Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on YouTube

Colorado St. def. Oregon St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado St. 94.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado St. beat visiting Oregon St. 3-1 (24-26, 25-23, 25-12, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Halle Jameson led Colorado St. with 11 kills; Oregon St.'s Ac Froehlich had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
ORE ST262312231
CO ST242525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 9–0 run in the third set broke it open for Colorado St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.8 points. Oregon St. peaked at 25% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Colorado St. 94% before first serve.

Oregon St.Colorado St.
  • Break %+9.2 pts
    38.848.0

    On serve: 47/98 against 33/85 (Oregon St. sideout 52.0%).

  • Longest run+4
    59

    9 straight Colorado St. points in the third set turned a 0–2 deficit into a 9–2 lead. That set ended 25–12.

Colorado St. above 50Oregon St. belowMax swing 5.8%

Oregon St.Colorado St.

Hitting
Oregon St. .143·Colorado St. .157
Aces
Oregon St. 2·Colorado St. 9
Serve err
Oregon St. 13·Colorado St. 3
Blocks
Oregon St. 7·Colorado St. 140 BS · 14 BA vs 7 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Oregon St. 52·Colorado St. 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colorado St. above 50 · Oregon St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.8% ORE STrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.8% to Oregon St. — set 1, ORE ST 26-24 CO ST. Oregon St. ace on Halle Jameson. CO ST win probability 88% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ORE ST 7.0%93.0% CO ST

Oregon St. wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.0%
3-2
4.1%

Colorado St. wins

3-0
50.3%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.8%
ORE ST break %
37.1% vs this opp
CO ST break %
48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Oregon St.Ace+5.8%

    Oregon St. ace on Halle Jameson

    Set 1 · ORE ST 26-24 CO ST · ORE ST 12% → 18%

  2. 02
    Sofia ZabjekKill+4.7%

    Kill by Sofia Zabjek (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 2 · ORE ST 23-25 CO ST · CO ST 84% → 89%

  3. 03
    Taylor TreahyAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Taylor Treahy

    Set 4 · ORE ST 22-23 CO ST · CO ST 91% → 95%

  4. 04
    Eve WilsonAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Eve Wilson

    Set 1 · ORE ST 25-24 CO ST · ORE ST 8% → 12%

  5. 05
    Sofia ZabjekKill+4.2%

    Kill by Sofia Zabjek (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 4 · ORE ST 23-25 CO ST · CO ST 96% → 100%

  6. 06
    Halle JamesonKill+3.9%

    Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 4 · ORE ST 23-24 CO ST · CO ST 92% → 96%

  7. 07
    Maria BrunAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Maria Brun

    Set 4 · ORE ST 21-18 CO ST · ORE ST 14% → 18%

  8. 08
    Taray TelaAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Taray Tela

    Set 4 · ORE ST 21-21 CO ST · CO ST 87% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4121047.0430027002113
410421.2860002004212
49417.29400310031.510.5
49937.0001004002110
4207.28638101400214
4000–001300000
49318.33300031010.59.5
4000–6111370001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–002100000
4000–000000000
4000–204410000
Team totals5130147.14347213529014784
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410324.29212020233.515.5
411531.1942207120215
410327.259121110111.513.5
47730.0000003014310
45516.000100101438
4326.1673301800214
4000–2311000003
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–5001510000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4625134.15745935727141499

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Oregon St. vs Colorado St.

Season series · Colorado St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ORE ST · CO ST 9

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 ORE STCO ST 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 ORE STCO ST 4

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 ORE STCO ST 9

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 ORE STCO ST 3

Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = Oregon St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
0%0/3
2
33%5/15
44%4/9
3
71%5/7
38%3/8
4
36%4/11
0%0/5
5
100%4/4
20%1/5
6
60%3/5
57%4/7
All
52%26/50
32%12/37

