FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeMOUNTAIN-WEST

Grand Canyon def. ULM 3–0

(25-16, 25-20, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LA MON	16	20	21	0
GCANYN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GCANYN above 50 · LA MON below

Biggest swing: 0.6% to ULM — set 2, LA MON 12-10 GCANYN. Kill by Marissa Kobelski (set by Morgan Howard). GCANYN win probability 98% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LA MON 3.3%96.7% GCANYN

ULM wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Grand Canyon wins

3-0

61.1%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

7.8%

LA MON break %: 35.7% vs this opp
GCANYN break %: 49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Marissa KobelskiKill+0.6%
Kill by Marissa Kobelski (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 2 · LA MON 12-10 GCANYN · LA MON 2% → 3%
02
Abby CunninghamAttack error+0.6%
Abby Cunningham stuffed by Bella Nunez & Aubrey Goodere
Set 2 · LA MON 14-14 GCANYN · GCANYN 97% → 98%
03
Starr WilliamsAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Starr Williams
Set 1 · LA MON 2-1 GCANYN · LA MON 3% → 4%
04
GCANYN serverService error+0.5%
Grand Canyon service error
Set 2 · LA MON 14-12 GCANYN · LA MON 3% → 3%
05
Aubrey GoodereAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Aubrey Goodere
Set 2 · LA MON 14-15 GCANYN · GCANYN 98% → 98%
06
GCANYN serverService error+0.5%
Grand Canyon service error
Set 2 · LA MON 13-11 GCANYN · LA MON 3% → 3%
07
Starr WilliamsAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Starr Williams
Set 1 · LA MON 4-4 GCANYN · LA MON 3% → 4%
08
Kenzie BehlKill+0.5%
Kill by Kenzie Behl (set by Olivia Anderson)
Set 1 · LA MON 7-8 GCANYN · LA MON 3% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

ULMaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Abby CunninghamOH	3	11	8	26	.115	1	0	1	8	1	0	4	2	13
14Tatum ClayMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
3Marissa KobelskiMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	1	1	9	1	0	0	0	2
15Morgan HowardS	3	0	1	4	-.250	23	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
6Aniya HallOH	2	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	4
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
4Briana RaneyDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
20Myla MatavaoOH	2	3	3	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
10Grace TroxellOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
5Amelia ColonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	0
12Olivia AndersonS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Zharia AlleyneMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	19	84	.131	28	1	8	37	8	1	8	5	57

Grand Canyonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Bella NunezS	3	9	1	15	.533	15	4	2	5	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
12Starr WilliamsOPP	3	8	5	25	.120	0	2	4	4	1	0	0	0	10
19Aubrey GoodereMB	3	7	2	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	10
10Aubrey BellusMB	3	6	3	14	.214	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Gentry ObladOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
20Ana JaramazovicOPP	2	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
2Katie SchulzOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Taylor KubacakS	3	0	0	0	–	18	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Alayna Austin	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Bella AndersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
18Milica ZigicOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		39	14	91	.275	34	8	11	30	1	1	14	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LA MON · GCANYN 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 LA MONGCANYN 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 LA MONGCANYN 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 LA MONGCANYN 4

Bars above the line = Grand Canyon leads, below = ULM leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

ULM

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	13%1/8
2	58%7/12	38%5/13
3	40%6/15	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	25%2/8
5	43%6/14	40%4/10
6	50%5/10	33%3/9
All	52%38/73	32%19/59

