FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeATLANTIC-10

Duquesne def. Canisius 3–0

(25-15, 25-18, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CANISI	15	18	12	0
DUQSNE	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DUQSNE above 50 · CANISI below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Canisius — set 1, CANISI 1-0 DUQSNE. Canisius ace on Londyn Stone. DUQSNE win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CANISI 0.3%99.7% DUQSNE

Canisius wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

Duquesne wins

3-0

82.5%

3-1

15.4%

3-2

1.8%

CANISI break %: 34.4% vs this opp
DUQSNE break %: 55.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
CANISI serverAce+0.1%
Canisius ace on Londyn Stone
Set 1 · CANISI 1-0 DUQSNE · CANISI 0% → 0%
02
Azoria DavisKill+0.1%
Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)
Set 1 · CANISI 2-1 DUQSNE · CANISI 0% → 0%
03
McKenna CorcoranAttack error+0.1%
McKenna Corcoran stuffed by Jordan Robertson
Set 1 · CANISI 2-3 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 100% → 100%
04
Emma IsroffKill+0.1%
Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)
Set 2 · CANISI 12-13 DUQSNE · CANISI 0% → 0%
05
CANISI serverAce+0.1%
Canisius ace on Delaney McIntosh
Set 2 · CANISI 2-0 DUQSNE · CANISI 0% → 0%
06
Simone SearlesAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Simone Searles
Set 1 · CANISI 4-5 DUQSNE · CANISI 0% → 0%
07
Emersen SchromKill+0.1%
Kill by Emersen Schrom (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 1 · CANISI 2-2 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 100% → 100%
08
Simone SearlesKill+0.0%
Kill by Simone Searles (set by Chloe Wilmot)
Set 1 · CANISI 1-1 DUQSNE · DUQSNE 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Canisiusaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Emily HelmersMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	2	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
16Emma IsroffOH	3	4	4	17	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
17Azoria DavisOH	3	3	6	24	-.125	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	3
19Kenslie WarmbrodtS	3	1	0	4	.250	12	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
20McKenna CorcoranMB	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
5Madison CowanOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
18Alli FarmerOH	3	5	4	16	.063	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	5
12Hannah KosOH	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Anna RichS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Brenda ReynagaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	0
6Cali TierneyOH	2	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
3Hayden SiebenalerMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	19	87	.034	19	4	3	25	11	1	2	2	45

Duquesnehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Emersen SchromOH	3	14	3	28	.393	1	2	3	10	1	0	1	0.5	16.5
9Simone SearlesOH	3	9	3	18	.333	1	4	1	5	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
8Londyn StoneOH	3	6	3	14	.214	0	3	3	5	1	0	0	0	9
14Jordan RobertsonMB	3	6	0	9	.667	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
2Chloe WilmotS	3	2	0	3	.667	35	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Madeleine BushMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
10Delaney McIntoshL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	7	2	0	0	0	1
16Alexa FlowersDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Mirabella IriarteMB	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
6Charlotte ArringtonOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
1Kaylie BaumgartMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
12Ryan HicksS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Keely McMahon-ReganS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	9	79	.418	41	11	9	37	4	1	11	6.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 CANISI · DUQSNE 9

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 CANISIDUQSNE 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 CANISIDUQSNE 6

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 CANISIDUQSNE 9

Bars above the line = Duquesne leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Canisius

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	38%3/8
2	22%6/27	40%4/10
3	46%6/13	25%2/8
4	50%5/10	14%1/7
5	44%4/9	29%2/7
6	43%3/7	43%3/7
All	41%30/73	32%15/47

Duquesne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	33%2/6
2	75%6/8	54%7/13
3	75%6/8	75%18/24
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	57%4/7	43%3/7
6	80%4/5	60%6/10
All	68%32/47	59%43/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

