Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on MW+

Grand Canyon def. Nevada 3–2

Grand Canyon won at Nevada 3-2 (19-25, 23-25, 25-20, 25-17, 15-10) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Grand Canyon's Aubrey Goodere led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set12345Sets
GCANYN19232525153
NEVADA25252017102

Win probability

Nevada above 50 · Grand Canyon below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.0% NEVADArally 204 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.0% to Nevada — set 5, GCANYN 5-7 NEVADA. Attack error by Aubrey Bellus. NEVADA win probability 45% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GCANYN 84.7%15.3% NEVADA

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
36.7%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.7%

Nevada wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
8.1%
GCANYN break %
45.4% vs this opp
NEVADA break %
37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aubrey BellusAttack error+12.0%

    Attack error by Aubrey Bellus

    Set 5 · GCANYN 5-7 NEVADA · NEVADA 45% → 57%

  2. 02
    Paige ThiesAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Paige Thies

    Set 5 · GCANYN 11-9 NEVADA · GCANYN 73% → 84%

  3. 03
    Macey HughesKill+11.2%

    Kill by Macey Hughes (set by Bella Nunez)

    Set 5 · GCANYN 7-7 NEVADA · GCANYN 50% → 62%

  4. 04
    Grand CanyonService error+11.0%

    Grand Canyon service error

    Set 2 · GCANYN 23-25 NEVADA · NEVADA 55% → 66%

  5. 05
    NevadaAce+10.9%

    Nevada ace

    Set 5 · GCANYN 5-6 NEVADA · NEVADA 34% → 45%

  6. 06
    Macey HughesKill+10.9%

    Kill by Macey Hughes (set by Bella Nunez)

    Set 5 · GCANYN 8-7 NEVADA · GCANYN 62% → 73%

  7. 07

    Bella Nunez stuffed by Karly Bonaventure

    Set 2 · GCANYN 22-24 NEVADA · NEVADA 48% → 59%

  8. 08
    NevadaAce+9.8%

    Nevada ace on Katie Schulz

    Set 5 · GCANYN 1-3 NEVADA · NEVADA 41% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514128.46410010052.516.5
511325.3201210004215
57327.14814315200011
53317.000443130031.57.5
5003.0001111410001
3000–101500000
512727.1850003014315
513439.2310014102114
5000–2021510000
4000–011800001
Team totals6021166.23551111168711810107
Nevadahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514953.0941225200016
514535.2570006010115
58215.4000002020210
5416.500000101015
52110.10045121001014
5000–0141020001
5002.0001211210002
5002.0005112610001
412534.2060001000012
23311.000000000003
2000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5726168.18552710741150597

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Grand Canyon vs Nevada

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 GCANYN · NEVADA 4

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 5 GCANYNNEVADA 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 GCANYNNEVADA 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 8 GCANYNNEVADA 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 GCANYNNEVADA 4

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 3 GCANYNNEVADA 3

Bars above the line = Nevada leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Grand Canyon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
56%10/18
2
44%7/16
33%4/12
3
50%7/14
59%10/17
4
44%7/16
59%10/17
5
100%6/6
40%4/10
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
52%41/79
49%41/83

