Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayPATRIOT

1:3

HomeMAC

Bowling Green def. American 3–1

(25-21, 22-25, 25-19, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
AMER	21	25	19	19	1
BGSU	25	22	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BGSU above 50 · AMER below

Biggest swing: 7.2% to American — set 2, AMER 23-22 BGSU. American ace on Sydnie Hernandez. BGSU win probability 75% → 68%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

AMER 41.9%58.1% BGSU

American wins

3-0

9.4%

3-1

15.4%

3-2

17.1%

Bowling Green wins

3-0

16.2%

3-1

22.1%

3-2

19.8%

AMER break %: 43.1% vs this opp
BGSU break %: 44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
AMER serverAce+7.2%
American ace on Sydnie Hernandez
Set 2 · AMER 23-22 BGSU · AMER 25% → 32%
02
Prinzez ZeckKill+7.1%
Kill by Prinzez Zeck (set by Deniz Dakak)
Set 2 · AMER 24-22 BGSU · AMER 32% → 39%
03
Avery HobsonAttack error+5.1%
Avery Hobson stuffed by Deniz Dakak & Elise Sterling
Set 2 · AMER 21-21 BGSU · AMER 20% → 25%
04
Prinzez ZeckAttack error+4.9%
Prinzez Zeck stuffed by Amanda Otten
Set 3 · AMER 17-20 BGSU · BGSU 66% → 71%
05
Anastasija BozicKill+4.8%
Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Amanda Otten)
Set 3 · AMER 14-15 BGSU · BGSU 55% → 60%
06
AMER serverAce+4.8%
American ace on Team
Set 3 · AMER 17-18 BGSU · AMER 33% → 38%
07
Helen WilfordAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Helen Wilford
Set 3 · AMER 14-13 BGSU · AMER 43% → 48%
08
Elise SterlingAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Elise Sterling
Set 3 · AMER 14-16 BGSU · BGSU 60% → 65%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Americanaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Prinzez ZeckMB	4	10	3	24	.292	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	4	14
14Elise SterlingMB	4	4	5	19	-.053	0	4	1	3	0	3	5	5.5	13.5
17Salme HollasOH	4	8	2	28	.214	0	1	1	5	2	0	2	1	10
15Sam McMillanOH	4	8	7	28	.036	0	0	0	4	2	1	1	1.5	9.5
23Carly SciborskiOPP	4	7	3	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
5Deniz DakakS	4	2	1	6	.167	29	1	2	10	0	0	4	2	5
10Alex IoannouL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	2	2	7	2	0	0	0	2
3Bella MarreroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	2	0	0	0	0
19Olivia MillerDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	3	0	0	0	0
1Sydney GuerrierOPP	2	3	2	6	.167	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
9Lexie RichardsS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	23	126	.151	36	8	6	46	13	4	26	17	84

Bowling Greenhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Avery HobsonOH	4	17	9	46	.174	0	3	0	4	1	0	3	1.5	21.5
23Anastasija BozicOH	4	13	3	34	.294	0	2	1	10	3	0	1	0.5	15.5
6Cecily WaynarOPP	4	9	2	15	.467	1	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	11
18Helen WilfordMB	4	7	4	15	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
12Karli MolnauOH	4	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
11Amanda OttenS	4	1	2	4	-.250	42	0	2	5	0	2	1	2.5	3.5
3Avery AndersDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	4	2	10	0	0	0	0	4
1Sydnie HernandezDS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	3	2	15	3	0	0	0	3
19Alivia BrownDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
2Molly BeattyS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		54	22	131	.244	49	13	10	52	8	2	10	7	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 AMER · BGSU 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 6 AMERBGSU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 AMERBGSU 8

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 AMERBGSU 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 AMERBGSU 7

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

American

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	20%2/10
2	80%8/10	50%9/18
3	57%8/14	20%2/10
4	38%8/21	33%4/12
5	35%8/23	50%8/16
6	46%6/13	63%12/19
All	49%47/96	44%37/85

Bowling Green

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	42%5/12
2	73%8/11	33%4/12
3	67%8/12	20%2/10
4	53%8/15	53%9/17
5	67%8/12	64%14/22
6	37%7/19	65%15/23
All	56%48/85	51%49/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