120 rallies

Rally log

#	CANISI-DUQSNE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	CANISI server	aced Londyn Stone	+0.1
2	1-1	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
3	2-1	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.1
4	2-2	CANISI	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.1
5	2-3	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Attack err	McKenna Corcoran	blk Jordan Robertson	+0.1
6	2-4	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
7	2-5	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+0.0
8	3-5	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
9	4-5	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Simone Searles		+0.1
10	4-6	CANISI	DUQSNE×4	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+0.0
11	4-7	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Alli Farmer	+0.0
12	4-8	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Alli Farmer	+0.0
13	4-9	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Azoria Davis	+0.0
14	5-9	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Alli Farmer	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
15	5-10	CANISI	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
16	5-11	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Brenda Reynaga	+0.0
17	5-12	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
18	6-12	DUQSNE	CANISI	Attack err	Emersen Schrom		+0.0
19	7-12	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Londyn Stone	blk Hannah Kos, Emily Helmers	+0.0
20	7-13	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Simone Searles	+0.0
21	7-14	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+0.0
22	8-14	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Alli Farmer	set Brenda Reynaga	+0.0
23	8-15	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
24	8-16	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+0.0
25	9-16	DUQSNE	CANISI×3	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Anna Rich	+0.0
26	10-16	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	CANISI server	aced Emersen Schrom	+0.0
27	11-16	CANISI	CANISI×3	Bad set	Emersen Schrom		+0.0
28	11-17	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
29	11-18	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Azoria Davis	blk Simone Searles, Madeleine Bush	+0.0
30	12-18	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
31	13-18	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	CANISI server	aced Delaney McIntosh	+0.0
32	13-19	CANISI	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
33	13-20	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+0.0
34	13-21	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
35	13-22	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Azoria Davis	+0.0
36	13-23	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×5	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+0.0
37	14-23	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
38	14-24	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
39	15-24	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
40	15-25	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	DUQSNE	CANISI	Attack err	Londyn Stone		+0.0
2	2-0	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	CANISI server	aced Delaney McIntosh	+0.1
3	2-1	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
4	2-2	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Azoria Davis	+0.0
5	3-2	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
6	3-3	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
7	3-4	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
8	4-4	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
9	4-5	CANISI	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Simone Searles	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.0
10	4-6	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Chloe Wilmot	set Jordan Robertson	+0.0
11	4-7	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Alli Farmer	+0.0
12	5-7	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
13	5-8	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
14	5-9	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Alli Farmer		+0.0
15	6-9	DUQSNE	CANISI×3	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
16	7-9	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.0
17	8-9	CANISI	CANISI×3	Attack err	Emersen Schrom		+0.0
18	8-10	CANISI	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
19	8-11	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
20	8-12	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+0.0
21	9-12	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Cali Tierney	set Anna Rich	+0.0
22	9-13	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Chloe Wilmot	set Emersen Schrom	+0.0
23	10-13	DUQSNE	CANISI×3	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.0
24	11-13	CANISI	CANISI×3	Attack err	Simone Searles		+0.0
25	12-13	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.1
26	12-14	CANISI	DUQSNE×6	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
27	12-15	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×6	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Delaney McIntosh	+0.0
28	12-16	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×6	Attack err	Cali Tierney	blk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles	+0.0
29	12-17	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×6	Attack err	McKenna Corcoran	blk Madeleine Bush, Simone Searles	+0.0
30	12-18	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×6	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+0.0
31	12-19	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×6	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
32	13-19	DUQSNE	CANISI	Attack err	Londyn Stone	blk McKenna Corcoran	+0.0
33	14-19	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Simone Searles		+0.0
34	14-20	CANISI	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
35	14-21	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
36	14-22	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×3	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
37	15-22	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Alli Farmer	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
38	16-22	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Emersen Schrom		+0.0
39	16-23	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
40	16-24	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Alli Farmer		+0.0
41	17-24	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
42	18-24	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emily Helmers		+0.0
43	18-25	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Jordan Robertson	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CANISI	DUQSNE	Serve err	CANISI server		+0.0
2	1-1	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
3	1-2	CANISI	DUQSNE×9	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+0.0
4	1-3	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
5	1-4	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Kill	Mirabella Iriarte		+0.0
6	1-5	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+0.0
7	1-6	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Brenda Reynaga	+0.0
8	1-7	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Kill	Mirabella Iriarte	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
9	1-8	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Kill	Mirabella Iriarte	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
10	1-9	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Madison Cowan	+0.0
11	1-10	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×9	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
12	2-10	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Kenslie Warmbrodt	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
13	2-11	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
14	3-11	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
15	3-12	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
16	4-12	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Alli Farmer	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
17	4-13	CANISI	DUQSNE×4	Attack err	Alli Farmer	blk Chloe Wilmot, Jordan Robertson	+0.0
18	4-14	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Londyn Stone	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
19	4-15	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Alli Farmer	+0.0
20	4-16	DUQSNE	DUQSNE×4	Kill	Charlotte Arrington	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
21	5-16	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
22	5-17	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Charlotte Arrington	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
23	5-18	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Ace	DUQSNE server	aced Cali Tierney	+0.0
24	6-18	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Cali Tierney	set Brenda Reynaga	+0.0
25	6-19	CANISI	DUQSNE	Serve err	CANISI server		+0.0
26	7-19	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
27	7-20	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Simone Searles	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
28	8-20	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Cali Tierney	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
29	8-21	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Chloe Wilmot	+0.0
30	8-22	DUQSNE	DUQSNE	Attack err	Hayden Siebenaler		+0.0
31	9-22	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.0
32	9-23	CANISI	DUQSNE	Attack err	Alli Farmer	blk Ryan Hicks, Kaylie Baumgart	+0.0
33	10-23	DUQSNE	CANISI	Kill	Alli Farmer	set Emma Isroff	+0.0
34	10-24	CANISI	DUQSNE	Kill	Emersen Schrom	set Charlotte Arrington	+0.0
35	11-24	DUQSNE	CANISI	Serve err	DUQSNE server		+0.0
36	12-24	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis		+0.0
37	12-25	CANISI	DUQSNE	Serve err	CANISI server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.