Texas St. def. UT Arlington 3–2
Texas St. beat UT Arlington 3-2 (20-25, 23-25, 25-21, 25-14, 15-10) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Peyton McKee led Texas St. with 14 kills; UT Arlington's Camryn McMinn had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TX ST | 20 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| TX ARL | 25 | 25 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.3% to Texas St. — set 5, TX ST 11-8 TX ARL. Kill by Peyton McKee (set by Dylan Gilkey). TX ARL win probability 23% → 12%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Texas St. wins
UT Arlington wins
- TX ST break %
- 42.3% vs this opp
- TX ARL break %
- 39.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Peyton McKeeKill+10.3%
Kill by Peyton McKee (set by Dylan Gilkey)
Set 5 · TX ST 11-8 TX ARL · TX ST 77% → 88%
- 02
- 03Naara TancoKill+9.9%
Kill by Naara Tanco (set by Anna Blaine)
Set 5 · TX ST 4-4 TX ARL · TX ST 43% → 53%
- 04Texas St.Ace+9.8%
Texas St. ace on Camryn McMinn
Set 5 · TX ST 6-4 TX ARL · TX ST 63% → 73%
- 05Mazi SmithKill+9.8%
Kill by Mazi Smith (set by Erica Dellesky)
Set 5 · TX ST 8-7 TX ARL · TX ARL 22% → 32%
- 06Camryn McMinnKill+9.2%
Kill by Camryn McMinn (set by Evyn Snook)
Set 5 · TX ST 0-2 TX ARL · TX ARL 52% → 62%
- 07Texas St.Ace+9.0%
Texas St. ace on Evyn Snook
Set 5 · TX ST 8-5 TX ARL · TX ST 74% → 83%
- 08UT ArlingtonService error+8.6%
UT Arlington service error
Set 5 · TX ST 10-8 TX ARL · TX ST 69% → 77%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 30 | .200 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 17 | .412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -.091 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 38 | .211 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 26 | 146 | .226 | 51 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 108 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 12 | 43 | .093 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 31 | .226 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 18 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | .083 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 21 | .381 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 28 | 134 | .179 | 46 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 95 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-14
Set 5
15-10
Bars above the line = UT Arlington leads, below = Texas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Texas St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%10/19 | 47%8/17 |
| 2 | 56%9/16 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 56%10/18 |
| 5 | 78%7/9 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 78%7/9 | 13%1/8 |
| All | 66%49/74 | 41%34/83 |
UT Arlington
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%10/15 | 31%4/13 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 50%9/18 |
| 3 | 57%8/14 | 25%3/12 |
| 4 | 42%8/19 | 27%3/11 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 30%3/10 |
| All | 59%49/83 | 34%25/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
203 rallies
| # | TX ST-TX ARL | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +1.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Ace | UT Arlington | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Isabella Andrews | set Anna Blaine | +1.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +1.8 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +2.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Blocked | India Bennett | blk Lucy Tricco, Hana Aiana | +2.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Peyton McKee | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Attack err | Hana Aiana | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Blocked | Camryn McMinn | blk India Bennett, Anna Blaine | +1.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Blocked | Camryn McMinn | blk Peyton McKee, Ashley Euston | +2.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Ace | Texas St. | aced Erica Dellesky | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Samantha Glenn | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Anna Blaine | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +2.0 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Anna Blaine | +2.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Erica Dellesky | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +2.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Anna Blaine | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Anna Blaine | set Anna Blaine | +3.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Attack err | Sophia Krichev | +2.8 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +1.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +3.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +2.2 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | TX ST | TX ARL×4 | Attack err | Peyton McKee | +2.1 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Kill | Hana Aiana | set Lucy Tricco | +3.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Attack err | India Bennett | +3.8 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Blocked | India Bennett | blk Camryn McMinn | +3.9 |
| 31 | 15-16 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | TX ST | TX ST | Blocked | Camryn McMinn | blk Ashley Euston, Anna Blaine | +4.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Erica Dellesky | +3.0 |
| 34 | 16-18 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Attack err | Isabella Andrews | +4.4 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Attack err | Peyton McKee | +4.0 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Anna Blaine | +2.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Jasmine Purakal | +4.0 |
| 38 | 18-20 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Erica Dellesky | +3.5 |
| 39 | 19-20 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Anna Blaine | +2.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | TX ST | TX ARL | Blocked | Brooke Bentke | blk Sophia Krichev, Evyn Snook | +3.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Anna Blaine | +3.1 |
| 42 | 20-22 | TX ST | TX ARL×4 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +4.2 |
