App State def. Presbyterian 3–0
(25-14, 25-14, 25-23)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRESBY | 14 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| APP ST | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.5% to Presbyterian — set 1, PRESBY 9-9 APP ST. Attack error by Delanie Grevengoed. APP ST win probability 89% → 88%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Presbyterian wins
App State wins
- PRESBY break %
- 37.5% vs this opp
- APP ST break %
- 46.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Delanie GrevengoedAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Delanie Grevengoed
Set 1 · PRESBY 9-9 APP ST · PRESBY 11% → 12%
- 02Emma McHattenAttack error+1.4%
Emma McHatten stuffed by Lou Johnson & Delanie Grevengoed
Set 1 · PRESBY 9-11 APP ST · APP ST 89% → 90%
- 03
- 04Keira O'DonnellAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Keira O'Donnell
Set 1 · PRESBY 9-12 APP ST · APP ST 90% → 91%
- 05Keira O'DonnellAttack error+1.1%
Keira O'Donnell stuffed by Bella Hutchens & Lou Johnson
Set 1 · PRESBY 0-1 APP ST · APP ST 88% → 89%
- 06PRESBY serverService error+1.1%
Presbyterian service error
Set 1 · PRESBY 9-10 APP ST · APP ST 88% → 89%
- 07Meredith ReismanAttack error+1.1%
Meredith Reisman stuffed by Chelsea Gilmore
Set 1 · PRESBY 2-4 APP ST · APP ST 89% → 90%
- 08Kaylie BournAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Kaylie Bourn
Set 1 · PRESBY 6-9 APP ST · APP ST 90% → 91%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .238 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | .211 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -.375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -.600 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 24 | 16 | 84 | .095 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 51 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 32 | .250 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .286 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | .600 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | .200 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -.100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 19 | 97 | .268 | 39 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
14-25
Set 2
14-25
Set 3
23-25
Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Presbyterian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Presbyterian
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%7/15 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 54%7/13 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 38%5/13 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 42%5/12 | 0%0/5 |
| All | 49%36/74 | 29%15/52 |
App State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 67%12/18 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 100%6/6 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 100%6/6 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 83%5/6 | 58%7/12 |
| All | 71%37/52 | 51%38/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
126 rallies
Rally log
| # | PRESBY-APP ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Keira O'Donnell | blk Bella Hutchens, Lou Johnson | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Emma McHatten | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PRESBY | APP ST | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | blk Chelsea Gilmore | +1.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | PRESBY | APP ST | Bad set | Anisa Dorlouis | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Amelia Mancino | +0.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Keira O'Donnell | +0.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.9 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Kaylie Bourn | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | APP ST | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Serve err | PRESBY server | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Emma McHatten | blk Lou Johnson, Delanie Grevengoed | +1.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Keira O'Donnell | +1.2 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Kaylie Bourn | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.8 |
| 23 | 10-13 | PRESBY | APP ST | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.8 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.8 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +0.9 |
| 26 | 11-15 | APP ST | APP ST | Ace | APP ST server | aced Amaris Alvarez | +1.0 |
| 27 | 12-15 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Brooke Doherty | +0.7 |
| 29 | 12-17 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Emma McHatten | +0.7 |
| 30 | 12-18 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Amelia Mancino | set MeMe Davis | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.2 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Iris Williams | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Celimar Hoyos | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | PRESBY | APP ST×5 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.2 |
| 36 | 14-22 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Keira O'Donnell | +0.1 |
| 37 | 14-23 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Keira O'Donnell | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 14-24 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.0 |
| 39 | 14-25 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Lou Johnson | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Reagan Hare | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | blk Brittney Daphnis, Julia Yurkovich | +1.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Brooke Doherty | set Raegan Richardson | +0.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Reagan Hare | +0.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Celimar Hoyos | +0.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set MeMe Davis | +0.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Brooke Doherty | blk Courtney Williams, Meredith Reisman | +0.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Anisa Dorlouis | blk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson | +0.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | PRESBY | APP ST×5 | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Courtney Williams | blk Bella Hutchens | +0.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.6 |
| 17 | 6-11 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.5 |
| 18 | 6-12 | APP ST | APP ST×5 | Attack err | Courtney Williams | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.4 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Raegan Richardson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 22 | 9-13 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | blk Anisa Dorlouis | +0.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Kill | Brittney Daphnis | set Reagan Hare | +0.6 |
| 24 | 10-14 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.5 |
| 25 | 10-15 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Celimar Hoyos | +0.5 |
| 26 | 10-16 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Emma McHatten | +0.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Charlotte Thompson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.2 |
| 29 | 12-17 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Meredith Reisman | set Reagan Hare | +0.2 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Charlotte Thompson | blk Courtney Williams, Meredith Reisman | +0.4 |
| 31 | 13-18 | PRESBY | APP ST×4 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 32 | 13-19 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Ace | APP ST server | aced Celimar Hoyos | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Emma McHatten | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Attack err | Courtney Williams | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | PRESBY | APP ST×4 | Kill | Charlotte Thompson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.0 |
| 39 | 14-25 | APP ST | APP ST×4 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | APP ST | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Bad set | Raegan Richardson | +0.5 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Reagan Hare | +0.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Kill | Amelia Mancino | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Anisa Dorlouis | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Julia Yurkovich | blk Delanie Grevengoed, Chelsea Gilmore | +0.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Reagan Hare | +0.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Amelia Mancino | blk Meredith Reisman, Courtney Williams | +0.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Celimar Hoyos | +0.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | PRESBY | APP ST | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.4 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Sophia Verdicchio | +0.5 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Brittney Daphnis | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set MeMe Davis | +0.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | APP ST | PRESBY×3 | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Reagan Hare | +0.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Ace | PRESBY server | aced Caroline Farthing | +0.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Lou Johnson | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Charlotte Thompson | +0.6 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.6 |
| 26 | 13-13 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | PRESBY | APP ST | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.4 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Julia Yurkovich | set Reagan Hare | +0.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Delanie Grevengoed | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | APP ST | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Thompson | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Charlotte Thompson | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | PRESBY | PRESBY×3 | Attack err | Bella Hutchens | +0.8 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | PRESBY | APP ST×3 | Serve err | PRESBY server | +0.6 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Attack err | Meredith Reisman | +0.8 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | APP ST | APP ST×3 | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.7 |
| 37 | 18-19 | APP ST | PRESBY | Serve err | APP ST server | +0.5 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Chelsea Gilmore | set Raegan Richardson | +0.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | APP ST | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | +0.6 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Emma McHatten | set Anisa Dorlouis | +0.3 |
| 41 | 19-22 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set Raegan Richardson | +0.4 |
| 42 | 19-23 | APP ST | APP ST | Attack err | Anisa Dorlouis | +0.3 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Anisa Dorlouis | set Reagan Hare | +0.1 |
| 44 | 21-23 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Delanie Grevengoed | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Bella Hutchens | set MeMe Davis | +0.4 |
| 46 | 22-24 | APP ST | PRESBY | Kill | Brittney Daphnis | set Reagan Hare | +0.2 |
| 47 | 23-24 | PRESBY | PRESBY | Attack err | Charlotte Thompson | +0.6 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | PRESBY | APP ST | Kill | Lou Johnson | set Raegan Richardson | +1.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Presbyterian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.