American def. Northwestern 3–2
(22-25, 25-21, 20-25, 25-19, 15-12)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW | 25 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 12 | 2 |
| AMER | 22 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 18.1% to American — set 5, NW 11-12 AMER. American ace on Drew Wright. AMER win probability 46% → 64%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Northwestern wins
American wins
- NW break %
- 42.7% vs this opp
- AMER break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01AMER serverAce+18.1%
American ace on Drew Wright
Set 5 · NW 11-12 AMER · AMER 46% → 64%
- 02Elise SterlingKill+17.8%
Kill by Elise Sterling (set by Deniz Dakak)
Set 5 · NW 11-13 AMER · AMER 64% → 82%
- 03
- 04Prinzez ZeckAttack error+12.9%
Prinzez Zeck stuffed by Hayley Schaaf
Set 5 · NW 9-9 AMER · NW 37% → 50%
- 05AMER serverAce+12.9%
American ace on Gigi Navarrete
Set 5 · NW 11-14 AMER · AMER 82% → 95%
- 06Salme HollasKill+11.2%
Kill by Salme Hollas (set by Alex Ioannou)
Set 5 · NW 11-11 AMER · AMER 35% → 46%
- 07Isabella BullingtonAttack error+10.5%
Attack error by Isabella Bullington
Set 5 · NW 9-10 AMER · AMER 50% → 61%
- 08Elise SterlingKill+10.4%
Kill by Elise Sterling (set by Deniz Dakak)
Set 5 · NW 4-6 AMER · AMER 57% → 67%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 28 | .321 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 42 | .190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | .600 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 15 | 3 | 31 | .387 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 63 | 22 | 141 | .291 | 59 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 5 | 33 | .455 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 23.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 5 | 35 | .257 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 24 | .292 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 21 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | .111 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 25 | 141 | .262 | 61 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 107 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
19-25
Set 5
12-15
Bars above the line = American leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Northwestern
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%13/20 | 17%2/12 |
| 2 | 57%12/21 | 38%8/21 |
| 3 | 50%12/24 | 25%4/16 |
| 4 | 61%11/18 | 50%11/22 |
| 5 | 67%10/15 | 15%2/13 |
| 6 | 89%8/9 | 50%9/18 |
| All | 62%66/107 | 35%36/102 |
American
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62%13/21 | 35%6/17 |
| 2 | 75%12/16 | 33%6/18 |
| 3 | 67%12/18 | 50%12/24 |
| 4 | 58%11/19 | 48%11/23 |
| 5 | 63%10/16 | 29%4/14 |
| 6 | 67%8/12 | 18%2/11 |
| All | 65%66/102 | 38%41/107 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
209 rallies
Rally log
| # | NW-AMER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NW | NW | Kill | Ellie Stiernagle | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Carly Sciborski | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | AMER | AMER | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +2.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | AMER | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Sophie Dufour | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW | NW | Ace | NW server | aced Team | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW | AMER | Kill | Deniz Dakak | set Prinzez Zeck | +2.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Sophie Dufour | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | AMER | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +3.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | AMER | NW×3 | Serve err | AMER server | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Isabella Bullington | +3.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Salme Hollas | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +2.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | AMER | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NW | AMER×4 | Serve err | NW server | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | AMER | AMER×4 | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +3.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | AMER | AMER×4 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +3.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | AMER | NW×5 | Serve err | AMER server | +2.4 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | NW | NW×5 | Attack err | Salme Hollas | +3.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | NW | NW×5 | Attack err | Salme Hollas | blk Campbell Paris, Maya Stillwell | +3.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NW | NW×5 | Kill | Maya Stillwell | +3.7 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | NW | NW×5 | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.3 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +2.1 |
| 33 | 18-15 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.5 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NW | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Drew Wright | +2.8 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +1.5 |
| 36 | 20-16 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Lauren Dignan | +2.1 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NW | AMER | Bad set | Ellie Stiernagle | +1.4 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Drew Wright | +2.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.3 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | AMER | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.1 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.2 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | AMER | AMER | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Elise Sterling, Carly Sciborski | +2.7 |
| 43 | 23-20 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +1.8 |
| 45 | 23-22 | AMER | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +4.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.3 |
| 47 | 25-22 | NW | NW | Attack err | Salme Hollas | blk Campbell Paris, Maya Stillwell | +4.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | AMER | AMER | Ace | AMER server | aced Drew Wright | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW | NW | Ace | NW server | aced Alex Ioannou | +2.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW | AMER×5 | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | AMER | AMER×5 | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | AMER | AMER×5 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Alex Ioannou | +2.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | AMER | AMER×5 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas | +2.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | AMER | AMER×5 | Kill | Elise Sterling | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NW | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +1.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.7 |
| 15 | 6-9 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +2.0 |
| 16 | 6-10 | AMER | AMER | Kill | Sam McMillan | set Salme Hollas | +2.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NW | NW | Attack err | Elise Sterling | blk Isabella Bullington | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | AMER | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.8 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +1.9 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Gigi Navarrete | +2.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW | NW×3 | Ace | NW server | aced Sam McMillan | +3.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NW | AMER×3 | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +2.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | blk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck | +3.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | +3.2 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | AMER | NW | Kill | Ellie Stiernagle | set Isabella Bullington | +2.0 |
| 29 | 13-16 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +2.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Elise Sterling | blk Maya Stillwell | +2.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NW | NW | Attack err | Carly Sciborski | blk Maya Stillwell, Isabella Bullington | +3.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.8 |
| 33 | 15-18 | AMER | AMER | Attack err | Maya Stillwell | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.1 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.7 |
| 36 | 17-19 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.1 |
| 37 | 18-19 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Sam McMillan | +3.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Deniz Dakak | +4.5 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +3.7 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Sam McMillan | +3.6 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | NW | AMER×4 | Serve err | NW server | +4.1 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Hayley Schaaf | blk Sam McMillan, Prinzez Zeck | +5.5 |
| 43 | 20-23 | AMER | AMER×4 | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +4.4 |
