Sacramento State vs California: California Wins 3-2 (Sep 19)

Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

2:3

California beat Sacramento St. 3-2 (25-23, 23-25, 19-25, 25-16, 17-15) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Abby Zimmerman led California with 17 kills; Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler had a match-high 19.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
SAC ST	23	25	25	16	15	2
CAL	25	23	19	25	17	3

Win probability

California above 50 · Sacramento St. below

Biggest swing: 28.5% to Sacramento St. — set 5, SAC ST 15-14 CAL. Kill by Mia Molnar (set by Makenna Wiepert). CAL win probability 63% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAC ST 15.2%84.8% CAL

Sacramento St. wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

8.0%

California wins

3-0

36.9%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.6%

SAC ST break %: 36.7% vs this opp
CAL break %: 44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Mia MolnarKill+28.5%
Kill by Mia Molnar (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 5 · SAC ST 15-14 CAL · SAC ST 37% → 66%
02
Victoria MarthalerAttack error+25.0%
Attack error by Victoria Marthaler
Set 5 · SAC ST 15-16 CAL · CAL 54% → 79%
03
CaliforniaAce+20.6%
California ace on Reese Ampi
Set 5 · SAC ST 15-17 CAL · CAL 79% → 100%
04
Abby ZimmermanKill+20.0%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)
Set 5 · SAC ST 15-15 CAL · CAL 34% → 54%
05
Victoria MarthalerKill+18.7%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 5 · SAC ST 13-13 CAL · SAC ST 18% → 37%
06
Victoria MarthalerKill+16.5%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 5 · SAC ST 14-14 CAL · SAC ST 21% → 37%
07
Abby ZimmermanKill+16.5%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)
Set 5 · SAC ST 13-14 CAL · CAL 63% → 79%
08
Sawyer ThomsenKill+13.2%
Kill by Sawyer Thomsen
Set 5 · SAC ST 9-10 CAL · CAL 60% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Sacramento St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Victoria MarthalerOH	5	19	14	57	.088	1	1	4	10	1	0	1	0.5	20.5
14Keonahi'ilani SolaitaOH	5	15	5	44	.227	2	0	3	9	2	0	0	0	15
6Mia MolnarOH	5	11	5	35	.171	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	14
3Nikola GamlinMB	5	11	1	18	.556	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	12
7Skyler GartinMB	5	8	3	18	.278	1	1	2	4	0	1	2	2	11
18Makenna WiepertS	5	6	0	9	.667	48	1	0	23	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Amy ItoDS	5	0	0	0	–	3	2	4	9	0	0	0	0	2
10Addy ScheitlinOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Charlee LeppOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Cyniya StewartMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Kaylee PiephoS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kelsey HeffnerMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Reese AmpiDS	5	0	0	0	–	9	0	3	15	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		70	28	181	.232	65	5	16	72	6	3	8	7	104

Californiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Abby ZimmermanOH	5	17	5	45	.267	1	2	1	12	0	0	3	1.5	20.5
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	5	14	1	35	.371	0	1	1	4	0	1	4	3	18
18Ashley LiOH	5	9	7	22	.091	0	1	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
5Cari BohmMB	5	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
24Anna FloresS	5	1	1	4	.000	47	1	1	9	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
4Francesca PopescuDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
11Grace AgolliOPP	5	12	4	33	.242	0	1	2	2	0	0	2	1	14
10Dominique PhillsOH	5	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Siena MaccuddenL/DS	5	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	7	3	0	0	0	0
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	5	0	0	14	1	0	0	0	0
9Annemarie O'garaOPP	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Arissa CarbonaraOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ashleigh WoodruffMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Elise LauL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
22Maria StirbuS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Nicole MilosevicOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Portia ShermanOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Rania ChimonidesMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	22	160	.225	55	6	6	68	5	3	14	10	109

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SAC ST · CAL 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 SAC STCAL 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 SAC STCAL 5

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 SAC STCAL 2

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 SAC STCAL 4

Set 5

15-17

Longest run 3 SAC STCAL 3

Bars above the line = California leads, below = Sacramento St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sacramento St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%6/15	50%4/8
2	75%6/8	40%4/10
3	44%4/9	17%1/6
4	67%4/6	20%1/5
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	80%4/5	0%0/4
All	57%28/49	33%13/40