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
38%3/8
2
63%5/8
67%10/15
3
100%5/5
29%2/7
4
80%4/5
64%7/11
5
43%3/7
0%0/4
6
100%3/3
40%2/5
All
68%25/37
48%24/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#ORE ST-CO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CO STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.6
20-2CO STCO STBlockedAc Froehlichblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+0.5
31-2CO STORE ST×3KillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+0.4
42-2ORE STORE ST×3KillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.7
53-2ORE STORE ST×3Attack errKekua Richards+0.8
63-3ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.5
74-3CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+0.6
85-3ORE STORE STBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Taray Tela, Cheyenne Green+1.0
95-4ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.6
105-5CO STCO STAttack errTaray Tela+0.8
116-5CO STORE STKillCheyenne Greenset Isabel Bertelsen+0.7
126-6ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.6
137-6CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.7
147-7ORE STCO STKillAlana Marrs+0.6
158-7CO STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+0.8
169-7ORE STORE STAttack errHalle Jameson+1.2
179-8ORE STCO ST×3Attack errAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.7
189-9CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+1.0
199-10CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.aced Cheyenne Green+0.9
2010-10CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.7
2110-11ORE STCO STKillMaria Brunset Eve Wilson+0.7
2210-12CO STCO STKillErin Debiecset Halle Jameson+0.8
2311-12CO STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+0.6
2411-13ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.6
2512-13CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.6
2613-13ORE STORE STKillAc Froehlich+1.1
2713-14ORE STCO STBlockedAc Froehlichblk Kekua Richards+0.8
2814-14CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+0.9
2914-15ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.8
3015-15CO STORE STKillCheyenne Greenset Jackie Matias+0.9
3116-15ORE STORE STBlockedHalle Jamesonblk Jackie Matias, Alana Marrs+1.6
3216-16ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+1.0
3317-16CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+1.3
3417-17ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Hayden Grimes+1.1
3518-17CO STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+1.4
3618-18ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+1.2
3719-18CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+1.5
3819-19ORE STCO ST×3Serve errOregon St.+1.3
3919-20CO STCO ST×3Attack errTaylor Treahy+1.8
4019-21CO STCO ST×3KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.5
4120-21CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Taylor Treahy+1.0
4220-22ORE STCO STBad setJackie Matias+1.1
4321-22CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+1.0
4421-23ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer+1.3
4522-23CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+1.0
4622-24ORE STCO STKillEve Wilson+1.5
4723-24CO STORE ST×4KillCheyenne Greenset Jackie Matias+0.9
4824-24ORE STORE ST×4BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Taylor Treahy, Alana Marrs+3.2
4925-24ORE STORE ST×4Attack errEve Wilson+4.3
5026-24ORE STORE ST×4AceOregon St.aced Halle Jameson+5.8
Set 2
11-0ORE STORE ST×3AceOregon St.aced Karsyn Fetzer+2.0
22-0ORE STORE ST×3Attack errSofia Zabjek+2.3
33-0ORE STORE ST×3Attack errKekua Richards+2.6
43-1ORE STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.6
54-1CO STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+2.0
64-2ORE STCO ST×3BlockedAc Froehlichblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+1.6
74-3CO STCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.3
84-4CO STCO ST×3BlockedAc Froehlichblk Eve Wilson, Sofia Zabjek+2.1
95-4CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+1.7
105-5ORE STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.5
116-5CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+1.8
126-6ORE STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.6
136-7CO STCO ST×3Attack errAlana Marrs+2.0
146-8CO STCO ST×3KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.7
157-8CO STORE STKillCheyenne Greenset Jackie Matias+1.3
167-9ORE STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.3
178-9CO STORE STAttack errMaria Brunset Halle Jameson+1.4
188-10ORE STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.3
198-11CO STCO STBlockedTaylor Treahyblk Maria Brun+1.6
209-11CO STORE ST×4Serve errColorado St.+1.1
2110-11ORE ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
2211-11ORE STORE ST×4Attack errKekua Richards+2.6
2312-11ORE STORE ST×4KillTaylor Treahy+3.1
2412-12ORE STCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Kekua Richards+2.1
2512-13CO STCO ST×4Attack errTaylor Treahy+2.7
2612-14CO STCO ST×4KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.3
2712-15CO STCO ST×4Attack errAc Froehlich+1.9
2813-15CO STORE STAttack errSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+1.3
2913-16ORE STCO ST×3KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.4
3013-17CO STCO ST×3KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.4
3113-18CO STCO ST×3BlockedTaray Telablk Eve Wilson+1.0
3214-18CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.5
3314-19ORE STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.7
3414-20CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer+0.5
3515-20CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+0.2
3615-21ORE STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.3
3716-21CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.2
3817-21ORE STORE STAttack errHalle Jameson+0.5
3917-22ORE STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.6
4017-23CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+0.4
