FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayPAC-12

3:0

HomeSOUTHLAND

Texas St. def. Houston Christian 3–0

(25-23, 25-19, 25-10)

Set	1*	2*	3	Sets
TX ST	25	25	25	3
HOUCHR	23	19	10	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

HOUCHR above 50 · TX ST below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Texas St. — set 1, TX ST 25-23 HOUCHR. Attack error by Sa'myah Medford. HOUCHR win probability 7% → 4%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TX ST 92.7%7.3% HOUCHR

Texas St. wins

3-0

49.6%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

12.0%

Houston Christian wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.1%

3-2

4.3%

TX ST break %: 48.9% vs this opp
HOUCHR break %: 37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sa'myah MedfordAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Sa'myah Medford
Set 1 · TX ST 25-23 HOUCHR · TX ST 93% → 96%
02
Ashley EustonKill+3.1%
Kill by Ashley Euston (set by Dylan Gilkey)
Set 1 · TX ST 24-23 HOUCHR · TX ST 90% → 93%
03
Caelyn RobelKill+2.7%
Kill by Caelyn Robel (set by Jasmine Purakal)
Set 1 · TX ST 22-21 HOUCHR · TX ST 90% → 92%
04
Allana ArchieKill+2.5%
Kill by Allana Archie (set by Enisilina Savelio)
Set 1 · TX ST 23-23 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 7% → 10%
05
Ashley EustonKill+2.4%
Kill by Ashley Euston (set by Dylan Gilkey)
Set 1 · TX ST 23-22 HOUCHR · TX ST 90% → 93%
06
Joya EuhusKill+2.2%
Kill by Joya Euhus (set by Enisilina Savelio)
Set 1 · TX ST 20-21 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 10% → 12%
07
Ally AdairAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Ally Adair
Set 1 · TX ST 15-18 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 13% → 15%
08
Isabella AndrewsKill+2.2%
Kill by Isabella Andrews (set by Anna Blaine)
Set 1 · TX ST 19-19 HOUCHR · TX ST 88% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Texas St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Caelyn RobelOH	3	17	3	29	.483	2	0	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	18.5
11Brooke BentkeOH	3	7	2	14	.357	1	1	0	5	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
19Isabella AndrewsOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	8
10Ashley EustonMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	8
2Peyton MckeeOH	3	5	1	14	.286	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	5
7Dylan GilkeyS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Ally AdairMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
23Naara TancoMB	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Emma ElsasserMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Anna BlaineS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
3Camryn KimesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
21Janet OnuorahOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Jasmine PurakalL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
14Ameena CampbellOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18India BennettMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Izzy ScholvinS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Karis CarpenterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christianhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Allana ArchieMB	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
7Sa'myah MedfordOH	3	6	7	25	-.040	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
16Joya EuhusOH	3	5	5	20	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Malaya Balina-ayersMB	3	3	0	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Enisilina SavelioS	3	0	1	3	-.333	30	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Leighton HaleL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	0
12Katy BargerOH	3	9	5	23	.174	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9
18I’onna JonesOH	3	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
2Emma WildOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	2
17Ana GarzaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Bianca ByerlyDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	3	0	0	0
8Bianca KisurOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Drianyeliz Ramos coraMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ekin AslanmirzaOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Katelyn VoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
4Taylor Bonner-williamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Tobey AllenS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 13 TX ST · HOUCHR 4

Set 1*

25-23

Longest run 4 TX STHOUCHR 4

Set 2*

25-19

Longest run 3 TX STHOUCHR 3

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 13 TX STHOUCHR 3

Bars above the line = Houston Christian leads, below = Texas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	80%4/5
2	100%1/1	93%13/14
3	33%1/3	0%0/1
4	100%1/1	0%0/1
5	100%1/1	0%0/1
6	50%1/2	50%1/2
All	64%7/11	75%18/24

Houston Christian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	7%1/14	33%1/3
2	100%1/1	0%0/1
3	100%1/1	67%2/3
4	100%1/1	0%0/1
5	50%1/2	0%0/1
6	20%1/5	50%1/2
All	25%6/24	36%4/11

