FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Sacramento St. def. UC Riverside 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Sacramento St. 90.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Sacramento St. won at UC Riverside 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler led with 15 kills, and Reese Ampi added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
SAC ST2525253
UC RIV2017140

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Victoria Marthaler needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Sacramento St. swept UC Riverside.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.5 points, and UC Riverside's high was 11% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Sacramento St. 90% before first serve.

Sacramento St.UC Riverside
  • Break %+22.9 pts
    49.326.4

    On serve: 36/73 against 14/53 (UC Riverside sideout 50.7%).

  • Hitting+.179
    .337.158

    41 kills, 7 errors vs 29 kills, 14 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Up 13–10 in the third set, Sacramento St. scored 6 straight to make it 19–10. The set finished 25–14.

UC Riverside above 50Sacramento St. belowMax swing 1.5%

Sacramento St.UC Riverside

Aces
Sacramento St. 6·UC Riverside 3
Serve err
Sacramento St. 11·UC Riverside 9
Blocks
Sacramento St. 7·UC Riverside 21 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Sacramento St. 39·UC Riverside 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Riverside above 50 · Sacramento St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% UC RIVrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to UC Riverside — set 1, SAC ST 11-11 UC RIV. UC Riverside ace on Reese Ampi. UC RIV win probability 9% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAC ST 92.3%7.7% UC RIV

Sacramento St. wins

3-0
48.8%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.4%

UC Riverside wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%
SAC ST break %
48.9% vs this opp
UC RIV break %
38.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    UC RiversideAce+1.5%

    UC Riverside ace on Reese Ampi

    Set 1 · SAC ST 11-11 UC RIV · UC RIV 9% → 11%

  2. 02
    Victoria MarthalerAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Victoria Marthaler

    Set 1 · SAC ST 8-8 UC RIV · UC RIV 9% → 10%

  3. 03
    Skyler GartinKill+1.3%

    Kill by Skyler Gartin (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 13-11 UC RIV · SAC ST 90% → 92%

  4. 04
    Andrea BrewerAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Andrea Brewer

    Set 1 · SAC ST 10-8 UC RIV · SAC ST 91% → 92%

  5. 05
    UC RiversideService error+1.1%

    UC Riverside service error

    Set 1 · SAC ST 12-11 UC RIV · SAC ST 89% → 90%

  6. 06
    Casi DollKill+1.1%

    Kill by Casi Doll (set by Elena Kasavica)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 3-3 UC RIV · UC RIV 9% → 10%

  7. 07
    Mia MolnarKill+1.1%

    Kill by Mia Molnar (set by Reese Ampi)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 14-11 UC RIV · SAC ST 92% → 93%

  8. 08
    UC RiversideAce+1.0%

    UC Riverside ace on Victoria Marthaler

    Set 1 · SAC ST 6-5 UC RIV · UC RIV 8% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315434.3240124102117
311015.7332020014314
36012.500100000217
33217.05902150010.55.5
3108.12529121100213
3001.000013200001
3318.25010020010.53.5
3000–4111510001
1103.333000000001
1103.333000000001
1000–000000000
1000–300000000
Team totals417101.33740611393112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311121.4760238300013
3209.22200000010.52.5
3229.00000100010.52.5
3004.0002204300000
3000–101500000
22312-.083010300003
34420.000000100004
3000–1001600000
2329.111000100214
15211.273000200005
1000–400000000
Team totals291495.158283939604251

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sacramento St. vs UC Riverside

Season series · Sacramento St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SAC ST · UC RIV 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 SAC STUC RIV 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 SAC STUC RIV 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 SAC STUC RIV 3

Bars above the line = UC Riverside leads, below = Sacramento St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sacramento St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%6/6
38%3/8
2
63%5/8
29%2/7
3
83%5/6
50%5/10
4
67%4/6
60%6/10
5
57%4/7
43%3/7
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
74%28/38
45%22/49

