American vs Bucknell Volleyball: American Wins 3-0 (Oct 10)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: American 94.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

American won at Bucknell 3-0 (25-14, 25-23, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Salme Hollas and Elise Sterling led American with 9 kills each; Bucknell's Sidney Shaffer had a match-high 11.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
AMER	25	25	25	3
BUCKNL	14	23	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

American served Bucknell off the court: 9 aces.

Win probability never moved more than 1.8 points on one rally; Bucknell topped out at 7% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave American 94% before first serve.

AmericanBucknell

Break %+16.6 pts
54.137.5
40 of 74 on serve vs 21 of 56, so Bucknell's sideout was 45.9%.
Hitting+.119
.240.121
41 K / 16 E against 29 K / 17 E.
Longest run+2
64
American scored 6 straight in the third set to turn a 10–12 deficit into a 16–12 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Bucknell above 50American belowMax swing 1.8%

AmericanBucknell

Aces: American 9·Bucknell 0
Serve err: American 9·Bucknell 8
Blocks: American 7·Bucknell 52 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs: American 46·Bucknell 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bucknell above 50 · American below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to American — set 2, AMER 25-23 BUCKNL. Attack error by Stephanie Eroh. BUCKNL win probability 3% → 1%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 91.4%8.6% BUCKNL

American wins

3-0

47.1%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.0%

Bucknell wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

4.9%

AMER break %: 48.0% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Stephanie ErohAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Stephanie Eroh
Set 2 · AMER 25-23 BUCKNL · AMER 97% → 99%
02
Peyton McGee&Stephanie ErohBlock+1.8%
Sophie Dufour stuffed by Peyton McGee & Stephanie Eroh
Set 2 · AMER 23-23 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 3% → 4%
03
Deniz DakakKill+1.7%
Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Salme Hollas)
Set 2 · AMER 24-23 BUCKNL · AMER 96% → 97%
04
Sidney ShafferKill+1.4%
Kill by Sidney Shaffer (set by Olivia Miller)
Set 2 · AMER 21-21 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 3% → 4%
05
Deniz DakakBlock+1.3%
Kaitlyn Taylor stuffed by Deniz Dakak
Set 2 · AMER 23-21 BUCKNL · AMER 97% → 98%
06
Sophie DufourKill+1.1%
Kill by Sophie Dufour (set by Deniz Dakak)
Set 2 · AMER 22-21 BUCKNL · AMER 96% → 97%
07
Sidney ShafferKill+0.9%
Kill by Sidney Shaffer
Set 2 · AMER 20-19 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 2% → 3%
08
Sophie DufourAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Sophie Dufour
Set 2 · AMER 13-13 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Americanaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Salme HollasOH	3	9	3	29	.207	2	2	0	8	1	2	2	13
14Elise SterlingMB	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	5	0	3	1.5	10.5
11Sophie DufourOH	3	8	4	20	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
20Prinzez ZeckMB	3	7	2	13	.385	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
5Deniz DakakS	3	3	1	9	.222	29	2	1	6	1	2	2	7
23Carly SciborskiOPP	3	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
10Alex IoannouL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	4	3	0	0	0	3
3Bella MarreroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	2	19	0	0	0	2
19Olivia MillerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
15Sam McMillanOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
1Sydney GuerrierOPP	1	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
16Gabbie VizekMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Zedo YilmazOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	16	104	.240	36	9	9	46	2	10	7	75

Bucknellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sidney ShafferMB	3	11	1	22	.455	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
2Kaitlyn TaylorOH	3	6	6	24	.000	0	4	7	2	2	0	2	8
15Marion HaskellOPP	3	4	5	18	-.056	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
22Cameron LloydOH	3	4	2	23	.087	1	1	7	1	0	0	0	4
17Stephanie ErohMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
4Peyton McGeeS	3	2	1	6	.167	20	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
33Katie O'SullivanL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	7	4	0	0	0	0
11Emerson BoydOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Isabella CharltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
6Sarah WilliamsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	99	.121	22	8	36	9	2	6	5	55

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

American vs Bucknell

Season series · American leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026American at Bucknell · American won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026Bucknell at AmericanPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AMER · BUCKNL 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 AMERBUCKNL 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 AMERBUCKNL 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 AMERBUCKNL 3

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	55%6/11
2	86%6/7	60%9/15
3	60%6/10	45%5/11
4	60%6/10	57%8/14
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	42%5/12	62%8/13
All	63%35/56	54%40/74

