CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Texas St. def. UT Arlington 32

(20-25, 23-25, 25-21, 25-14, 15-10)
Set123*45Sets
TX ST20232525153
TX ARL25252114102
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX ARL above 50 · TX ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100TX ARLTX STBiggest swing +9.8% TX ST · S5 11-8rally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Texas St. — set 5, TX ST 11-8 TX ARL. Kill by Peyton McKee (set by Dylan Gilkey). TX ARL win probability 22%12%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TX ST 66.0%34.0% TX ARL

Texas St. wins

3-0
20.7%
3-1
25.3%
3-2
20.0%

UT Arlington wins

3-0
6.8%
3-1
12.1%
3-2
15.0%
TX ST break %
44.3% vs this opp
TX ARL break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Peyton McKeeKill+9.8%

    Kill by Peyton McKee (set by Dylan Gilkey)

    Set 5 · TX ST 11-8 TX ARL · TX ST 78%88%

  2. 02
    Mazi SmithAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Mazi Smith

    Set 5 · TX ST 5-4 TX ARL · TX ST 55%65%

  3. 03
    Naara TancoKill+9.6%

    Kill by Naara Tanco (set by Anna Blaine)

    Set 5 · TX ST 4-4 TX ARL · TX ST 45%55%

  4. 04
    Mazi SmithKill+9.5%

    Kill by Mazi Smith (set by Erica Dellesky)

    Set 5 · TX ST 8-7 TX ARL · TX ARL 22%32%

  5. 05
    Camryn McMinnKill+9.4%

    Kill by Camryn McMinn (set by Erica Dellesky)

    Set 2 · TX ST 23-25 TX ARL · TX ARL 71%80%

  6. 06
    TX ST serverAce+9.3%

    Texas St. ace on Camryn McMinn

    Set 5 · TX ST 6-4 TX ARL · TX ST 65%74%

  7. 07
    Camryn McMinnKill+9.0%

    Kill by Camryn McMinn (set by Evyn Snook)

    Set 5 · TX ST 0-2 TX ARL · TX ARL 50%59%

  8. 08
    TX ARL serverService error+8.7%

    UT Arlington service error

    Set 5 · TX ST 10-8 TX ARL · TX ST 69%78%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512630.2001229100014
59217.4120000006312
5203.667232140031.55.5
33411-.091010100215
3118.000001400001
2001.000000100000
514638.21100250111.515.5
5001.0005011210000
40002212500001
36212.33301121031.58.5
3619.556000000217
3506.83300000010.55.5
3012-.500000500000
2138-.250000000001
Team totals5926146.2265171048711810108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5161243.09301093111.518.5
514731.2260000016418
56424.08305342010.511.5
5429.22201110031.56.5
5214.250260230052.54.5
5001.000103900000
510221.3811001002111
5001.0001031500000
50001700510000
4000001100000
3000001000000
1000000000000
Team totals5228134.179467144872181195

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 TX ST · TX ARL 4

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 TX STTX ARL 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 TX STTX ARL 3

Set 3*

25-21

Longest run 4 TX STTX ARL 4

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 4 TX STTX ARL 3

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 4 TX STTX ARL 2

Bars above the line = UT Arlington leads, below = Texas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
47%8/17
2
56%9/16
31%4/13
3
73%8/11
33%4/12
4
80%8/10
56%10/18
5
78%7/9
47%7/15
6
78%7/9
13%1/8
All
66%49/74
41%34/83

UT Arlington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
31%4/13
2
69%9/13
50%9/18
3
57%8/14
25%3/12
4
42%8/19
27%3/11
5
70%7/10
30%3/10
6
58%7/12
30%3/10
All
59%49/83
34%25/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

