Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Fairfield def. Canisius 3–1

Fairfield won at Canisius 3-1 (25-10, 22-25, 25-19, 25-12) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Fairfield's Aislin Oldach led with 13 kills, and Katelyn Cook added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
FAIR252225253
CANISI102519121

Win probability

Canisius above 50 · Fairfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.1% CANISIrally 163 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Canisius — set 2, FAIR 22-25 CANISI. Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich). CANISI win probability 6% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAIR 97.0%3.0% CANISI

Fairfield wins

3-0
62.2%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
7.5%

Canisius wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.9%
FAIR break %
50.0% vs this opp
CANISI break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Azoria DavisKill+1.1%

    Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich)

    Set 2 · FAIR 22-25 CANISI · CANISI 6% → 7%

  2. 02

    Sophia Nagy stuffed by Hannah Kos & Emily Helmers

    Set 2 · FAIR 21-24 CANISI · CANISI 6% → 7%

  3. 03
    Aislin OldachAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Aislin Oldach

    Set 2 · FAIR 15-19 CANISI · CANISI 4% → 5%

  4. 04
    Azoria DavisKill+0.9%

    Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich)

    Set 2 · FAIR 15-18 CANISI · CANISI 3% → 4%

  5. 05

    Azoria Davis stuffed by Mamie Krubally & Harlan Wyche

    Set 3 · FAIR 2-0 CANISI · FAIR 93% → 94%

  6. 06
    CanisiusAce+0.8%

    Canisius ace on Julie Dufourt

    Set 2 · FAIR 15-20 CANISI · CANISI 5% → 6%

  7. 07
    Julia LenikKill+0.7%

    Kill by Julia Lenik (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 2 · FAIR 18-22 CANISI · CANISI 5% → 6%

  8. 08
    Emma IsroffKill+0.7%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 2 · FAIR 19-23 CANISI · CANISI 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413327.3700117212216
410219.4210003004212
48115.46701010031.510.5
4518.50000110073.58.5
4208.250393270031.56.5
310427.2221126102112
4001.0005222210002
4000–121810002
34211.182112320005
3000–000000000
Team totals5213116.33647111158812111.597
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48426.1541204004212
45314.1431314004210
47530.067113920008
4228.000000200213
4001.0001200400000
1014-.250001120000
46317.17602310031.59.5
4103.333160030010.51.5
4006.0001021320000
35414.071001730005
Team totals3422123.098328114811014766

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Fairfield vs Canisius

Season series · Fairfield leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FAIR · CANISI 4

Set 1

25-10

Longest run 5 FAIRCANISI 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 2 FAIRCANISI 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 FAIRCANISI 3

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 6 FAIRCANISI 3

Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%9/9
53%8/15
2
75%9/12
53%10/19
3
75%9/12
47%8/17
4
70%7/10
68%15/22
5
55%6/11
42%5/12
6
46%6/13
45%5/11
All
69%46/67
53%51/96

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
42%5/12
2
53%9/17
10%1/10
3
40%8/20
36%5/14
4
37%7/19
20%2/10
5
88%7/8
30%3/10
6
36%5/14
45%5/11
All
47%45/96
31%21/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

