FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-SOUTH

3:0

HomeSOUTHLAND

Presbyterian def. Northwestern St. 3–0

(25-18, 25-20, 25-13)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
PRESBY	25	25	25	3
NW ST	18	20	13	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NW ST above 50 · PRESBY below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Presbyterian — set 2, PRESBY 22-20 NW ST. Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Anisa Dorlouis). NW ST win probability 10% → 8%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PRESBY 78.5%21.5% NW ST

Presbyterian wins

3-0

30.1%

3-1

29.8%

3-2

18.6%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

3.6%

3-1

7.2%

3-2

10.7%

PRESBY break %: 46.0% vs this opp
NW ST break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Courtney WilliamsKill+2.2%
Kill by Courtney Williams (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 2 · PRESBY 22-20 NW ST · PRESBY 90% → 92%
02
Gillian WolfAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Gillian Wolf
Set 2 · PRESBY 23-20 NW ST · PRESBY 92% → 95%
03
Brittney DaphnisAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Brittney Daphnis
Set 2 · PRESBY 15-15 NW ST · NW ST 10% → 13%
04
Emma McHattenAttack error+2.1%
Emma McHatten stuffed by Olivia Nzioki & Ana Gjorgjievska
Set 2 · PRESBY 19-18 NW ST · NW ST 8% → 10%
05
Emma McHattenKill+2.1%
Kill by Emma McHatten (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 2 · PRESBY 17-15 NW ST · PRESBY 89% → 91%
06
Emma McHattenKill+2.0%
Kill by Emma McHatten (set by Anisa Dorlouis)
Set 2 · PRESBY 21-19 NW ST · PRESBY 90% → 92%
07
NW ST serverAce+1.9%
Northwestern St. ace on Celimar Hoyos
Set 2 · PRESBY 7-10 NW ST · NW ST 16% → 17%
08
Jade LongladKill+1.9%
Kill by Jade Longlad (set by Amber Craig)
Set 1 · PRESBY 0-1 NW ST · NW ST 21% → 23%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Presbyterianaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Anisa DorlouisS	3	7	0	9	.778	17	0	2	6	0	0	2	1	8
16Brittney DaphnisMB	3	4	2	15	.133	0	1	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
4Courtney WilliamsOPP	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
12Julia YurkovichOH	3	6	1	20	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Meredith ReismanMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
22Ashley MillerOH	1	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
5Amaris AlvarezL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
17Celimar HoyosL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	7	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	2
8Keira O'DonnellOH	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
10Emma McHattenOH	2	6	1	12	.417	1	1	1	12	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Reagan HareS	2	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
21Sophia VerdicchioL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	6	87	.333	29	6	6	44	3	1	16	9	75

Northwestern St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Olivia NziokiMB	3	11	6	27	.185	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
5Gillian WolfOH	3	9	6	29	.103	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	9
6Amber CraigOH	3	3	3	15	.000	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
11Jade LongladS	3	2	0	4	.500	25	0	1	4	0	0	0	2
17Elsie SanchezOH	2	5	5	17	.000	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	5
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	1	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Anna Claire HebertS	3	0	0	3	.000	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	1
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	2	2	-1.000	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	13	1	0	0	0
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Julia WhitfieldMB	2	1	2	6	-.167	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	2
14Ana GjorgjievskaOH	1	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Melis OzipekOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		34	26	116	.069	29	3	6	43	6	2	1	51

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 PRESBY · NW ST 6

Set 1*

25-18

Longest run 4 PRESBYNW ST 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 PRESBYNW ST 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 PRESBYNW ST 3

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Presbyterian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Presbyterian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	20%1/5
2	100%5/5	44%4/9
3	80%4/5	56%5/9
4	57%4/7	67%8/12
5	100%3/3	50%3/6
6	50%3/6	63%5/8
All	71%24/34	53%26/49

