Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

Grand Canyon def. Ole Miss 3–1

Grand Canyon beat Ole Miss 3-1 (16-25, 25-20, 25-14, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Grand Canyon's Katie Schulz led with 14 kills, and Natalie Guerrero added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
GCANYN162525253
MISS252014221

Win probability

Ole Miss above 50 · Grand Canyon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.2% GCANYNrally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.2% to Grand Canyon — set 4, GCANYN 21-19 MISS. Grand Canyon ace. MISS win probability 16% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GCANYN 60.3%39.7% MISS

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
17.4%
3-1
23.0%
3-2
19.9%

Ole Miss wins

3-0
8.6%
3-1
14.5%
3-2
16.6%
GCANYN break %
41.8% vs this opp
MISS break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Grand CanyonAce+6.2%

    Grand Canyon ace

    Set 4 · GCANYN 21-19 MISS · GCANYN 84% → 90%

  2. 02
    Bella NunezKill+6.1%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 4 · GCANYN 24-22 MISS · GCANYN 89% → 95%

  3. 03
    Shayla MeyerKill+5.5%

    Kill by Shayla Meyer (set by Vivianna Samaniego)

    Set 4 · GCANYN 18-18 MISS · MISS 15% → 20%

  4. 04
    Ole MissAce+5.3%

    Ole Miss ace

    Set 4 · GCANYN 23-22 MISS · MISS 5% → 11%

  5. 05
    Bella NunezKill+4.9%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 4 · GCANYN 22-19 MISS · GCANYN 90% → 95%

  6. 06
    Katie SchulzKill+4.6%

    Kill by Katie Schulz (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 4 · GCANYN 25-22 MISS · GCANYN 95% → 100%

  7. 07
    Ole MissService error+4.5%

    Ole Miss service error

    Set 4 · GCANYN 20-19 MISS · GCANYN 80% → 84%

  8. 08
    Carly PaughKill+4.1%

    Kill by Carly Paugh (set by Vivianna Samaniego)

    Set 4 · GCANYN 19-19 MISS · MISS 16% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414328.39300011010.514.5
411332.250201111132.513.5
48012.6670230000010
46118.2782403400217
4329.111100200636
41011.0001922200003
45112.333000100005
4102.500101200001
4000–000200000
4000–2001700000
1112.000000000001
Team totals5011116.33649410425112791
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414533.273002120010.514.5
411730.13321260031.513.5
410112.7500001002111
410527.185101100010.510.5
4529.33310000031.56.5
4001.0002731300003
4226.0001300101013
4003.0006001400000
3000–001100000
2213.333012420003
1022-1.000000000000
Team totals5425126.2305059524110681

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 GCANYN · MISS 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 GCANYNMISS 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 GCANYNMISS 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 7 GCANYNMISS 2

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 GCANYNMISS 3

Bars above the line = Ole Miss leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Grand Canyon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
55%11/20
2
77%10/13
41%7/17
3
63%10/16
17%2/12
4
47%8/17
47%7/15
5
67%8/12
33%4/12
6
80%8/10
43%6/14
All
66%54/82
41%37/90