203 rallies

Rally log

#TX ST-TX ARLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.8
20-2TX ARLTX ARLAceTX ARL serveraced Team+2.4
31-2TX ARLTX STKillIsabella Andrewsset Anna Blaine+1.7
41-3TX STTX ARL×3KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.9
51-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+2.5
61-5TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errIndia Bennettblk Lucy Tricco, Hana Aiana+2.4
72-5TX ARLTX ST×3Attack errCamryn McMinn+1.6
83-5TX STTX ST×3KillPeyton McKee+2.3
94-5TX STTX ST×3Attack errHana Aiana+2.5
104-6TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+2.0
115-6TX ARLTX ST×3Attack errCamryn McMinnblk India Bennett, Anna Blaine+1.9
126-6TX STTX ST×3Attack errCamryn McMinnblk Peyton McKee, Ashley Euston+2.6
137-6TX STTX ST×3AceTX ST serveraced Erica Dellesky+2.6
147-7TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Samantha Glenn+2.0
158-7TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+1.9
168-8TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+2.0
179-8TX ARLTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.0
189-9TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Erica Dellesky+2.1
1910-9TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+2.1
2010-10TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+2.1
2111-10TX ARLTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+2.1
2212-10TX STTX ST×3KillAnna Blaineset Anna Blaine+2.8
2313-10TX STTX ST×3Attack errSophia Krichev+2.5
2413-11TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.7
2513-12TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+2.8
2614-12TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+2.2
2714-13TX STTX ARL×4Attack errPeyton McKee+2.1
2814-14TX ARLTX ARL×4KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+3.3
2914-15TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errIndia Bennett+3.6
3014-16TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errIndia Bennettblk Camryn McMinn+3.7
3115-16TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+2.5
3216-16TX STTX STAttack errCamryn McMinnblk Ashley Euston, Anna Blaine+3.7
3316-17TX STTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky+3.0
3416-18TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errIsabella Andrews+4.2
3516-19TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errPeyton McKee+3.9
3617-19TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+2.3
3718-19TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Jasmine Purakal+3.9
3818-20TX STTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+3.6
3919-20TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+3.0
4019-21TX STTX ARLAttack errBrooke Bentkeblk Sophia Krichev, Evyn Snook+3.9
4120-21TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+3.2
4220-22TX STTX ARL×4KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+4.3
4320-23TX ARLTX ARL×4KillLucy Tricco+4.8
4420-24TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errIndia Bennettblk Sophia Krichev+2.8
4520-25TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errBrooke Bentke+0.9
Set 2
10-1TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAshley Euston+2.8
20-2TX ARLTX ARLAttack errBrooke Bentke+2.9
31-2TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+2.1
41-3TX STTX ARLAttack errBrooke Bentke+2.3
51-4TX ARLTX ARLAttack errBrooke Bentke+3.0
62-4TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+2.0
72-5TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+2.3
83-5TX ARLTX ST×3KillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+2.1
94-5TX STTX ST×3Attack errCamryn McMinn+3.0
105-5TX STTX ST×3KillBrooke Bentkeset Jasmine Purakal+3.0
115-6TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+2.4
126-6TX ARLTX STKillCaelyn Emmerlingset Dylan Gilkey+2.3
136-7TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky+2.5
146-8TX ARLTX ARLAceTX ARL serveraced Team+3.4
157-8TX ARLTX STKillAnna Blaine+2.4
167-9TX STTX ARL×3KillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+2.6
177-10TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+3.5
187-11TX ARLTX ARL×3AceTX ARL serveraced Team+3.3
198-11TX ARLTX STKillIndia Bennettset Anna Blaine+2.1
208-12TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Mazi Smith+2.5
218-13TX ARLTX ARLAttack errPeyton McKeeblk Lucy Tricco, Sophia Krichev+3.0
