FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayIVY-LEAGUE

3:0

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Harvard def. UNC Asheville 3–0

(25-12, 25-20, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
HARV	25	25	25	3
UNC A	12	20	21	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC A above 50 · HARV below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to UNC Asheville — set 2, HARV 20-19 UNC A. Masina Ogbechie stuffed by Sarah Wadsworth. UNC A win probability 13% → 16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HARV 66.1%33.9% UNC A

Harvard wins

3-0

20.7%

3-1

25.3%

3-2

20.0%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0

6.8%

3-1

12.1%

3-2

15.0%

HARV break %: 44.9% vs this opp
UNC A break %: 41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Masina OgbechieAttack error+3.1%
Masina Ogbechie stuffed by Sarah Wadsworth
Set 2 · HARV 20-19 UNC A · UNC A 13% → 16%
02
Albertine van der GootAttack error+3.1%
Albertine van der Goot stuffed by Ryleigh Patterson
Set 2 · HARV 22-19 UNC A · HARV 87% → 90%
03
Ryleigh PattersonKill+2.9%
Kill by Ryleigh Patterson (set by Catlin Shao)
Set 2 · HARV 21-19 UNC A · HARV 84% → 87%
04
UNC A serverAce+2.7%
UNC Asheville ace on Team
Set 2 · HARV 17-16 UNC A · UNC A 14% → 17%
05
Masina OgbechieKill+2.7%
Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Riley Resmer)
Set 2 · HARV 19-16 UNC A · HARV 85% → 88%
06
Albertine van der GootKill+2.6%
Kill by Albertine van der Goot (set by Elise Jensen)
Set 2 · HARV 9-11 UNC A · UNC A 22% → 25%
07
Ryleigh PattersonKill+2.6%
Kill by Ryleigh Patterson (set by Sophia Wei)
Set 2 · HARV 12-11 UNC A · HARV 80% → 82%
08
Lydia PateAttack error+2.5%
Lydia Pate stuffed by Ryleigh Patterson
Set 2 · HARV 11-11 UNC A · HARV 77% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Harvardaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sofia RossiOH	3	11	3	30	.267	1	3	3	8	0	0	0	0	14
21Ryleigh PattersonMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	5	3	6.5	11.5
13Ali FarquharOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	3	0	2	2	3	10
19Kayla NwabuezeMB	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
18Riley ResmerMB	3	3	0	5	.600	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Sophia WeiS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	14	0	0	0	0	0
4Masina OgbechieOH	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
10Bridget EganOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	5	2	0	0	0	0
2Catlin ShaoS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
44Jordan ShelorL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Yvette EastonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	9	87	.310	33	4	7	48	3	7	8	11	75

UNC Ashevillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sarah WadsworthOH	3	9	5	33	.121	0	1	3	5	2	1	1	1.5	11.5
14Lydia PateMB	3	8	3	21	.238	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Addie BrookbankOH	3	8	6	19	.105	1	0	1	9	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Cadence NicholsMB	3	4	2	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
32Albertine van der GootOH	3	4	4	20	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
18Elise JensenS	3	0	0	0	–	19	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
4Izzy PerkinsL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	14	0	0	0	0	1
22Olivia CallipoS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Lily BannisterOH	2	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25Maddie ConnellyOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Catherine HubiakL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Olivia PhilpotL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	22	107	.103	29	3	12	39	4	3	4	5	53

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 HARV · UNC A 4

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 9 HARVUNC A 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 HARVUNC A 4

Set 3*

25-21

Longest run 4 HARVUNC A 4

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Harvard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Harvard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	71%10/14
2	80%4/5	69%9/13
3	100%4/4	20%1/5
4	100%4/4	0%0/4
5	67%4/6	50%4/8
6	60%3/5	40%2/5
All	73%24/33	53%26/49

UNC Asheville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	33%2/6
2	40%4/10	50%5/10
3	80%4/5	0%0/4
4	57%4/7	0%0/4
5	75%3/4	20%1/5
6	23%3/13	25%1/4
All	47%23/49	27%9/33