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	TX ST-HOUCHR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Isabella Andrews	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.6
2	2-0	TX ST	TX ST×3	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.7
3	3-0	TX ST	TX ST×3	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Brooke Bentke	+0.6
4	3-1	TX ST	HOUCHR	Attack err	Brooke Bentke	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.5
5	4-1	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Brooke Bentke	set Caelyn Robel	+0.4
6	5-1	TX ST	TX ST×3	Kill	Ashley Euston		+0.5
7	6-1	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford	blk Brooke Bentke, Ashley Euston	+0.4
8	6-2	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie		+0.3
9	7-2	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Brooke Bentke		+0.3
10	7-3	TX ST	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
11	7-4	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Brooke Bentke		+0.5
12	7-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Emma Wild	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.7
13	7-6	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Peyton Mckee		+0.8
14	8-6	HOUCHR	TX ST	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.6
15	8-7	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.7
16	9-7	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Ally Adair	set Caelyn Robel	+0.6
17	10-7	TX ST	TX ST	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.7
18	10-8	TX ST	HOUCHR	Serve err	TX ST server		+0.6
19	11-8	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Isabella Andrews	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.6
20	11-9	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-ayers		+0.6
21	11-10	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.0
22	12-10	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.7
23	12-11	TX ST	HOUCHR	Serve err	TX ST server		+0.8
24	13-11	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Ashley Euston	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.8
25	13-12	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.8
26	13-13	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'myah Medford		+1.3
27	14-13	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Peyton Mckee	set Dylan Gilkey	+1.0
28	14-14	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.1
29	14-15	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.7
30	15-15	HOUCHR	TX ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
31	15-16	TX ST	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.4
32	15-17	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+2.1
33	15-18	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Ally Adair		+2.2
34	15-19	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Isabella Andrews		+2.1
35	16-19	HOUCHR	TX ST×4	Kill	Ally Adair	set Anna Blaine	+1.1
36	17-19	TX ST	TX ST×4	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Anna Blaine	+1.8
37	18-19	TX ST	TX ST×4	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Anna Blaine	+2.1
38	19-19	TX ST	TX ST×4	Kill	Isabella Andrews	set Anna Blaine	+2.2
39	19-20	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+2.0
40	20-20	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+1.8
41	20-21	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+2.2
42	21-21	HOUCHR	TX ST	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+2.0
43	22-21	TX ST	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+2.7
44	22-22	TX ST	HOUCHR	Attack err	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+2.2
45	23-22	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Ashley Euston	set Dylan Gilkey	+2.4
46	23-23	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+2.5
47	24-23	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Ashley Euston	set Dylan Gilkey	+3.1
48	25-23	TX ST	TX ST	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford		+3.2
Set 2
1	0-1	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'myah Medford		+0.5
2	0-2	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
3	1-2	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.5
4	2-2	TX ST	TX ST×3	Ace	TX ST server	aced Leighton Hale	+0.6
5	3-2	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford	blk Caelyn Robel, Ashley Euston	+0.5
6	3-3	TX ST	HOUCHR×3	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.5
7	3-4	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Kill	Sa'myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.7
8	3-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
9	4-5	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Ashley Euston	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.5
10	5-5	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford		+0.7
11	6-5	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Allana Archie	blk Ashley Euston	+0.6
12	6-6	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.5
13	6-7	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.8
14	7-7	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Peyton Mckee		+0.5
15	7-8	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.6
16	8-8	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Peyton Mckee	set Anna Blaine	+0.6
17	9-8	TX ST	TX ST	Ace	TX ST server	aced Katelyn Vo	+0.7
18	9-9	TX ST	HOUCHR	Attack err	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.6
19	9-10	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Bianca Byerly	+0.9
20	10-10	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Isabella Andrews	set Anna Blaine	+0.6
21	11-10	TX ST	TX ST×3	Ace	TX ST server	aced Bianca Byerly	+0.7
22	12-10	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Joya Euhus	blk Ally Adair, Caelyn Robel	+0.7
23	12-11	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.5
24	13-11	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.5
25	14-11	TX ST	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.6
26	14-12	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-ayers	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.4
27	15-12	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Ashley Euston		+0.4
28	16-12	TX ST	TX ST	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.5
29	16-13	TX ST	HOUCHR×3	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
30	16-14	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Attack err	Ashley Euston	blk Enisilina Savelio, Allana Archie	+0.6
31	16-15	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Attack err	Caelyn Robel	blk Allana Archie, Sa'myah Medford	+0.8
32	17-15	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.6
33	17-16	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.7
34	18-16	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Kill	Peyton Mckee	set Dylan Gilkey	+0.7
35	19-16	TX ST	TX ST×3	Kill	Isabella Andrews	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.7
36	20-16	TX ST	TX ST×3	Ace	TX ST server	aced Bianca Byerly	+0.5
37	20-17	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
38	21-17	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Peyton Mckee	set Anna Blaine	+0.4
39	21-18	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-ayers	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
40	22-18	HOUCHR	TX ST×3	Attack err	Enisilina Savelio	blk Ally Adair	+0.4
41	23-18	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.3
42	24-18	TX ST	TX ST×3	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.1
43	24-19	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
44	25-19	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Caelyn Robel		+0.3
2	1-1	HOUCHR	TX ST×13	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.2
3	2-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.2
4	3-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Ace	TX ST server	aced Bianca Byerly	+0.2
5	4-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford	blk Caelyn Robel, Naara Tanco	+0.2
6	5-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Ace	TX ST server	aced Leighton Hale	+0.2
7	6-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford		+0.1
8	7-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Anna Blaine	+0.1
9	8-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Anna Blaine	+0.1
10	9-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.0
11	10-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Brooke Bentke	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
12	11-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.0
13	12-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Kill	Brooke Bentke	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
14	13-1	TX ST	TX ST×13	Attack err	Sa'myah Medford		+0.0
15	13-2	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
16	14-2	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Brooke Bentke		+0.0
17	14-3	TX ST	HOUCHR×3	Serve err	TX ST server		+0.0
18	14-4	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Attack err	Janet Onuorah		+0.0
19	14-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Kill	I’onna Jones	set Bianca Byerly	+0.0
20	15-5	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Brooke Bentke	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
21	15-6	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	I’onna Jones	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
22	16-6	HOUCHR	TX ST	Attack err	Katy Barger	set Emma Wild	+0.0
23	16-7	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
24	17-7	HOUCHR	TX ST	Attack err	Katy Barger	set Emma Wild	+0.0
25	18-7	TX ST	TX ST	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.0
26	18-8	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Bianca Byerly	+0.0
27	18-9	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Isabella Andrews	blk Joya Euhus, Malaya Balina-ayers	+0.0
28	19-9	HOUCHR	TX ST×5	Kill	Emma Elsasser	set Izzy Scholvin	+0.0
29	20-9	TX ST	TX ST×5	Kill	Caelyn Robel	set Jasmine Purakal	+0.0
30	21-9	TX ST	TX ST×5	Kill	Naara Tanco	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
31	22-9	TX ST	TX ST×5	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.0
32	23-9	TX ST	TX ST×5	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.0
33	23-10	TX ST	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
34	24-10	HOUCHR	TX ST	Kill	Naara Tanco	set Anna Blaine	+0.0
35	25-10	TX ST	TX ST	Kill	Brooke Bentke	set Anna Blaine	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Texas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.