Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on YouTube

Colorado St. def. Gonzaga 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado St. 99.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado St. won at Gonzaga 3-2 (23-25, 25-23, 25-12, 24-26, 15-12) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Colorado St.'s Halle Jameson led with 17 kills, and Karsyn Fetzer added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set12345Sets
CO ST23252524153
GONZ25231226122

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Colorado St. broke it open with an 8–0 run in the third set.

Win probability never moved more than 6.9 points on one rally; Gonzaga topped out at 24% in Set 5. Colorado St. went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

Colorado St.Gonzaga
  • Longest run+4
    84

    8 straight Colorado St. points in the third set stretched a 17–12 lead to 25–12. That set ended 25–12.

Gonzaga above 50Colorado St. belowMax swing 6.9%

Colorado St.Gonzaga

Hitting
Colorado St. .185·Gonzaga .123
Aces
Colorado St. 9·Gonzaga 3
Serve err
Colorado St. 14·Gonzaga 7
Blocks
Colorado St. 14·Gonzaga 145 BS · 18 BA vs 3 BS · 22 BA
Digs
Colorado St. 86·Gonzaga 83

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Gonzaga above 50 · Colorado St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+6.9% GONZrally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 6.9% to Gonzaga — set 5, CO ST 0-2 GONZ. Kill by Daniele Clewis (set by Erin Debiec). GONZ win probability 17% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO ST 98.7%1.3% GONZ

Colorado St. wins

3-0
71.6%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
4.5%

Gonzaga wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%
CO ST break %
50.8% vs this opp
GONZ break %
33.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Daniele Clewis (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 5 · CO ST 0-2 GONZ · GONZ 17% → 24%

  2. 02
    Halle JamesonAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Halle Jameson

    Set 5 · CO ST 5-5 GONZ · GONZ 10% → 16%

  3. 03

    Kill by Veronica Kjaer Sorensen (set by Maggie Rickert)

    Set 5 · CO ST 0-1 GONZ · GONZ 11% → 17%

  4. 04
    Eve WilsonKill+5.3%

    Kill by Eve Wilson (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 5 · CO ST 2-2 GONZ · CO ST 80% → 86%

  5. 05
    Eve WilsonAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Eve Wilson

    Set 4 · CO ST 24-26 GONZ · GONZ 7% → 11%

  6. 06
    Erin DebiecKill+4.5%

    Kill by Erin Debiec (set by Karsyn Fetzer)

    Set 5 · CO ST 7-5 GONZ · CO ST 88% → 93%

  7. 07
    Eve WilsonKill+4.4%

    Kill by Eve Wilson (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 5 · CO ST 3-2 GONZ · CO ST 86% → 90%

  8. 08
    GonzagaService error+4.1%

    Gonzaga service error

    Set 5 · CO ST 1-2 GONZ · CO ST 76% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517854.16702017002120
514630.26710440355.519.5
511427.2590000004213
56525.040000201439
5309.33353301600217
5027-.2860041010000
513535.22900020111.514.5
5000–0221100002
5000–5242420002
11011.000000000001
1001.000000000000
Team totals6530189.1855991486351814112
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151456.018212111233.519.5
516740.22520211202117
55015.333100000638
54213.15410010153.57.5
55110.40036111700217
5001.000201420000
5000–3103620001
5000–001100000
45429.034100220216
21115.000000000212
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5129179.12348378393221498

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colorado St. vs Gonzaga

Season series · Colorado St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 CO ST · GONZ 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 CO STGONZ 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 CO STGONZ 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 8 CO STGONZ 3

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 5 CO STGONZ 4

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 CO STGONZ 3

Bars above the line = Gonzaga leads, below = Colorado St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%13/25
52%11/21
2
65%13/20
35%7/20
3
53%9/17
48%10/21
4
100%9/9
47%8/17
5
67%8/12
62%13/21
6
50%8/16
27%3/11
All
61%60/99
47%52/111