229-13TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Anna Blaine+1.8
239-14TX STTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.3
2410-14TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+1.7
2510-15TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+2.3
2611-15TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+1.7
2711-16TX STTX ARLAttack errCaelyn Emmerlingblk Lucy Tricco, Hana Aiana+2.3
2812-16TX ARLTX ST×5KillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+1.7
2913-16TX STTX ST×5AceTX ST serveraced Evyn Snook+2.9
3014-16TX STTX ST×5AceTX ST serveraced Team+3.5
3115-16TX STTX ST×5Attack errCamryn McMinn+4.1
3216-16TX STTX ST×5Attack errCamryn McMinnblk India Bennett, Anna Blaine+4.5
3316-17TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+3.7
3417-17TX ARLTX STKillIndia Bennettset Anna Blaine+3.5
3518-17TX STTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+5.0
3618-18TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+3.7
3719-18TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+3.9
3819-19TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+4.0
3919-20TX ARLTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+6.1
4020-20TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Anna Blaine+4.4
4120-21TX STTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lily Hopkins+5.1
4220-22TX ARLTX ARLAttack errPeyton McKee+7.0
4321-22TX ARLTX STAttack errCamryn McMinn+4.0
4421-23TX STTX ARLKillLucy Tricco+5.9
4522-23TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+4.1
4622-24TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+7.0
4723-24TX ARLTX STKillIndia Bennettset Hana Aiana+3.9
4823-25TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky+9.4
Set 3
11-0TX STTX STAceTX ST serveraced Camryn McMinn+2.2
21-1TX STTX ARL×4KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.6
31-2TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errCaelyn Emmerlingblk Lucy Tricco, Sophia Krichev+2.3
41-3TX ARLTX ARL×4AceTX ARL serveraced Brooke Bentke+2.4
51-4TX ARLTX ARL×4AceTX ARL serveraced Team+2.4
62-4TX ARLTX STAttack errSophia Krichev+1.6
72-5TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.9
83-5TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+1.7
93-6TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.9
104-6TX ARLTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+1.7
114-7TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+1.9
125-7TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+1.7
136-7TX STTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Dylan Gilkey+2.5
146-8TX STTX ARL×3KillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+2.1
156-9TX ARLTX ARL×3KillMazi Smithset Jasmine Purakal+2.7
166-10TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errAshley Eustonblk Mazi Smith, Sophia Krichev+2.6
177-10TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+1.6
187-11TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+2.0
197-12TX ARLTX ARLAttack errCaelyn Emmerlingblk Sophia Krichev, Lucy Tricco+2.4
208-12TX ARLTX ST×4Attack errSophia Krichevblk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah+1.4
219-12TX STTX ST×4KillAlly Adair+2.3
2210-12TX STTX ST×4Attack errEvyn Snook+2.6
2311-12TX STTX ST×4Attack errEvyn Snookblk Naara Tanco, Ally Adair+2.9
2411-13TX STTX ARL×3Attack errJanet Onuorah+2.4
2511-14TX ARLTX ARL×3AceTX ARL serveraced Janet Onuorah+3.1
2611-15TX ARLTX ARL×3KillSophia Krichev+2.9
2712-15TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+1.7
2813-15TX STTX STAttack errSophia Krichev+2.8
2913-16TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+2.5
3014-16TX ARLTX ST×4KillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+2.1
3115-16TX STTX ST×4KillAlly Adair+3.3
3216-16TX STTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+3.6
3317-16TX STTX ST×4Attack errHana Aiana+3.7
3417-17TX STTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+2.8
3517-18TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+4.2
3618-18TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Brooke Bentke+3.0
3719-18TX STTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+4.3
3819-19TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky+3.2
3920-19TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+3.5
4021-19TX STTX STFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+4.4