4118-23CO STORE STKillCheyenne Greenset Jackie Matias+0.1
4219-23ORE STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.3
4319-24ORE STCO STKillErin Debiecset Karsyn Fetzer+0.4
4420-24CO STORE ST×4KillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+0.1
4521-24ORE STORE ST×4BlockedMaria Brunblk Taray Tela, Taylor Treahy+0.4
4622-24ORE STORE ST×4Attack errSofia Zabjek+1.1
4723-24ORE STORE ST×4KillTaylor Treahyset Isabel Bertelsen+3.0
4823-25ORE STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+4.7
Set 3
11-0CO STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Jackie Matias+1.3
22-0ORE STORE STAttack errKekua Richards+2.0
32-1ORE STCO ST×9Serve errOregon St.+1.3
42-2CO STCO ST×9BlockedTaray Telablk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+1.7
52-3CO STCO ST×9BlockedTaylor Treahyblk Halle Jameson+1.5
62-4CO STCO ST×9AceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+1.3
72-5CO STCO ST×9AceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+1.1
82-6CO STCO ST×9KillSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+0.9
92-7CO STCO ST×9BlockedAc Froehlichblk Sofia Zabjek+0.7
102-8CO STCO ST×9Attack errAc Froehlich+0.5
112-9CO STCO ST×9BlockedTaylor Treahyblk Halle Jameson+0.4
123-9CO STORE STAttack errSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+0.2
133-10ORE STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.2
144-10CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.2
154-11ORE STCO ST×4KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.2
164-12CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+0.2
174-13CO STCO ST×4BlockedCheyenne Greenblk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+0.1
184-14CO STCO ST×4KillEve Wilson+0.1
195-14CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias·
205-15ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
216-15CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias·
226-16ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.·
237-16CO STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias·
247-17ORE STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec·
258-17CO STORE STBad setKekua Richards·
269-17ORE STORE STKillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.1
279-18ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+0.1
2810-18CO STORE STBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Ac Froehlich, Taray Tela·
2911-18ORE STORE STAttack errKekua Richards+0.1
3011-19ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer+0.1
3111-20CO STCO STAttack errCheyenne Green+0.1
3212-20CO STORE STKillCheyenne Greenset Isabel Bertelsen·
3312-21ORE STCO ST×5KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec·
3412-22CO STCO ST×5AceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen·
3512-23CO STCO ST×5KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec·
3612-24CO STCO ST×5AceColorado St.aced Kama Goldstein·
3712-25CO STCO ST×5KillErin Debiecset Halle Jameson·
Set 4
11-0ORE STORE STKillTaylor Treahyset Isabel Bertelsen+1.2
21-1ORE STCO STBlockedTaylor Treahyblk Kekua Richards, Maria Brun+0.8
32-1CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+1.0
42-2ORE STCO STAttack errAc Froehlichset Cheyenne Green+0.8
53-2CO STORE STBad setErin Debiec+1.0
63-3ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.9
73-4CO STCO STBlockedAlana Marrsblk Eve Wilson+1.1
84-4CO STORE ST×3Serve errColorado St.+0.9
95-4ORE STORE ST×3Attack errEve Wilson+1.4
106-4ORE STORE ST×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Jackie Matias, Alana Marrs+1.7
116-5ORE STCO STServe errOregon St.+1.0
126-6CO STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Maria Brun+1.4
137-6CO STORE STKillAlana Marrsset Jackie Matias+1.2
147-7ORE STCO STAttack errAc Froehlichset Isabel Bertelsen+1.0
158-7CO STORE STKillJackie Matiasset Isabel Bertelsen+1.2
168-8ORE STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.1
178-9CO STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+1.4
189-9CO STORE STKillCheyenne Green+1.1
199-10ORE STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.0
209-11CO STCO STAttack errTaylor Treahy+1.2
2110-11CO STORE STServe errColorado St.+0.9
2210-12ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.9
2311-12CO STORE STAttack errEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.0
2411-13ORE STCO ST×3Serve errOregon St.+0.9
2511-14CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Hayden Grimes+1.1
26–2712-15ORE ST · CO ST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
2812-16ORE STCO STBlockedAc Froehlichblk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson+0.6
2913-16CO STORE ST×4KillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+0.6
3014-16ORE STORE ST×4KillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+1.1
3115-16ORE STORE ST×4KillCheyenne Greenset Jackie Matias+1.6
3216-16ORE STORE ST×4Attack errErin Debiec+2.1
3316-17ORE STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.5
3416-18CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Isabel Bertelsen+1.8
3517-18CO STORE ST×5KillJackie Matiasset Kama Goldstein+1.3
3618-18ORE STORE ST×5KillCheyenne Greenset Isabel Bertelsen+2.4
3719-18ORE STORE ST×5KillAc Froehlichset Jackie Matias+3.1
3820-18ORE STORE ST×5Attack errSofia Zabjek+3.7
3921-18ORE STORE ST×5Attack errMaria Brun+3.7
4021-19ORE STCO ST×3KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.8
4121-20CO STCO ST×3Attack errCheyenne Green+3.2
4221-21CO STCO ST×3Attack errTaray Tela+3.7
4322-21CO STORE STKillTaray Tela+3.4
4422-22ORE STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.0
4522-23CO STCO STAttack errTaylor Treahy+4.4
4623-23CO STORE STKillTaray Telaset Jackie Matias+3.2
4723-24ORE STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.9
4823-25CO STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+4.2

Score shown after each rally, Oregon St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).