San Francisco def. Grand Canyon 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 5)

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

3:0

San Francisco won at Grand Canyon 3-0 (25-20, 25-22, 25-18) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. San Francisco's Petra Fritz led with 10 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
S FRAN	25	25	25	3
GCANYN	20	22	18	0

Win probability

Grand Canyon above 50 · San Francisco below

Biggest swing: 10.8% to San Francisco — set 2, S FRAN 24-22 GCANYN. Attack error by Gentry Oblad. GCANYN win probability 57% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S FRAN 11.8%88.2% GCANYN

San Francisco wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.5%

Grand Canyon wins

3-0

41.6%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

S FRAN break %: 37.0% vs this opp
GCANYN break %: 46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Gentry ObladAttack error+10.8%
Attack error by Gentry Oblad
Set 2 · S FRAN 24-22 GCANYN · S FRAN 43% → 54%
02
Katariina KorhonenKill+7.1%
Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Laura Amaro)
Set 2 · S FRAN 23-22 GCANYN · S FRAN 36% → 43%
03
Gentry ObladAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Gentry Oblad
Set 2 · S FRAN 25-22 GCANYN · S FRAN 54% → 61%
04
San FranciscoAce+6.4%
San Francisco ace on Gentry Oblad
Set 2 · S FRAN 20-19 GCANYN · S FRAN 33% → 39%
05
Emma NeukirchenKill+6.0%
Kill by Emma Neukirchen
Set 2 · S FRAN 22-21 GCANYN · S FRAN 35% → 41%
06
Aubrey Goodere&Bella NunezBlock+5.3%
Katariina Korhonen stuffed by Aubrey Goodere & Bella Nunez
Set 2 · S FRAN 22-22 GCANYN · GCANYN 59% → 64%
07
Grand CanyonService error+5.2%
Grand Canyon service error
Set 2 · S FRAN 21-20 GCANYN · S FRAN 35% → 40%
08
Kaela JenkinsKill+5.1%
Kill by Kaela Jenkins (set by Taylor Kubacak)
Set 2 · S FRAN 18-18 GCANYN · GCANYN 61% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

San Franciscoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Petra FritzOH	3	10	3	31	.226	1	3	4	7	1	0	0	0	13
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	9	4	25	.200	2	0	2	11	0	0	2	1	10
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	7
1Talula LenoirOH	3	5	0	10	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
13Jordan SmartS	3	2	0	2	1.000	13	1	2	11	0	0	0	0	3
8Anica BobicOH	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Adelynn LegatesS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
5Laura AmaroL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	4	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
19Hokulani PerezMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Piper JustissS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Simona IvanovaMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11True TakemotoDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	9	100	.310	36	5	13	45	3	1	10	6	75

Grand Canyonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Bella NunezS	3	7	3	19	.211	12	0	1	5	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Aubrey GoodereMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	7
12Starr WilliamsOPP	3	6	4	23	.087	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	6
2Katie SchulzOH	3	3	1	21	.095	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	3
10Aubrey BellusMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
4Taylor KubacakS	3	0	0	0	–	20	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
9Macey HughesOPP	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
15Kaela Jenkins—	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Gentry ObladOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	2	0	3	2	0	0	3
18Milica ZigicOH	3	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
20Ana JaramazovicOPP	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Alayna Austin—	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	0
5Ali WiestOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Audrey CookS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Bella AndersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	0
22Logan StrongDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Mia Vukic—	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Natalie GuerreroDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Nika ZupanicL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	16	105	.171	32	3	9	45	5	6	3	60

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 S FRAN · GCANYN 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 S FRANGCANYN 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 S FRANGCANYN 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 S FRANGCANYN 3

Bars above the line = Grand Canyon leads, below = San Francisco leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%3/3	40%2/5
2	75%3/4	25%1/4
3	100%3/3	25%1/4
4	50%2/4	67%4/6
5	67%2/3	33%1/3
6	40%2/5	33%1/3
All	68%15/22	40%10/25

Grand Canyon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	60%3/5
2	75%3/4	0%0/3
3	75%3/4	25%1/4
4	33%2/6	0%0/3
5	67%2/3	50%2/4
6	67%2/3	33%1/3
All	60%15/25	32%7/22

