Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

1:3

HomeSEC

Texas A&M def. Grand Canyon 3–1

(25-15, 25-17, 15-25, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
GCANYN	15	17	25	13	1
TX A&M	25	25	15	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX A&M above 50 · GCANYN below

Biggest swing: 0.6% to Texas A&M — set 4, GCANYN 0-2 TX A&M. Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Gabi Rodriguez). TX A&M win probability 97% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GCANYN 3.3%96.7% TX A&M

Grand Canyon wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Texas A&M wins

3-0

61.1%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

7.8%

GCANYN break %: 33.9% vs this opp
TX A&M break %: 47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Natalie RingKill+0.6%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Gabi Rodriguez)
Set 4 · GCANYN 0-2 TX A&M · TX A&M 97% → 98%
02
Starr WilliamsAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Starr Williams
Set 4 · GCANYN 0-3 TX A&M · TX A&M 98% → 99%
03
Starr WilliamsAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Starr Williams
Set 4 · GCANYN 0-1 TX A&M · TX A&M 97% → 97%
04
Natalie RingKill+0.4%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Gabi Rodriguez)
Set 4 · GCANYN 1-5 TX A&M · TX A&M 99% → 99%
05
Starr WilliamsAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Starr Williams
Set 1 · GCANYN 0-1 TX A&M · TX A&M 97% → 97%
06
Starr WilliamsKill+0.4%
Kill by Starr Williams (set by Taylor Kubacak)
Set 4 · GCANYN 1-3 TX A&M · GCANYN 1% → 2%
07
GCANYN serverService error+0.4%
Grand Canyon service error
Set 4 · GCANYN 1-4 TX A&M · TX A&M 98% → 99%
08
Natalie RingKill+0.3%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Lily Nicholson)
Set 1 · GCANYN 0-2 TX A&M · TX A&M 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Grand Canyonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Starr WilliamsOPP	4	14	4	29	.345	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	14
10Aubrey BellusMB	4	5	2	17	.176	0	1	2	0	0	4	2	8
21Bella NunezS	4	6	5	17	.059	16	0	2	8	0	4	2	8
19Aubrey GoodereMB	4	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
4Taylor KubacakS	4	0	0	0	–	15	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
2Katie SchulzOH	1	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
11Gentry ObladOH	4	9	6	25	.120	1	0	2	8	2	0	0	9
9Macey HughesOPP	4	4	3	18	.056	1	0	0	5	0	2	1	5
8Bella AndersonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	9	1	0	0	1
3Alayna Austin	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
7Natalie GuerreroDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	23	124	.153	41	2	9	49	6	12	6	70

Texas A&Mhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Megan FitchOH	4	13	4	36	.250	0	1	0	11	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
25Eliza SharpMB	4	12	1	17	.647	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	15.5
17Natalie RingOH	4	12	7	31	.161	0	1	1	6	0	0	2	1	14
6Taryn MorrisOPP	4	6	2	23	.174	1	1	3	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
19Kaia CastleMB	4	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
12Lily NicholsonS	4	1	0	1	1.000	18	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
14Kirra MusgroveS	4	0	0	2	.000	20	1	1	3	0	0	2	1	2
1Gabi RodriguezL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	1
10Margot ManningS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
2Addi ApplegateL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Amare HernandezOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		50	16	126	.270	46	6	8	48	2	1	21	11.5	90

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 GCANYN · TX A&M 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 GCANYNTX A&M 6

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 GCANYNTX A&M 6

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 3 GCANYNTX A&M 2

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 3 GCANYNTX A&M 6

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Grand Canyon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	33%4/12
2	53%8/15	50%9/18
3	58%7/12	22%2/9
4	64%7/11	30%3/10
5	46%6/13	36%4/11
6	38%6/16	45%5/11
All	48%43/89	38%27/71

Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%10/17	60%12/20
2	64%7/11	56%10/18
3	78%7/9	53%8/15
4	58%7/12	30%3/10
5	54%7/13	30%3/10
6	67%6/9	63%10/16
All	62%44/71	52%46/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

