Sacramento St. at California

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

SAC ST 10.9%89.1% CAL

Sacramento St. wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.4%

3-2

6.1%

California wins

3-0

42.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.6%

SAC ST break %: 35.9% vs this opp
CAL break %: 45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.