Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026

Quinnipiac def. Canisius 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Quinnipiac 76.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Quinnipiac won at Canisius 3-1 (26-28, 25-22, 25-21, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Quinnipiac's Sahra Ozbiltekin led with 18 kills, and Giulia Ragusa added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
QUINN262525253
CANISI282221231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Outhit .240 to .203, Quinnipiac won anyway.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Quinnipiac's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Quinnipiac at 77%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Quinnipiac 25–25 Canisius

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Canisius, enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 1–0.

    Quinnipiac 74% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Quinnipiac 21–19 Canisius

    Canisius scored 4 straight to turn a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    Quinnipiac 93% → 71%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Quinnipiac 21–23 Canisius

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Quinnipiac, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    Quinnipiac 71% → >99%

Canisius above 50Quinnipiac belowMax swing 9.8%

QuinnipiacCanisius

Sideout %
Quinnipiac 64.2·Canisius 60.0
Break %
Quinnipiac 40.0·Canisius 35.8
Hitting
Quinnipiac .203·Canisius .240
Longest run
Quinnipiac 6·Canisius 4

Giulia Ragusa
16 kills on .205, 17.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Canisius above 50 · Quinnipiac below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.8% CANISIrally 195 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Canisius — set 1, QUINN 26-28 CANISI. Attack error by Giulia Ragusa. CANISI win probability 34% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

QUINN 79.6%20.4% CANISI

Quinnipiac wins

3-0
31.1%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.4%

Canisius wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.3%
QUINN break %
46.2% vs this opp
CANISI break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Giulia RagusaAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Giulia Ragusa

    Set 1 · QUINN 26-28 CANISI · CANISI 34% → 44%

  2. 02
    Giulia RagusaKill+9.4%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 4 · QUINN 24-23 CANISI · QUINN 82% → 92%

  3. 03
    Giulia RagusaAttack error+8.6%

    Attack error by Giulia Ragusa

    Set 1 · QUINN 25-26 CANISI · CANISI 26% → 34%

  4. 04
    Alli FarmerAttack error+8.2%

    Attack error by Alli Farmer

    Set 4 · QUINN 25-23 CANISI · QUINN 92% → 100%

  5. 05
    Giulia RagusaKill+7.7%

    Kill by Giulia Ragusa (set by Sophia Gisslen)

    Set 4 · QUINN 23-23 CANISI · QUINN 75% → 82%

  6. 06

    Sophia Minlend stuffed by Azoria Davis & McKenna Corcoran

    Set 1 · QUINN 24-24 CANISI · CANISI 18% → 26%

  7. 07
    Alli FarmerKill+7.2%

    Kill by Alli Farmer (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 4 · QUINN 21-23 CANISI · CANISI 22% → 29%

  8. 08
    Emma IsroffKill+6.8%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Azoria Davis)

    Set 4 · QUINN 21-22 CANISI · CANISI 15% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418948.18800215000018
416839.205000161111.517.5
412538.18411111012215
46212.333022000008
44112.25000330031.55.5
1000–1200300000
4002.0003001510000
3002.0003722100213
3000–000710000
Team totals5625153.20353510716286101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414431.32301560031.516.5
410021.47601310073.514.5
47429.1031101610219
4107.14300010031.52.5
4012-.5003200400000
38323.21710352010.58.5
45217.1760370004210
4000–1500200000
4000–1012110000
26216.250001000006
1000–000000000
Team totals5116146.240506205650201094

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 QUINN · CANISI 4

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 3 QUINNCANISI 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 QUINNCANISI 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 QUINNCANISI 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 QUINNCANISI 4

Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Quinnipiac leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Quinnipiac

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
31%5/16
2
67%12/18
33%6/18
3
83%10/12
58%14/24
4
53%9/17
40%6/15
5
69%9/13
47%8/17
6
60%9/15
10%1/10
All
64%61/95
40%40/100