181 rallies

Rally log

#	AMER-BGSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BGSU	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar		+2.3
2	1-1	BGSU	AMER×3	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck	+1.9
3	2-1	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Cecily Waynar	blk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski	+2.5
4	3-1	AMER	AMER×3	Ace	AMER server	aced Anastasija Bozic	+2.5
5	3-2	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+1.9
6	3-3	BGSU	BGSU	Ace	BGSU server	aced Alex Ioannou	+2.5
7	4-3	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+2.0
8	4-4	AMER	BGSU	Attack err	Carly Sciborski	blk Cecily Waynar, Anastasija Bozic	+2.0
9	4-5	BGSU	BGSU	Ace	BGSU server	aced Salme Hollas	+2.6
10	5-5	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+2.0
11	6-5	AMER	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Bella Marrero	+2.7
12	6-6	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.1
13	7-6	BGSU	AMER×6	Serve err	BGSU server		+2.2
14	8-6	AMER	AMER×6	Ace	AMER server	aced Sydnie Hernandez	+2.8
15	9-6	AMER	AMER×6	Attack err	Helen Wilford		+2.8
16	10-6	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Deniz Dakak	+2.6
17	11-6	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Sam McMillan		+2.3
18	12-6	AMER	AMER×6	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Elise Sterling, Sam McMillan	+2.0
19	12-7	AMER	BGSU×4	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+1.2
20	12-8	BGSU	BGSU×4	Ace	BGSU server	aced Olivia Miller	+1.9
21	12-9	BGSU	BGSU×4	Attack err	Elise Sterling	blk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford	+2.3
22	12-10	BGSU	BGSU×4	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.7
23	13-10	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+2.4
24	13-11	AMER	BGSU×3	Kill	Amanda Otten	set Avery Anders	+2.1
25	13-12	BGSU	BGSU×3	Ace	BGSU server	aced Team	+3.1
26	13-13	BGSU	BGSU×3	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+3.3
27	14-13	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Deniz Dakak	+2.8
28	14-14	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+2.7
29	15-14	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+2.9
30	15-15	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.8
31	16-15	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+3.1
32	16-16	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+3.0
33	17-16	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+3.2
34	17-17	AMER	BGSU×3	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+3.2
35	17-18	BGSU	BGSU×3	Ace	BGSU server	aced Team	+4.3
36	17-19	BGSU	BGSU×3	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+4.1
37	18-19	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+2.9
38	18-20	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+3.5
39	18-21	BGSU	BGSU	Attack err	Elise Sterling	blk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford	+3.8
40	19-21	BGSU	AMER	Attack err	Anastasija Bozic		+2.2
41	19-22	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Avery Anders	+3.1
42	20-22	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+2.2
43	21-22	AMER	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Deniz Dakak	+4.3
44	21-23	AMER	BGSU×3	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+4.7
45	21-24	BGSU	BGSU×3	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Sydnie Hernandez	+4.3
46	21-25	BGSU	BGSU×3	Attack err	Carly Sciborski		+1.7
Set 2
1	0-1	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Sydnie Hernandez	+1.7
2	0-2	BGSU	BGSU	Ace	BGSU server	aced Sam McMillan	+2.1
3	1-2	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+1.6
4	2-2	AMER	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Bella Marrero	+2.2
5	2-3	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+1.8
6	3-3	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+1.8
7	4-3	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Helen Wilford	blk Elise Sterling	+2.4
8	4-4	AMER	BGSU	Attack err	Deniz Dakak		+1.8
9	4-5	BGSU	BGSU	Ace	BGSU server	aced Alex Ioannou	+2.4
10	5-5	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+1.9
11	5-6	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+1.9
12	5-7	BGSU	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.4
13	6-7	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Olivia Miller	+1.8
14	6-8	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+1.9
15	7-8	BGSU	AMER×6	Serve err	BGSU server		+1.9
16	8-8	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Sam McMillan		+2.6
17	9-8	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Deniz Dakak	set Amanda Otten	+2.7
18	10-8	AMER	AMER×6	Attack err	Avery Hobson		+2.8
19	11-8	AMER	AMER×6	Kill	Prinzez Zeck		+2.7
20	12-8	AMER	AMER×6	Ace	AMER server	aced Anastasija Bozic	+2.5
21	12-9	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+1.7
22	13-9	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+2.0
23	14-9	AMER	AMER	Ace	AMER server	aced Anastasija Bozic	+2.2
24	14-10	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+1.4
25	14-11	BGSU	BGSU	Ace	BGSU server	aced Sam McMillan	+2.2
26	15-11	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+2.1
27	16-11	AMER	AMER	Ace	AMER server	aced Avery Hobson	+2.3
