Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

3:1

HomeBIG-WEST

Grand Canyon def. UC Riverside 3–1

(25-13, 25-17, 19-25, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
GCANYN	25	25	19	25	3
UC RIV	13	17	25	13	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UC RIV above 50 · GCANYN below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Grand Canyon — set 4, GCANYN 1-0 UC RIV. Kill by Katie Schulz (set by Natalie Guerrero). UC RIV win probability 3% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GCANYN 96.5%3.5% UC RIV

Grand Canyon wins

3-0

60.3%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.1%

UC Riverside wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.2%

GCANYN break %: 49.8% vs this opp
UC RIV break %: 36.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Katie SchulzKill+0.7%
Kill by Katie Schulz (set by Natalie Guerrero)
Set 4 · GCANYN 1-0 UC RIV · GCANYN 97% → 97%
02
Madison PulsipherAttack error+0.6%
Madison Pulsipher stuffed by Aubrey Bellus & Bella Nunez
Set 4 · GCANYN 2-0 UC RIV · GCANYN 97% → 98%
03
Evelyn HendrixKill+0.5%
Kill by Evelyn Hendrix (set by Elena Kasavica)
Set 1 · GCANYN 0-1 UC RIV · UC RIV 4% → 4%
04
Bella NunezKill+0.5%
Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)
Set 4 · GCANYN 3-0 UC RIV · GCANYN 98% → 99%
05
Sariah JohnsonKill+0.5%
Kill by Sariah Johnson (set by Elena Kasavica)
Set 3 · GCANYN 18-22 UC RIV · UC RIV 2% → 3%
06
Bella NunezKill+0.4%
Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)
Set 1 · GCANYN 2-1 UC RIV · GCANYN 96% → 97%
07
GCANYN serverAce+0.4%
Grand Canyon ace on Team
Set 4 · GCANYN 5-1 UC RIV · GCANYN 98% → 99%
08
Sariah JohnsonKill+0.4%
Kill by Sariah Johnson (set by Misu Nguyen)
Set 3 · GCANYN 15-18 UC RIV · UC RIV 2% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Grand Canyonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Starr WilliamsOPP	4	13	4	28	.321	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	15
2Katie SchulzOH	4	11	1	25	.400	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	11
10Aubrey BellusMB	4	6	1	11	.455	1	3	1	2	0	2	1	10
21Bella NunezS	4	4	0	12	.333	21	2	4	3	0	4	2	8
4Taylor KubacakS	4	5	0	5	1.000	16	2	3	7	0	0	0	7
19Aubrey GoodereMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
9Macey HughesOPP	4	5	4	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
11Gentry ObladOH	4	1	0	2	.500	0	2	0	8	0	0	0	3
3Alayna AustinL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
15Kaela JenkinsMB	3	4	0	8	.500	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
8Bella AndersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
18Milica ZigicOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Natalie GuerreroDS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	10	111	.378	43	11	9	41	3	12	6	94

UC Riversidehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Madison PulsipherOH	4	12	7	29	.172	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
3Sariah JohnsonOH	4	8	3	19	.263	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	8
4Zeynep BelgutayMB	4	5	0	8	.625	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Elena KasavicaS	4	0	0	2	.000	18	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	1
20Andrea BrewerOH	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2
15Evelyn HendrixMB	1	1	0	3	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Juliette D'EliseoOH	4	9	3	22	.273	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	10
22Maya BarronS	4	0	0	0	–	15	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
19Misu NguyenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	7	0	1	10	2	0	0	0	0
18Kylie ProctorMB	3	4	1	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
12Malia TanksleyOH	3	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	3
13Nicole HughesOH	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
5McKenna GilesL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	19	110	.227	43	3	5	41	11	1	6	4	68

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 GCANYN · UC RIV 6

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 GCANYNUC RIV 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 GCANYNUC RIV 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 GCANYNUC RIV 3

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 4 GCANYNUC RIV 2

Bars above the line = UC Riverside leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Grand Canyon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	63%12/19
2	82%9/11	59%13/22
3	62%8/13	40%6/15
4	64%7/11	53%8/15
5	86%6/7	57%8/14
6	55%6/11	25%2/8
All	65%45/69	53%49/93