Gonzaga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%13/23
50%11/22
2
63%12/19
48%12/25
3
48%10/21
35%6/17
4
36%8/22
31%4/13
5
67%8/12
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
27%3/11
All
53%59/111
39%39/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#CO ST-GONZSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GONZGONZBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Claire Wagstaff, Lucy Slavik+0.1
21-1GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
32-1CO STCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+0.1
42-2CO STGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Lucy Slavik+0.1
52-3GONZGONZ×3Attack errSofia Zabjek+0.1
62-4GONZGONZ×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Claire Wagstaff+0.1
73-4GONZCO STServe errGonzaga+0.1
84-4CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Taylor Walsh+0.1
94-5CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.1
104-6GONZGONZAceGonzagaaced Karsyn Fetzer+0.2
115-6GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
125-7CO STGONZKillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+0.1
136-7GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.1
146-8CO STGONZBlockedEve Wilsonblk Taylor Walsh, Gabby Vandal+0.1
156-9GONZGONZAttack errElla Stowell+0.2
167-9GONZCO ST×3Serve errGonzaga+0.1
178-9CO STCO ST×3BlockedVeronica Kjaer Sorensenblk Kekua Richards, Erin Debiec+0.2
189-9CO STCO ST×3KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.1
199-10CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.1
2010-10GONZCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
2111-10CO STCO ST×3Attack errClaire Wagstaff+0.1
2212-10CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Karsyn Fetzer+0.1
2312-11CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.1
2412-12GONZGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Maggie Rickert+0.2
2513-12GONZCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.1
2613-13CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.1
2714-13GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
2815-13CO STCO STKillEve Wilson+0.1
2915-14CO STGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.1
3015-15GONZGONZ×3BlockedEve Wilsonblk Taylor Walsh, Gabby Vandal+0.2
3115-16GONZGONZ×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Claire Wagstaff, Gabby Vandal+0.3
3216-16GONZCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+0.2
3316-17CO STGONZAttack errEve Wilson+0.2
3417-17GONZCO ST×3BlockedTaylor Walshblk Eve Wilson+0.2
3518-17CO STCO ST×3BlockedVeronica Kjaer Sorensenblk Ella Stowell, Eve Wilson+0.2
3619-17CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.2
3719-18CO STGONZ×3Attack errEve Wilson+0.1
3819-19GONZGONZ×3Attack errElla Stowell+0.3
3919-20GONZGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.4
4020-20GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.3
4120-21CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.4
4221-21GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.3
4321-22CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.5
4422-22GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.4
4522-23CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.6
4622-24GONZGONZAttack errKekua Richards+1.0
4723-24GONZCO STServe errGonzaga+0.4
4823-25CO STGONZKillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+1.2
Set 2
10-1CO STGONZ×3KillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+0.4
20-2GONZGONZ×3Attack errKekua Richards+0.8
30-3GONZGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.0
41-3GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.6
52-3CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.7
62-4CO STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.7
72-5GONZGONZBlockedMaria Brunblk Gabby Vandal+1.1
83-5GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.6
93-6CO STGONZKillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+0.9
104-6GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.7
115-6CO STCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+0.9
125-7CO STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.8
136-7GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.6
146-8CO STGONZKillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+0.9
156-9GONZGONZAttack errHalle Jameson+1.4
167-9GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.8
177-10CO STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Claire Wagstaff+1.2
187-11GONZGONZBlockedElla Stowellblk Claire Wagstaff, Lucy Slavik+1.8
198-11GONZCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+1.0
208-12CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.5
219-12GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.0
229-13CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.6
2310-13GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.1
2411-13CO STCO STBlockedClaire Wagstaffblk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson+1.5
2511-14CO STGONZAttack errHalle Jameson+1.6
2611-15GONZGONZAceGonzagaaced Maria Brun+2.3
2712-15GONZCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.2
2813-15CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Taylor Walsh+1.8
2914-15CO STCO ST×3BlockedTaylor Walshblk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson+1.7
3014-16CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+1.6
3115-16GONZCO STBlockedVeronica Kjaer Sorensenblk Eve Wilson+1.2
3215-17CO STGONZBlockedEve Wilsonblk Veronica Kjaer Sorensen, Gabby Vandal+1.8
3316-17GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.3
3417-17CO STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.8
3517-18CO STGONZ×3Serve errColorado St.+1.7
3617-19GONZGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+2.8
3717-20GONZGONZ×3BlockedKekua Richardsblk Claire Wagstaff+3.4
3818-20GONZCO ST×5KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.6
3919-20CO STCO ST×5BlockedClaire Wagstaffblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+2.6
4020-20CO STCO ST×5KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.6
4121-20CO STCO ST×5BlockedVeronica Kjaer Sorensenblk Ella Stowell+2.2
4222-20CO STCO ST×5AceColorado St.aced Maggie Rickert+1.7
4322-21CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.1
4422-22GONZGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+2.7
4523-22GONZCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.2
4624-22CO STCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+2.2
4724-23CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.9
4825-23GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.8
Set 3
11-0GONZCO STBlockedClaire Wagstaffblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+0.2
21-1CO STGONZAttack errHalle Jameson+0.3
32-1GONZCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.2
42-2CO STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Veronica Kjaer Sorensen+0.3
53-2GONZCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+0.3