UC Riverside

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
0%0/5
2
50%5/10
25%2/8
3
36%4/11
29%2/7
4
80%4/5
33%2/6
5
57%4/7
0%0/4
6
44%4/9
50%4/8
All
55%27/49
26%10/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#SAC ST-UC RIVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.7
21-1SAC STUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Elena Kasavica+0.8
32-1UC RIVSAC STAttack errCasi Doll+0.7
43-1SAC STSAC STBlockedCasi Dollblk Skyler Gartin, Victoria Marthaler+0.9
53-2SAC STUC RIVKillSariah Johnsonset Elena Kasavica+0.7
63-3UC RIVUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica+1.1
74-3UC RIVSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
85-3SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errSariah Johnson+0.9
96-3SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Skyler Gartin+0.8
106-4SAC STUC RIVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+0.6
116-5UC RIVUC RIVAceUC Riversideaced Victoria Marthaler+1.0
127-5UC RIVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
137-6SAC STUC RIVKillSariah Johnsonset Elena Kasavica+0.8
148-6UC RIVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
158-7SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.8
168-8UC RIVUC RIVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+1.3
179-8UC RIVSAC STKillMakenna Wiepertset Reese Ampi+0.9
1810-8SAC STSAC STAttack errAndrea Brewer+1.1
1910-9SAC STUC RIVServe errSacramento St.+0.9
2011-9UC RIVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.9
2111-10SAC STUC RIVServe errSacramento St.+0.9
2211-11UC RIVUC RIVAceUC Riversideaced Reese Ampi+1.5
2312-11UC RIVSAC ST×3Serve errUC Riverside+1.1
2413-11SAC STSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+1.3
2514-11SAC STSAC ST×3KillMia Molnarset Reese Ampi+1.1
2614-12SAC STUC RIVServe errSacramento St.+0.8
2715-12UC RIVSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
2816-12SAC STSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.9
2917-12SAC STSAC ST×3Bad setMcKenna Giles+0.6
3017-13SAC STUC RIVServe errSacramento St.+0.4
3117-14UC RIVUC RIVKillSariah Johnsonset Elena Kasavica+0.8
3218-14UC RIVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Nikola Gamlin+0.7
3318-15SAC STUC RIVServe errMakenna Wiepert+0.6
3419-15UC RIVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
3519-16SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.6
3620-16UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.7
3721-16SAC STSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.6
3821-17SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.3
3922-17UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.4
4022-18SAC STUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica+0.2
4122-19UC RIVUC RIVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+0.6
4223-19UC RIVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
4323-20SAC STUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Elena Kasavica+0.4
4424-20UC RIVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.6
4525-20SAC STSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Skyler Gartin+0.2
Set 2
10-1SAC STUC RIVServe errAmy Ito+0.6
21-1UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.5
31-2SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.6
41-3UC RIVUC RIVAceAndrea Brewer+0.9
52-3UC RIVSAC STAttack errSariah Johnson+0.6
62-4SAC STUC RIVKillSariah Johnsonset Elena Kasavica+0.7
73-4UC RIVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.6
83-5SAC STUC RIVServe errKeonahi'ilani Solaita+0.8
94-5UC RIVSAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
105-5SAC STSAC ST×4KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
116-5SAC STSAC ST×4KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
127-5SAC STSAC ST×4AceVictoria Marthaleraced Andrea Brewer+0.7
137-6SAC STUC RIVKillZeynep Belgutayset Elena Kasavica+0.5
148-6UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.5
158-7SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset McKenna Giles+0.6
169-7UC RIVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.5
179-8SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.6
1810-8UC RIVSAC STServe errUC Riverside+0.6
1911-8SAC STSAC STBad setMcKenna Giles+0.6
2011-9SAC STUC RIVServe errSkyler Gartin+0.5
2112-9UC RIVSAC ST×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.5
