FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tennessee Tech def. ETSU 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: ETSU 68.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee Tech beat visiting ETSU 3-0 (25-15, 25-21, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Tennessee Tech's Alayna Pierce led with 20 kills, and Morgan Petelin added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
ETSU1521230
TNTECH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Alayna Pierce hit .350 on 40 swings as Tennessee Tech edged ETSU.

The match turned once. Numbers are Tennessee Tech's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had ETSU at 69% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · ETSU 23–21 Tennessee Tech

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Tennessee Tech, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–0.

    Tennessee Tech 68% → >99%

Tennessee Tech above 50ETSU belowMax swing 10.8%

ETSUTennessee Tech

Sideout %
ETSU 53.4·Tennessee Tech 67.2
Break %
ETSU 32.8·Tennessee Tech 46.6
Hitting
ETSU .115·Tennessee Tech .286
Longest run
ETSU 6·Tennessee Tech 5

Alayna Pierce
20 kills on .350, 23 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tennessee Tech above 50 · ETSU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.8% TNTECHrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.8% to Tennessee Tech — set 3, ETSU 23-25 TNTECH. Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin). TNTECH win probability 89% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ETSU 64.4%35.6% TNTECH

ETSU wins

3-0
19.6%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.0%

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.8%
3-2
15.5%
ETSU break %
44.1% vs this opp
TNTECH break %
41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alayna PierceKill+10.8%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · ETSU 23-25 TNTECH · TNTECH 89% → 100%

  2. 02
    Alayna PierceKill+9.9%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · ETSU 23-24 TNTECH · TNTECH 79% → 89%

  3. 03
    Alayna PierceKill+7.1%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 2 · ETSU 20-22 TNTECH · TNTECH 61% → 68%

  4. 04
    Alayna PierceKill+7.0%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · ETSU 23-23 TNTECH · TNTECH 72% → 79%

  5. 05
    Alayna PierceBlock+6.1%

    Makayla Bays stuffed by Alayna Pierce

    Set 2 · ETSU 21-24 TNTECH · TNTECH 70% → 76%

  6. 06
    Alayna PierceKill+6.1%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 2 · ETSU 21-23 TNTECH · TNTECH 64% → 70%

  7. 07
    Ashlyn GambleAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Gamble

    Set 2 · ETSU 20-20 TNTECH · ETSU 38% → 45%

  8. 08
    Bella PotempaKill+5.9%

    Kill by Bella Potempa (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 2 · ETSU 18-20 TNTECH · TNTECH 59% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ETSUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39530.13300130010.59.5
32110.10000000212.54.5
32316-.063001420002
3102.5001211300002
2206.333001810002
2114.000000000001
3203.6678001000002
3001.000510710001
3000–000000000
24215.13300030010.54.5
23210.100000100003
2000–000000000
1115.000000002234
1112.00000000010.51.5
Team totals2816104.115252439446759
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
320640.3501136012223
313228.3930003002114
32210.00020010132.54.5
3125-.20010120111.52.5
3126-.16738001500001
3004.0001021000000
310218.4441113000011
31011.000211910002
3000–013310001
3000–001300000
Team totals4816112.2864641255238775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ETSU vs Tennessee Tech

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ETSU · TNTECH 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 ETSUTNTECH 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 ETSUTNTECH 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 ETSUTNTECH 5

Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = ETSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%8/21
38%5/13
2
47%7/15
20%2/10
3
67%6/9
36%4/11
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
53%39/73
33%20/61