160 rallies

Rally log

#	GCANYN-TX A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.4
2	0-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.3
3	0-3	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.3
4	0-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Lily Nicholson	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.2
5	0-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus		+0.2
6	0-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
7	1-6	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
8	2-6	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Taryn Morris		+0.2
9	3-6	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Bellus	+0.2
10	3-7	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
11	3-8	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Bella Nunez	blk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp	+0.2
12	3-9	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Bella Nunez	blk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp	+0.1
13	4-9	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
14	5-9	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere	+0.2
15	5-10	GCANYN	TX A&M×4	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
16	5-11	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Aubrey Goodere	blk Megan Fitch, Eliza Sharp	+0.1
17	5-12	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
18	5-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Bella Nunez		+0.1
19	6-13	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
20	6-14	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
21	6-15	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Katie Schulz	+0.0
22	6-16	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Addi Applegate	+0.0
23	7-16	TX A&M	GCANYN	Attack err	Megan Fitch		+0.0
24	7-17	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
25	7-18	TX A&M	TX A&M	Bad set	Bella Nunez		+0.0
26	8-18	TX A&M	GCANYN×4	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
27	9-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
28	10-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
29	11-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Megan Fitch		+0.0
30	11-19	GCANYN	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
31	11-20	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.0
32	11-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.0
33	11-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
34	12-22	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
35	12-23	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
36	13-23	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
37	14-23	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+0.0
38	15-23	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus		+0.0
39	15-24	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
40	15-25	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Katie Schulz	blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Anderson	+0.3
2	1-1	GCANYN	TX A&M×6	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
3	1-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Gentry Oblad	+0.3
4	1-3	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Bad set	Aubrey Goodere		+0.2
5	1-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.2
6	1-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
7	1-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
8	2-6	TX A&M	GCANYN	Bad set	Lily Nicholson		+0.1
9	3-6	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Aubrey Goodere, Macey Hughes	+0.1
10	3-7	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
11	3-8	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Starr Williams	+0.1
12	3-9	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
13	4-9	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
14	4-10	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
15	5-10	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
16	5-11	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
17	5-12	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
18	6-12	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
19	6-13	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
20	7-13	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
21	7-14	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
22	8-14	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
23	8-15	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
24	9-15	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
25	9-16	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
26	10-16	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
27	11-16	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
28	11-17	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
29	12-17	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
30	13-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
31	14-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
32	14-18	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
33	15-18	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Anderson	+0.1
34	15-19	GCANYN	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
35	15-20	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Bella Nunez	blk Megan Fitch, Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+0.1
36	15-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Alayna Austin	+0.1
37	15-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Bella Nunez	blk Megan Fitch, Kaia Castle	+0.0
38	16-22	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
39	16-23	GCANYN	TX A&M	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+0.0
40	16-24	TX A&M	TX A&M	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Gentry Oblad	+0.0
41	17-24	TX A&M	GCANYN	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Bellus	+0.0
42	17-25	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
2	1-1	GCANYN	TX A&M	Attack err	Gentry Oblad	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+0.1
3	2-1	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
4	2-2	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
5	2-3	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
6	3-3	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
7	4-3	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+0.2
8	4-4	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
9	5-4	TX A&M	GCANYN	Attack err	Eliza Sharp		+0.1
10	6-4	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
11	6-5	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
12	7-5	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
13	8-5	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Anderson	+0.2
14	8-6	GCANYN	TX A&M	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+0.1
15	8-7	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
16	9-7	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Anderson	+0.2
17	10-7	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
18	10-8	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
19	11-8	TX A&M	GCANYN	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+0.2
20	12-8	GCANYN	GCANYN	Bad set	Natalie Ring		+0.3
21	12-9	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
22	13-9	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
23	13-10	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.2
24	14-10	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.2
25	14-11	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
26	15-11	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
27	16-11	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
28	17-11	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Macey Hughes	+0.3
29	17-12	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
30	18-12	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
31	19-12	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Megan Fitch		+0.2
32	19-13	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
33	20-13	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+0.2
34	21-13	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
35	22-13	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Taryn Morris	blk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Bellus	+0.1
36	22-14	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
37	23-14	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
38	24-14	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
39	24-15	GCANYN	TX A&M	Attack err	Gentry Oblad	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+0.0
40	25-15	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.5
2	0-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.6
3	0-3	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.5
4	1-3	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
5	1-4	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.4
6	1-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.4
7	1-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Aubrey Goodere		+0.3
8	2-6	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
9	2-7	GCANYN	TX A&M	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
10	3-7	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
11	3-8	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
12	3-9	TX A&M	TX A&M	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Bella Anderson	+0.2
13	4-9	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.2
14	5-9	GCANYN	GCANYN	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.3
15	5-10	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
16	5-11	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Addi Applegate	+0.3
17	6-11	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.2
18	6-12	GCANYN	TX A&M×6	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
19	6-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Taryn Morris		+0.2
20	6-14	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.1
21	6-15	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus		+0.1
22	6-16	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
23	6-17	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
24	7-17	TX A&M	GCANYN	Attack err	Megan Fitch	blk Aubrey Bellus, Bella Nunez	+0.0
25	7-18	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Taryn Morris	+0.0
26	8-18	TX A&M	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Amare Hernandez		+0.0
27	9-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Gentry Oblad	+0.0
28	10-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Amare Hernandez	+0.0
29	10-19	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
30	11-19	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
31	11-20	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
32	11-21	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Macey Hughes	blk Eliza Sharp, Amare Hernandez	+0.0
33	12-21	TX A&M	GCANYN	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
34	12-22	GCANYN	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
35	13-22	TX A&M	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
36	13-23	GCANYN	TX A&M×3	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
37	13-24	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Gentry Oblad	blk Kirra Musgrove, Kaia Castle	+0.0
38	13-25	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.