UC Riverside

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%9/22	27%3/11
2	56%9/16	44%7/16
3	50%7/14	27%3/11
4	39%7/18	46%6/13
5	67%6/9	13%1/8
6	43%6/14	40%4/10
All	47%44/93	35%24/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

162 rallies

Rally log

#	GCANYN-UC RIV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Elena Kasavica	+0.5
2	1-1	UC RIV	GCANYN×6	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
3	2-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
4	3-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Attack err	Nicole Hughes	blk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere	+0.4
5	4-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Bad set	Andrea Brewer		+0.3
6	5-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Andrea Brewer	+0.2
7	6-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Bad set	Andrea Brewer		+0.2
8	6-2	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Evelyn Hendrix	+0.1
9	7-2	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
10	7-3	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Maya Barron	+0.1
11	7-4	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Misu Nguyen	+0.3
12	8-4	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
13	9-4	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
14	9-5	GCANYN	UC RIV×3	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
15	9-6	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.3
16	9-7	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.4
17	10-7	UC RIV	GCANYN×4	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
18	11-7	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.3
19	12-7	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.2
20	13-7	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Misu Nguyen	+0.2
21	13-8	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
22	14-8	UC RIV	GCANYN	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.1
23	14-9	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
24	14-10	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Zeynep Belgutay	+0.2
25	15-10	UC RIV	GCANYN×6	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
26	16-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Bad set	Elena Kasavica		+0.2
27	17-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
28	18-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.1
29	19-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Starr Williams		+0.0
30	20-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×6	Kill	Elena Kasavica		+0.0
31	20-11	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
32	21-11	UC RIV	GCANYN	Bad set	Madison Pulsipher		+0.0
33	22-11	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
34	22-12	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.0
35	23-12	UC RIV	GCANYN	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.0
36	24-12	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Anderson	+0.0
37	24-13	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Maya Barron	+0.0
38	25-13	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Taylor Kubacak		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
2	2-0	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Sariah Johnson	blk Aubrey Bellus, Bella Nunez	+0.2
3	2-1	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
4	3-1	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
5	4-1	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Sariah Johnson		+0.2
6	4-2	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
7	5-2	UC RIV	GCANYN×4	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
8	6-2	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Kylie Proctor		+0.2
9	7-2	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.1
10	8-2	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.1
11	8-3	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
12	8-4	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Kylie Proctor	set Maya Barron	+0.1
13	9-4	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
14	9-5	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.1
15	10-5	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
16	11-5	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Gentry Oblad	set Kaela Jenkins	+0.1
17	12-5	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.1
18	12-6	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Maya Barron	+0.0
19	13-6	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
20	13-7	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Maya Barron	+0.0
21	14-7	UC RIV	GCANYN	Attack err	Juliette D'Eliseo		+0.0
22	14-8	GCANYN	UC RIV×6	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Misu Nguyen	+0.0
23	14-9	UC RIV	UC RIV×6	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
24	14-10	UC RIV	UC RIV×6	Bad set	Taylor Kubacak		+0.1
25	14-11	UC RIV	UC RIV×6	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
26	14-12	UC RIV	UC RIV×6	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Juliette D'Eliseo	+0.3
27	14-13	UC RIV	UC RIV×6	Bad set	Bella Nunez		+0.4
28	15-13	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
29	16-13	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.3
30	16-14	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
31	17-14	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
32	18-14	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
33	19-14	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Sariah Johnson		+0.2
34	19-15	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Misu Nguyen	+0.1
35	19-16	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Aubrey Bellus	blk Madison Pulsipher, Kylie Proctor	+0.2
36	20-16	UC RIV	GCANYN×4	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
37	21-16	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley	blk Macey Hughes, Kaela Jenkins	+0.2
38	22-16	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.1
39	23-16	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.0
40	23-17	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Starr Williams	set Gentry Oblad	+0.0
41	24-17	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
42	25-17	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