Nevada

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
42%5/12
2
78%7/9
59%10/17
3
47%7/15
59%10/17
4
39%7/18
53%8/15
5
67%6/9
42%5/12
6
50%6/12
0%0/6
All
51%42/83
48%38/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#GCANYN-NEVADASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.2
21-1NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Natalie Guerrero+1.1
31-2GCANYNNEVADA×3KillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+1.2
41-3NEVADANEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Masyn Navarro+1.8
51-4NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedBella Nunezblk Ceren Sert+1.9
62-4NEVADAGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+1.2
72-5GCANYNNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+1.4
82-6NEVADANEVADAAttack errKatie Schulz+2.0
93-6NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.2
104-6GCANYNGCANYNAttack errCeren Sert+1.8
114-7GCANYNNEVADAAttack errMacey Hughes+1.5
125-7NEVADAGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.3
136-7GCANYNGCANYNBlockedPaige Thiesblk Aubrey Goodere+1.9
146-8GCANYNNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+1.5
157-8NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+1.3
167-9GCANYNNEVADAKillAdriana Dorn+1.6
177-10NEVADANEVADAKillPaige Thies+2.3
188-10NEVADAGCANYNAttack errMadison Long+1.4
198-11GCANYNNEVADA×4KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.7
208-12NEVADANEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+2.3
218-13NEVADANEVADA×4KillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+2.2
228-14NEVADANEVADA×4KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+1.9
239-14NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+1.0
249-15GCANYNNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.4
259-16NEVADANEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Masyn Navarro+1.6
269-17NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedKatie Schulzblk Madison Long+1.1
2710-17NEVADAGCANYN×5KillBella Nunez+0.5
2811-17GCANYNGCANYN×5AceGrand Canyon+0.9
2912-17GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.2
3013-17GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errMadison Long+1.6
3114-17GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errMalia Pilimai+2.0
3214-18GCANYNNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+2.0
3315-18NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.4
3415-19GCANYNNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+2.1
3515-20NEVADANEVADAAttack errStarr Williams+2.3
3616-20NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+0.9
3716-21GCANYNNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+1.6
3817-21NEVADAGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.8
3917-22GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+1.5
4017-23NEVADANEVADAAceNevada+1.1
4118-23NEVADAGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.2
4219-23GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+0.7
4319-24GCANYNNEVADABad setBella Nunez+1.0
4419-25NEVADANEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+0.4
Set 2
10-1NEVADANEVADAKillPaige Thies+2.7
20-2NEVADANEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+3.0
31-2NEVADAGCANYN×3Serve errNevada+1.9
42-2GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errKarly Bonaventure+2.7
53-2GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Bellus+2.5
63-3GCANYNNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+1.9
73-4NEVADANEVADA×3KillMadison Long+3.0
83-5NEVADANEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+3.3
94-5NEVADAGCANYN×3Serve errNevada+2.1
105-5GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Aubrey Bellus+2.9
116-5GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.8
126-6GCANYNNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+2.1
136-7NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errAubrey Bellus+3.3
146-8NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errStarr Williams+3.6
157-8NEVADAGCANYNBlockedMadison Longblk Starr Williams+2.3
167-9GCANYNNEVADA×4KillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+2.7
177-10NEVADANEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+3.9
187-11NEVADANEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+3.9
197-12NEVADANEVADA×4AceNevadaaced Bella Anderson+3.7
208-12NEVADAGCANYNAttack errPaige Thies+2.0
218-13GCANYNNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+2.8
229-13NEVADAGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.0
239-14GCANYNNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+2.8
2410-14NEVADAGCANYN×4KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.0
2511-14GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errPaige Thies+3.4
2612-14GCANYNGCANYN×4AceGrand Canyonaced Lara Pacheco+3.8
2713-14GCANYNGCANYN×4AceGrand Canyonaced Summer Suppik+4.1
2813-15GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+3.5
2914-15NEVADAGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodereset Katie Schulz+2.9
3015-15GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Aubrey Bellus+4.4
3116-15GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedMadison Longblk Aubrey Bellus+4.2
3216-16GCANYNNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+3.2
3317-16NEVADAGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+3.1
3417-17GCANYNNEVADAAttack errAubrey Bellus+3.3
3517-18NEVADANEVADAAttack errStarr Williams+5.5
3618-18NEVADAGCANYNBlockedMalia Pilimaiblk Aubrey Bellus+3.6
3718-19GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+4.3
3818-20NEVADANEVADAAttack errMacey Hughes+6.5
3919-20NEVADAGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+3.8
4020-20GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyonaced Paige Thies+6.2
4120-21GCANYNNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Masyn Navarro+5.3
4221-21NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+4.8
4321-22GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+6.1
4422-22NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+5.5
4522-23GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+7.2
4622-24NEVADANEVADABlockedBella Nunezblk Karly Bonaventure+10.8
4723-24NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+4.1
4823-25GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+11.0
Set 3
10-1GCANYNNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+2.2
20-2NEVADANEVADA×3AceNevadaaced Starr Williams+3.3
30-3NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errAubrey Goodere+3.5
41-3NEVADAGCANYNAttack errMalia Pilimai+2.2
51-4GCANYNNEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+2.6
61-5NEVADANEVADA×4AceNevadaaced Katie Schulz+3.7
71-6NEVADANEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimai+3.7
81-7NEVADANEVADA×4KillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+3.5