Northwestern St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	33%2/6
2	45%5/11	38%3/8
3	29%4/14	17%1/6
4	50%3/6	33%2/6
5	43%3/7	25%1/4
6	50%3/6	25%1/4
All	47%23/49	29%10/34

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	PRESBY-NW ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Amber Craig	+1.9
2	1-1	NW ST	PRESBY×3	Kill	Courtney Williams	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.4
3	2-1	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.8
4	3-1	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.6
5	3-2	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.3
6	4-2	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Meredith Reisman	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.2
7	5-2	PRESBY	PRESBY	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez	blk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis	+1.5
8	5-3	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+1.1
9	6-3	NW ST	PRESBY×3	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.1
10	7-3	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Emmarie McFarland	+1.3
11	8-3	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Ace	PRESBY server	aced Emmarie McFarland	+1.1
12	8-4	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+0.8
13	8-5	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf		+1.3
14	9-5	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Celimar Hoyos	+1.0
15	9-6	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.0
16	10-6	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.1
17	11-6	PRESBY	PRESBY	Kill	Ashley Miller	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.2
18	11-7	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+0.8
19	12-7	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Ashley Miller	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.9
20	12-8	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+0.8
21	13-8	NW ST	PRESBY×3	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.9
22	14-8	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Attack err	Harper Cauley		+0.9
23	15-8	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Jade Longlad	+0.6
24	15-9	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.4
25	16-9	NW ST	PRESBY×3	Kill	Courtney Williams	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.5
26	17-9	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
27	18-9	PRESBY	PRESBY×3	Attack err	Amber Craig	blk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis	+0.2
28	18-10	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
29	19-10	NW ST	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Gillian Wolf	blk Anisa Dorlouis, Brittney Daphnis	+0.1
30	20-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Ace	PRESBY server	aced Gillian Wolf	+0.1
31	21-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Celimar Hoyos	+0.0
32	22-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Bad set	Jade Longlad		+0.0
33	22-11	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf		+0.0
34	23-11	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Brittney Daphnis	set Reagan Hare	+0.0
35	23-12	PRESBY	NW ST×6	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.0
36	23-13	NW ST	NW ST×6	Bad set	Celimar Hoyos		+0.0
37	23-14	NW ST	NW ST×6	Ace	NW ST server	aced Keira O'Donnell	+0.0
38	23-15	NW ST	NW ST×6	Attack err	Ashley Miller		+0.0
39	23-16	NW ST	NW ST×6	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.0
40	23-17	NW ST	NW ST×6	Attack err	Brittney Daphnis		+0.1
41	24-17	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Reagan Hare	set Keira O'Donnell	+0.1
42	24-18	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.0
43	25-18	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Meredith Reisman	set Reagan Hare	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	PRESBY	NW ST×4	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.1
2	0-2	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Meredith Reisman		+1.6
3	0-3	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.6
4	0-4	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Ana Gjorgjievska	set Emmarie McFarland	+1.6
5	1-4	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Celimar Hoyos	+1.1
6	2-4	PRESBY	PRESBY	Attack err	Harper Cauley		+1.5
7	2-5	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+1.3
8	3-5	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Gillian Wolf	blk Courtney Williams	+1.1
9	3-6	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.3
10	4-6	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Brittney Daphnis	set Celimar Hoyos	+1.2
11	4-7	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.4
12	5-7	NW ST	PRESBY	Bad set	Jade Longlad		+1.2
13	5-8	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.4
14	6-8	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.2
15	7-8	PRESBY	PRESBY	Attack err	Ana Gjorgjievska	blk Anisa Dorlouis, Meredith Reisman	+1.7
16	7-9	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Julia Whitfield	set Jade Longlad	+1.5
17	7-10	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Celimar Hoyos	+1.9
18	8-10	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+1.3
19	8-11	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+1.5