| 43 | 20-23 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Kill | Lucy Tricco | +4.8 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Blocked | India Bennett | blk Sophia Krichev | +2.7 |
| 45 | 20-25 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Attack err | Brooke Bentke | +0.8 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Attack err | Ashley Euston | +2.9 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Attack err | Brooke Bentke | +2.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX ST | TX ARL | Attack err | Brooke Bentke | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Attack err | Brooke Bentke | +3.0 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +2.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Dylan Gilkey | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +3.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Jasmine Purakal | +3.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +2.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Caelyn Emmerling | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.2 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Erica Dellesky | +2.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Ace | UT Arlington | +3.4 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Anna Blaine | +2.2 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Hana Aiana | set Erica Dellesky | +2.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Erica Dellesky | +3.4 |
| 18 | 7-11 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Ace | UT Arlington | +3.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | India Bennett | set Anna Blaine | +1.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Mazi Smith | +2.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Blocked | Peyton McKee | blk Lucy Tricco, Sophia Krichev | +2.8 |
| 22 | 9-13 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Anna Blaine | +1.5 |
| 23 | 9-14 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Lucy Tricco | +2.0 |
| 24 | 10-14 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +1.5 |
| 25 | 10-15 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +2.0 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +1.5 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | TX ST | TX ARL | Blocked | Caelyn Emmerling | blk Lucy Tricco, Hana Aiana | +2.0 |
| 28 | 12-16 | TX ARL | TX ST×5 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Dylan Gilkey | +1.5 |
| 29 | 13-16 | TX ST | TX ST×5 | Ace | Texas St. | aced Evyn Snook | +2.8 |
| 30 | 14-16 | TX ST | TX ST×5 | Ace | Texas St. | +3.4 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | TX ST | TX ST×5 | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +4.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | TX ST | TX ST×5 | Blocked | Camryn McMinn | blk India Bennett, Anna Blaine | +4.6 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | India Bennett | set Anna Blaine | +3.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Anna Blaine | +5.0 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +3.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +3.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +3.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Lucy Tricco | +6.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Anna Blaine | +4.1 |
| 41 | 20-21 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Lily Hopkins | +4.8 |
| 42 | 20-22 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Attack err | Peyton McKee | +6.8 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | TX ARL | TX ST | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +3.7 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Lucy Tricco | +5.4 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +3.7 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +6.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | India Bennett | set Hana Aiana | +3.4 |
| 48 | 23-25 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Erica Dellesky | +8.5 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX ST | TX ST | Ace | Texas St. | aced Camryn McMinn | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TX ST | TX ARL×4 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Blocked | Caelyn Emmerling | blk Lucy Tricco, Sophia Krichev | +2.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Ace | UT Arlington | aced Brooke Bentke | +2.3 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TX ARL | TX ARL×4 | Ace | UT Arlington | +2.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | TX ARL | TX ST | Attack err | Sophia Krichev | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +1.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +1.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Anna Blaine | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Dylan Gilkey | +1.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +1.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Jasmine Purakal | +2.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Blocked | Ashley Euston | blk Mazi Smith, Sophia Krichev | +2.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +1.4 |
| 18 | 7-11 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +1.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Blocked | Caelyn Emmerling | blk Sophia Krichev, Lucy Tricco | +2.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Blocked | Sophia Krichev | blk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah | +1.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Ally Adair | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Attack err | Evyn Snook | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Blocked | Evyn Snook | blk Naara Tanco, Ally Adair | +2.7 |
| 24 | 11-13 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Attack err | Janet Onuorah | +2.2 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Ace | UT Arlington | aced Janet Onuorah | +2.9 |
| 26 | 11-15 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | TX ST | TX ST | Attack err | Sophia Krichev | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +2.2 |
| 30 | 14-16 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Kill | Ally Adair | set Anna Blaine | +1.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Ally Adair | +3.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Anna Blaine | +3.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Attack err | Hana Aiana | +3.6 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Hana Aiana | set Lucy Tricco | +2.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +4.0 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Brooke Bentke | +2.7 |