| 44 | 20-24 | AMER | AMER×4 | Ace | AMER server | aced Isabella Bullington | +2.5 |
| 45 | 21-24 | AMER | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +0.5 |
| 46 | 21-25 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +1.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +2.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | AMER | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.6 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +2.7 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NW | AMER | Attack err | Maya Stillwell | +2.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Kaitlyn Bodnar | +2.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Kaitlyn Bodnar | +3.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +2.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NW | AMER×3 | Attack err | Hayley Schaaf | +2.9 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | blk Carly Sciborski | +4.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Campbell Paris | +4.1 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +3.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Drew Wright | +2.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +3.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +3.0 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | NW | AMER | Kill | Sam McMillan | set Deniz Dakak | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | NW | NW | Attack err | Prinzez Zeck | +4.7 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | NW | AMER | Kill | Sam McMillan | set Deniz Dakak | +3.6 |
| 28 | 14-14 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +3.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +4.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +5.6 |
| 34 | 18-16 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Elise Sterling | +5.5 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +3.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Drew Wright | +4.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | +5.1 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | NW | NW×3 | Ace | NW server | aced Bella Marrero | +3.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.8 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | AMER | NW | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +1.6 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | AMER | AMER | Ace | AMER server | aced Isabella Bullington | +3.7 |
| 43 | 23-20 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +4.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | NW | NW×3 | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Drew Wright | +3.2 |
| 45 | 25-20 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Prinzez Zeck | blk Maya Stillwell, Mara Stiglic | +0.9 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | AMER | NW×4 | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NW | NW×4 | Attack err | Prinzez Zeck | +3.1 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | NW | NW×4 | Attack err | Sam McMillan | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | NW | NW×4 | Kill | Hayley Schaaf | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.7 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +1.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | AMER | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +2.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Drew Wright | +2.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NW | AMER×3 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Carly Sciborski | +2.1 |
| 9 | 5-4 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | +3.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | AMER | AMER×3 | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | NW | NW | Attack err | Elise Sterling | +3.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW | AMER×4 | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +2.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Hayley Schaaf | +3.6 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Mara Stiglic | +3.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | AMER | AMER×4 | Kill | Deniz Dakak | set Alex Ioannou | +3.8 |
| 17 | 8-9 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Salme Hollas | +2.6 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +3.0 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | AMER | AMER | Kill | Sam McMillan | set Olivia Miller | +4.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | AMER | NW×3 | Kill | Ellie Stiernagle | set Gigi Navarrete | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Elise Sterling | blk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell | +4.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NW | NW×3 | Attack err | Sam McMillan | blk Campbell Paris | +4.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +3.1 |
| 25 | 12-13 | AMER | AMER | Ace | AMER server | aced Drew Wright | +4.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +3.2 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | NW | AMER×4 | Attack err | Campbell Paris | blk Prinzez Zeck, Sam McMillan | +3.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Maya Stillwell | +4.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | AMER | AMER×4 | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | +4.4 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | AMER | AMER×4 | Ace | AMER server | aced Isabella Bullington | +3.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.2 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NW | NW | Attack err | Prinzez Zeck | +3.9 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | NW | AMER | Bad set | Ellie Stiernagle | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | AMER | AMER | Attack err | Campbell Paris | +4.0 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +2.1 |
| 36 | 16-20 | NW | AMER×3 | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +3.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | AMER | AMER×3 | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +2.8 |
| 38 | 16-22 | AMER | AMER×3 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Alex Ioannou | +1.6 |
| 39 | 17-22 | AMER | NW | Kill | Clara Schramm | set Kaitlyn Bodnar | +0.5 |
| 40 | 17-23 | NW | AMER | Kill | Carly Sciborski | set Deniz Dakak | +1.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Drew Wright | +0.3 |
| 42 | 18-24 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +0.7 |
| 43 | 19-24 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Drew Wright | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | NW | AMER | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +0.9 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | AMER | NW | Attack err | Sam McMillan | blk Campbell Paris | +6.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +6.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +6.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +6.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | AMER | NW | Kill | Isabella Bullington | set Ellie Stiernagle | +6.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW | AMER | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Bella Marrero | +6.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +7.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW | AMER×3 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Deniz Dakak | +7.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | AMER | AMER×3 | Kill | Sam McMillan | set Deniz Dakak | +10.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | AMER | AMER×3 | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +10.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | AMER | NW | Kill | Maya Stillwell | set Ellie Stiernagle | +6.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NW | AMER | Attack err | Maya Stillwell | blk Deniz Dakak | +8.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +7.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +8.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +7.5 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW | AMER | Kill | Prinzez Zeck | set Deniz Dakak | +9.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | AMER | NW | Kill | Campbell Paris | set Ellie Stiernagle | +7.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW | NW | Attack err | Prinzez Zeck | blk Hayley Schaaf | +12.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NW | AMER | Attack err | Isabella Bullington | +10.5 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | AMER | NW | Serve err | AMER server | +10.2 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | +15.6 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW | AMER×4 | Kill | Salme Hollas | set Alex Ioannou | +11.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | AMER | AMER×4 | Ace | AMER server | aced Drew Wright | +18.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | AMER | AMER×4 | Kill | Elise Sterling | set Deniz Dakak | +17.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | AMER | AMER×4 | Ace | AMER server | aced Gigi Navarrete | +12.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | AMER | NW | Kill | Mara Stiglic | set Ellie Stiernagle | +3.6 |
| 27 | 12-15 | NW | AMER | Serve err | NW server | +8.7 | |
Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.