FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

American def. Iowa St. 3–0

American beat visiting Iowa St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-19, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. American's Salme Hollas led with 10 kills, and Deniz Dakak added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
IOWAST2319220
AMER2525253

Win probability

American above 50 · Iowa St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.6% AMERrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.6% to American — set 1, IOWAST 23-25 AMER. Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Elise Sterling). AMER win probability 45% → 55%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IOWAST 65.8%34.2% AMER

Iowa St. wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.0%

American wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%
IOWAST break %
43.1% vs this opp
AMER break %
40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Deniz DakakKill+10.6%

    Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Elise Sterling)

    Set 1 · IOWAST 23-25 AMER · AMER 45% → 55%

  2. 02

    Alea Goolsby stuffed by Elise Sterling & Deniz Dakak

    Set 1 · IOWAST 23-24 AMER · AMER 38% → 45%

  3. 03
    Macie LupkesBlock+6.3%

    Elise Sterling stuffed by Macie Lupkes

    Set 1 · IOWAST 22-22 AMER · IOWAST 56% → 62%

  4. 04

    Kill by Carly Sciborski (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 1 · IOWAST 20-22 AMER · AMER 41% → 47%

  5. 05

    Kill by Elise Sterling (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 1 · IOWAST 22-23 AMER · AMER 38% → 43%

  6. 06
    Alea GoolsbyKill+5.2%

    Kill by Alea Goolsby (set by Ella Florez)

    Set 1 · IOWAST 23-23 AMER · IOWAST 57% → 62%

  7. 07

    Kill by Nayeli Gonzalez (set by Rachel Van Gorp)

    Set 1 · IOWAST 20-20 AMER · IOWAST 58% → 63%

  8. 08
    Iowa St.Ace+4.2%

    Iowa St. ace on Bella Marrero

    Set 1 · IOWAST 19-20 AMER · IOWAST 54% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39526.15411350031.511.5
310419.3160103000011
35013.38500110031.56.5
33312.000000410003
3001.00021111200212
2104.25000020111.52.5
36625.000000300006
3001.000320700002
2429.22200000010.54.5
2011-1.0001100100000
1000–000000000
1000–000300000
Team totals3821111.1533655415110664
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39216.43800010233.512.5
38316.3131103014312
310330.2331019200010
37116.375000000218
3207.28637201200426
31011.000011410002
36320.15000001010.56.5
3000–1131110001
3000–103600000
Team totals4312106.29241584653141075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IOWAST · AMER 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 IOWASTAMER 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 5 IOWASTAMER 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 IOWASTAMER 5

Bars above the line = American leads, below = Iowa St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iowa St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
40%4/10
2
57%8/14
33%4/12
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
78%7/9
20%2/10
5
50%5/10
30%3/10
6
36%5/14
55%6/11
All
55%41/74
35%23/65