Grand Canyon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	57%8/14
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	64%7/11	53%8/15
4	60%6/10	50%6/12
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	67%6/9	57%8/14
All	68%40/59	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	LA MON-GCANYN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
2	1-1	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Eden Pietrzak	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
3	2-1	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.5
4	2-2	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.4
5	2-3	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
6	2-4	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
7	3-4	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
8	4-4	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.5
9	4-5	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.3
10	4-6	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus		+0.4
11	4-7	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Briana Raney	+0.3
12	5-7	GCANYN	LA MON	Bad set	Taylor Kubacak		+0.3
13	5-8	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
14	6-8	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Olivia Anderson	+0.3
15	7-8	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Olivia Anderson	+0.5
16	7-9	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Grace Troxell	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere	+0.3
17	7-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Ana Jaramazovic	set Bella Nunez	+0.4
18	7-11	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Aniya Hall	+0.3
19	8-11	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
20	9-11	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Katie Schulz		+0.4
21	9-12	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Katie Schulz, Aubrey Goodere	+0.3
22	9-13	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams		+0.3
23	10-13	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
24	10-14	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
25	11-14	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
26	11-15	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.2
27	12-15	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
28	12-16	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
29	12-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Briana Raney	+0.2
30	12-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
31	13-18	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
32	13-19	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
33	14-19	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
34	14-20	LA MON	GCANYN×4	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
35	14-21	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Katie Schulz, Aubrey Goodere	+0.1
36	14-22	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski	blk Aubrey Goodere, Ana Jaramazovic	+0.0
37	14-23	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Grace Troxell	+0.0
38	15-23	GCANYN	LA MON	Attack err	Aubrey Goodere		+0.0
39	16-23	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Katie Schulz	blk Marissa Kobelski, Abby Cunningham	+0.0
40	16-24	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
41	16-25	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.2
2	1-1	GCANYN	LA MON×4	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
3	2-1	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus	blk Tatum Clay	+0.3
4	3-1	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Starr Williams	+0.4
5	4-1	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Starr Williams	blk Tatum Clay, Abby Cunningham	+0.5
6	4-2	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
7	4-3	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Bad set	Eden Pietrzak		+0.4
8	4-4	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Katie Schulz, Aubrey Bellus	+0.3
9	5-4	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.3
10	5-5	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.3
11	6-5	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.3
12	6-6	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
13	6-7	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Ana Jaramazovic		+0.3
14	6-8	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.3
15	7-8	GCANYN	LA MON×3	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
16	8-8	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.4
17	9-8	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Katie Schulz		+0.5
18	9-9	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
19	10-9	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Abby Cunningham	+0.4
20	10-10	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
21	11-10	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.4
22	12-10	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
23	12-11	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Ana Jaramazovic	+0.4
24	13-11	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.5
25	13-12	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
26	14-12	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.5
27	14-13	LA MON	GCANYN×6	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
28	14-14	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere	+0.6
29	14-15	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Attack err	Aubrey Goodere		+0.5
30	14-16	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
31	14-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+0.3
32	14-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
33	15-18	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
34	15-19	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.2
35	16-19	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
36	16-20	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
37	17-20	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
38	18-20	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
39	18-21	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
40	19-21	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
41	19-22	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
42	19-23	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
43	19-24	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
44	20-24	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
45	20-25	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Milica Zigic	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
2	1-1	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
3	1-2	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Abby Cunningham	+0.1
4	2-2	GCANYN	LA MON	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.1
5	2-3	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Morgan Howard		+0.1
6	3-3	GCANYN	LA MON×3	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
7	4-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.2
8	5-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus		+0.2
9	5-4	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
10	6-4	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Amelia Colon	+0.2
11	6-5	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
12	7-5	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
13	7-6	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
14	7-7	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.2
15	8-7	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
16	8-8	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
17	8-9	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.2
18	9-9	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
19	9-10	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
20	9-11	GCANYN	GCANYN	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Abby Cunningham	+0.1
21	10-11	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
22	10-12	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.1
23	11-12	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
24	11-13	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
25	11-14	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.1
26	11-15	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
27	12-15	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
28	13-15	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Aubrey Goodere		+0.1
29	13-16	LA MON	GCANYN×4	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
30	13-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Amelia Colon	+0.1
31	13-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.1
32	13-19	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
33	14-19	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
34	14-20	LA MON	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
35	14-21	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.0
36	14-22	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Eden Pietrzak	+0.0
37	15-22	GCANYN	LA MON	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
38	15-23	LA MON	GCANYN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.0
39	16-23	GCANYN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
40	17-23	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus		+0.0
41	17-24	LA MON	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
42	18-24	GCANYN	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
43	19-24	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
44	20-24	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Bella Nunez	blk Abby Cunningham, Tatum Clay	+0.0
45	21-24	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.0
46	21-25	LA MON	GCANYN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, ULM first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.