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	HARV-UNC A	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UNC A	HARV	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+1.7
2	1-1	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+1.7
3	1-2	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Kayla Nwabueze		+2.4
4	2-2	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.8
5	2-3	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
6	3-3	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Sophia Wei	+1.8
7	3-4	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
8	4-4	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Catlin Shao	+1.8
9	4-5	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Addie Brookbank	+2.0
10	5-5	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.9
11	5-6	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+2.0
12	6-6	UNC A	HARV×9	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Ryleigh Patterson	+1.9
13	7-6	HARV	HARV×9	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+2.5
14	8-6	HARV	HARV×9	Attack err	Lily Bannister	blk Ryleigh Patterson	+2.4
15	9-6	HARV	HARV×9	Attack err	Lydia Pate		+2.2
16	10-6	HARV	HARV×9	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Ali Farquhar	+2.0
17	11-6	HARV	HARV×9	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Olivia Callipo	+1.7
18	12-6	HARV	HARV×9	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Yvette Easton	+1.4
19	13-6	HARV	HARV×9	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+1.0
20	14-6	HARV	HARV×9	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Yvette Easton	+0.7
21	14-7	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.4
22	15-7	UNC A	HARV×4	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+0.5
23	16-7	HARV	HARV×4	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Yvette Easton	+0.5
24	17-7	HARV	HARV×4	Ace	HARV server	aced Team	+0.3
25	18-7	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.1
26	18-8	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+0.1
27	19-8	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+0.1
28	19-9	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.0
29	20-9	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Sophia Wei	+0.1
30	20-10	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.0
31	21-10	UNC A	HARV×4	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.1
32	22-10	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Riley Resmer, Masina Ogbechie	+0.0
33	23-10	HARV	HARV×4	Kill	Sofia Rossi		+0.0
34	24-10	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Cadence Nichols		+0.0
35	24-11	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+0.0
36	24-12	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.0
37	25-12	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Catlin Shao	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	HARV	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.9
2	1-1	HARV	UNC A	Attack err	Sofia Rossi		+1.5
3	1-2	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Ryleigh Patterson		+2.0
4	2-2	UNC A	HARV	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Ryleigh Patterson	+1.5
5	3-2	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+2.0
6	3-3	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.5
7	4-3	UNC A	HARV	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot	blk Kayla Nwabueze, Ryleigh Patterson	+1.5
8	5-3	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Cadence Nichols		+1.9
9	5-4	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Izzy Perkins	+1.5
10	6-4	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.5
11	6-5	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+1.5
12	7-5	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Sofia Rossi	+1.5
13	7-6	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.5
14	8-6	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.6
15	8-7	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Olivia Callipo	+1.6
16	9-7	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Yvette Easton	+1.6
17	9-8	HARV	UNC A×4	Attack err	Ali Farquhar	blk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth	+1.6
18	9-9	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Bridget Egan	+2.3
19	9-10	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+2.5
20	9-11	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+2.6
21	10-11	UNC A	HARV×4	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.8
22	11-11	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Ryleigh Patterson	+2.5
23	12-11	HARV	HARV×4	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+2.6
24	13-11	HARV	HARV×4	Ace	HARV server	aced Sarah Wadsworth	+2.4
25	13-12	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+1.8
26	14-12	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Yvette Easton	+1.9
27	14-13	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Elise Jensen	+1.9
28	15-13	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+2.0
29	15-14	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+1.9
30	16-14	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Catlin Shao	+2.1
31	17-14	HARV	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer		+2.5
32	17-15	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+1.6
33	17-16	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Team	+2.7
34	18-16	UNC A	HARV×3	Attack err	Lily Bannister		+2.3
35	19-16	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Riley Resmer	+2.7
36	20-16	HARV	HARV×3	Ace	HARV server	aced Addie Brookbank	+2.1
37	20-17	HARV	UNC A×3	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.1
38	20-18	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Bridget Egan	+2.2
39	20-19	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Masina Ogbechie	blk Sarah Wadsworth	+3.1
40	21-19	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Catlin Shao	+2.9
41	22-19	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot	blk Ryleigh Patterson	+3.1
42	22-20	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.6
43	23-20	UNC A	HARV×3	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+2.5
44	24-20	HARV	HARV×3	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson	+1.8
45	25-20	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	UNC A	HARV×3	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+0.8
2	2-0	HARV	HARV×3	Ace	HARV server	aced Sarah Wadsworth	+1.1
3	3-0	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Sophia Wei	+1.0
4	3-1	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+0.7
5	4-1	UNC A	HARV×4	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.8
6	5-1	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Ali Farquhar	+0.9
7	6-1	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+0.8
8	7-1	HARV	HARV×4	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Sophia Wei	+0.7
9	7-2	HARV	UNC A	Attack err	Ali Farquhar		+0.4
10	8-2	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.5
11	8-3	HARV	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.4
12	8-4	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Kayla Nwabueze	blk Cadence Nichols	+0.7
13	8-5	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi	blk Cadence Nichols	+0.9
14	9-5	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.7
15	9-6	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+0.7
16	10-6	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Yvette Easton	+0.8
17	11-6	HARV	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Riley Resmer	+0.8
18	11-7	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
19	12-7	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Catlin Shao	+0.7
20	12-8	HARV	UNC A×4	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
21	12-9	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.9
22	12-10	UNC A	UNC A×4	Bad set	Sophia Wei		+1.1
23	12-11	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.3
24	13-11	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.1
25	13-12	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+1.1
26	13-13	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.6
27	14-13	UNC A	HARV	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Ryleigh Patterson, Ali Farquhar	+1.2
28	14-14	HARV	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+1.3
29	14-15	UNC A	UNC A×3	Kill	Addie Brookbank		+1.8
30	14-16	UNC A	UNC A×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi	blk Cadence Nichols, Addie Brookbank	+1.9
31	15-16	UNC A	HARV	Serve err	UNC A server		+1.3
32	15-17	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+1.5
33	16-17	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Catlin Shao	+1.3
34	17-17	HARV	HARV	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Catlin Shao	+2.0
35	17-18	HARV	UNC A	Serve err	HARV server		+1.7
36	18-18	UNC A	HARV	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+1.6
37	19-18	HARV	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Catlin Shao	+2.2
38	19-19	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+1.7
39	20-19	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Catlin Shao	+1.8
40	21-19	HARV	HARV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.3
41	21-20	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+1.5
42	22-20	UNC A	HARV×3	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.9
43	23-20	HARV	HARV×3	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+1.9
44	24-20	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+1.1
45	24-21	HARV	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
46	25-21	UNC A	HARV	Kill	Kayla Nwabueze	set Sophia Wei	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Harvard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.