92-7NEVADAGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.0
103-7GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyon+3.1
114-7GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyon+3.4
124-8GCANYNNEVADAAttack errMacey Hughes+2.9
135-8NEVADAGCANYN×8Serve errNevada+2.4
146-8GCANYNGCANYN×8Attack errMalia Pilimai+3.6
157-8GCANYNGCANYN×8KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+3.7
168-8GCANYNGCANYN×8KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+3.6
179-8GCANYNGCANYN×8KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+3.4
1810-8GCANYNGCANYN×8Attack errCeren Sert+3.1
1911-8GCANYNGCANYN×8KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.6
2012-8GCANYNGCANYN×8KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.2
2112-9GCANYNNEVADA×3KillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+1.4
2212-10NEVADANEVADA×3BlockedMacey Hughesblk Ceren Sert+2.5
2312-11NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errMacey Hughes+3.2
2413-11NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+2.4
2513-12GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+2.4
2614-12NEVADAGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.5
2715-12GCANYNGCANYNBlockedPaige Thiesblk Bella Nunez+3.0
2815-13GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+2.0
2916-13NEVADAGCANYN×4KillBella Nunezset Aubrey Goodere+2.2
3017-13GCANYNGCANYN×4KillStarr Williamsset Bella Anderson+2.4
3118-13GCANYNGCANYN×4AceGrand Canyon+1.7
3219-13GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedPaige Thiesblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+1.1
3319-14GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+0.5
3420-14NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+0.7
3520-15GCANYNNEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Paige Thies+0.4
3621-15NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.6
3721-16GCANYNNEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn+0.3
3821-17NEVADANEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+0.9
3922-17NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.0
4022-18GCANYNNEVADA×3Serve errGrand Canyon+0.5
4122-19NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errMacey Hughes+1.4
4222-20NEVADANEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+2.7
4323-20NEVADAGCANYN×3Serve errNevada+2.9
4424-20GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Natalie Guerrero+2.1
4525-20GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodere+0.5
Set 4
11-0NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+2.5
22-0GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyonaced Summer Suppik+3.3
32-1GCANYNNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+2.4
43-1NEVADAGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Madison Long+2.3
53-2GCANYNNEVADAAttack errMacey Hughes+2.5
64-2NEVADAGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.4
74-3GCANYNNEVADAKillMckaley Herrset Adriana Dorn+2.5
85-3NEVADAGCANYN×4KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.5
96-3GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedMckaley Herrblk Macey Hughes+3.1
107-3GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughesset Adriana Dorn+2.6
118-3GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
128-4GCANYNNEVADA×4KillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+1.4
138-5NEVADANEVADA×4KillPaige Thiesset Adriana Dorn+2.5
148-6NEVADANEVADA×4BlockedKatie Schulzblk Adriana Dorn+3.2
158-7NEVADANEVADA×4AceNevadaaced Natalie Guerrero+3.9
169-7NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+2.8
179-8GCANYNNEVADAKillCeren Sertset Adriana Dorn+2.9
1810-8NEVADAGCANYN×5Attack errPaige Thies+2.9
1911-8GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+3.6
2012-8GCANYNGCANYN×5KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+3.0
2113-8GCANYNGCANYN×5AceGrand Canyonaced Paige Thies+2.3
2214-8GCANYNGCANYN×5BlockedAdriana Dornblk Starr Williams+1.7
2314-9GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+0.9
2415-9NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+1.1
2515-10GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+0.9
2616-10NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+1.1
2716-11GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+0.9
2817-11NEVADAGCANYNServe errNevada+1.1
2918-11GCANYNGCANYNAttack errMckaley Herr+1.0
3018-12GCANYNNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+0.4
3119-12NEVADAGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+0.6
3219-13GCANYNNEVADAKillAdriana Dornset Masyn Navarro+0.4
3320-13NEVADAGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.6
3421-13GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyonaced Masyn Navarro+0.4
3521-14GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+0.1
3622-14NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+0.2
3722-15GCANYNNEVADAServe errGrand Canyon+0.1
3823-15NEVADAGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.1
3924-15GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez·
4024-16GCANYNNEVADAAttack errStarr Williams·
4124-17NEVADANEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn·
4225-17NEVADAGCANYNAttack errMckaley Herr+1.1
Set 5
11-0GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+7.5
21-1GCANYNNEVADA×3KillPaige Thiesset Masyn Navarro+5.6
31-2NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errBella Nunez+8.9
41-3NEVADANEVADA×3AceNevadaaced Katie Schulz+9.8
52-3NEVADAGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+6.1
62-4GCANYNNEVADAKillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+7.5
73-4NEVADAGCANYN×3KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+6.4
84-4GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Katie Schulz+9.4
95-4GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+9.0
105-5GCANYNNEVADA×3KillMadison Longset Adriana Dorn+6.8
115-6NEVADANEVADA×3AceNevada+10.9
125-7NEVADANEVADA×3Attack errAubrey Bellus+12.0
136-7NEVADAGCANYN×3KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+7.3
147-7GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+11.2
158-7GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+10.9
168-8GCANYNNEVADAKillMalia Pilimaiset Adriana Dorn+8.1
179-8NEVADAGCANYNBlockedPaige Thiesblk Macey Hughes+8.2
189-9GCANYNNEVADAKillPaige Thiesset Lara Pacheco+8.7
1910-9NEVADAGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+8.9
2011-9GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errPaige Thies+11.4
2112-9GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errPaige Thies+8.5
2212-10GCANYNNEVADAKillKarly Bonaventureset Adriana Dorn+4.1
2313-10NEVADAGCANYN×3KillKatie Schulzset Natalie Guerrero+6.0
2414-10GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+4.3
2515-10GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errMadison Long+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).