Washington def. South Dakota St. 3–0
(25-11, 25-21, 25-16)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| SDAKST | 11 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.7% to Washington — set 2, WASH 21-19 SDAKST. Washington ace on Hannah Klein. SDAKST win probability 6% → 4%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Washington wins
South Dakota St. wins
- WASH break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
- SDAKST break %
- 34.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01WASH serverAce+1.7%
Washington ace on Hannah Klein
Set 2 · WASH 21-19 SDAKST · WASH 94% → 96%
- 02
- 03Maija HowseKill+1.2%
Kill by Maija Howse (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)
Set 2 · WASH 20-19 SDAKST · WASH 93% → 94%
- 04Andrea FabikovicovaAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Andrea Fabikovicova
Set 2 · WASH 18-17 SDAKST · SDAKST 4% → 5%
- 05Hannah KleinKill+1.2%
Kill by Hannah Klein (set by Brooke Larsen)
Set 2 · WASH 19-19 SDAKST · SDAKST 6% → 7%
- 06Kylie KlecknerKill+1.2%
Kill by Kylie Kleckner (set by Kaitlyn Nguyen)
Set 2 · WASH 22-19 SDAKST · WASH 96% → 97%
- 07Simona MateskaKill+1.1%
Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Kaitlyn Nguyen)
Set 2 · WASH 19-18 SDAKST · WASH 93% → 94%
- 08WASH serverAce+1.1%
Washington ace on Team
Set 1 · WASH 2-0 SDAKST · WASH 90% → 91%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 4 | 27 | .259 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .533 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .583 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | .214 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 13 | 83 | .386 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 26 | .154 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 25 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -.077 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 28 | 16 | 93 | .129 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 48 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-11
Set 2
25-21
Set 3
25-16
Bars above the line = South Dakota St. leads, below = Washington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Washington
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%6/6 | 50%5/10 |
| 2 | 67%6/9 | 50%6/12 |
| 3 | 67%4/6 | 67%8/12 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 50%4/8 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 0%0/4 |
| All | 74%28/38 | 45%22/49 |
South Dakota St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%6/11 | 0%0/5 |
| 2 | 31%5/16 | 14%1/7 |
| 3 | 44%4/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 33%2/6 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 50%4/8 |
| All | 55%27/49 | 26%10/38 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
123 rallies
Rally log
| # | WASH-SDAKST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | WASH×11 | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Ace | WASH server | aced Team | +1.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Kaitlyn Nguyen | +0.9 |
| 4 | 4-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.7 |
| 5 | 5-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 6-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 7 | 7-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +0.3 | |
| 8 | 8-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 9 | 9-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Katy Wessels | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.1 |
| 10 | 10-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.1 |
| 11 | 11-0 | WASH | WASH×11 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +0.1 | |
| 12 | 11-1 | WASH | SDAKST | Serve err | WASH server | +0.0 | |
| 13 | 12-1 | SDAKST | WASH×3 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.0 | |
| 14 | 13-1 | WASH | WASH×3 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +0.0 | |
| 15 | 14-1 | WASH | WASH×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.0 | |
| 16 | 14-2 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Kylie Kleckner | +0.0 | |
| 17 | 15-2 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Katy Wessels | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 18 | 15-3 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 19 | 15-4 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Kylie Kleckner | blk Marisa Michaelis, Taylor Byl | +0.0 |
| 20 | 16-4 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 21 | 16-5 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 22 | 17-5 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 23 | 17-6 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 24 | 18-6 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Katy Wessels | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 25 | 19-6 | WASH | WASH | Ace | WASH server | aced Hannah Klein | +0.0 |
| 26 | 19-7 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Rylee Martin | +0.0 |
| 27 | 20-7 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 28 | 20-8 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +0.0 |
| 29 | 20-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Maija Howse | blk Hannah Klein, Taylor Byl | +0.0 |
| 30 | 21-9 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 31 | 22-9 | WASH | WASH | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Julia Hunt, Maija Howse | +0.0 |
| 32 | 22-10 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Taylor Byl | set Rylee Martin | +0.0 |
| 33 | 23-10 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 34 | 23-11 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 35 | 24-11 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Andrea Fabikovicova | set Kylie Kleckner | +0.0 |
| 36 | 25-11 | WASH | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WASH | WASH | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +0.8 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | WASH | WASH | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse | +0.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | SDAKST | WASH×4 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.5 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | WASH | WASH×4 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Kaitlyn Nguyen | +0.6 |