2	1-1	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
3	2-1	UC RIV	GCANYN	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.1
4	2-2	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
5	3-2	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Taylor Kubacak	set Maya Barron	+0.1
6	3-3	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Maya Barron	+0.1
7	3-4	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Team	+0.2
8	4-4	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Bad set	Madison Pulsipher		+0.1
9	5-4	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
10	6-4	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Misu Nguyen	+0.1
11	6-5	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.1
12	6-6	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.2
13	7-6	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
14	7-7	GCANYN	UC RIV	Attack err	Starr Williams	blk Malia Tanksley, Kylie Proctor	+0.1
15	7-8	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
16	8-8	UC RIV	GCANYN	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.1
17	9-8	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Aubrey Bellus	+0.2
18	9-9	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Misu Nguyen	+0.1
19	9-10	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
20	10-10	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
21	10-11	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
22	11-11	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Kaela Jenkins	+0.2
23	11-12	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
24	11-13	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Katie Schulz	blk Malia Tanksley	+0.3
25	12-13	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Taylor Kubacak		+0.2
26	13-13	GCANYN	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Anderson	+0.3
27	13-14	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Juliette D'Eliseo	set Maya Barron	+0.2
28	13-15	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.3
29	14-15	UC RIV	GCANYN	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.2
30	14-16	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.3
31	15-16	UC RIV	GCANYN	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.2
32	15-17	GCANYN	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.3
33	15-18	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Misu Nguyen	+0.4
34	15-19	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.4
35	16-19	UC RIV	GCANYN	Bad set	Juliette D'Eliseo		+0.2
36	16-20	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Misu Nguyen	+0.3
37	17-20	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Taylor Kubacak	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
38	18-20	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Juliette D'Eliseo	blk Kaela Jenkins, Bella Nunez	+0.4
39	18-21	GCANYN	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.4
40	18-22	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.5
41	18-23	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Starr Williams		+0.3
42	19-23	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Kaela Jenkins	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.1
43	19-24	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
44	19-25	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Bella Anderson	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Natalie Guerrero	+0.7
2	2-0	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher	blk Aubrey Bellus, Bella Nunez	+0.6
3	3-0	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Bella Nunez	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.5
4	3-1	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Misu Nguyen	+0.4
5	4-1	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.4
6	5-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.4
7	6-1	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
8	6-2	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.2
9	7-2	UC RIV	GCANYN	Attack err	Juliette D'Eliseo		+0.2
10	7-3	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.3
11	8-3	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
12	8-4	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Malia Tanksley	set Maya Barron	+0.3
13	9-4	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.3
14	9-5	GCANYN	UC RIV	Attack err	Starr Williams	blk Zeynep Belgutay, Malia Tanksley	+0.3
15	10-5	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.3
16	11-5	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Ace	GCANYN server	aced Team	+0.3
17	12-5	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Malia Tanksley		+0.2
18	12-6	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.1
19	12-7	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Team	+0.2
20	13-7	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Aubrey Goodere	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.2
21	13-8	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Kylie Proctor	set Elena Kasavica	+0.2
22	14-8	UC RIV	GCANYN×3	Kill	Taylor Kubacak		+0.2
23	15-8	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.2
24	16-8	GCANYN	GCANYN×3	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.1
25	16-9	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.1
26	17-9	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
27	17-10	GCANYN	UC RIV	Attack err	Macey Hughes		+0.1
28	18-10	UC RIV	GCANYN×4	Kill	Aubrey Bellus	set Bella Nunez	+0.1
29	19-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Ace	GCANYN server	aced McKenna Giles	+0.0
30	20-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley	blk Aubrey Goodere, Macey Hughes	+0.0
31	21-10	GCANYN	GCANYN×4	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
32	21-11	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
33	22-11	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Macey Hughes	set Bella Nunez	+0.0
34	22-12	GCANYN	UC RIV	Serve err	GCANYN server		+0.0
35	23-12	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Starr Williams	set Taylor Kubacak	+0.0
36	23-13	GCANYN	UC RIV	Kill	Kylie Proctor	set Maya Barron	+0.0
37	24-13	UC RIV	GCANYN	Kill	Katie Schulz	set Natalie Guerrero	+0.0
38	25-13	GCANYN	GCANYN	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.