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	S FRAN-GCANYN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.1
2	0-2	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	Grand Canyon		+1.0
3	0-3	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.9
4	1-3	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Jordan Smart	+0.6
5	2-3	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
6	2-4	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.7
7	2-5	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.9
8	3-5	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+0.7
9	3-6	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.7
10	4-6	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Katariina Korhonen	+0.7
11	5-6		S FRAN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.2
12	6-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.4
13	6-7	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.0
14	7-7	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+1.1
15	7-8	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+1.0
16	8-8	GCANYN	S FRAN	Attack err	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+1.1
17	8-9	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.0
18	9-9	GCANYN	S FRAN	Attack err	Ana Jaramazovic	set Gentry Oblad	+1.1
19	10-9	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus		+1.8
20	10-10	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+1.2
21	11-10	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+1.4
22	12-10	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ball handling	Starr Williams		+2.1
23	12-11	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.3
24	13-11	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+1.6
25	13-12	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.4
26	14-12	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+1.7
27	14-13	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.4
28	14-14	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+2.1
29	15-14	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+1.7
30	15-15	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.5
31	16-15	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+1.8
32	17-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+2.7
33	18-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz		+2.8
34	18-16	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+1.5
35	19-16	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+2.1
36	19-17	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.5
37	20-17	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+2.3
38	20-18	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.6
39	21-18	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.4
40	22-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set True Takemoto	+2.7
41	23-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+1.7
42	23-19	S FRAN	GCANYN	Bad set	Jordan Smart		+0.4
43	24-19	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+1.0
44	24-20	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
45	25-20	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz		+2.6
2	1-1	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.7
3	2-1	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Jordan Smart	set Laura Amaro	+1.9
4	2-2	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.7
5	2-3	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+2.3
6	3-3	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
7	4-3	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Taylor Kubacak	blk Katariina Korhonen, Emma Neukirchen, Bella Nunez	+2.8
8	4-4	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.8
9	5-4	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Jordan Smart	+2.1
10	6-4	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco	aced Alayna Austin	+3.2
11	7-4	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Blocked	Katie Schulz	blk Katariina Korhonen, Maeve Bailey	+3.5
12	7-5	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+2.1
13	7-6	GCANYN	GCANYN	Ace	Grand Canyon		+3.1
14	8-6	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+2.5
15	9-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Katariina Korhonen	+3.7
16	9-7	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+2.2
17	10-7	GCANYN	S FRAN	Blocked	Starr Williams	blk Anica Bobic, Maeve Bailey	+2.8
18	11-7	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+3.9
19	11-8	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+2.2
20	12-8	GCANYN	S FRAN	Blocked	Taylor Kubacak	blk Emma Neukirchen, Anica Bobic, Starr Williams	+2.9
21	12-9	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+2.3
22	13-9	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Petra Fritz	+3.0
23	14-9	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Alayna Austin	+3.9
24	14-10	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+2.0
25	15-10	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+2.9
26	15-11	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere		+2.0
27	16-11	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Laura Amaro		+2.9
28	16-12	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+2.0
29	16-13	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+3.5
30	17-13	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+3.4
31	17-14	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+2.4
32	17-15	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+4.1
33	18-15	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+3.9
34	18-16	S FRAN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Anica Bobic	set Starr Williams	+2.9
35	18-17	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+4.8
36	18-18	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+5.1
37	18-19	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Adelynn Legates	+5.0
38	19-19	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+3.7
39	20-19	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Gentry Oblad	+6.4
40	20-20	S FRAN	GCANYN	Attack err	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+4.2
41	21-20	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+5.2
42	21-21	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+4.6
43	22-21	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+6.0
44	22-22	S FRAN	GCANYN	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Aubrey Goodere, Bella Nunez	+5.3
45	23-22	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+7.1
46	24-22	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+10.8
47	25-22	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Gentry Oblad		+7.0
Set 3
1	0-1	GCANYN	GCANYN	Ace	Grand Canyon	aced Petra Fritz	+2.7
2	1-1	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Jordan Smart	set Laura Amaro	+2.0
3	1-2	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.9
4	1-3	GCANYN	GCANYN	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Kaela Jenkins, Macey Hughes	+2.5
5	2-3	GCANYN	S FRAN	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+1.8
6	2-4	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+1.7
7	2-5	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+2.2
8	3-5	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Jordan Smart	+1.6
9	4-5	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Bella Nunez	blk Maeve Bailey	+2.6
10	4-6	S FRAN	GCANYN	Serve err	San Francisco		+1.8
11	5-6	GCANYN	S FRAN×6	Serve err	Grand Canyon		+2.0
12	6-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+3.2
13	7-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Bella Nunez		+3.8
14	8-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Kaela Jenkins		+4.2
15	9-6		S FRAN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+4.5
16	10-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+4.6
17	10-7	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+2.7
18	11-7	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+3.5
19	11-8	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+2.7
20	12-8	GCANYN	S FRAN×4	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+3.6
21	13-8	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+4.7
22	14-8		S FRAN	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+4.2
23	15-8	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Ball handling	Aubrey Goodere		+3.5
24	15-9	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+1.6
25	15-10	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Bella Nunez	+3.0
26	16-10	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+3.1
27	17-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco	aced Gentry Oblad	+3.3
28	18-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco		+2.4
29	18-11	S FRAN	GCANYN	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Goodere	+0.9
30	19-11	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.6
31	19-12	S FRAN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.7
32	19-13	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+1.6
33	19-14	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+2.3
34	20-14	GCANYN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.7
35	21-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Kaela Jenkins		+2.4
36	22-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Blocked	Starr Williams	blk Anica Bobic, Maeve Bailey	+1.2
37	22-15	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
38	22-16	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Milica Zigic	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.7
39	23-16	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.1
40	23-17	S FRAN	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
41	23-18	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Milica Zigic		+0.8
42	24-18	GCANYN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+1.3
43	25-18	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Milica Zigic		+0.4

Score shown after each rally, San Francisco first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

San Francisco def. Grand Canyon 3–0