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
29%4/14
2
57%12/21
33%6/18
3
43%9/21
40%8/20
4
69%9/13
44%7/16
5
56%9/16
25%3/12
6
82%9/11
40%6/15
All
60%60/100
36%34/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#QUINN-CANISISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CANISIQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Klara Olszewska+1.4
22-0QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Azoria Davis+1.7
33-0QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Julia Lenik+1.5
43-1QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.2
54-1CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.2
64-2QUINNCANISIAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+1.2
75-2CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.2
85-3QUINNCANISI×3BlockedGiulia Ragusablk Hayden Siebenaler, Hannah Kos+1.2
95-4CANISICANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.8
105-5CANISICANISI×3BlockedSophia Minlendblk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran+2.0
116-5CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+1.5
126-6QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+1.6
136-7CANISICANISIAceCanisius+2.3
147-7CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.7
157-8QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
168-8CANISIQUINNAttack errJulia Lenik+1.7
178-9QUINNCANISIBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran+1.9
189-9CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.8
199-10QUINNCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
2010-10CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Klara Olszewska+1.9
2110-11QUINNCANISIBlockedSophia Minlendblk Hayden Siebenaler, Julia Lenik+2.1
2211-11CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+1.9
2312-11QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.5
2412-12QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+2.0
2512-13CANISICANISIAttack errGiulia Ragusa+2.9
2613-13CANISIQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+2.1
2714-13QUINNQUINN×3Attack errAzoria Davis+2.7
2815-13QUINNQUINN×3Attack errHannah Kos+2.5
2915-14QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+1.9
3016-14CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.0
3117-14QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.3
3217-15QUINNCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.6
3317-16CANISICANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.6
3417-17CANISICANISI×3Attack errGiulia Ragusa+3.3
3518-17CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+2.6
3618-18QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.7
3718-19CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Didar Bulbul+4.1
3819-19CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Klara Olszewska+3.0
3919-20QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+3.5
4020-20CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+3.3
4120-21QUINNCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+3.9
4221-21CANISIQUINN×3Serve errCanisius+3.6
4322-21QUINNQUINN×3KillSila Yildiz+5.1
4423-21QUINNQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+4.6
4523-22QUINNCANISIAttack errGiulia Ragusa+2.7
4624-22CANISIQUINNBad setAnna Rich+4.1
4724-23QUINNCANISIBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Hannah Kos, McKenna Corcoran+2.4
4824-24CANISICANISIBlockedSophia Minlendblk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran+7.6
4925-24CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Klara Olszewska+5.9
5025-25QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.9
5125-26CANISICANISIAttack errGiulia Ragusa+8.6
5226-26CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Carola Negron Diaz+6.7
5326-27QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+6.7
5426-28CANISICANISIAttack errGiulia Ragusa+9.8
Set 2
10-1QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.2
20-2CANISICANISIBad setSophia Gisslen+3.0
31-2CANISIQUINN×3KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+2.1
42-2QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiacaced Julia Lenik+2.8
53-2QUINNQUINN×3AceQuinnipiac+2.7
63-3QUINNCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
73-4CANISICANISI×3AceCanisius+3.0
83-5CANISICANISI×3BlockedSila Yildizblk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran+3.2
94-5CANISIQUINN×3Attack errAzoria Davis+2.3
105-5QUINNQUINN×3BlockedEmma Isroffblk Giulia Ragusa+3.0
116-5QUINNQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+2.9
126-6QUINNCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.3
137-6CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+2.3
147-7QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.4
158-7CANISIQUINN×4Serve errCanisius+2.3
169-7QUINNQUINN×4Attack errHannah Kos+2.9
1710-7QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+2.6
1811-7QUINNQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.2
1911-8QUINNCANISIAttack errAsia Belli+1.6
2011-9CANISICANISIBlockedGiulia Ragusablk Hayden Siebenaler, Hannah Kos+2.5
2112-9CANISIQUINNBad setAnna Rich+2.1
2212-10QUINNCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+2.0
2313-10CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.1
2413-11QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+2.0
2514-11CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.2
2614-12QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+2.1
2715-12CANISIQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.3
2816-12QUINNQUINN×4Bad setKenslie Warmbrodt+2.5
2917-12QUINNQUINN×4BlockedEmma Isroffblk Giulia Ragusa, Sila Yildiz+1.9
3018-12QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.3
3118-13QUINNCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga+0.7
3219-13CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.0
3319-14QUINNCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.6
3419-15CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Carola Negron Diaz+1.3
3520-15CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.4
3620-16QUINNCANISIAttack errAsia Belli+0.9
3720-17CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+1.9
3821-17CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.1
3921-18QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.4
4022-18CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.0
4123-18QUINNQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Minlend+1.5
4223-19QUINNCANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+0.5