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
59%10/17
2
89%8/9
11%1/9
3
67%8/12
50%8/16
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
42%5/12
44%4/9
All
65%42/65
45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#IOWAST-AMERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+1.6
21-1IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.7
32-1AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+1.6
42-2IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.7
52-3AMERAMERBlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+2.5
63-3AMERIOWASTKillMacie Lupkesset Ella Florez+1.7
73-4IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.9
84-4AMERIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Rachel Van Gorp+1.8
94-5IOWASTAMERAttack errNayeli Ti'a+1.9
104-6AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.7
115-6AMERIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Ava Martin+1.8
126-6IOWASTIOWASTAttack errSam McMillan+2.7
136-7IOWASTAMER×4KillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.0
146-8AMERAMER×4Attack errMesaiya Bettis+2.9
156-9AMERAMER×4Bad setAva Martin+2.9
166-10AMERAMER×4AceAmerican+2.7
177-10AMERIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+1.6
187-11IOWASTAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.0
197-12AMERAMER×3BlockedNayeli Gonzalezblk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+2.5
207-13AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Alea Goolsby+2.1
218-13AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+1.1
228-14IOWASTAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.5
239-14AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+1.1
249-15IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+1.5
259-16AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.6
2610-16AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+0.7
2710-17IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.1
2811-17AMERIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Ava Martin+0.7
2911-18IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.0
3012-18AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ava Martin+0.6
3113-18IOWASTIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Ava Martin+1.2
3213-19IOWASTAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.3
3314-19AMERIOWAST×3KillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+0.8
3415-19IOWASTIOWAST×3AceIowa St.aced Sam McMillan+1.6
3516-19IOWASTIOWAST×3KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+2.3
3616-20IOWASTAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.4
3717-20AMERIOWAST×4KillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+1.6
3818-20IOWASTIOWAST×4Attack errPrinzez Zeck+3.2
3919-20IOWASTIOWAST×4AceIowa St.aced Bella Marrero+4.2
4020-20IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Gonzalezset Rachel Van Gorp+5.1
4120-21IOWASTAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Nayeli Gonzalez+4.2
4220-22AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+5.9
4321-22AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+3.2
4422-22IOWASTIOWASTBlockedElise Sterlingblk Macie Lupkes+6.3
4522-23IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+5.6
4623-23AMERIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+5.2
4723-24IOWASTAMERBlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+7.0
4823-25AMERAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Elise Sterling+10.6
Set 2
10-1IOWASTAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.1
21-1AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+2.0
31-2IOWASTAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.1
41-3AMERAMER×4Attack errNayeli Gonzalez+3.1
51-4AMERAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+3.1
61-5AMERAMER×4AceAmerican+3.0
72-5AMERIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Ella Florez+1.8
83-5IOWASTIOWASTAceIowa St.aced Alex Ioannou+2.9
93-6IOWASTAMER×4Attack errMesaiya Bettis+2.3
103-7AMERAMER×4BlockedMesaiya Bettisblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+3.1
113-8AMERAMER×4Attack errNayeli Gonzalez+2.8
123-9AMERAMER×4KillDeniz Dakakset Salme Hollas+2.5
134-9AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+1.4
144-10IOWASTAMERBlockedMesaiya Bettisblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+1.8
154-11AMERAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.1
165-11AMERIOWASTKillMesaiya Bettisset Ella Florez+1.1
175-12IOWASTAMERAttack errMesaiya Bettis+1.5
186-12AMERIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+1.1
197-12IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+1.9
208-12IOWASTIOWAST×5Attack errPrinzez Zeck+2.4
219-12IOWASTIOWAST×5BlockedSam McMillanblk Macie Lupkes, Ella Florez+2.9
2210-12IOWASTIOWAST×5KillNayeli Ti'aset Ella Florez+3.3
2310-13IOWASTAMER×6KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.8
2410-14AMERAMER×6BlockedMesaiya Bettisblk Prinzez Zeck+3.5
2510-15AMERAMER×6KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.1
2610-16AMERAMER×6AceAmerican+2.4
2710-17AMERAMER×6KillSam McMillanset Bella Marrero+1.8
2810-18AMERAMER×6Attack errNayeli Ti'a+1.2
2911-18AMERIOWASTBad setBella Marrero+0.5
3012-18IOWASTIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ella Florez+1.0
3112-19IOWASTAMERServe errIowa St.+1.1
3213-19AMERIOWASTAttack errSalme Hollas+0.6
3313-20IOWASTAMER×3Serve errIowa St.+1.0
3413-21AMERAMER×3BlockedDaaliyah Kempblk Elise Sterling+0.8
3513-22AMERAMER×3Attack errDaaliyah Kemp+0.3
3614-22AMERIOWAST×3KillDaaliyah Kempset Ella Florez+0.1
3715-22IOWASTIOWAST×3KillNayeli Gonzalezset Nayeli Ti'a+0.2
3816-22IOWASTIOWAST×3AceIowa St.aced Salme Hollas+0.4
3916-23IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.5
4017-23AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ella Florez+0.2
4118-23IOWASTIOWASTBlockedSalme Hollasblk Ella Florez, Pam McCune+0.4
4218-24IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.7
4319-24AMERIOWASTKillAlea Goolsbyset Ella Florez+0.1
4419-25IOWASTAMERAttack errNayeli Ti'a+0.3
Set 3
10-1AMERAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.2
20-2AMERAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.3
31-2AMERIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ella Florez+1.6
41-3IOWASTAMERServe errIowa St.+1.7
52-3AMERIOWASTAttack errElise Sterling+1.6
62-4IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.7
73-4AMERIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ella Florez+1.6
84-4IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+2.4
94-5IOWASTAMERKillAlex Ioannouset Olivia Miller+1.8
105-5AMERIOWAST×4KillAlea Goolsbyset Olivia Miller+1.7
116-5IOWASTIOWAST×4KillNayeli Ti'aset Rachel Van Gorp+2.4
127-5IOWASTIOWAST×4AceIowa St.aced Salme Hollas+2.3
138-5IOWASTIOWAST×4BlockedElise Sterlingblk Nayeli Ti'a+2.1
148-6IOWASTAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+1.4
159-6AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+1.5
169-7IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.4
179-8AMERAMERBlockedNayeli Ti'ablk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+2.3
1810-8AMERIOWASTAttack errSam McMillan+1.8
1910-9IOWASTAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.7
2010-10AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.7
2111-10AMERIOWASTBlockedSalme Hollasblk Pam McCune, Nayeli Ti'a+2.0
2212-10IOWASTIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalez+2.7
2312-11IOWASTAMERServe errIowa St.+1.8
2413-11AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+2.0
2513-12IOWASTAMERServe errIowa St.+1.9
2613-13AMERAMERAttack errNayeli Gonzalez+3.0
2714-13AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+2.2
2814-14IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.3
2915-14AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+2.3
3015-15IOWASTAMER×5KillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.4
3115-16AMERAMER×5BlockedAva Martinblk Prinzez Zeck+3.7
3215-17AMERAMER×5AceAmerican+3.8
3315-18AMERAMER×5BlockedAlea Goolsbyblk Prinzez Zeck, Sam McMillan+3.6
3415-19AMERAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.0
3516-19AMERIOWASTKillDaaliyah Kempset Ava Martin+1.5
3616-20IOWASTAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.2
3717-20AMERIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ava Martin+1.5
3818-20IOWASTIOWASTBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Pam McCune, Nayeli Ti'a+2.9
3918-21IOWASTAMERAttack errNayeli Ti'a+2.9
4019-21AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+2.0
4119-22IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.1
4220-22AMERIOWASTKillPam McCuneset Ella Florez+2.0
4320-23IOWASTAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.2
4421-23AMERIOWASTServe errAmerican+1.7
4521-24IOWASTAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+3.3
4622-24AMERIOWASTKillNayeli Gonzalezset Ava Martin+1.2
4722-25IOWASTAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+3.0

Score shown after each rally, Iowa St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).