South Dakota St. def. Sacramento St. 3–2
(25-22, 19-25, 25-21, 14-25, 15-7)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC ST | 22 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 7 | 2 |
| SDAKST | 25 | 19 | 25 | 14 | 15 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.6% to South Dakota St. — set 5, SAC ST 1-3 SDAKST. Kill by Hannah Mlsna (set by Rylee Martin). SDAKST win probability 65% → 73%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Sacramento St. wins
South Dakota St. wins
- SAC ST break %
- 38.5% vs this opp
- SDAKST break %
- 41.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Hannah MlsnaKill+8.6%
Kill by Hannah Mlsna (set by Rylee Martin)
Set 5 · SAC ST 1-3 SDAKST · SDAKST 65% → 73%
- 02Mia MolnarKill+7.7%
Kill by Mia Molnar (set by Rylee Martin)
Set 5 · SAC ST 1-4 SDAKST · SDAKST 73% → 81%
- 03Brooke LarsenKill+6.4%
Kill by Brooke Larsen (set by Rylee Martin)
Set 5 · SAC ST 1-5 SDAKST · SDAKST 81% → 87%
- 04SAC ST serverService error+6.0%
Sacramento St. service error
Set 5 · SAC ST 1-2 SDAKST · SDAKST 59% → 65%
- 05Charlee LeppKill+5.9%
Kill by Charlee Lepp (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 5 · SAC ST 1-1 SDAKST · SAC ST 35% → 41%
- 06Sylvie ZgoncKill+5.7%
Kill by Sylvie Zgonc (set by Brooke Larsen)
Set 5 · SAC ST 0-1 SDAKST · SDAKST 59% → 65%
- 07SDAKST serverAce+5.2%
South Dakota St. ace on Team
Set 1 · SAC ST 20-22 SDAKST · SDAKST 69% → 74%
- 08Sylvie ZgoncKill+5.1%
Kill by Sylvie Zgonc (set by Rylee Martin)
Set 1 · SAC ST 19-20 SDAKST · SDAKST 64% → 69%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 39 | .205 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 1 | 20 | .550 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 36 | .139 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 18 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .375 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 15 | 138 | .290 | 48 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 100 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 23 | 4 | 42 | .452 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 39 | .103 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .263 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | .300 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 22 | 139 | .266 | 53 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
25-14
Set 5
7-15
Bars above the line = South Dakota St. leads, below = Sacramento St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Sacramento St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%12/22 | 48%10/21 |
| 2 | 59%10/17 | 35%6/17 |
| 3 | 53%10/19 | 29%4/14 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 50%10/20 |
| 5 | 56%9/16 | 44%7/16 |
| 6 | 90%9/10 | 31%4/13 |
| All | 61%59/97 | 41%41/101 |
South Dakota St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%12/19 | 38%6/16 |
| 2 | 92%11/12 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 53%10/19 | 50%10/20 |
| 4 | 50%10/20 | 41%7/17 |
| 5 | 69%9/13 | 31%4/13 |
| 6 | 44%8/18 | 40%6/15 |
| All | 59%60/101 | 39%38/97 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
198 rallies
Rally log
| # | SAC ST-SDAKST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Mia Molnar | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Victoria Marthaler | +1.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +1.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Rylee Martin | +1.9 |
| 11 | 4-7 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Addy Scheitlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +1.3 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.7 |
| 14 | 5-9 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +0.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +1.8 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | blk Marisa Michaelis, Claire Logeais | +1.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Skyler Gartin, Victoria Marthaler | +1.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Reese Ampi | +2.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.7 |
| 22 | 10-12 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Victoria Marthaler | +1.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.8 |
| 24 | 11-13 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +2.0 |
| 25 | 11-14 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | +2.7 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | SDAKST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +2.9 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | +3.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Taylor Byl | blk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin | +3.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +2.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +4.2 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Addy Scheitlin | blk Hannah Klein, Claire Logeais | +4.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +3.1 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Rylee Martin | +2.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Kaylee Piepho | +3.3 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +3.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +5.1 |
| 40 | 20-20 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.4 |
| 41 | 20-21 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Joslyn Richardson | +3.7 |
| 42 | 20-22 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Team | +5.2 |
| 43 | 20-23 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +3.8 |
| 44 | 21-23 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.4 |
| 45 | 21-24 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Taylor Byl | set Rylee Martin | +2.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +0.9 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.2 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Reese Ampi | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Joslyn Richardson | +1.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Skyler Gartin | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Rylee Martin | blk Nikola Gamlin, Victoria Marthaler | +1.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Taylor Byl | blk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin | +2.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Sylvie Zgonc | +2.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | SDAKST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Addy Scheitlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.7 |
| 15 | 9-6 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.5 |
| 16 | 10-6 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Team | +2.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | SAC ST | SDAKST×6 | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | blk Marisa Michaelis, Claire Logeais | +1.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×6 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Charlee Lepp | +2.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×6 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | SDAKST | SDAKST×6 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Victoria Marthaler | +2.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | SDAKST | SDAKST×6 | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Rylee Martin | +2.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×6 | Bad set | Skyler Gartin | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | SDAKST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Reese Ampi | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Reese Ampi | +3.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Reese Ampi | +3.1 |
