FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Harvard def. UNC Asheville 3–0

Harvard beat UNC Asheville 3-0 (25-12, 25-20, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Harvard's Sofia Rossi led with 11 kills, and Sophia Wei added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
HARV2525253
UNC A1220210

Win probability

UNC Asheville above 50 · Harvard below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% HARVrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Harvard — set 2, HARV 22-19 UNC A. Albertine van der Goot stuffed by Ryleigh Patterson. UNC A win probability 15% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HARV 62.3%37.7% UNC A

Harvard wins

3-0
18.4%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
20.0%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0
8.0%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%
HARV break %
44.5% vs this opp
UNC A break %
42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Albertine van der Goot stuffed by Ryleigh Patterson

    Set 2 · HARV 22-19 UNC A · HARV 85% → 88%

  2. 02
    Sarah WadsworthBlock+3.4%

    Masina Ogbechie stuffed by Sarah Wadsworth

    Set 2 · HARV 20-19 UNC A · UNC A 15% → 18%

  3. 03

    Kill by Ryleigh Patterson (set by Catlin Shao)

    Set 2 · HARV 21-19 UNC A · HARV 82% → 85%

  4. 04

    Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Riley Resmer)

    Set 2 · HARV 19-16 UNC A · HARV 83% → 86%

  5. 05
    UNC AshevilleAce+2.9%

    UNC Asheville ace

    Set 2 · HARV 17-16 UNC A · UNC A 16% → 19%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ryleigh Patterson (set by Sophia Wei)

    Set 2 · HARV 12-11 UNC A · HARV 77% → 80%

  7. 07

    Kill by Albertine van der Goot (set by Elise Jensen)

    Set 2 · HARV 9-11 UNC A · UNC A 25% → 28%

  8. 08

    Lydia Pate stuffed by Ryleigh Patterson

    Set 2 · HARV 11-11 UNC A · HARV 74% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311330.2671338000014
35110.40000010536.511.5
37219.2630003022310
37218.27800000010.57.5
3305.60021100010.54.5
3000–15001400000
3315.40000000010.53.5
3000–002520000
3000–901500000
3000–000000000
3000–6001200000
Team totals36987.3103347483781175
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39533.12101352111.511.5
38321.23800110010.58.5
38619.10510191010.58.5
3428.25000000212.56.5
34420.000000200004
3000–1911600001
3001.0001111400001
3000–803100000
2024-.500000000000
2001.000000000000
1000–001100000
1000–001000000
Team totals3322107.1032931239434553

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 HARV · UNC A 4

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 9 HARVUNC A 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 HARVUNC A 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 HARVUNC A 4

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Harvard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Harvard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
71%10/14
2
80%4/5
69%9/13
3
100%4/4
20%1/5
4
100%4/4
0%0/4
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
60%3/5
40%2/5
All
73%24/33
53%26/49

UNC Asheville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
33%2/6
2
40%4/10
50%5/10
3
80%4/5
0%0/4
4
57%4/7
0%0/4
5
75%3/4
20%1/5
6
23%3/13
25%1/4
All
47%23/49
27%9/33