Bucknell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	44%4/9
2	38%6/16	25%2/8
3	67%6/9	25%2/8
4	40%6/15	40%4/10
5	50%6/12	40%4/10
6	44%4/9	45%5/11
All	46%34/74	38%21/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	AMER-BUCKNL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee	set Cameron Lloyd	+0.6
2	1-1	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Prinzez Zeck	+0.5
3	1-2	AMER	BUCKNL	Attack err	Carly Sciborski		+0.6
4	2-2	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.6
5	3-2	AMER	AMER	Blocked	Peyton McGee	blk Salme Hollas	+0.7
6	3-3	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.6
7	4-3	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+0.5
8	5-3	AMER	AMER	Blocked	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Deniz Dakak, Elise Sterling	+0.6
9	5-4	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.5
10	6-4	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Deniz Dakak	set Deniz Dakak	+0.5
11	7-4	AMER	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.6
12	7-5	AMER	BUCKNL	Blocked	Elise Sterling	blk Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.4
13	8-5	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
14	9-5	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+0.5
15	9-6	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.3
16	10-6	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.3
17	11-6	AMER	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
18	11-7	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.3
19	12-7	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.3
20	13-7	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.3
21	14-7	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.2
22	14-8	AMER	BUCKNL	Attack err	Salme Hollas		+0.1
23	15-8	BUCKNL	AMER	Attack err	Sidney Shaffer		+0.1
24	15-9	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
25	16-9	BUCKNL	AMER×5	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
26	17-9	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
27	18-9	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Bella Marrero	+0.1
28	19-9	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	·
29	20-9	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	·
30	20-10	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		·
31	21-10	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Deniz Dakak	set Bella Marrero	·
32	21-11	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Peyton McGee		·
33	21-12	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Sydney Guerrier		·
34	22-12	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Salme Hollas	·
35	23-12	AMER	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan		·
36	23-13	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Peyton McGee	·
37	23-14	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	·
38	24-14	BUCKNL	AMER	Serve err	Bucknell		·
39	25-14	AMER	AMER	Ace	American		·
Set 2
1	1-0	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.3
2	1-1	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.4
3	1-2	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Blocked	Salme Hollas	blk Marion Haskell, Stephanie Eroh	+0.5
4	2-2	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.4
5	3-2	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+0.5
6	4-2	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.4
7	4-3	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.3
8	4-4	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Blocked	Elise Sterling	blk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell	+0.5
9	5-4	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
10	5-5	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.4
11	6-5	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
12	7-5	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.5
13	8-5	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Isabella Charlton	+0.4
14	8-6	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.3
15	8-7	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.5
16	9-7	BUCKNL	AMER×4	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
17	10-7	AMER	AMER×4	Blocked	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Prinzez Zeck, Deniz Dakak	+0.4
18	11-7	AMER	AMER×4	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.3
19	12-7	AMER	AMER×4	Kill	Sophie Dufour		+0.2
20	12-8	AMER	BUCKNL×4	Attack err	Deniz Dakak		+0.2
21	12-9	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Attack err	Sophie Dufour		+0.3
22	12-10	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Attack err	Prinzez Zeck		+0.4
23	12-11	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×4	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.6
24	13-11	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
25	13-12	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.5
26	13-13	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Sophie Dufour		+0.8
27	14-13	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.5
28	15-13	AMER	AMER×3	Blocked	Marion Haskell	blk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck	+0.7
29	16-13	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Sydney Guerrier	set Peyton McGee	+0.5
30	16-14	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.4
31	17-14	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
32	18-14	AMER	AMER	Blocked	Cameron Lloyd	blk Elise Sterling, Sydney Guerrier	+0.4
33	18-15	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.3
34	18-16	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Attack err	Sydney Guerrier		+0.5
35	19-16	BUCKNL	AMER	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+0.4
36	20-16	AMER	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+0.4
37	20-17	AMER	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
38	20-18	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.5
39	20-19	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.9
40	21-19	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.7
41	21-20	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.7
42	21-21	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Olivia Miller	+1.4
43	22-21	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+1.1
44	23-21	AMER	AMER	Blocked	Kaitlyn Taylor	blk Deniz Dakak	+1.3
45	23-22	AMER	BUCKNL	Blocked	Prinzez Zeck	blk Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.7
46	23-23	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Blocked	Sophie Dufour	blk Peyton McGee, Stephanie Eroh	+1.8
47	24-23	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Deniz Dakak	set Salme Hollas	+1.7
48	25-23	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Stephanie Eroh		+1.8
Set 3
1	1-0	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Marion Haskell		+0.2
2	2-0	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Katie O'Sullivan	+0.2
3	3-0	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Bella Marrero	+0.1
4	3-1	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.1
5	4-1	BUCKNL	AMER	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.1
6	4-2	AMER	BUCKNL	Attack err	Elise Sterling		+0.1
7	5-2	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
8	5-3	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
9	6-3	BUCKNL	AMER	Attack err	Cameron Lloyd		+0.1
10	6-4	AMER	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
11	6-5	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Bad set	Deniz Dakak		+0.2
12	6-6	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
13	7-6	BUCKNL	AMER	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.2
14	8-6	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		+0.2
15	8-7	AMER	BUCKNL	Attack err	Sophie Dufour		+0.2
16	9-7	BUCKNL	AMER	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.2
17	9-8	AMER	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Taylor	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
18	9-9	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Peyton McGee	+0.3
19	9-10	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Marion Haskell	set Katie O'Sullivan	+0.3
20	10-10	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.2
21	10-11	AMER	BUCKNL	Serve err	American		+0.3
22	10-12	BUCKNL	BUCKNL	Kill	Stephanie Eroh	set Alex Ioannou	+0.4
23	11-12	BUCKNL	AMER×6	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.3
24	12-12	AMER	AMER×6	Ace	American	aced Kaitlyn Taylor	+0.3
25	13-12	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.3
26	14-12	AMER	AMER×6	Blocked	Marion Haskell	blk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas	+0.3
27	15-12	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+0.2
28	16-12	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Bella Marrero	+0.2
29	16-13	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
30	17-13	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
31	18-13	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Katie O'Sullivan		+0.1
32	18-14	AMER	BUCKNL×3	Attack err	Salme Hollas		+0.1
33	18-15	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer		+0.1
34	18-16	BUCKNL	BUCKNL×3	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	+0.2
35	19-16	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.2
36	20-16	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Cameron Lloyd	+0.2
37	21-16	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
38	21-17	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Cameron Lloyd	set Peyton McGee	+0.1
39	22-17	BUCKNL	AMER	Kill	Sophie Dufour	set Deniz Dakak	+0.1
40	22-18	AMER	BUCKNL	Kill	Sidney Shaffer	set Peyton McGee	·
41	23-18	BUCKNL	AMER×3	Serve err	Bucknell		+0.1
42	24-18	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Kaitlyn Taylor		·
43	25-18	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	American	aced Katie O'Sullivan	·

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

American def. Bucknell 3–0

American served Bucknell off the court: 9 aces.