4121-20TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+2.8
4221-21TX ARLTX ARLAttack errJanet Onuorahblk Sophia Krichev, Mazi Smith+5.1
4322-21TX ARLTX ST×4Serve errTX ARL server+4.4
4423-21TX STTX ST×4Attack errEvyn Snookblk Naara Tanco, Ashley Euston+5.5
4524-21TX STTX ST×4Attack errCamryn McMinn+3.7
4625-21TX STTX ST×4Attack errSophia Krichevblk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah+1.4
Set 4
11-0TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+2.7
22-0TX STTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Jasmine Purakal+3.4
32-1TX STTX ARL×3KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+2.6
42-2TX ARLTX ARL×3KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+3.7
52-3TX ARLTX ARL×3AceTX ARL serveraced Jasmine Purakal+4.0
63-3TX ARLTX STKillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+2.9
74-3TX STTX STAttack errLucy Tricco+3.8
84-4TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+2.9
95-4TX ARLTX STKillNaara Tancoset Dylan Gilkey+2.9
105-5TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+3.0
116-5TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+3.0
126-6TX STTX ARLAttack errBrooke Bentke+3.1
137-6TX ARLTX STKillNaara Tancoset Anna Blaine+3.1
147-7TX STTX ARLAttack errPeyton McKee+3.2
158-7TX ARLTX ST×3KillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+3.2
169-7TX STTX ST×3KillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+4.1
1710-7TX STTX ST×3KillPeyton McKeeset Jasmine Purakal+3.8
1810-8TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+2.6
1911-8TX ARLTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+2.9
2011-9TX STTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.7
2112-9TX ARLTX STAttack errSophia Krichevblk Ashley Euston, Janet Onuorah+2.9
2213-9TX STTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Dylan Gilkey+3.4
2313-10TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+2.2
2414-10TX ARLTX ST×3KillJanet Onuorahset Dylan Gilkey+2.6
2515-10TX STTX ST×3KillNaara Tancoset Anna Blaine+2.8
2616-10TX STTX ST×3Attack errCamryn McMinn+2.1
2716-11TX STTX ARLAttack errNaara Tancoblk Hana Aiana, Camryn McMinn+1.2
2817-11TX ARLTX STKillNaara Tancoset Anna Blaine+1.5
2918-11TX STTX STAttack errCamryn McMinn+1.4
3018-12TX STTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.6
3119-12TX ARLTX STKillAlly Adairset Anna Blaine+0.9
3219-13TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+0.6
3320-13TX ARLTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Anna Blaine+0.9
3421-13TX STTX ST×4KillPeyton McKeeset Jasmine Purakal+0.6
3522-13TX STTX ST×4KillAshley Euston+0.2
3623-13TX STTX ST×4AceTX ST serveraced Camryn McMinn+0.1
3723-14TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+0.0
3824-14TX ARLTX STKillAshley Eustonset Dylan Gilkey+0.0
3925-14TX STTX STKillAshley Euston+1.1
Set 5
10-1TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+6.6
20-2TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Evyn Snook+9.0
31-2TX ARLTX STServe errTX ARL server+6.2
41-3TX STTX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+7.0
52-3TX ARLTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Dylan Gilkey+6.4
62-4TX STTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+7.3
73-4TX ARLTX ST×4KillNaara Tancoset Dylan Gilkey+6.6
84-4TX STTX ST×4KillNaara Tancoset Anna Blaine+9.6
95-4TX STTX ST×4Attack errMazi Smith+9.8
106-4TX STTX ST×4AceTX ST serveraced Camryn McMinn+9.3
116-5TX STTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+6.6
127-5TX ARLTX STKillJanet Onuorahset Anna Blaine+7.2
138-5TX STTX STAceTX ST serveraced Evyn Snook+8.6
148-6TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+5.4
158-7TX ARLTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+9.5
169-7TX ARLTX STAttack errMazi Smith+8.1
179-8TX STTX ARLAttack errAmeena Campbell+7.4
1810-8TX ARLTX ST×4Serve errTX ARL server+8.7
1911-8TX STTX ST×4KillPeyton McKeeset Dylan Gilkey+9.8
2012-8TX STTX ST×4KillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+6.9
2113-8TX STTX ST×4Attack errSophia Krichevblk Peyton McKee+3.8
2213-9TX STTX ARLAttack errPeyton McKee+1.1
2314-9TX ARLTX STKillBrooke Bentkeset Dylan Gilkey+2.2
2414-10TX STTX ARLServe errTX ST server+0.5
2515-10TX ARLTX STAttack errCamryn McMinn+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Texas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.