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
36%4/11
2
100%8/8
65%15/23
3
60%6/10
50%6/12
4
43%6/14
25%2/8
5
100%6/6
25%2/8
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
67%41/61
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#ETSU-TNTECHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.7
21-1TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+1.6
31-2ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.7
42-2TNTECHETSUKillRaegan Wallerset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
52-3ETSUTNTECHAttack errElizabeth Aylward+1.8
62-4TNTECHTNTECHAceTennessee Techaced Makayla Bays+2.5
73-4TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+1.7
83-5ETSUTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.9
94-5TNTECHETSUKillAlex Kreutzmannset Alex Kreutzmann+1.8
104-6ETSUTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.0
115-6TNTECHETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+1.8
125-7ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Mallory Jenkins+2.0
136-7TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+1.9
146-8ETSUTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.1
156-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillShelby Hannahset Morgan Petelin+2.7
166-10TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Jordyn Milhouse, Alayna Pierce+2.6
177-10TNTECHETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
187-11ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.0
197-12TNTECHTNTECHAttack errMakayla Bays+2.4
208-12TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+1.5
219-12ETSUETSUAttack errJordyn Milhouse+2.3
229-13ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.1
2310-13TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+1.7
2410-14ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.2
2510-15TNTECHTNTECHAttack errChloe Smith+2.5
2611-15TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+1.4
2711-16ETSUTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+1.9
2811-17TNTECHTNTECHBad setAlex Kreutzmann+2.0
2912-17TNTECHETSUAttack errMallory Jenkins+1.0
3012-18ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.5
3113-18TNTECHETSUServe errTennessee Tech+0.9
3214-18ETSUETSUAceBailey Gohlkeaced Shelby Hannah+1.8
3314-19ETSUTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Kamya Mahorn+1.9
3414-20TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Ashlyn Gamble, Jordyn Milhouse+1.8
3514-21TNTECHTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.1
3614-22TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Techaced Melanie Morris+0.5
3715-22TNTECHETSUKillBailey Gohlkeset Shelby Hannah+0.1
3815-23ETSUTNTECH×3Serve errMakayla Bays+0.3
3915-24TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4015-25TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errElizabeth Aylward·
Set 2
10-1TNTECHTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.8
21-1TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris+2.1
32-1ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+2.7
42-2ETSUTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.1
52-3TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+3.0
62-4TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.1
73-4TNTECHETSUKillAlex Kreutzmann+2.2
83-5ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.4
94-5TNTECHETSUBad setMorgan Petelin+2.2
104-6ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.5
115-6TNTECHETSUServe errElla Watford+2.3
126-6ETSUETSUAttack errAlayna Pierce+3.1
136-7ETSUTNTECHAttack errMakayla Bays+2.5
147-7TNTECHETSUServe errAlayna Pierce+2.4
157-8ETSUTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.6
167-9TNTECHTNTECH×3Bad setElizabeth Aylward+3.5
177-10TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedGianna Blairblk Mallory Jenkins+3.5
188-10TNTECHETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.3
199-10ETSUETSUBlockedMorgan Petelinblk Gianna Blair+3.4
209-11ETSUTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.9
2110-11TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+2.6
2210-12ETSUTNTECHAttack errChloe Smith+3.0
2310-13TNTECHTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Shelby Hannah+3.9
2411-13TNTECHETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+2.5
2511-14ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+3.0
2612-14TNTECHETSUServe errMallory Jenkins+2.6
2712-15ETSUTNTECHServe errBailey Gohlke+3.1
2812-16TNTECHTNTECHAceElla Watfordaced Makayla Bays+3.8
2913-16TNTECHETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.2
3014-16ETSUETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+3.6
3115-16ETSUETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris+4.2
3215-17ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+3.7
3316-17TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+3.2
3416-18ETSUTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+3.9
3517-18TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+3.4
3618-18ETSUETSUAttack errMallory Jenkins+5.2
3718-19ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+4.3
3818-20TNTECHTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+5.9
3919-20TNTECHETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+3.7
4020-20ETSUETSUAttack errAshlyn Gamble+6.0
4120-21ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+5.2
4220-22TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+7.1
4321-22TNTECHETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+4.1
4421-23ETSUTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+6.1
4521-24TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedMakayla Baysblk Alayna Pierce+6.1
4621-25TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errRaegan Waller+2.6
Set 3
10-1ETSUTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.8
21-1TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
31-2ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.8
41-3TNTECHTNTECHBad setBailey Gohlke+2.5
52-3TNTECHETSU×4Serve errElla Watford+1.8
63-3ETSUETSU×4AceMelanie Morrisaced Ella Watford+2.4
74-3ETSUETSU×4BlockedMorgan Petelinblk Phoenix Fogel+2.4
85-3ETSUETSU×4BlockedAlayna Pierceblk Phoenix Fogel, Sophia Davis+2.3
95-4ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Phoenix Fogel+1.7
106-4TNTECHETSU×6KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
117-4ETSUETSU×6KillMalia Brinkmanset Bailey Gohlke+2.1
128-4ETSUETSU×6Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.9
139-4ETSUETSU×6Attack errBella Potempa+1.6
1410-4ETSUETSU×6BlockedBella Potempablk Malia Brinkman, Phoenix Fogel+1.3
1511-4ETSUETSU×6KillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+1.0
1611-5ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.6
1711-6TNTECHTNTECHAttack errMalia Brinkman+1.1
1812-6TNTECHETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.0
1912-7ETSUTNTECHServe errKaris Chatfield+0.8
2012-8TNTECHTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Jordyn Milhouse+1.4
2113-8TNTECHETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+1.2
2213-9ETSUTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.0
2313-10TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Kamya Mahorn+1.8
2413-11TNTECHTNTECH×3AceBella Potempaaced Karis Chatfield+2.3
2514-11TNTECHETSUServe errBella Potempa+1.9
2614-12ETSUTNTECH×3BlockedSophia Davisblk Alayna Pierce, Mallory Jenkins+1.8
2714-13TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Jordyn Milhouse+2.9
2814-14TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Alayna Pierce+3.4
2915-14TNTECHETSUBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair+2.6
3015-15ETSUTNTECHServe errElizabeth Aylward+2.6
3116-15TNTECHETSUBlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Gianna Blair+2.7
3216-16ETSUTNTECHBlockedPhoenix Fogelblk Jordyn Milhouse+2.8
3317-16TNTECHETSUBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Phoenix Fogel+2.9
3417-17ETSUTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.9
3518-17TNTECHETSUServe errShelby Hannah+3.1
3618-18ETSUTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Bella Potempa+3.1
3718-19TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+4.8
3819-19TNTECHETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris+3.4
3920-19ETSUETSUAttack errAshlyn Gamble+4.9
4020-20ETSUTNTECHAttack errElizabeth Aylward+3.7
4121-20TNTECHETSU×3KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+4.0
4222-20ETSUETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+5.0
4323-20ETSUETSU×3Attack errSophia Davis+3.8
4423-21ETSUTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.6
4523-22TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedSophia Davisblk Jordyn Milhouse, Ashlyn Gamble+4.1
4623-23TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+7.0
4723-24TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+9.9
4823-25TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+10.8

Score shown after each rally, ETSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).