Purichia+0.7
209-11BALLSTIUINDYServe errBall St.+0.4
2110-11IUINDYIUINDYServe errIU Indy+0.8
2210-12IUINDYBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Reese Axness+0.6
2311-12BALLSTIUINDY×3Attack errAudrey Geer+0.6
2412-12IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errCamryn Wise+1.0
2513-12IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedAudrey Geerblk Jillian Tippmann, Lila Britt+1.3
2613-13IUINDYBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+0.8
2714-13BALLSTIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+1.0
2814-14IUINDYBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.9
2915-14BALLSTIUINDYKillLaura Roeder+1.0
3015-15IUINDYBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.9
3116-15BALLSTIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.1
3217-15IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errAva Smith+1.7
3318-15IUINDYIUINDY×3KillNinah Mirandaset Jillian Tippmann+1.7
3418-16IUINDYBALLST×3Bad setLaura Roeder+0.9
3518-17BALLSTBALLST×3KillMallory Pikeset Lindsey Green+1.6
3618-18BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
3719-18BALLSTIUINDYKillNinah Miranda+1.3
3820-18IUINDY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
3920-19IUINDYBALLSTKillMadison Buckley+1.2
4021-19BALLSTIUINDYKillChloe Macias+1.7
4121-20IUINDYBALLSTKillMadison Buckley+1.3
4222-20IUINDY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
4323-20IUINDYIUINDYAttack errMallory Pike+2.3
4423-21IUINDYBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.9
4523-22BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+2.1
4623-23BALLSTBALLST×3KillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+3.0
4724-23BALLSTIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.9
4825-23IUINDYIUINDYAttack errAva Smith+5.0
Set 3
10-1BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
21-1BALLSTIUINDYKillBailey Sinish+1.4
31-2IUINDYBALLST×4KillMallory Pikeset Sophie Ledbetter+1.3
41-3BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
51-4BALLSTBALLST×4KillTiffany Snook+1.4
61-5BALLSTBALLST×4KillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.2
72-5BALLSTIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.8
83-5IUINDYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.4
93-6IUINDYBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.0
103-7BALLSTBALLSTKillAva Smithset Sophie Ledbetter+1.2
114-7BALLSTIUINDYServe errBall St.+0.8
124-8IUINDYBALLST×3KillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.9
134-9BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errNinah Miranda+1.0
144-10BALLSTBALLST×3KillGwen Crull+0.7
155-10BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.4
165-11BALLST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
175-12BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.5
186-12BALLSTIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.3
197-12IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedMadison Buckleyblk Bailey Sinish+0.6
208-12IUINDYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.9
218-13IUINDYBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.7
228-14BALLSTBALLSTAceBall St.+0.7
239-14BALLSTIUINDYKillLaura Roederset Grace Purichia+0.4
249-15IUINDYBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.5
2510-15BALLSTIUINDYServe errBall St.+0.4
2610-16IUINDYBALLSTKillMallory Pike+0.5
2711-16BALLSTIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmann+0.4
2812-16IUINDYIUINDY×3KillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+0.9
2913-16IUINDYIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.3
3013-17IUINDYBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green+1.1
3114-17BALLSTIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+1.0
3214-18IUINDYBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.1
3314-19BALLSTBALLSTBlockedJillian Tippmannblk Gwen Crull, Ava Smith+1.1
3415-19BALLSTIUINDYAttack errAva Smith+0.5
3515-20IUINDYBALLSTKillGwen Crull+0.7
3615-21BALLSTBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.6
3716-21BALLSTIUINDYAttack errMadison Buckley+0.2
3817-21IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.6
3917-22IUINDYBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.6
4017-23BALLSTBALLST×3Serve errBall St.+0.4
4117-24BALLSTBALLST×3Attack errBailey Sinish+0.1
4218-24BALLSTIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia·
4318-25IUINDYBALLSTBlockedBailey Sinishblk Madison Buckley·
Set 4
11-0IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.6
21-1IUINDYBALLST×6Serve errIU Indy+1.0
31-2BALLSTBALLST×6Attack errBailey Sinish+1.4
41-3BALLSTBALLST×6AceBall St.aced Ninah Miranda+1.2
51-4BALLSTBALLST×6KillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+1.1
6–82-6IUINDY · BALLST 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
92-7IUINDYBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.5
103-7BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmann+0.5
113-8IUINDYBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Lindsey Green+0.5
124-8BALLSTIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+0.5
135-8IUINDY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
145-9IUINDYBALLST×4Attack errNinah Miranda+0.7
155-10BALLSTBALLST×4KillMadison Buckleyset Sophie Ledbetter+0.7
165-11BALLSTBALLST×4KillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.6
175-12BALLSTBALLST×4Attack errChloe Macias+0.4
186-12BALLSTIUINDYServe errBall St.+0.2
19–207-13IUINDY · BALLST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
217-14IUINDYBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness+0.3
228-14BALLSTIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.2
238-15IUINDYBALLSTKillTiffany Snookset Lindsey Green+0.2
249-15BALLSTIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+0.2
259-16IUINDYBALLSTKillAva Smithset Lindsey Green+0.2
26–2710-17IUINDY · BALLST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2810-18IUINDYBALLSTKillGwen Crullset Reese Axness+0.1
2910-19BALLSTBALLSTAttack errJillian Tippmann+0.1
3011-19BALLSTIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia·
3111-20IUINDYBALLSTBlockedKate Whiteblk Gwen Crull+0.1
3212-20BALLSTIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia·
3312-21IUINDYBALLSTKillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness·
3413-21BALLSTIUINDYServe errBall St.·
3513-22IUINDYBALLST×3KillMadison Buckleyset Reese Axness·
3613-23BALLSTBALLST×3BlockedLila Brittblk Mallory Pike·
3713-24BALLSTBALLST×3KillTiffany Snook·
3814-24BALLSTIUINDYKillBailey Sinish·
3914-25IUINDYBALLSTKillCamryn Wiseset Lindsey Green·

Score shown after each rally, IU Indy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).