Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026

American def. Virginia 3–1

American won at Virginia 3-1 (25-21, 25-21, 22-25, 25-21) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026. Elise Sterling led American with 12 kills; Virginia's Reese Wuebker had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set1234Sets
AMER252522253
UVA212125211

Win probability

Virginia above 50 · American below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.8% AMERrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to American — set 4, AMER 21-20 UVA. Attack error by Reese Wuebker. UVA win probability 22% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 61.9%38.1% UVA

American wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%

Virginia wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
AMER break %
44.0% vs this opp
UVA break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Reese WuebkerAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Reese Wuebker

    Set 4 · AMER 21-20 UVA · AMER 78% → 85%

  2. 02
    Reese WuebkerBad set+6.5%

    Bad set by Reese Wuebker

    Set 4 · AMER 22-20 UVA · AMER 85% → 92%

  3. 03

    Kill by MaryGrace Gonyeau

    Set 4 · AMER 18-19 UVA · UVA 20% → 26%

  4. 04
    Sophie DufourAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Sophie Dufour

    Set 4 · AMER 18-18 UVA · UVA 15% → 20%

  5. 05
    MaryGrace GonyeauAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by MaryGrace Gonyeau

    Set 4 · AMER 23-20 UVA · AMER 92% → 96%

  6. 06
    Reese WuebkerAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Reese Wuebker

    Set 4 · AMER 19-20 UVA · UVA 22% → 26%

  7. 07
    MaryGrace GonyeauAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by MaryGrace Gonyeau

    Set 4 · AMER 20-20 UVA · AMER 74% → 78%

  8. 08
    Elise SterlingAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Elise Sterling

    Set 4 · AMER 18-17 UVA · UVA 10% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412323.3912112012215
411219.4740001014314
411327.29600010031.512.5
49325.2400004002110
44015.2673831120010.57.5
46726-.0380031010006
4012-.500022500002
41011.000200400001
4000–400830000
Team totals5419138.2544667477212897
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418546.28312271010.520.5
414634.2350003002115
4619.55601100153.510.5
44211.182000300215
4001.000222710002
41110.00023001000001
41011.0001611400002
4005.0006021420000
3219.11100110010.52.5
2316.33300000010.53.5
22310-.100000110002
2012-.500000200211
2000–011100001
1123-.333100000001
Team totals5223147.19749710536114888

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 AMER · UVA 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 AMERUVA 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 AMERUVA 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 AMERUVA 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 AMERUVA 4

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
57%12/21
2
75%9/12
53%10/19
3
50%8/16
47%8/17
4
42%8/19
43%6/14
5
67%8/12
27%3/11
6
88%7/8
50%7/14
All
57%51/89
48%46/96

