FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Presbyterian def. Northwestern St. 3–0

Presbyterian beat Northwestern St. 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 25-13) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Anisa Dorlouis led Presbyterian with 7 kills; Northwestern St.'s Olivia Nzioki had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
PRESBY2525253
NW ST1820130

Win probability

Northwestern St. above 50 · Presbyterian below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% PRESBYrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Presbyterian — set 2, PRESBY 23-20 NW ST. Attack error by Gillian Wolf. NW ST win probability 9% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PRESBY 74.9%25.1% NW ST

Presbyterian wins

3-0
26.9%
3-1
28.6%
3-2
19.3%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.6%
3-2
12.1%
PRESBY break %
45.2% vs this opp
NW ST break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gillian WolfAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Gillian Wolf

    Set 2 · PRESBY 23-20 NW ST · PRESBY 91% → 94%

  2. 02

    Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Anisa Dorlouis)

    Set 2 · PRESBY 22-20 NW ST · PRESBY 89% → 91%

  3. 03
    Brittney DaphnisAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Brittney Daphnis

    Set 2 · PRESBY 15-15 NW ST · NW ST 12% → 15%

  4. 04

    Emma McHatten stuffed by Olivia Nzioki & Ana Gjorgjievska

    Set 2 · PRESBY 19-18 NW ST · NW ST 10% → 12%

  5. 05
    Emma McHattenKill+2.3%

    Kill by Emma McHatten (set by Anisa Dorlouis)

    Set 2 · PRESBY 17-15 NW ST · PRESBY 87% → 89%

  6. 06
    Emma McHattenKill+2.3%

    Kill by Emma McHatten (set by Anisa Dorlouis)

    Set 2 · PRESBY 21-19 NW ST · PRESBY 88% → 91%

  7. 07
    Northwestern St.Ace+2.1%

    Northwestern St. ace on Celimar Hoyos

    Set 2 · PRESBY 7-10 NW ST · NW ST 18% → 20%

  8. 08

    Kill by Meredith Reisman (set by Anisa Dorlouis)

    Set 2 · PRESBY 11-11 NW ST · PRESBY 83% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3709.7781702600218
34215.13301010052.57.5
35011.45500010132.57.5
36120.25000010010.56.5
3318.25000000031.54.5
1216.167000300002
3002.000021900002
3102.500711810002
3001.000211210001
26112.417111121010.57.5
21011.00020000010.51.5
1000–000100000
Team totals35687.3332966443116975
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311627.18500100010.511.5
39629.103000220009
33315.000100300003
3204.5002501400002
25517.000002400005
1105.200000000001
3003.000010400001
3022-1.000100510000
3001.0002021310000
3001.000000400000
2126-.167010200002
1226.00000000010.52.5
1000–010200001
Team totals3426116.069293643602151

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PRESBY · NW ST 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 PRESBYNW ST 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 PRESBYNW ST 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 PRESBYNW ST 3

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Presbyterian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Presbyterian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
20%1/5
2
100%5/5
44%4/9
3
80%4/5
56%5/9
4
57%4/7
67%8/12
5
100%3/3
50%3/6
6
50%3/6
63%5/8
All
71%24/34
53%26/49

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
33%2/6
2
45%5/11
38%3/8
3
29%4/14
17%1/6
4
50%3/6
33%2/6
5
43%3/7
25%1/4
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
47%23/49
29%10/34