20	9-11	NW ST	PRESBY×4	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Keira O'Donnell	+1.3
21	10-11	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Ace	PRESBY server	aced Team	+1.9
22	11-11	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Meredith Reisman	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.9
23	12-11	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Ana Gjorgjievska		+1.8
24	12-12	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Ana Gjorgjievska	set Jade Longlad	+1.4
25	13-12	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.4
26	13-13	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.5
27	14-13	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Celimar Hoyos	+1.5
28	15-13	PRESBY	PRESBY	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.9
29	15-14	PRESBY	NW ST	Bad set	Anisa Dorlouis		+1.4
30	15-15	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Brittney Daphnis		+2.2
31	16-15	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis		+1.7
32	17-15	PRESBY	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Anisa Dorlouis	+2.1
33	17-16	PRESBY	NW ST	Serve err	PRESBY server		+1.5
34	18-16	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Celimar Hoyos	+1.6
35	19-16	PRESBY	PRESBY	Ace	PRESBY server	aced Harper Cauley	+1.8
36	19-17	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+1.2
37	19-18	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Emma McHatten	blk Olivia Nzioki, Ana Gjorgjievska	+2.1
38	20-18	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Julia Whitfield		+1.9
39	20-19	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.7
40	21-19	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Anisa Dorlouis	+2.0
41	21-20	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.8
42	22-20	NW ST	PRESBY×4	Kill	Courtney Williams	set Anisa Dorlouis	+2.2
43	23-20	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Gillian Wolf		+2.2
44	24-20	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Courtney Williams	set Anisa Dorlouis	+1.1
45	25-20	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Brittney Daphnis		+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Celimar Hoyos	+0.5
2	1-1	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Emmarie McFarland	+0.6
3	2-1	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki	blk Julia Yurkovich, Meredith Reisman	+0.5
4	3-1	PRESBY	PRESBY	Kill	Courtney Williams	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.7
5	3-2	PRESBY	NW ST	Attack err	Julia Yurkovich		+0.5
6	4-2	NW ST	PRESBY×4	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.5
7	5-2	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.6
8	6-2	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Celimar Hoyos	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.5
9	7-2	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.4
10	7-3	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.3
11	8-3	NW ST	PRESBY	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.3
12	9-3	PRESBY	PRESBY	Ace	PRESBY server	aced Gillian Wolf	+0.4
13	9-4	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+0.2
14	10-4	NW ST	PRESBY×4	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.3
15	11-4	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Amber Craig		+0.3
16	12-4	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Gillian Wolf		+0.2
17	13-4	PRESBY	PRESBY×4	Attack err	Amber Craig	blk Emma McHatten, Meredith Reisman	+0.1
18	13-5	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
19	13-6	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Harper Cauley	+0.1
20	14-6	NW ST	PRESBY	Kill	Anisa Dorlouis	set Emma McHatten	+0.1
21	15-6	PRESBY	PRESBY	Kill	Emma McHatten	set Celimar Hoyos	+0.1
22	15-7	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
23	16-7	NW ST	PRESBY	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.1
24	16-8	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
25	17-8	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.1
26	18-8	PRESBY	PRESBY	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez	blk Courtney Williams, Brittney Daphnis	+0.1
27	18-9	PRESBY	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.0
28	18-10	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
29	19-10	NW ST	PRESBY×5	Kill	Brittney Daphnis	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.1
30	20-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×5	Kill	Julia Yurkovich	set Anisa Dorlouis	+0.0
31	21-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×5	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.0
32	22-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×5	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.0
33	23-10	PRESBY	PRESBY×5	Attack err	Gillian Wolf		+0.0
34	23-11	PRESBY	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Brittney Daphnis	+0.0
35	23-12	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Reagan Hare	+0.0
36	23-13	NW ST	NW ST×3	Ace	NW ST server	aced Emma McHatten	+0.0
37	24-13	NW ST	PRESBY	Attack err	Julia Whitfield		+0.0
38	25-13	PRESBY	PRESBY	Attack err	Gillian Wolf	blk Brittney Daphnis, Reagan Hare	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Presbyterian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.