| 6 | 5-1 | WASH | WASH×4 | Ace | WASH server | aced Hannah Klein | +0.5 |
| 7 | 6-1 | WASH | WASH×4 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | WASH | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Kylie Kleckner | blk Taylor Byl, Marisa Michaelis | +0.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Maija Howse | blk Sylvie Zgonc, Taylor Byl | +0.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +0.6 |
| 11 | 7-4 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 12 | 8-4 | WASH | WASH | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +0.6 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | SDAKST | WASH | Attack err | Rylee Martin | +0.3 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Taylor Byl | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | WASH | SDAKST | Serve err | WASH server | +0.3 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Maija Howse | blk Hannah Klein, Claire Logeais | +0.3 |
| 20 | 12-8 | SDAKST | WASH | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Maija Howse | blk Claire Logeais, Sylvie Zgonc | +0.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SDAKST | WASH×3 | Kill | Katy Wessels | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | WASH | WASH×3 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Brooke Larsen | +0.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | WASH | WASH×3 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Maija Howse, Julia Hunt | +0.3 |
| 25 | 15-10 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Taylor Byl | set Brooke Larsen | +0.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | WASH | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.1 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Addy Azavedo | +0.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Kaitlyn Nguyen | +0.5 |
| 30 | 17-13 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Andrea Fabikovicova | set Kaitlyn Nguyen | +0.4 |
| 31 | 17-14 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Julia Hunt | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.4 |
| 33 | 18-15 | WASH | SDAKST×4 | Attack err | Katy Wessels | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Attack err | Andrea Fabikovicova | +1.2 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Bad set | Lily Mae Buerkle | +1.7 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Kaitlyn Nguyen | +1.1 |
| 38 | 19-19 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +1.2 |
| 39 | 20-19 | SDAKST | WASH×3 | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +1.2 |
| 40 | 21-19 | WASH | WASH×3 | Ace | WASH server | aced Hannah Klein | +1.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | WASH | WASH×3 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Kaitlyn Nguyen | +1.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | WASH | SDAKST | Serve err | WASH server | +0.5 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | SDAKST | WASH | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.8 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.7 |
| 46 | 25-21 | WASH | WASH | Ace | WASH server | aced Hannah Klein | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Claire Logeais | set Brooke Larsen | +0.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | WASH×3 | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | WASH | WASH×3 | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Maija Howse | +0.4 |
| 5 | 4-1 | WASH | WASH×3 | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | WASH | SDAKST | Serve err | WASH server | +0.2 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 8 | 6-2 | WASH | WASH | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | blk Julia Hunt, Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Kylie Kleckner | blk Brooke Larsen, Taylor Byl | +0.2 |
| 10 | 7-3 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 11 | 7-4 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | SDAKST | WASH | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Kennedey Whitford | +0.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Hayden Conner | blk Hannah Klein | +0.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Simona Mateska | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | WASH | WASH | Kill | Hayden Conner | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +0.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SDAKST | WASH | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | WASH | SDAKST | Attack err | Simona Mateska | +0.2 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Anna Johannson | +0.5 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Maija Howse | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.3 |
| 24 | 13-11 | SDAKST | WASH×3 | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | WASH | WASH×3 | Kill | Andrea Fabikovicova | set Simona Mateska | +0.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | WASH | WASH×3 | Attack err | Taylor Byl | blk Julia Hunt | +0.3 |
| 27 | 15-12 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SDAKST | WASH | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | SDAKST | WASH | Kill | Julia Hunt | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 31 | 17-14 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 32 | 18-14 | SDAKST | WASH | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Brooke Larsen | +0.2 |
| 34 | 19-15 | SDAKST | WASH | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | WASH | WASH | Kill | Hayden Conner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.2 |
| 36 | 20-16 | WASH | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | SDAKST | WASH×5 | Kill | Hayden Conner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.1 |
| 38 | 22-16 | WASH | WASH×5 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Julia Hunt, Kylie Kleckner | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | WASH | WASH×5 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 40 | 24-16 | WASH | WASH×5 | Kill | Kylie Kleckner | set Andrea Fabikovicova | +0.0 |
| 41 | 25-16 | WASH | WASH×5 | Ace | WASH server | aced Team | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Washington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.