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%11/26
44%7/16
2
56%9/16
35%6/17
3
42%8/19
38%5/13
4
73%8/11
58%11/19
5
50%7/14
38%5/13
6
70%7/10
36%4/11
All
52%50/96
43%38/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#AMER-UVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UVAAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.7
22-0AMERAMERAttack errEmily Fowler+2.2
32-1AMERUVA×3KillHannah Scottset Hannah Scott+1.7
42-2UVAUVA×3AceVirginiaaced Bella Marrero+2.4
52-3UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+2.5
63-3UVAAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.9
74-3AMERAMER×3Attack errCaroline Lang+2.5
85-3AMERAMER×3Attack errLauryn Bowie+2.4
95-4AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.8
105-5UVAUVAAceVirginiaaced Salme Adeele Hollas+2.6
116-5UVAAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.9
127-5AMERAMER×4KillSalme Adeele Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.5
138-5AMERAMER×4BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+2.4
149-5AMERAMER×4KillSalme Adeele Hollasset Elise Sterling+2.1
159-6AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.4
1610-6UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.6
1710-7AMERUVAServe errAmerican+1.4
1811-7UVAAMER×4KillOlivia Millerset Elise Sterling+1.6
1912-7AMERAMER×4Attack errReagan Ennist+1.9
2013-7AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Hannah Scott+1.5
2114-7AMERAMER×4Attack errReese Wuebker+1.1
2214-8AMERUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+0.6
2314-9UVAUVABlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Emily Fowler+1.1
2415-9UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Hannah Scott+1.1
2515-10AMERUVAServe errAmerican+0.8
2616-10UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.1
2716-11AMERUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+0.8
2817-11UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.1
2917-12AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.7
3017-13UVAUVAAttack errAlex Ioannou+1.4
3118-13UVAAMER×3Serve errVirginia+1.4
3219-13AMERAMER×3BlockedHannah Scottblk Elise Sterling+1.3
3320-13AMERAMER×3Bad setBecca Wight+0.8
3420-14AMERUVA×6KillReese Wuebkerset Meredith Reeg+0.3
3520-15UVAUVA×6BlockedSalme Adeele Hollasblk Caroline Lang, Becca Wight+0.7
3620-16UVAUVA×6KillReagan Ennistset Meredith Reeg+1.2
3720-17UVAUVA×6KillBecca Wightset Reese Wuebker+1.8
3820-18UVAUVA×6KillBecca Wightset Meredith Reeg+2.7
3920-19UVAUVA×6Attack errSalme Adeele Hollas+3.8
4021-19UVAAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+3.6
4122-19AMERAMER×3KillSophie Dufourset Olivia Miller+3.9
4223-19AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterling+2.5
4323-20AMERUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.9
4423-21UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.3
4524-21UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+3.1
4625-21AMERAMERBlockedReagan Ennistblk Prinzez Zeck+1.6
Set 2
11-0AMERAMERKillSophie Dufourset Bella Marrero+2.1
21-1AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.6
32-1UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.6
42-2AMERUVAServe errAmerican+1.6
53-2UVAAMER×3Serve errVirginia+1.6
64-2AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.1
75-2AMERAMER×3KillSalme Adeele Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.0
85-3AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.4
95-4UVAUVAAttack errCarly Sciborski+2.1
106-4UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.6
116-5AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.6
126-6UVAUVAAceVirginiaaced Bella Marrero+2.3
137-6UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.8
147-7AMERUVAServe errAmerican+1.8
158-7UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.8
169-7AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Meredith Reeg+2.4
179-8AMERUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+1.7
1810-8UVAAMER×4KillDeniz Dakakset Lauryn Bowie+1.8
1911-8AMERAMER×4BlockedReagan Ennistblk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+2.3
2012-8AMERAMER×4AceAmerican+2.0
2113-8AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Reagan Ennist+1.7
2213-9AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.0
2313-10UVAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.8
2414-10UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.6
2515-10AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.7
2615-11AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.0
2715-12UVAUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.8
2816-12UVAAMERKillSalme Adeele Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.6
2916-13AMERUVAAttack errSalme Adeele Hollas+1.3
3017-13UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+1.7
3118-13AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.7
3218-14AMERUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.9
3318-15UVAUVA×3KillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+1.7
3418-16UVAUVA×3AceVirginiaaced Bella Marrero+2.4
3519-16UVAAMERAttack errBecca Wight+2.2
3619-17AMERUVAKillElla Brodnerset Olivia Siskin+1.8
3720-17UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.3
3820-18AMERUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+1.8
3921-18UVAAMER×4KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+2.4
4022-18AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Reese Wuebker+2.3
4123-18AMERAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Carly Sciborski+1.3
4224-18AMERAMER×4Attack errLauryn Bowie+0.5
4324-19AMERUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.1
4424-20UVAUVA×3AceVirginia+0.3