2213-9SAC STSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.5
2314-9SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedCasi Dollblk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin+0.4
2414-10SAC STUC RIVServe errAmy Ito+0.3
2515-10UC RIVSAC STBad setSariah Johnson+0.3
2616-10SAC STSAC STAceAmy Itoaced Andrea Brewer+0.3
2716-11SAC STUC RIVServe errVictoria Marthaler+0.2
2817-11UC RIVSAC STBlockedSariah Johnsonblk Nikola Gamlin, Makenna Wiepert+0.2
2917-12SAC STUC RIV×4Serve errAmy Ito+0.2
3017-13UC RIVUC RIV×4KillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron+0.3
3117-14UC RIVUC RIV×4BlockedKeonahi'ilani Solaitablk Zeynep Belgutay, Malia Tanksley+0.5
3217-15UC RIVUC RIV×4KillMalia Tanksleyset Maya Barron+0.7
3318-15UC RIVSAC ST×4KillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Reese Ampi+0.6
3419-15SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedZeynep Belgutayblk Skyler Gartin+0.6
3520-15SAC STSAC ST×4AceReese Ampi+0.4
3621-15SAC STSAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
3721-16SAC STUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Maya Barron+0.1
3822-16UC RIVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
3923-16SAC STSAC STAttack errMalia Tanksley+0.1
4023-17SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron·
4124-17UC RIVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert·
4225-17SAC STSAC STAceKeonahi'ilani Solaita·
Set 3
11-0UC RIVSAC ST×4KillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
22-0SAC STSAC ST×4KillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Mia Molnar+0.3
33-0SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errSariah Johnson+0.2
44-0SAC STSAC ST×4KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
54-1SAC STUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica+0.2
65-1UC RIVSAC STBlockedMadison Pulsipherblk Skyler Gartin, Keonahi'ilani Solaita+0.2
76-1SAC STSAC STAceKeonahi'ilani Solaitaaced Andrea Brewer+0.2
86-2SAC STUC RIVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+0.1
97-2UC RIVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.1
107-3SAC STUC RIV×3KillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica+0.1
117-4UC RIVUC RIV×3KillAndrea Brewerset McKenna Giles+0.2
127-5UC RIVUC RIV×3Attack errMia Molnar+0.3
138-5SAC ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
149-5SAC STSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert*+0.2
159-6SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewer+0.2
1610-6UC RIVSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert*+0.2
1710-7SAC STUC RIVAttack errNikola Gamlin+0.2
1811-7UC RIVSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
1912-7SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.2
2013-7SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedMalia Tanksleyblk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert+0.1
2113-8SAC STUC RIV×3KillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica+0.1
2213-9UC RIVUC RIV×3BlockedKeonahi'ilani Solaitablk Malia Tanksley, Evelyn Hendrix+0.2
2313-10UC RIVUC RIV×3KillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica+0.2
2414-10UC RIVSAC ST×6Serve errUC Riverside+0.2
2515-10SAC STSAC ST×6Bad setElena Kasavica+0.2
2616-10SAC STSAC ST×6KillVictoria Marthalerset Reese Ampi+0.1
2717-10SAC STSAC ST×6AceMakenna Wiepert+0.1
2818-10SAC STSAC ST×6BlockedMadison Pulsipherblk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar+0.1
2919-10SAC STSAC ST×6KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert·
3019-11SAC STUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica·
3120-11UC RIVSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert·
3221-11SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errZeynep Belgutay·
3322-11SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Kaylee Piepho·
3422-12SAC STUC RIVKillZeynep Belgutayset Elena Kasavica·
3523-12UC RIVSAC STKillCharlee Leppset Kaylee Piepho·
3623-13SAC STUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica·
3724-13UC RIVSAC STBad setAndrea Brewer·
3824-14SAC STUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Misu Nguyen·
3925-14UC RIVSAC STKillKelsey Heffnerset Kaylee Piepho·

Score shown after each rally, Sacramento St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).