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#HARV-UNC ASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UNC AHARVAttack errAlbertine van der Goot+1.7
21-1HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.8
31-2UNC AUNC AAttack errKayla Nwabueze+2.4
42-2UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+1.8
52-3HARVUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Elise Jensen+1.9
63-3UNC AHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.9
73-4HARVUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+2.0
84-4UNC AHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+1.9
94-5HARVUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Addie Brookbank+2.0
105-5UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+2.0
115-6HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+2.1
126-6UNC AHARV×9BlockedLydia Pateblk Ryleigh Patterson+2.0
137-6HARVHARV×9KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+2.7
148-6HARVHARV×9BlockedLily Bannisterblk Ryleigh Patterson+2.6
159-6HARVHARV×9Attack errLydia Pate+2.4
1610-6HARVHARV×9BlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Ali Farquhar+2.1
1711-6HARVHARV×9KillAli Farquharset Olivia Callipo+1.8
1812-6HARVHARV×9KillAli Farquharset Yvette Easton+1.5
1913-6HARVHARV×9KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.1
2014-6HARVHARV×9KillSofia Rossiset Yvette Easton+0.8
2114-7HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.4
2215-7UNC AHARV×4KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+0.6
2316-7HARVHARV×4KillAli Farquharset Yvette Easton+0.5
2417-7HARVHARV×4AceHarvard+0.3
2518-7HARVHARV×4Attack errSarah Wadsworth+0.2
2618-8HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+0.1
2719-8UNC AHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+0.1
2819-9HARVUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen·
2920-9UNC AHARVKillRiley Resmerset Sophia Wei+0.1
3020-10HARVUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen·
3121-10UNC AHARV×4Serve errUNC Asheville+0.1
3222-10HARVHARV×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Riley Resmer, Masina Ogbechie·
3323-10HARVHARV×4KillSofia Rossi·
3424-10HARVHARV×4Attack errCadence Nichols·
3524-11HARVUNC AServe errHarvard·
3624-12UNC AUNC AKillSarah Wadsworth·
3725-12UNC AHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao·
Set 2
11-0HARVHARVKillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+2.0
21-1HARVUNC AAttack errSofia Rossi+1.6
31-2UNC AUNC AAttack errRyleigh Patterson+2.2
42-2UNC AHARVBlockedSarah Wadsworthblk Ryleigh Patterson+1.6
53-2HARVHARVAttack errAddie Brookbank+2.1
63-3HARVUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.6
74-3UNC AHARVBlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Kayla Nwabueze, Ryleigh Patterson+1.6
85-3HARVHARVAttack errCadence Nichols+2.1
95-4HARVUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Izzy Perkins+1.6
106-4UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+1.6
116-5HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+1.6
127-5UNC AHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sofia Rossi+1.7
137-6HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.7
148-6UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+1.7
158-7HARVUNC AKillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+1.7
169-7UNC AHARVKillSofia Rossiset Yvette Easton+1.8
179-8HARVUNC A×4BlockedAli Farquharblk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth+1.7
189-9UNC AUNC A×4AceUNC Ashevilleaced Bridget Egan+2.5
199-10UNC AUNC A×4KillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+2.7
209-11UNC AUNC A×4KillAlbertine van der Gootset Elise Jensen+2.7
2110-11UNC AHARV×4Serve errUNC Asheville+2.0
2211-11HARVHARV×4BlockedLydia Pateblk Ryleigh Patterson+2.7
2312-11HARVHARV×4KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+2.8
2413-11HARVHARV×4AceHarvardaced Sarah Wadsworth+2.7
2513-12HARVUNC AKillAlbertine van der Gootset Elise Jensen+2.0
2614-12UNC AHARVKillAli Farquharset Yvette Easton+2.1
2714-13HARVUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Elise Jensen+2.0
2815-13UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+2.2
2915-14HARVUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+2.1
3016-14UNC AHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+2.3
3117-14HARVHARVKillRiley Resmer+2.7
3217-15HARVUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.8
3317-16UNC AUNC AAceUNC Asheville+2.9
3418-16UNC AHARV×3Attack errLily Bannister+2.5
3519-16HARVHARV×3KillMasina Ogbechieset Riley Resmer+2.9
3620-16HARVHARV×3AceHarvardaced Addie Brookbank+2.3
3720-17HARVUNC A×3KillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.3
3820-18UNC AUNC A×3AceUNC Ashevilleaced Bridget Egan+2.4
3920-19UNC AUNC A×3BlockedMasina Ogbechieblk Sarah Wadsworth+3.4
4021-19UNC AHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+3.2
4122-19HARVHARVBlockedAlbertine van der Gootblk Ryleigh Patterson+3.4
4222-20HARVUNC AKillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.8
4323-20UNC AHARV×3Attack errAddie Brookbank+2.7
4424-20HARVHARV×3BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson+2.0
4525-20HARVHARV×3KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+0.6
Set 3
11-0UNC AHARV×3KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+0.9
22-0HARVHARV×3AceHarvardaced Sarah Wadsworth+1.2
33-0HARVHARV×3KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.1
43-1HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+0.8
54-1UNC AHARV×4Serve errUNC Asheville+0.9
65-1HARVHARV×4BlockedAddie Brookbankblk Ali Farquhar+1.0
76-1HARVHARV×4Attack errAlbertine van der Goot+0.9
87-1HARVHARV×4KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+0.8
97-2HARVUNC AAttack errAli Farquhar+0.5
108-2UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+0.6
118-3HARVUNC A×3KillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+0.5
128-4UNC AUNC A×3BlockedKayla Nwabuezeblk Cadence Nichols+0.8
138-5UNC AUNC A×3BlockedSofia Rossiblk Cadence Nichols+1.0
149-5UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+0.9
159-6HARVUNC AKillCadence Nicholsset Olivia Callipo+0.8
1610-6UNC AHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Yvette Easton+0.9
1711-6HARVHARVKillSofia Rossiset Riley Resmer+1.0
1811-7HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+0.6
1912-7UNC AHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+0.8
2012-8HARVUNC A×4KillLydia Pateset Olivia Callipo+0.6
2112-9UNC AUNC A×4KillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+1.0
2212-10UNC AUNC A×4Bad setSophia Wei+1.3
2312-11UNC AUNC A×4KillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.5
2413-11UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+1.2
2513-12HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+1.2
2613-13UNC AUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.8
2714-13UNC AHARVBlockedAddie Brookbankblk Ryleigh Patterson, Ali Farquhar+1.4
2814-14HARVUNC A×3KillLydia Pateset Elise Jensen+1.4
2914-15UNC AUNC A×3KillAddie Brookbank+2.0
3014-16UNC AUNC A×3BlockedSofia Rossiblk Cadence Nichols, Addie Brookbank+2.0
3115-16UNC AHARVServe errUNC Asheville+1.4
3215-17HARVUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Elise Jensen+1.6
3316-17UNC AHARVKillRiley Resmerset Catlin Shao+1.5
3417-17HARVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+2.2
3517-18HARVUNC AServe errHarvard+1.8
3618-18UNC AHARVAttack errSarah Wadsworth+1.8
3719-18HARVHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+2.4
3819-19HARVUNC AKillAddie Brookbankset Olivia Callipo+1.9
3920-19UNC AHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+2.0
4021-19HARV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
4121-20HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Olivia Callipo+1.7
4222-20UNC AHARV×3KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+2.1
4323-20HARVHARV×3Attack errSarah Wadsworth+2.2
4424-20HARVHARV×3KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+1.2
4524-21HARVUNC AKillSarah Wadsworthset Elise Jensen+0.3
4625-21UNC AHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Harvard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).