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#PRESBY-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NW STNW STKillJade Longladset Amber Craig+2.1
21-1NW STPRESBY×3KillCourtney Williamsset Anisa Dorlouis+1.5
32-1PRESBYPRESBY×3Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.9
43-1PRESBYPRESBY×3Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.8
53-2PRESBYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.4
64-2NW STPRESBYKillMeredith Reismanset Anisa Dorlouis+1.4
75-2PRESBYPRESBYBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis+1.7
85-3PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+1.2
96-3NW STPRESBY×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.3
107-3PRESBYPRESBY×3KillAnisa Dorlouisset Emmarie McFarland+1.5
118-3PRESBYPRESBY×3AcePresbyterianaced Emmarie McFarland+1.3
128-4PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+0.9
138-5NW STNW STKillGillian Wolf+1.4
149-5NW STPRESBYKillAnisa Dorlouisset Celimar Hoyos+1.2
159-6PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.1
1610-6NW STPRESBYAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.2
1711-6PRESBYPRESBYKillAshley Millerset Anisa Dorlouis+1.3
1811-7PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.9
1912-7NW STPRESBYKillAshley Millerset Anisa Dorlouis+1.0
2012-8PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+0.9
2113-8NW STPRESBY×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.0
2214-8PRESBYPRESBY×3Attack errHarper Cauley+1.0
2315-8PRESBYPRESBY×3KillJulia Yurkovichset Jade Longlad+0.7
2415-9PRESBYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.4
2516-9NW STPRESBY×3KillCourtney Williamsset Anisa Dorlouis+0.5
2617-9PRESBY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
2718-9PRESBYPRESBY×3BlockedAmber Craigblk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis+0.3
2818-10PRESBYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.1
2919-10NW STPRESBY×4BlockedGillian Wolfblk Anisa Dorlouis, Brittney Daphnis+0.2
3020-10PRESBYPRESBY×4AcePresbyterianaced Gillian Wolf+0.1
3121-10PRESBYPRESBY×4KillJulia Yurkovichset Celimar Hoyos·
3222-10PRESBYPRESBY×4Bad setJade Longlad·
3322-11PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolf·
3423-11NW STPRESBYKillBrittney Daphnisset Reagan Hare·
3523-12PRESBYNW ST×6KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad·
3623-13NW STNW ST×6Bad setCelimar Hoyos·
3723-14NW STNW ST×6AceNorthwestern St.aced Keira O'Donnell·
3823-15NW STNW ST×6Attack errAshley Miller·
3923-16NW STNW ST×6KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad·
4023-17NW STNW ST×6Attack errBrittney Daphnis+0.1
4124-17NW STPRESBYKillReagan Hareset Keira O'Donnell+0.1
4224-18PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad·
4325-18NW STPRESBYKillMeredith Reismanset Reagan Hare+0.1
Set 2
10-1PRESBYNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.2
20-2NW STNW ST×4Attack errMeredith Reisman+1.7
30-3NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.8
40-4NW STNW ST×4KillAna Gjorgjievskaset Emmarie McFarland+1.8
51-4NW STPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Celimar Hoyos+1.2
62-4PRESBYPRESBYAttack errHarper Cauley+1.7
72-5PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+1.4
83-5NW STPRESBYBlockedGillian Wolfblk Courtney Williams+1.2
93-6PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.4
104-6NW STPRESBYKillBrittney Daphnisset Celimar Hoyos+1.3
114-7PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.5
125-7NW STPRESBYBad setJade Longlad+1.3
135-8PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.5
146-8NW STPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Anisa Dorlouis+1.3
157-8PRESBYPRESBYBlockedAna Gjorgjievskablk Anisa Dorlouis, Meredith Reisman+1.9
167-9PRESBYNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+1.6
177-10NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Celimar Hoyos+2.1
188-10NW STPRESBYAttack errOlivia Nzioki+1.4
198-11PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+1.7