| 27 | 14-13 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Rylee Martin | +1.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Taylor Byl | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.2 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +2.2 |
| 33 | 16-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +3.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.8 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.7 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | SDAKST | SAC ST×6 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×6 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Skyler Gartin, Charlee Lepp | +4.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×6 | Kill | Rylee Martin | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×6 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Team | +2.6 |
| 43 | 24-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×6 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Team | +1.2 |
| 44 | 25-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×6 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Charlee Lepp, Makenna Wiepert | +0.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +3.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +2.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Charlee Lepp | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Marisa Michaelis | +2.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SDAKST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +3.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Sylvie Zgonc | +3.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.1 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +2.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +3.4 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +1.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | +3.2 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Bad set | Makenna Wiepert | +3.6 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +2.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Eleanor Weeks | +4.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +2.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +4.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Mia Molnar | +4.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.0 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +3.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +4.3 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.8 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Joslyn Richardson | +3.0 |
| 29 | 13-16 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Victoria Marthaler | +4.0 |
| 30 | 13-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Mia Molnar | blk Hannah Klein, Hannah Mlsna | +3.2 |
| 31 | 14-17 | SDAKST | SAC ST×3 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +1.7 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +3.5 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +3.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Eleanor Weeks | +4.5 |
| 36 | 16-20 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | blk Brooke Larsen, Claire Logeais | +3.3 |
| 37 | 17-20 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Makenna Wiepert | +1.5 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | +2.2 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Joslyn Richardson | +1.9 |
| 40 | 17-23 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +0.9 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Charlee Lepp, Nikola Gamlin | +0.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +0.6 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.8 |
| 44 | 20-24 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.7 |
| 46 | 21-25 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +2.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Rylee Martin | +2.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Reese Ampi | +3.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +2.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Makenna Wiepert | set Amy Ito | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +2.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SDAKST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Bad set | Brooke Larsen | +3.7 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +3.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +2.3 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Brooke Larsen | +2.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SDAKST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +3.9 |
| 24 | 14-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +3.6 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Kennedey Whitford | +2.4 |
| 27 | 16-11 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | SDAKST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.6 |
| 29 | 18-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Rylee Martin | +1.6 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Hannah Klein | +1.0 |
| 31 | 20-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | SAC ST server | aced Sylvie Zgonc | +0.5 |
| 32 | 20-12 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Joslyn Richardson | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.3 | |
| 34 | 22-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Makenna Wiepert | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Serve err | SAC ST server | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.1 |
| 37 | 24-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 24-14 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 39 | 25-14 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.5 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +5.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Makenna Wiepert | +5.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | SAC ST | SDAKST×4 | Serve err | SAC ST server | +6.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Rylee Martin | +8.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Rylee Martin | +7.7 |
| 6 | 1-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +6.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.5 |
| 8 | 2-6 | SAC ST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +4.3 |
| 9 | 2-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | +4.9 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | blk Claire Logeais, Brooke Larsen | +3.3 |
| 11 | 3-8 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.4 |
| 12 | 3-9 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +2.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Nikola Gamlin, Victoria Marthaler | +1.3 |
| 14 | 4-10 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.9 |
| 15 | 5-10 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.1 |
| 16 | 5-11 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.7 |
| 17 | 6-11 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.9 |
| 18 | 6-12 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Mia Molnar | +0.9 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | SDAKST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.2 |
| 21 | 7-14 | SAC ST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 22 | 7-15 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Sacramento St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.