4323-20CANISICANISI×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+1.3
4423-21CANISICANISI×3AceCanisius+2.5
4524-21CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+3.3
4624-22QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.4
4725-22CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+3.0
Set 3
11-0CANISIQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+2.0
22-0QUINNQUINNBlockedKenslie Warmbrodtblk Sophia Gisslen, Sophia Minlend+2.5
32-1QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
43-1CANISIQUINN×6KillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
54-1QUINNQUINN×6KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.3
65-1QUINNQUINN×6Attack errEmma Isroff+2.0
76-1QUINNQUINN×6Bad setKenslie Warmbrodt+1.7
87-1QUINNQUINN×6BlockedJulia Lenikblk Sophia Minlend, Sila Yildiz+1.4
98-1QUINNQUINN×6KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
108-2QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
118-3CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.2
129-3CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.1
139-4QUINNCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.0
149-5CANISICANISI×3Attack errSophia Minlend+1.6
159-6CANISICANISI×3KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
1610-6CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.7
1710-7QUINNCANISIKillHannah Kosset Julia Lenik+1.6
1811-7CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.7
1911-8QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+1.6
2011-9CANISICANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+2.6
2112-9CANISIQUINN×3KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+2.2
2213-9QUINNQUINN×3Attack errAzoria Davis+2.4
2314-9QUINNQUINN×3KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
2414-10QUINNCANISIBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk McKenna Corcoran, Hannah Kos+1.2
2515-10CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.5
2615-11QUINNCANISIBlockedSahra Ozbiltekinblk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran+1.2
2716-11CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+1.5
2817-11QUINNQUINNBlockedJulia Lenikblk Sophia Minlend+1.4
2917-12QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+0.8
3017-13CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.5
3118-13CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+1.5
3219-13QUINNQUINNKillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+1.3
3319-14QUINNCANISI×3KillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
3419-15CANISICANISI×3KillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.4
3519-16CANISICANISI×3Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+2.1
3620-16CANISIQUINNKillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+2.1
3720-17QUINNCANISIKillHayden Siebenalerset Anna Rich+1.6
3821-17CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.1
3921-18QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.5
4022-18CANISIQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+2.1
4122-19QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+1.3
4223-19CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.0
4323-20QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.0
4424-20CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.8
4524-21QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.6
4625-21CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Carola Negron Diaz+1.3
Set 4
10-1QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.8
21-1CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+1.7
31-2QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
41-3CANISICANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.6
52-3CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+1.8
62-4QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
73-4CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
83-5QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+2.1
94-5CANISIQUINN×4KillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+1.9
105-5QUINNQUINN×4AceQuinnipiacaced Brenda Reynaga+2.5
116-5QUINNQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.4
127-5QUINNQUINN×4KillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.3
137-6QUINNCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.8
148-6CANISIQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+1.8
158-7QUINNCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.8
168-8CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Giulia Ragusa+2.7
179-8CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.0
1810-8QUINNQUINNAttack errEmma Isroff+2.5
1910-9QUINNCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.9
2010-10CANISICANISI×3Attack errSophia Minlend+2.9
2110-11CANISICANISI×3Bad setSophia Gisslen+3.2
2211-11CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Sophia Gisslen+2.3
2312-11QUINNQUINNKillSila Yildizset Sophia Gisslen+3.0
2412-12QUINNCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.4
2513-12CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+2.4
2613-13QUINNCANISIServe errQuinnipiac+2.5
2714-13CANISIQUINN×3Serve errCanisius+2.5
2815-13QUINNQUINN×3KillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+3.0
2916-13QUINNQUINN×3Attack errAlli Farmer+2.6
3016-14QUINNCANISIServe errSila Yildiz+1.8
3117-14CANISIQUINNKillSophia Minlendset Sophia Gisslen+2.1
3217-15QUINNCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+1.9
3318-15CANISIQUINNKillAsia Belliset Sophia Gisslen+2.2
3418-16QUINNCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich+1.9
3518-17CANISICANISIAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+3.3
3619-17CANISIQUINNServe errCanisius+2.9
3720-17QUINNQUINNBlockedAzoria Davisblk Sophia Gisslen, Sila Yildiz+3.2
3820-18QUINNCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
3920-19CANISICANISIAttack errSahra Ozbiltekin+3.7
4021-19CANISIQUINNKillSahra Ozbiltekinset Carola Negron Diaz+3.4
4121-20QUINNCANISI×4KillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.0
4221-21CANISICANISI×4Attack errSahra Ozbiltekin+5.4
4321-22CANISICANISI×4KillEmma Isroffset Azoria Davis+6.8
4421-23CANISICANISI×4KillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+7.2
4522-23CANISIQUINN×4Serve errCanisius+3.9
4623-23QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+7.7
4724-23QUINNQUINN×4KillGiulia Ragusaset Sophia Gisslen+9.4
4825-23QUINNQUINN×4Attack errAlli Farmer+8.2

Score shown after each rally, Quinnipiac first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).