| 37 | 19-18 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Dylan Gilkey | +4.2 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Erica Dellesky | +2.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Dylan Gilkey | +3.2 |
| 40 | 21-19 | TX ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.3 | |||
| 41 | 21-20 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +2.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Blocked | Janet Onuorah | blk Sophia Krichev, Mazi Smith | +4.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Serve err | UT Arlington | +4.0 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Blocked | Evyn Snook | blk Naara Tanco, Ashley Euston | +5.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +3.6 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Blocked | Sophia Krichev | blk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah | +1.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Jasmine Purakal | +3.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TX ST | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +3.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TX ARL | TX ARL×3 | Ace | UT Arlington | aced Jasmine Purakal | +4.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TX ST | TX ST | Attack err | Lucy Tricco | +3.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +2.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +2.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | TX ST | TX ARL | Attack err | Brooke Bentke | +2.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Anna Blaine | +2.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TX ST | TX ARL | Attack err | Peyton McKee | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Kill | Ally Adair | set Anna Blaine | +3.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +4.2 |
| 17 | 10-7 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Jasmine Purakal | +3.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +2.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Evyn Snook | set Lucy Tricco | +2.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | TX ARL | TX ST | Blocked | Sophia Krichev | blk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah | +2.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Dylan Gilkey | +3.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | TX ARL | TX ST×3 | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Anna Blaine | +2.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | TX ST | TX ST×3 | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +2.1 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | TX ST | TX ARL | Blocked | Naara Tanco | blk Hana Aiana, Camryn McMinn | +1.1 |
| 28 | 17-11 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Anna Blaine | +1.4 |
| 29 | 18-11 | TX ST | TX ST | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +1.4 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Hana Aiana | set Erica Dellesky | +0.6 |
| 31 | 19-12 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ally Adair | set Anna Blaine | +0.9 |
| 32 | 19-13 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +0.5 |
| 33 | 20-13 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Anna Blaine | +0.8 |
| 34 | 21-13 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Jasmine Purakal | +0.6 |
| 35 | 22-13 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Ashley Euston | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Ace | Texas St. | aced Camryn McMinn | +0.1 |
| 37 | 23-14 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | · | |
| 38 | 24-14 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | set Dylan Gilkey | · |
| 39 | 25-14 | TX ST | TX ST | Kill | Ashley Euston | +1.3 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +6.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Evyn Snook | +9.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX ARL | TX ST | Serve err | UT Arlington | +5.9 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Sophia Krichev | set Lucy Tricco | +6.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Dylan Gilkey | +6.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Camryn McMinn | set Lucy Tricco | +7.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Dylan Gilkey | +6.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Naara Tanco | set Anna Blaine | +9.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Attack err | Mazi Smith | +10.2 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Ace | Texas St. | aced Camryn McMinn | +9.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TX ST | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +6.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Janet Onuorah | set Anna Blaine | +7.1 |
| 13 | 8-5 | TX ST | TX ST | Ace | Texas St. | aced Evyn Snook | +9.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +5.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | TX ARL | TX ARL | Kill | Mazi Smith | set Erica Dellesky | +9.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | TX ARL | TX ST | Attack err | Mazi Smith | +8.0 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | TX ST | TX ARL | Attack err | Ameena Campbell | +7.2 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | TX ARL | TX ST×4 | Serve err | UT Arlington | +8.6 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Peyton McKee | set Dylan Gilkey | +10.3 |
| 20 | 12-8 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Dylan Gilkey | +7.1 |
| 21 | 13-8 | TX ST | TX ST×4 | Blocked | Sophia Krichev | blk Peyton McKee | +3.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | TX ST | TX ARL | Attack err | Peyton McKee | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | TX ARL | TX ST | Kill | Brooke Bentke | set Dylan Gilkey | +2.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | TX ST | TX ARL | Serve err | Texas St. | +0.5 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | TX ARL | TX ST | Attack err | Camryn McMinn | +1.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Texas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).