FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026

Marist def. Canisius 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Marist 94.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 9:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marist beat visiting Canisius 3-0 (25-11, 25-17, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Marist's Sara Dasic led with 11 kills, and Cecilia Potter-Pessoa added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
CANISI1117130
MARIST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.611 and 11 kills for Sara Dasic as Marist rolled past Canisius.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.6 points. Canisius peaked at 5% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Marist went in as RallyIQ's 94% pick.

CanisiusMarist
  • Break %+33.3 pts
    25.658.9

    On serve: 43/73 against 11/43 (Canisius sideout 41.1%).

  • Hitting+.371
    .072.443

    42 kills, 7 errors vs 27 kills, 20 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    Marist scored 7 straight in the first set to open the set 7–0. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Marist above 50Canisius belowMax swing 0.6%

CanisiusMarist

Aces
Canisius 4·Marist 6
Serve err
Canisius 6·Marist 3
Blocks
Canisius 4·Marist 71 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Canisius 26·Marist 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Marist above 50 · Canisius below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 116 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Marist stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 4.3%95.7% MARIST

Canisius wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.7%

Marist wins

3-0
57.5%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
9.1%
CANISI break %
36.9% vs this opp
MARIST break %
50.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36010.600221200219
38527.11100034010.58.5
33522-.091012100004
3126-.16700000111.52.5
3147-.429110310002
3000–1200200000
3304.750800200003
3118.000003000212
3000–3001000000
24313.077000310004
1000–000000000
Team totals272097.072264626616441
Maristhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311018.6111117000012
310423.261110113010.511.5
3409.444331120010.55.5
3000–110610001
2709.778000000218
2506.833100000427
3314.500000100425
3000–011000001
3000–2001200000
2217.14300000010.52.5
1000–010000001
1001.00000000010.50.5
1012-.500000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000200000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals42779.4433963414014775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Canisius vs Marist

Season series · Marist leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 CANISI · MARIST 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 CANISIMARIST 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 CANISIMARIST 5

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 CANISIMARIST 6

Bars above the line = Marist leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
0%0/6
2
60%6/10
13%1/8
3
42%5/12
14%1/7
4
40%4/10
38%3/8
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
25%4/16
56%5/9
All
41%30/73
26%11/43