163 rallies

#FAIR-CANISISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CANISIFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.3
22-0FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.3
32-1FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.3
43-1CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.2
54-1FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Madison Cowan+0.3
64-2FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
75-2CANISIFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.2
86-2FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.2
96-3FAIRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
107-3CANISIFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.2
118-3FAIRFAIR×4KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
129-3FAIRFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1310-3FAIRFAIR×4KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1410-4FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.1
1511-4CANISIFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1611-5FAIRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich+0.1
1712-5CANISIFAIR×5KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1813-5FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfield+0.1
1914-5FAIRFAIR×5BlockedHannah Kosblk Aislin Oldach, Harlan Wyche·
2015-5FAIRFAIR×5Attack errMadison Cowan·
2116-5FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Julia Lenik·
2216-6FAIRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich·
2317-6CANISIFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut·
2417-7FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
2518-7CANISIFAIR×3BlockedJulia Lenikblk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche·
2619-7FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook·
2720-7FAIRFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut·
2820-8FAIRCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
2920-9CANISICANISI×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Emily Helmers, Emma Isroff·
3020-10CANISICANISI×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Emily Helmers, Emma Isroff·
3121-10CANISIFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut·
3222-10FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Madison Cowan·
3323-10FAIRFAIR×5Attack errEmily Helmers·
3424-10FAIRFAIR×5KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut·
3525-10FAIRFAIR×5BlockedEmma Isroffblk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti·
Set 2
10-1FAIRCANISIAttack errAislin Oldach+0.2
21-1CANISIFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
31-2FAIRCANISIAttack errEmma Bortolotti+0.2
41-3CANISICANISIBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Emily Helmers, Emma Isroff+0.4
52-3CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.2
63-3FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+0.3
73-4FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Julia Lenik+0.3
84-4CANISIFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
94-5FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+0.3
105-5CANISIFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.2
115-6FAIRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+0.3
125-7CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Katelyn Cook+0.4
136-7CANISIFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.3
147-7FAIRFAIRAttack errMcKenna Corcoran+0.4
157-8FAIRCANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+0.3
167-9CANISICANISI×3KillAnna Richset Brenda Reynaga+0.5
177-10CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Emma Bortolotti+0.6
188-10CANISIFAIRKillZofia Sykutset Julie Dufourt+0.3
198-11FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.5
209-11CANISIFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.4
2110-11FAIRFAIRBlockedJulia Lenikblk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+0.5
2210-12FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.4
2311-12CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.4
2411-13FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Emily Helmers+0.5
2512-13CANISIFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut+0.4
2612-14FAIRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich+0.5
2712-15CANISICANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+0.7
2813-15CANISIFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut+0.4
2913-16FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.6
3014-16CANISIFAIRBlockedAzoria Davisblk Sophia Nagy, Zofia Sykut+0.4
3115-16FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Azoria Davis+0.6
3215-17FAIRCANISI×4KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+0.6
3315-18CANISICANISI×4KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+0.9
3415-19CANISICANISI×4Attack errAislin Oldach+0.9
3515-20CANISICANISI×4AceCanisiusaced Julie Dufourt+0.8
3616-20CANISIFAIRAttack errMcKenna Corcoran+0.3
3716-21FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.6
3817-21CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.3
3918-21FAIRFAIRBlockedEmma Isroffblk Mamie Krubally, Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+0.6
4018-22FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
4119-22CANISIFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.4
4219-23FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
4320-23CANISIFAIRAttack errJulia Lenik+0.3
4421-23FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagy+0.7
4521-24FAIRCANISIBlockedSophia Nagyblk Hannah Kos, Emily Helmers+1.1
4622-24CANISIFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Emma Bortolotti+0.4
4722-25FAIRCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.1
Set 3
11-0CANISIFAIR×4Serve errCanisius+0.7
22-0FAIRFAIR×4BlockedAzoria Davisblk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche+0.8
33-0FAIRFAIR×4KillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+0.7
44-0FAIRFAIR×4AceFairfieldaced Julia Lenik+0.5
54-1FAIRCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.4
65-1CANISIFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.4
75-2FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.4
86-2CANISIFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+0.4
97-2FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Emily Helmers+0.5
108-2FAIRFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+0.3
118-3FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
129-3CANISIFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Katelyn Cook+0.2
1310-3FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Azoria Davis+0.2
1410-4FAIRCANISI×3Attack errAislin Oldach+0.2
1510-5CANISICANISI×3AceCanisius+0.3
1610-6CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+0.5
1711-6CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.4
1811-7FAIRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich+0.4
1911-8CANISICANISIBlockedHarlan Wycheblk McKenna Corcoran, Hannah Kos+0.7
2012-8CANISIFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut+0.5
2113-8FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.5
2213-9FAIRCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+0.4
2314-9CANISIFAIR×3Serve errCanisius+0.4
2415-9FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.4
2516-9FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.2
2616-10FAIRCANISIAttack errMamie Krubally+0.1
2716-11CANISICANISIBlockedJulie Dufourtblk McKenna Corcoran, Emma Isroff+0.3
2817-11CANISIFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.3
2918-11FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Brenda Reynaga+0.2
3018-12FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.1
3118-13CANISICANISIAttack errMamie Krubally+0.3
3219-13CANISIFAIRBad setKenslie Warmbrodt+0.3
3320-13FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Brenda Reynaga+0.2
3420-14FAIRCANISI×3Serve errFairfield+0.1
3520-15CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Natalie Carlin+0.2
3620-16CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Julie Dufourt+0.4
3721-16CANISIFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.4
3822-16FAIRFAIRAttack errJulia Lenik+0.3
3922-17FAIRCANISIBlockedJulie Dufourtblk Hannah Kos, Anna Rich+0.1
4023-17CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.2
4124-17FAIRFAIRAttack errEmily Helmers+0.1
4224-18FAIRCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich·
4324-19CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Aislin Oldach·
4425-19CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius+0.1
Set 4
11-0FAIRFAIR×3Attack errJulia Lenik+0.7
22-0FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfieldaced Azoria Davis+0.6
33-0FAIRFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+0.5
43-1FAIRCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+0.4
54-1CANISIFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.4
65-1FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfield+0.4
76-1FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHannah Kos+0.3
86-2FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.2
97-2CANISIFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.2
108-2FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHannah Kos+0.2
119-2FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wyche+0.2
129-3FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield+0.1
1310-3CANISIFAIR×6Serve errCanisius+0.1
1411-3FAIRFAIR×6KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1512-3FAIRFAIR×6KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.1
1613-3FAIRFAIR×6KillZofia Sykutset Natalie Carlin·
1714-3FAIRFAIR×6BlockedAzoria Davisblk Zofia Sykut, Harlan Wyche·
1815-3FAIRFAIR×6BlockedEmma Isroffblk Aislin Oldach·
1915-4FAIRCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
2016-4CANISIFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut·
2116-5FAIRCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
2216-6CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
2316-7CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Emma Isroff·
2417-7CANISIFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut·
2518-7FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut·
2619-7FAIRFAIR×3BlockedEmily Helmersblk Sophia Nagy, Zofia Sykut·
2719-8FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield·
2820-8CANISIFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut·
2920-9FAIRCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich·
3021-9CANISIFAIRServe errCanisius·
3121-10FAIRCANISIKillEmily Helmersset Anna Rich·
3221-11CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Aislin Oldach·
3322-11CANISIFAIRAttack errAzoria Davis·
3423-11FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldach·
3523-12FAIRCANISIServe errFairfield·
3624-12CANISIFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut·
3725-12FAIRFAIRBlockedEmma Isroffblk Aislin Oldach, Harlan Wyche·

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).