4524-21UVAUVA×3BlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler+0.6
4625-21UVAAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.0
Set 3
10-1UVAUVABlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Caroline Lang, Reese Wuebker+1.3
20-2UVAUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.3
31-2UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.0
41-3AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.0
52-3UVAAMERServe errVirginia+1.0
62-4AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Ruby McDermott+1.1
72-5UVAUVAAttack errSalme Adeele Hollas+1.4
83-5UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.0
93-6AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.1
103-7UVAUVABlockedElise Sterlingblk Ella Brodner, Emily Fowler+1.4
114-7UVAAMERKillSalme Adeele Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.9
124-8AMERUVAServe errAmerican+1.0
135-8UVAAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Olivia Miller+0.9
146-8AMERAMER×3KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.4
157-8AMERAMER×3BlockedCaroline Langblk Prinzez Zeck, Sophie Dufour+1.5
167-9AMERUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+1.2
178-9UVAAMERBlockedLauryn Bowieblk Sophie Dufour, Prinzez Zeck+1.1
189-9AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.6
199-10AMERUVAAttack errSophie Dufour+1.3
209-11UVAUVAAttack errCarly Sciborski+1.7
2110-11UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2210-12AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.3
2311-12UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2411-13AMERUVABlockedSalme Adeele Hollasblk Lauryn Bowie, Emily Fowler+1.4
2512-13UVAAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero+1.3
2612-14AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Ruby McDermott+1.4
2712-15UVAUVABlockedSalme Adeele Hollasblk Zoey Dood, Emily Fowler+1.8
2813-15UVAAMERKillSalme Adeele Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2913-16AMERUVAKillElla Brodnerset Olivia Siskin+1.4
3014-16UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3114-17AMERUVAServe errAmerican+1.5
3215-17UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3316-17AMERAMERAttack errElla Brodner+2.0
3416-18AMERUVA×5KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.7
3516-19UVAUVA×5Serve errVirginia+2.1
3616-20UVAUVA×5AceVirginia+1.8
3716-21UVAUVA×5KillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.3
3816-22UVAUVA×5KillLauryn Bowieset Meredith Reeg+0.8
3917-22UVAAMER×5Serve errVirginia+0.3
4018-22AMERAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Meredith Reeg+0.6
4119-22AMERAMER×5Attack errLauryn Bowie+1.0
4220-22AMERAMER×5Bad setLauryn Bowie+1.6
4321-22AMERAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.5
4421-23AMERUVAServe errAmerican+2.7
4522-23UVAAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.9
4622-24AMERUVAAttack errElise Sterling+3.2
4722-25UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.5
Set 4
10-1AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+2.2
20-2UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Meredith Reeg+3.0
31-2UVAAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+2.2
41-3AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+2.3
52-3UVAAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.2
63-3AMERAMER×4BlockedReese Wuebkerblk Carly Sciborski, Elise Sterling+3.1
74-3AMERAMER×4Bad setEmily Fowler+3.1
85-3AMERAMER×4Attack errLauryn Bowie+3.0
95-4AMERUVA×4KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+2.2
105-5UVAUVA×4Bad setDeniz Dakak+3.2
115-6UVAUVA×4BlockedSalme Adeele Hollasblk Zoey Dood, Emily Fowler+3.3
125-7UVAUVA×4AceVirginia+3.4
136-7UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.4
146-8AMERUVAKillOlivia Siskinset Meredith Reeg+2.7
156-9UVAUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+3.5
167-9UVAAMERServe errVirginia+2.3
178-9AMERAMERAttack errZoey Dood+3.4
188-10AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.8
199-10UVAAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+2.6
209-11AMERUVAAttack errSophie Dufour+2.9
2110-11UVAAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.7
2210-12AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Meredith Reeg+3.0
2311-12UVAAMER×4KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+2.8
2412-12AMERAMER×4Attack errReese Wuebker+4.0
2513-12AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Meredith Reeg+4.0
2614-12AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.9
2714-13AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+2.8
2815-13UVAAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.0
2916-13AMERAMERKillElise Sterling+3.7
3016-14AMERUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+2.4
3117-14UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.8
3217-15AMERUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+2.5
3318-15UVAAMERKillDeniz Dakak+3.0
3418-16AMERUVA×4KillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+2.5
3518-17UVAUVA×4Attack errElise Sterling+4.3
3618-18UVAUVA×4Attack errSophie Dufour+5.2
3718-19UVAUVA×4KillMaryGrace Gonyeau+5.9
3819-19UVAAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+4.3
3919-20AMERUVAAttack errReese Wuebker+4.8
4020-20UVAAMER×4Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+4.6
4121-20AMERAMER×4Attack errReese Wuebker+6.8
4222-20AMERAMER×4Bad setReese Wuebker+6.5
4323-20AMERAMER×4Attack errMaryGrace Gonyeau+5.0
4423-21AMERUVAKillLauryn Bowieset MaryGrace Gonyeau+2.1
4524-21UVAAMERBlockedLauryn Bowieblk Prinzez Zeck, Sophie Dufour+3.8
4625-21AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Ruby McDermott+1.9

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).