Marist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%7/7
72%13/18
2
75%6/8
57%8/14
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
71%5/7
55%6/11
5
57%4/7
64%7/11
6
57%4/7
56%5/9
All
74%32/43
59%43/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#CANISI-MARISTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CANISIMARIST×7Serve errCanisius
20-2MARISTMARIST×7KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
30-3MARISTMARIST×7Attack errAzoria Davis
40-4MARISTMARIST×7KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
50-5MARISTMARIST×7BlockedEmma Isroffblk Sarah Bumstead, Mallory Reck
60-6MARISTMARIST×7KillCaelyn Dumasset Mallory Reck
70-7MARISTMARIST×7Attack errHayden Siebenaler
81-7MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga
92-7CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Claudia Kasperski
102-8CANISIMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
113-8MARISTCANISIServe errKaitlyn Owens
123-9CANISIMARIST×3KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
133-10MARISTMARIST×3KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
143-11MARISTMARIST×3Attack errAzoria Davis
154-11MARISTCANISIServe errCaelyn Dumas
164-12CANISIMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
174-13MARISTMARIST×6BlockedAzoria Davisblk Molly Malone, Trinity Woods
184-14MARISTMARIST×6KillSara Dasicset Molly Malone
194-15MARISTMARIST×6KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas
204-16MARISTMARIST×6BlockedAzoria Davisblk Molly Malone, Trinity Woods
214-17MARISTMARIST×6KillTrinity Woodsset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa
225-17MARISTCANISIKillAzoria Davisset Brenda Reynaga
236-17CANISICANISIAttack errAva Lanzetta
246-18CANISIMARISTServe errCanisius
257-18MARISTCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt
268-18CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Mallory Reck
278-19CANISIMARIST×4KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
288-20MARISTMARIST×4Attack errJulia Lenik
298-21MARISTMARIST×4KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
308-22MARISTMARIST×4Attack errEmma Isroff
319-22MARISTCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt
329-23CANISIMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
3310-23MARISTCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3410-24CANISIMARISTServe errCanisius
3511-24MARISTCANISIKillAnna Richset Azoria Davis
3611-25CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
Set 2
10-1MARISTMARIST×5Attack errHayden Siebenaler
20-2MARISTMARIST×5KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
30-3MARISTMARIST×5KillCaelyn Dumasset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa
40-4MARISTMARIST×5Attack errAlli Farmer
50-5MARISTMARIST×5Attack errJulia Lenik
61-5MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
71-6CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
82-6MARISTCANISIAttack errMallory Reck
92-7CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasic
102-8MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
113-8MARISTCANISIBlockedMallory Reckblk Hannah Kos, Hayden Siebenaler
124-8CANISICANISIBlockedMallory Reckblk Hannah Kos, McKenna Corcoran
134-9CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
145-9MARISTCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich
155-10CANISIMARISTServe errCanisius
166-10MARISTCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt
177-10CANISICANISIBlockedTrinity Woodsblk Julia Lenik, McKenna Corcoran
187-11CANISIMARIST×4KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
197-12MARISTMARIST×4KillTrinity Woodsset Brenda Reynaga
207-13MARISTMARIST×4BlockedJulia Lenikblk Molly Malone, Trinity Woods
217-14MARISTMARIST×4Attack errEmma Isroff
228-14MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
238-15CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
249-15MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
259-16CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
2610-16MARISTCANISIServe errSara Dasic
2711-16CANISICANISIKillHayden Siebenalerset Anna Rich
2811-17CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
2912-17MARISTCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich
3012-18CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3113-18MARISTCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Anna Rich
3213-19CANISIMARISTServe errCanisius
3313-20MARISTMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
3414-20MARISTCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3515-20CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3615-21CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
3715-22MARISTMARISTBlockedJulia Lenikblk Molly Malone, Eleana Koute
3816-22MARISTCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt
3916-23CANISIMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas
4017-23MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Brenda Reynaga
4117-24CANISIMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas
4217-25MARISTMARISTAceSara Dasicaced Azoria Davis
Set 3
10-1CANISIMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
21-1MARISTCANISIAttack errMallory Reck
31-2CANISIMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Claudia Kasperski
41-3MARISTMARISTAceKaitlyn Owensaced Julia Lenik
52-3MARISTCANISIBlockedSavannah Smithblk Hayden Siebenaler
62-4CANISIMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Sara Dasic
72-5MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
83-5MARISTCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich
94-5CANISICANISIKillAnna Richset McKenna Corcoran
104-6CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
115-6MARISTCANISIKillEmma Isroffset McKenna Corcoran
125-7CANISIMARISTKillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas
135-8MARISTMARISTBlockedJulia Lenikblk Sarah Bumstead, Trinity Woods
146-8MARISTCANISI×3KillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt
157-8CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Mallory Reck
168-8CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Mallory Reck
178-9CANISIMARIST×6KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
188-10MARISTMARIST×6Attack errEmma Isroff
198-11MARISTMARIST×6Attack errEmma Isroff
208-12MARISTMARIST×6KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
218-13MARISTMARIST×6AceClaudia Kasperskiaced Julia Lenik
228-14MARISTMARIST×6KillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas
239-14MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt
249-15CANISIMARISTServe errCanisius
259-16MARISTMARISTBad setAnna Rich
2610-16MARISTCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich
2710-17CANISIMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
2810-18MARISTMARIST×3BlockedAlli Farmerblk Savannah Smith, Caelyn Dumas
2910-19MARISTMARIST×3AceEmily Ernstaced Julia Lenik
3011-19MARISTCANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich
3111-20CANISIMARIST×4KillSavannah Smithset Caelyn Dumas
3211-21MARISTMARIST×4Attack errAlli Farmer
3311-22MARISTMARIST×4Attack errHannah Kos
3411-23MARISTMARIST×4AceCaelyn Dumasaced Alli Farmer
3512-23MARISTCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Anna Rich
3613-23CANISICANISIKillAnna Richset McKenna Corcoran
3713-24CANISIMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas
3813-25MARISTMARISTAceMallory Reckaced Julia Lenik

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).