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	60%9/15
2	83%5/6	25%2/8
3	80%4/5	56%5/9
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	100%4/4	33%2/6
6	50%4/8	20%1/5
All	68%27/40	43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#	SAC ST-CAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.9
2	0-2	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+1.3
3	1-2	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
4	2-2	SAC ST	SAC ST	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen		+1.5
5	2-3	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.0
6	3-3	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
7	3-4	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm		+1.0
8	4-4	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.1
9	5-4	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Siena Maccudden	+1.8
10	5-5	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.2
11	6-5	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.3
12	7-5	SAC ST	SAC ST	Attack err	Cari Bohm		+2.1
13	7-6	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.3
14	8-6	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
15	8-7	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.3
16	8-8	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+2.0
17	9-8	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
18	9-9	SAC ST	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.3
19	9-10	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman		+1.9
20	9-11	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	California	aced Reese Ampi	+1.7
21	10-11	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Anna Flores	+1.2
22	11-11	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Siena Maccudden	+2.0
23	11-12	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.4
24	12-12	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Victoria Marthaler	+1.5
25	12-13	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+1.4
26	12-14	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Anna Flores	+1.9
27	13-14	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.3
28	13-15	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Amy Ito	+1.3
29	14-15	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.4
30	15-15	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Sophia Johnson	+2.4
31	16-15	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Nikola Gamlin, Makenna Wiepert	+2.9
32	16-16	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Reese Ampi	+1.8
33	17-16	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.2
34	18-16	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Reese Ampi	+3.4
35	19-16	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Reese Ampi	+3.4
36	19-17	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Francesca Popescu	+1.7
37	20-17	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.5
38	21-17	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.0
39	21-18	SAC ST	CAL×5	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.2
40	21-19	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+2.6
41	21-20	CAL	CAL×5	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Abby Zimmerman	+3.5
42	21-21		CAL	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+4.2
43	21-22	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+4.4
44	22-22	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.0
45	22-23	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+3.4
46	22-24	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Skyler Gartin		+4.3
47	23-24	CAL	SAC ST	Blocked	Cari Bohm	blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin	+1.6
48	23-25	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+3.5
Set 2
1	0-1	CAL	CAL	Ace	California	aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+1.0
2	1-1	CAL	SAC ST	Attack err	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.7
3	1-2	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.7
4	2-2	CAL	SAC ST	Attack err	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+0.8
5	3-2	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+1.2
6	3-3	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.8
7	4-3	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.9
8	5-3	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Skyler Gartin	+1.4
9	5-4	SAC ST	CAL×3	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Sophia Johnson	+0.9
10	5-5	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	California	aced Victoria Marthaler	+1.3
11	5-6	CAL	CAL×3	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores	+1.2
12	6-6	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+0.9
13	7-6	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin		+1.4
14	7-7	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+0.9
15	8-7	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.0
16	8-8	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.9
17	8-9	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Nikola Gamlin	blk Ashley Li, Sawyer Thomsen	+1.3
18	9-9	CAL	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.9
19	10-9	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin		+1.6
20	11-9	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Ashley Li		+1.7
21	11-10	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.0
22	11-11	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Sophia Johnson	+1.6
23	12-11	CAL	SAC ST×4	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.2
24	13-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Blocked	Ashley Li	blk Skyler Gartin	+1.9
25	14-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.9
26	15-11	SAC ST	SAC ST×4	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+1.9
27	15-12	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.0
28	16-12	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.3
29	16-13	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.0
30	17-13	CAL	SAC ST	Blocked	California	blk Mia Molnar	+1.4
31	17-14	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Abby Zimmerman	+1.0
32	18-14	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Anna Flores	+1.4
33	18-15	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli		+1.0
34	18-16	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+1.8
35	19-16	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+1.7
36	19-17	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.2
37	20-17	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.8
38	21-17	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Ashley Li		+2.1
39	22-17	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.5
40	22-18	SAC ST	CAL×5	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+0.4
41	22-19	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.1
42	22-20	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Dominique Phills	set Francesca Popescu	+1.8
43	22-21	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.6
44	22-22	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+3.4
45	23-22	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.0
46	24-22	SAC ST	SAC ST	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin	+4.6
47	24-23	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.7
48	25-23	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Reese Ampi	+4.5
Set 3
1	1-0	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Mia Molnar	+2.7
2	2-0	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Ashley Li		+3.0
3	3-0	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Reese Ampi	+3.2
4	3-1		CAL	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.9
5	3-2	CAL	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.8
6	4-2	CAL	SAC ST	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+2.2
7	4-3	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+1.9
8	5-3	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+2.3
9	5-4	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.0
10	6-4	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+2.3
11	7-4	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Sacramento St.	aced Siena Maccudden	+3.5
