FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeHORIZON

Wright St. def. Eastern Ill. 3–0

(26-24, 25-23, 25-10)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E ILL	24	23	10	0
WRIGHT	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WRIGHT above 50 · E ILL below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Eastern Ill. — set 1, E ILL 24-24 WRIGHT. Eastern Ill. ace on Team. WRIGHT win probability 89% → 84%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E ILL 14.1%85.9% WRIGHT

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.5%

3-2

7.5%

Wright St. wins

3-0

38.3%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.2%

E ILL break %: 38.3% vs this opp
WRIGHT break %: 46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
E ILL serverAce+5.7%
Eastern Ill. ace on Team
Set 1 · E ILL 24-24 WRIGHT · E ILL 11% → 16%
02
WRIGHT serverAce+5.0%
Wright St. ace on Team
Set 1 · E ILL 24-26 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 88% → 93%
03
Mya AyroKill+4.3%
Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 1 · E ILL 24-25 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 84% → 88%
04
Katie SowkoKill+2.8%
Kill by Katie Sowko (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 1 · E ILL 22-24 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 88% → 91%
05
Abigail KnightKill+2.6%
Kill by Abigail Knight (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · E ILL 23-25 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 95% → 98%
06
E ILL serverAce+2.5%
Eastern Ill. ace on Greta McKee
Set 2 · E ILL 21-21 WRIGHT · E ILL 6% → 9%
07
E ILL serverAce+2.5%
Eastern Ill. ace on Alisandra Hayes
Set 1 · E ILL 22-23 WRIGHT · E ILL 9% → 12%
08
Kaeden FoxxAttack error+2.5%
Kaeden Foxx stuffed by Olivia Schmidt & Abigail Knight
Set 2 · E ILL 21-23 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 93% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Katie KopsheverOH	3	14	4	40	.250	0	1	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	16.5
11Anaya RawlinsonMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
15Peyton CastilloS	3	4	1	9	.333	21	0	1	5	0	0	2	1	5
9Emma HansonMB	3	2	0	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	4
5McKenna MortonOH	3	0	4	11	-.364	1	3	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
7Anna McEwenL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
19Abana TeranOPP	3	3	1	15	.133	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Ariadna PerelesL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	4	1	1	13	1	0	0	0	1
10Alanys NievesS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Kaeden FoxxOH	2	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		30	16	111	.126	27	5	2	40	8	1	12	7	57

Wright St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Katie SowkoOH	3	14	4	28	.357	0	1	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
4Abigail KnightOH	3	10	2	16	.500	1	2	1	8	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
2Reilly ZegunisMB	3	7	2	18	.278	0	2	0	4	0	0	2	1	10
11Olivia SchmidtMB	3	6	1	15	.333	1	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	9
7Lauren YacobucciS	3	3	0	5	.600	35	0	0	9	0	0	2	1	4
10Mya AyroOH	2	8	5	25	.120	1	2	2	2	0	1	0	1	11
3Taygan CorstangeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
1Alisandra HayesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
9Greta McKeeDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	0
16Ella SeegerOH	1	2	0	3	.667	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
35Ella GaonaDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Larsen TerrillS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	14	110	.327	48	8	8	53	5	2	12	8	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 E ILL · WRIGHT 12

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 E ILLWRIGHT 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 E ILLWRIGHT 9

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 2 E ILLWRIGHT 12

Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Eastern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	0%0/6
2	39%7/18	22%2/9
3	70%7/10	53%8/15
4	36%5/14	46%6/13
5	56%5/9	44%4/9
6	50%5/10	17%1/6
All	48%36/75	36%21/58