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
27%3/11
2
63%10/16
17%2/12
3
83%10/12
38%6/16
4
50%8/16
50%10/20
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
44%7/16
20%2/10
All
59%53/90
34%28/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#GCANYN-MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.5
21-1MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+1.7
31-2GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Tenesyn Frye+1.8
42-2MISSGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.8
52-3GCANYNMISS×3KillRyea Jacksonset Tenesyn Frye+1.8
62-4MISSMISS×3BlockedKatie Schulzblk Tenesyn Frye+2.7
72-5MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+2.7
83-5MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
93-6GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.9
103-7MISSMISSAceOle Miss+2.6
114-7MISSGCANYNAttack errMelia Johnson+1.6
124-8GCANYNMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
134-9MISSMISS×4Attack errStarr Williams+2.4
144-10MISSMISS×4KillCarly Paugh+2.0
154-11MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Bella Bonanno+1.7
165-11MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.8
176-11GCANYNGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+1.6
186-12GCANYNMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+1.4
196-13MISSMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.6
207-13MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.8
218-13GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.5
228-14GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.4
239-14MISSGCANYNBlockedShayla Meyerblk Aubrey Goodere, Starr Williams+1.0
2410-14GCANYNGCANYNKillTaylor Kubacakset Aubrey Goodere+1.9
2510-15GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.7
2611-15MISSGCANYNBlockedShayla Meyerblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+1.3
2711-16GCANYNMISSKillTenesyn Fryeset Bella Bonanno+1.7
2812-16MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+1.3
2912-17GCANYNMISS×6Attack errMacey Hughes+1.7
3012-18MISSMISS×6BlockedKatie Schulzblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+1.8
3112-19MISSMISS×6KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
3212-20MISSMISS×6BlockedKatie Schulzblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+0.7
3312-21MISSMISS×6AceOle Missaced Katie Schulz+0.3
3412-22MISSMISS×6KillShayla Meyerset Melia Johnson+0.1
3513-22MISSGCANYNKillGentry Obladset Bella Nunez·
3613-23GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+0.1
3714-23MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez·
3815-23GCANYNGCANYNAttack errMelia Johnson·
3915-24GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
4016-24MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez·
4116-25GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego·
Set 2
11-0GCANYNGCANYNKillAna Jaramazovicset Starr Williams+2.7
21-1GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
32-1MISSGCANYN×4Serve errOle Miss+1.9
43-1GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedMelia Johnsonblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+2.7
54-1GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errMelia Johnson+2.6
65-1GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedJorda Crookblk Aubrey Goodere, Starr Williams+2.3
75-2GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Tenesyn Frye+1.5
86-2MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.6
96-3GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.5
107-3MISSGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodereset Shayla Meyer+1.6
118-3GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errJorda Crook+2.1
129-3GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
139-4GCANYNMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Bella Bonanno+1.0
149-5MISSMISS×3KillShayla Meyer+1.8
159-6MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Starr Williams+2.2
1610-6MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
1711-6GCANYNGCANYNBad setVivianna Samaniego+2.1
1811-7GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.2
1912-7MISSGCANYNAttack errCarly Paugh+1.5
2012-8GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
2113-8MISSGCANYNKillAna Jaramazovicset Natalie Guerrero+1.5
2213-9GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.2
2314-9MISSGCANYNKillAna Jaramazovicset Bella Nunez+1.5
2414-10GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Tenesyn Frye+1.2
2515-10MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.5
2616-10GCANYNGCANYNBlockedRyea Jacksonblk Aubrey Goodere, Katie Schulz+1.6
2716-11GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+0.8
2817-11MISSGCANYN×3KillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+1.1
2918-11GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errJorda Crook+1.0
3019-11GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errShayla Meyer+0.6
3119-12GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Jorda Crook+0.2
3220-12MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+0.4
3320-13GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.2
3421-13MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+0.3
3521-14GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
3622-14MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.2
3722-15GCANYNMISS×3Serve errGrand Canyon+0.1
3822-16MISSMISS×3BlockedAubrey Goodereblk Ryea Jackson, Melia Johnson+0.2
3922-17MISSMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Bella Bonanno+0.4
4023-17MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.6
4123-18GCANYNMISSAttack errStarr Williams+0.2
4223-19MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Bella Bonanno+0.6
4324-19MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+0.8
4424-20GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.2
4525-20MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Starr Williams+0.5
Set 3
10-1MISSMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Carly Paugh+3.4
21-1MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.3
32-1GCANYNGCANYNAttack errJorda Crook+3.4
42-2GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.4
53-2MISSGCANYNBlockedTenesyn Fryeblk Starr Williams+2.4
64-2GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyon+3.4
74-3GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+2.3
85-3MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+2.4
96-3GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.2
106-4GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Tenesyn Frye+2.1
117-4MISSGCANYNAttack errTenesyn Frye+2.3
128-4GCANYNGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+3.0
138-5GCANYNMISSAttack errBella Nunez+1.8
149-5MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+2.1
159-6GCANYNMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
1610-6MISSGCANYN×7KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.1
1711-6GCANYNGCANYN×7KillAna Jaramazovicset Bella Nunez+2.6
1812-6GCANYNGCANYN×7Bad setCarly Paugh+2.1
1913-6GCANYNGCANYN×7Attack errMelia Johnson+1.5
2014-6GCANYNGCANYN×7Attack errJorda Crook+1.1
2115-6GCANYNGCANYN×7KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.7
2216-6GCANYNGCANYN×7KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.4
2316-7GCANYNMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+0.2
2417-7MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.3
2517-8GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
2618-8MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.2
2718-9GCANYNMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Tenesyn Frye+0.1
2818-10MISSMISSAceOle Miss+0.3
2919-10MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+0.3
3019-11GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Tenesyn Frye+0.1
3119-12MISSMISSKillTenesyn Fryeset Jorda Crook+0.4
3220-12MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+0.4
3321-12GCANYNGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Gentry Oblad+0.3
3421-13GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+0.1
3522-13MISSGCANYN×3Serve errOle Miss+0.1
3623-13GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errShayla Meyer+0.1
3724-13GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield·
3824-14GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon·
3925-14MISSGCANYNKillAna Jaramazovicset Bella Nunez·
Set 4
11-0GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errShayla Meyer+3.0
22-0GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyonaced Jaidyn Hartsfield+3.0
33-0GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyonaced Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.8
43-1GCANYNMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
54-1MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.9
64-2GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.8
74-3MISSMISSBlockedStarr Williamsblk Jorda Crook, Ryea Jackson+3.0
85-3MISSGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.2
95-4GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
106-4MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Natalie Guerrero+2.2
117-4GCANYNGCANYNAttack errNina Moorer+3.0
127-5GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Bella Bonanno+1.9
138-5MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+2.1
149-5GCANYNGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.8
159-6GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.7
169-7MISSMISSBlockedAna Jaramazovicblk Carly Paugh, Shayla Meyer+2.9
1710-7MISSGCANYN×3Attack errNina Moorer+2.2
1811-7GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errShayla Meyer+2.9
1912-7GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errCarly Paugh+2.4
2012-8GCANYNMISSAttack errStarr Williams+1.3
2113-8MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.6
2213-9GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.3
2314-9MISSGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.7
2414-10GCANYNMISSServe errGrand Canyon+1.3
2514-11MISSMISSKillJorda Crook+2.5
2615-11MISSGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.1
2715-12GCANYNMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.7
2815-13MISSMISS×3Attack errAubrey Goodere+3.3
2915-14MISSMISS×3KillRyea Jackson+4.0
3016-14MISSGCANYNAttack errJorda Crook+3.1
3116-15GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.9
3217-15MISSGCANYNServe errOle Miss+3.3
3317-16GCANYNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+3.0
3418-16MISSGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+3.4
3518-17GCANYNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+3.1
3618-18MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+5.5
3719-18MISSGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+4.1
3819-19GCANYNMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+4.1
3920-19MISSGCANYN×3Serve errOle Miss+4.5
4021-19GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyon+6.2
4122-19GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+4.9
4222-20GCANYNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
4323-20MISSGCANYNBlockedJorda Crookblk Starr Williams, Aubrey Goodere+3.5
4423-21GCANYNMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
4523-22MISSMISSAceOle Miss+5.3
4624-22MISSGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+6.1
4725-22GCANYNGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+4.6

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).