12	7-5	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.1
13	7-6	CAL	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm		+3.2
14	8-6	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+2.5
15	8-7	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.2
16	9-7	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Makenna Wiepert	set Reese Ampi	+2.6
17	9-8	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.2
18	10-8	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.7
19	10-9	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.3
20	11-9	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.8
21	11-10	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.4
22	12-10	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.9
23	12-11	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.5
24	12-12	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+3.7
25	13-12	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.9
26	13-13	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.6
27	14-13	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.0
28	14-14	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.7
29	15-14	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.2
30	15-15	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.9
31	16-15	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+3.3
32	16-16	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+3.0
33	17-16	CAL	SAC ST	Serve err	California		+3.6
34	17-17	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Mia Molnar	set Anna Flores	+3.2
35	18-17	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.8
36	19-17	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Grace Agolli		+6.0
37	20-17	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+5.8
38	20-18	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+2.8
39	21-18	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+4.3
40	22-18	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+4.8
41	22-19	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+1.7
42	23-19	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+3.3
43	24-19	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Dominique Phills		+2.3
44	25-19	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Anna Flores		+0.6
Set 4
1	0-1	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Keonahi'ilani Solaita		+3.7
2	1-1	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Makenna Wiepert		+2.7
3	1-2	SAC ST	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+2.5
4	1-3	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+3.5
5	2-3	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.4
6	2-4	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.3
7	3-4	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.5
8	3-5	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+2.4
9	4-5	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.5
10	4-6	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Cari Bohm	set Anna Flores	+2.5
11	4-7	CAL	CAL	Ace	California	aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+3.3
12	5-7	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+2.2
13	5-8	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+2.2
14	6-8	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Amy Ito	+2.2
15	6-9	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+2.3
16	7-9	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+2.3
17	7-10	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+2.4
18	7-11	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+2.9
19	8-11	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.8
20	8-12	SAC ST	CAL×3	Blocked	Victoria Marthaler	blk Sawyer Thomsen	+2.0
21	8-13	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+2.3
22	8-14	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	California		+1.6
23	9-14	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+0.9
24	9-15	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+1.1
25	10-15	CAL	SAC ST×3	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.8
26	11-15	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+1.8
27	12-15	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Kill	Makenna Wiepert	set Amy Ito	+2.7
28	12-16	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+2.2
29	13-16	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Makenna Wiepert	set Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+1.9
30	13-17	SAC ST	CAL	Blocked	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	blk Cari Bohm	+2.2
31	14-17	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Makenna Wiepert	set Keonahi'ilani Solaita	+1.9
32	14-18	SAC ST	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li		+2.3
33	14-19	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+2.3
34	14-20	CAL	CAL×3	Blocked	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+1.3
35	15-20	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Makenna Wiepert	+0.5
36	15-21	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+0.8
37	16-21	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin		+0.4
38	16-22	SAC ST	CAL×4	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler	set Reese Ampi	+0.7
39	16-23	CAL	CAL×4	Attack err	Skyler Gartin		+0.4
40	16-24	CAL	CAL×4	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+0.1
41	16-25	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+1.3
Set 5
1	1-0	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Skyler Gartin	set Mia Molnar	+8.7
2	2-0	SAC ST	SAC ST	Ace	Sacramento St.		+9.6
3	2-1	SAC ST	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+5.8
4	2-2	CAL	CAL×3	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen	+8.8
5	2-3	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Grace Agolli	set Anna Flores	+8.3
6	3-3	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+6.0
7	3-4	SAC ST	CAL	Serve err	Sacramento St.		+5.8
8	3-5	CAL	CAL	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Grace Agolli, Cari Bohm	+7.8
9	4-5	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+5.2
10	5-5	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+9.4
11	5-6	SAC ST	CAL	Blocked	Mia Molnar	blk Grace Agolli, Cari Bohm	+6.4
12	5-7	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+8.7
13	6-7	CAL	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Siena Maccudden	set Sophia Johnson	+5.7
14	7-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Blocked	Abby Zimmerman	blk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin	+10.5
15	8-7	SAC ST	SAC ST×3	Attack err	Grace Agolli		+12.7
16	8-8		CAL	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+8.1
17	9-8	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Nikola Gamlin	set Makenna Wiepert	+9.6
18	9-9	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+8.7
19	9-10	CAL	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen		+13.2
20	10-10	CAL	SAC ST	Attack err	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+9.2
21	10-11	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+9.7
22	10-12	CAL	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+12.7
23	11-12	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Amy Ito	+7.0
24	11-13	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+9.4
25	12-13	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Keonahi'ilani Solaita	set Makenna Wiepert	+6.9
26	13-13	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+18.7
27	13-14	SAC ST	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+16.5
28	14-14	CAL	SAC ST	Kill	Victoria Marthaler	set Makenna Wiepert	+16.5
29	15-14	SAC ST	SAC ST	Kill	Mia Molnar	set Makenna Wiepert	+28.5
30	15-15	SAC ST	CAL×3	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+20.0
31	15-16	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Victoria Marthaler		+25.0
32	15-17	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	California	aced Reese Ampi	+20.6

Score shown after each rally, Sacramento St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

California def. Sacramento St. 3–2