Wright St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	53%8/15
2	50%7/14	61%11/18
3	70%7/10	13%1/8
4	45%5/11	38%3/8
5	56%5/9	69%11/16
6	100%5/5	50%5/10
All	64%37/58	52%39/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	E ILL-WRIGHT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced McKenna Morton	+1.3
2	0-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson	blk Katie Sowko, Reilly Zegunis	+1.2
3	0-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
4	0-4	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Mya Ayro	+0.9
5	1-4	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.6
6	1-5	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.6
7	2-5	WRIGHT	E ILL	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk McKenna Morton, Anaya Rawlinson	+0.6
8	3-5	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis	blk Katie Kopshever	+1.0
9	3-6	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Taygan Corstange	+0.8
10	4-6	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.8
11	4-7	E ILL	WRIGHT	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.8
12	5-7	WRIGHT	E ILL	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+0.8
13	5-8	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.8
14	5-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
15	6-9	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.7
16	6-10	E ILL	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
17	6-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.8
18	6-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Olivia Schmidt	+0.6
19	6-13	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Team	+0.4
20	7-13	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.2
21	7-14	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.3
22	8-14	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Peyton Castillo	set Anna McEwen	+0.2
23	8-15	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.3
24	9-15	WRIGHT	E ILL×5	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.2
25	10-15	E ILL	E ILL×5	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
26	11-15	E ILL	E ILL×5	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Ariadna Pereles	+0.7
27	12-15	E ILL	E ILL×5	Ace	E ILL server	aced Team	+1.0
28	13-15	E ILL	E ILL×5	Ace	E ILL server	aced Greta McKee	+1.4
29	13-16	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
30	14-16	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+1.0
31	14-17	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.2
32	15-17	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Ariadna Pereles	+1.1
33	16-17	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.9
34	16-18	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.6
35	16-19	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
36	17-19	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.1
37	18-19	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+2.1
38	18-20	E ILL	WRIGHT	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Abigail Knight, Olivia Schmidt	+1.8
39	18-21	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Team	+2.0
40	19-21	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.1
41	19-22	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
42	20-22	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+1.0
43	20-23	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
44	21-23	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.9
45	22-23	E ILL	E ILL	Ace	E ILL server	aced Alisandra Hayes	+2.5
46	22-24	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.8
47	23-24	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+1.7
48	24-24	E ILL	E ILL	Ace	E ILL server	aced Team	+5.7
49	24-25	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+4.3
50	24-26	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Team	+5.0
Set 2
1	0-1	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
2	1-1	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.7
3	1-2	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
4	2-2	WRIGHT	E ILL×3	Kill	Peyton Castillo	set Ariadna Pereles	+0.7
5	3-2	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk Emma Hanson, Abana Teran	+1.1
6	4-2	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis	blk Emma Hanson, Katie Kopshever	+1.2
7	4-3	E ILL	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.8
8	4-4	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
9	4-5	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Team	+1.0
10	5-5	WRIGHT	E ILL×4	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.8
11	6-5	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Ariadna Pereles	+1.2
12	7-5	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Emma Hanson, Peyton Castillo	+1.4
13	8-5	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.5
14	8-6	E ILL	WRIGHT×9	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Abigail Knight	+0.9
15	8-7	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+1.3
16	8-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
17	8-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Attack err	Katie Kopshever	blk Lauren Yacobucci, Olivia Schmidt	+1.2
18	8-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Anna McEwen	+1.1
19	8-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Kill	Olivia Schmidt		+0.9
20	8-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+0.8
21	8-13	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.6
22	8-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×9	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Olivia Schmidt	+0.4
23	9-14	WRIGHT	E ILL×3	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.3
24	10-14	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+0.5
25	11-14	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Emma Hanson, Peyton Castillo	+0.7
26	11-15	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Olivia Schmidt	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.6
27	12-15	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
28	12-16	E ILL	WRIGHT	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx	blk Abigail Knight, Olivia Schmidt	+0.6
29	12-17	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Taygan Corstange	+0.6
30	13-17	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+0.4
31	13-18	E ILL	WRIGHT	Serve err	E ILL server		+0.4
32	14-18	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Peyton Castillo	+0.3
33	15-18	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk Anaya Rawlinson, Abana Teran	+0.7
34	15-19	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.6
35	16-19	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.5
36	16-20	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
37	17-20	WRIGHT	E ILL×3	Kill	Peyton Castillo	set McKenna Morton	+0.5
38	18-20	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.1
39	19-20	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Peyton Castillo	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.6
40	19-21	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
41	20-21	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Peyton Castillo	+1.3
42	21-21	E ILL	E ILL	Ace	E ILL server	aced Greta McKee	+2.5
43	21-22	E ILL	WRIGHT	Attack err	Peyton Castillo	blk Mya Ayro	+2.0
44	21-23	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx	blk Olivia Schmidt, Abigail Knight	+2.5
45	22-23	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Peyton Castillo	+1.3
46	22-24	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Taygan Corstange	+2.0
47	23-24	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.2
48	23-25	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.6
Set 3
1	1-0	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Anaya Rawlinson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.4
2	2-0	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+0.6
3	2-1	E ILL	WRIGHT×12	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.4
4	2-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Kaeden Foxx	+0.5
5	2-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Taygan Corstange	+0.5
6	2-4	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Kill	Katie Sowko		+0.4
7	2-5	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Attack err	Abana Teran		+0.4
8	2-6	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.3
9	2-7	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.3
10	2-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+0.2
11	2-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+0.1
12	2-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Ariadna Pereles	+0.1
13	2-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Attack err	Ariadna Pereles		+0.1
14	2-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×12	Attack err	Kaeden Foxx	blk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
15	3-12	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.0
16	3-13	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
17	3-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Anaya Rawlinson		+0.0
18	4-14	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
19	4-15	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
20	5-15	WRIGHT	E ILL	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Peyton Castillo	+0.0
21	5-16	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Ella Seeger	+0.0
22	5-17	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	McKenna Morton		+0.0
23	6-17	WRIGHT	E ILL	Attack err	Olivia Schmidt		+0.0
24	6-18	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Taygan Corstange	+0.0
25	7-18	WRIGHT	E ILL	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+0.0
26	7-19	E ILL	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+0.0
27	7-20	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+0.0
28	7-21	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+0.0
29	7-22	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
30	8-22	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.0
31	8-23	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
32	9-23	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.0
33	9-24	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.0
34	10-24	WRIGHT	E ILL	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+0.0
35	10-25	E ILL	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.