209-11NW STPRESBY×4KillAnisa Dorlouisset Keira O'Donnell+1.4
2110-11PRESBYPRESBY×4AcePresbyterian+2.1
2211-11PRESBYPRESBY×4KillMeredith Reismanset Anisa Dorlouis+2.1
2312-11PRESBYPRESBY×4Attack errAna Gjorgjievska+2.1
2412-12PRESBYNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+1.6
2513-12NW STPRESBYKillJulia Yurkovichset Anisa Dorlouis+1.6
2613-13PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.7
2714-13NW STPRESBYKillJulia Yurkovichset Celimar Hoyos+1.7
2815-13PRESBYPRESBYKillJulia Yurkovichset Anisa Dorlouis+2.1
2915-14PRESBYNW STBad setAnisa Dorlouis+1.5
3015-15NW STNW STAttack errBrittney Daphnis+2.4
3116-15NW STPRESBYKillAnisa Dorlouis+1.8
3217-15PRESBYPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Anisa Dorlouis+2.3
3317-16PRESBYNW STServe errPresbyterian+1.6
3418-16NW STPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Celimar Hoyos+1.8
3519-16PRESBYPRESBYAcePresbyterianaced Harper Cauley+2.1
3619-17PRESBYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.3
3719-18NW STNW STBlockedEmma McHattenblk Olivia Nzioki, Ana Gjorgjievska+2.4
3820-18NW STPRESBYAttack errJulia Whitfield+2.1
3920-19PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.9
4021-19NW STPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Anisa Dorlouis+2.3
4121-20PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.0
4222-20NW STPRESBY×4KillCourtney Williamsset Anisa Dorlouis+2.5
4323-20PRESBYPRESBY×4Attack errGillian Wolf+2.5
4424-20PRESBYPRESBY×4KillCourtney Williamsset Anisa Dorlouis+1.3
4525-20PRESBYPRESBY×4KillBrittney Daphnis+0.4
Set 3
11-0NW STPRESBYKillAnisa Dorlouisset Celimar Hoyos+0.6
21-1PRESBYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+0.6
32-1NW STPRESBYBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Julia Yurkovich, Meredith Reisman+0.6
43-1PRESBYPRESBYKillCourtney Williamsset Anisa Dorlouis+0.8
53-2PRESBYNW STAttack errJulia Yurkovich+0.6
64-2NW STPRESBY×4Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.6
75-2PRESBYPRESBY×4Attack errOlivia Nzioki+0.7
86-2PRESBYPRESBY×4KillCelimar Hoyosset Anisa Dorlouis+0.6
97-2PRESBYPRESBY×4KillAnisa Dorlouisset Anisa Dorlouis+0.5
107-3PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.4
118-3NW STPRESBYServe errNorthwestern St.+0.4
129-3PRESBYPRESBYAcePresbyterianaced Gillian Wolf+0.4
139-4PRESBYNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.3
1410-4NW STPRESBY×4Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.3
1511-4PRESBYPRESBY×4Attack errAmber Craig+0.3
1612-4PRESBYPRESBY×4Attack errGillian Wolf+0.2
1713-4PRESBYPRESBY×4BlockedAmber Craigblk Emma McHatten, Meredith Reisman+0.2
1813-5PRESBYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.1
1913-6NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Harper Cauley+0.2
2014-6NW STPRESBYKillAnisa Dorlouisset Emma McHatten+0.2
2115-6PRESBYPRESBYKillEmma McHattenset Celimar Hoyos+0.1
2215-7PRESBYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.1
2316-7NW STPRESBYServe errNorthwestern St.+0.1
2416-8PRESBYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
2517-8NW STPRESBYAttack errOlivia Nzioki+0.1
2618-8PRESBYPRESBYBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis+0.1
2718-9PRESBYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad·
2818-10NW STNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.1
2919-10NW STPRESBY×5KillBrittney Daphnisset Anisa Dorlouis+0.1
3020-10PRESBYPRESBY×5KillJulia Yurkovichset Anisa Dorlouis·
3121-10PRESBYPRESBY×5Attack errOlivia Nzioki·
3222-10PRESBYPRESBY×5Attack errOlivia Nzioki·
3323-10PRESBYPRESBY×5Attack errGillian Wolf·
3423-11PRESBYNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Brittney Daphnis·
3523-12NW STNW ST×3KillJade Longladset Reagan Hare·
3623-13NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Emma McHatten·
3724-13NW STPRESBYAttack errJulia Whitfield·
3825-13PRESBYPRESBYBlockedGillian Wolfblk Brittney Daphnis, Reagan Hare·

Score shown after each rally, Presbyterian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).