64-2CO STCO ST×3BlockedGabby Vandalblk Eve Wilson+0.3
75-2CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Veronica Kjaer Sorensen+0.2
85-3CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.2
96-3GONZCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.2
107-3CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.2
118-3CO STCO ST×3Attack errTaylor Walsh+0.1
128-4CO STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Maggie Rickert+0.1
139-4GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.1
149-5CO STGONZ×3KillGabby Vandalset Daniele Clewis+0.1
159-6GONZGONZ×3BlockedElla Stowellblk Lucy Slavik, Daniele Clewis+0.2
169-7GONZGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Carina Zaldivar+0.3
1710-7GONZCO ST×3Attack errKekua Richards+0.2
1811-7CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Carina Zaldivar+0.2
1912-7CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Carina Zaldivar+0.2
2012-8CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Claire Wagstaff+0.1
2112-9GONZGONZAttack errKekua Richards+0.2
2213-9GONZCO STAttack errKekua Richards+0.2
2313-10CO STGONZKillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+0.2
2414-10GONZCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+0.2
2515-10CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.2
2615-11CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.1
2716-11GONZCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+0.1
2817-11CO STCO STAttack errClaire Wagstaff+0.1
2917-12CO STGONZKillTaylor Walshset Daniele Clewis+0.1
3018-12GONZCO ST×8KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
3119-12CO STCO ST×8Attack errClaire Wagstaff+0.1
3220-12CO STCO ST×8AceColorado St.aced Veronica Kjaer Sorensen·
3321-12CO STCO ST×8KillErin Debiecset Eve Wilson·
3422-12CO STCO ST×8KillErin Debiecset Karsyn Fetzer·
3523-12CO STCO ST×8KillSilvie Graetzer·
3624-12CO STCO ST×8KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec·
3725-12CO STCO ST×8KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec·
Set 4
10-1CO STGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.2
20-2GONZGONZ×3Attack errMaria Brun+0.4
30-3GONZGONZ×3BlockedSofia Zabjekblk Lucy Slavik, Lydia Fisher+0.5
41-3GONZCO STAttack errKekua Richards+0.3
51-4CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.4
61-5GONZGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.7
72-5GONZCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.4
82-6CO STGONZAttack errSofia Zabjek+0.6
93-6GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.4
103-7CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+0.6
114-7GONZCO STServe errGonzaga+0.4
124-8CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.6
135-8GONZCO STServe errGonzaga+0.5
145-9CO STGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.7
155-10GONZGONZ×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Veronica Kjaer Sorensen, Lucy Slavik+1.0
165-11GONZGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.1
176-11GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.6
187-11CO STCO STAttack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+0.8
197-12CO STGONZ×3KillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+0.9
207-13GONZGONZ×3BlockedSofia Zabjekblk Lucy Slavik, Lydia Fisher+1.2
217-14GONZGONZ×3Attack errElla Stowell+1.2
228-14GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.6
238-15CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.0
249-15GONZCO ST×5KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.6
2510-15CO STCO ST×5AceColorado St.aced Claire Wagstaff+0.9
2611-15CO STCO ST×5KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.0
2712-15CO STCO ST×5BlockedClaire Wagstaffblk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson+1.0
2813-15CO STCO ST×5KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.0
2913-16CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+1.0
3014-16GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.7
3114-17CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+1.1
3215-17GONZCO ST×3Serve errGonzaga+0.8
3316-17CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Maggie Rickert+1.1
3417-17CO STCO ST×3Attack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+1.0
3517-18CO STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Carina Zaldivar+0.9
3618-18GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.8
3718-19CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+1.1
3818-20GONZGONZAceGonzagaaced Karsyn Fetzer+1.8
3919-20GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.0
4020-20CO STCO STAttack errVeronica Kjaer Sorensen+1.4
4120-21CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+1.4
4221-21GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+1.1
4322-21CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.5
4422-22CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+1.2
4523-22GONZCO STAttack errLydia Fisher+1.2
4624-22CO STCO STBlockedGabby Vandalblk Eve Wilson, Sofia Zabjek+1.2
4724-23CO STGONZ×4KillClaire Wagstaffset Gabby Vandal+0.5
4824-24GONZGONZ×4BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Gabby Vandal, Daniele Clewis+2.1
4924-25GONZGONZ×4KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+3.4
5024-26GONZGONZ×4Attack errEve Wilson+5.0
Set 5
10-1GONZGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Maggie Rickert+5.3
20-2GONZGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Erin Debiec+6.9
31-2GONZCO ST×3Serve errGonzaga+4.1
42-2CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+5.3
53-2CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+4.4
63-3CO STGONZKillLydia Fisherset Daniele Clewis+3.8
74-3GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+3.2
85-3CO STCO STAttack errLydia Fisher+3.7
95-4CO STGONZKillLucy Slavikset Daniele Clewis+3.0
105-5GONZGONZAttack errHalle Jameson+5.8
116-5GONZCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.9
127-5CO STCO ST×3KillErin Debiecset Karsyn Fetzer+4.5
138-5CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+3.2
148-6CO STGONZKillClaire Wagstaffset Taylor Walsh+2.3
159-6GONZCO STKillElla Stowellset Karsyn Fetzer+2.3
169-7CO STGONZServe errColorado St.+2.4
1710-7GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.5
1810-8CO STGONZKillVeronica Kjaer Sorensenset Daniele Clewis+2.4
1911-8GONZCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.7
2012-8CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.2
2112-9CO STGONZKillDaniele Clewisset Veronica Kjaer Sorensen+1.1
2213-9GONZCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.5
2314-9CO STCO STBlockedTaylor Walshblk Sofia Zabjek+0.7
2414-10CO STGONZ×3Serve errColorado St.+0.1
2514-11GONZGONZ×3KillClaire Wagstaffset Daniele Clewis+0.6
2614-12GONZGONZ×3KillLucy Slavikset Erin Debiec+1.8
2715-12GONZCO STKillEve Wilsonset Karsyn Fetzer+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Colorado St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).