28	16-12	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+1.3
29	17-12	BGSU	AMER	Bad set	Amanda Otten		+1.8
30	18-12	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Karli Molnau	blk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas	+1.7
31	18-13	AMER	BGSU	Attack err	Salme Hollas		+0.9
32	19-13	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+1.3
33	19-14	AMER	BGSU×8	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+0.8
34	19-15	BGSU	BGSU×8	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+1.5
35	19-16	BGSU	BGSU×8	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.1
36	19-17	BGSU	BGSU×8	Ace	BGSU server	aced Olivia Miller	+2.9
37	19-18	BGSU	BGSU×8	Attack err	Salme Hollas	blk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten	+3.6
38	19-19	BGSU	BGSU×8	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Avery Anders	+4.3
39	19-20	BGSU	BGSU×8	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+4.6
40	19-21	BGSU	BGSU×8	Attack err	Elise Sterling		+4.5
41	20-21	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+3.0
42	21-21	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Deniz Dakak, Elise Sterling	+5.1
43	21-22	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+4.6
44	22-22	BGSU	AMER×4	Attack err	Amanda Otten	blk Elise Sterling	+4.5
45	23-22	AMER	AMER×4	Ace	AMER server	aced Sydnie Hernandez	+7.2
46	24-22	AMER	AMER×4	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+7.1
47	25-22	AMER	AMER×4	Ace	AMER server	aced Sydnie Hernandez	+4.2
Set 3
1	1-0	BGSU	AMER×5	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+2.5
2	2-0	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+3.3
3	3-0	AMER	AMER×5	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+3.2
4	4-0	AMER	AMER×5	Attack err	Karli Molnau	blk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck	+3.1
5	5-0	AMER	AMER×5	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck	+2.9
6	5-1	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.0
7	5-2	BGSU	BGSU	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Cecily Waynar	+2.8
8	6-2	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+2.5
9	6-3	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+2.3
10	7-3	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+2.6
11	7-4	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Amanda Otten	+2.3
12	8-4	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Elise Sterling	set Deniz Dakak	+2.6
13	8-5	AMER	BGSU×3	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.3
14	8-6	BGSU	BGSU×3	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+3.3
15	8-7	BGSU	BGSU×3	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+3.6
16	9-7	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Deniz Dakak	+3.1
17	9-8	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+2.9
18	10-8	BGSU	AMER	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Deniz Dakak, Prinzez Zeck	+3.2
19	10-9	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+3.0
20	10-10	BGSU	BGSU	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+4.0
21	11-10	BGSU	AMER	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck	+3.3
22	11-11	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+3.2
23	12-11	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Deniz Dakak	+3.4
24	12-12	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Amanda Otten	+3.4
25	12-13	BGSU	BGSU	Kill	Karli Molnau		+4.4
26	13-13	BGSU	AMER	Bad set	Amanda Otten		+3.5
27	14-13	AMER	AMER	Attack err	Helen Wilford		+4.8
28	14-14	AMER	BGSU×4	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Amanda Otten	+3.7
29	14-15	BGSU	BGSU×4	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+4.8
30	14-16	BGSU	BGSU×4	Attack err	Elise Sterling		+4.7
31	14-17	BGSU	BGSU×4	Ace	BGSU server	aced Bella Marrero	+4.3
32	15-17	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+2.9
33	15-18	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+3.5
34	16-18	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan	set Deniz Dakak	+3.0
35	17-18	AMER	AMER	Ace	AMER server	aced Team	+4.8
36	17-19	AMER	BGSU×5	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Sydnie Hernandez	+4.4
37	17-20	BGSU	BGSU×5	Attack err	Prinzez Zeck	blk Amanda Otten	+4.9
38	17-21	BGSU	BGSU×5	Ace	BGSU server	aced Olivia Miller	+3.7
39	17-22	BGSU	BGSU×5	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+2.4
40	17-23	BGSU	BGSU×5	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+1.2
41	18-23	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sydney Guerrier	set Lexie Richards	+0.4
42	18-24	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+0.7
43	19-24	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+0.2
44	19-25	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+0.3
Set 4
1	0-1	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.3
2	1-1	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sam McMillan		+2.3
3	2-1	AMER	AMER	Kill	Sydney Guerrier	set Deniz Dakak	+3.1
4	2-2	AMER	BGSU	Attack err	Prinzez Zeck		+2.4
5	3-2	BGSU	AMER	Attack err	Anastasija Bozic	blk Prinzez Zeck, Sydney Guerrier	+2.5
6	3-3	AMER	BGSU×3	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Amanda Otten	+2.4
7	3-4	BGSU	BGSU×3	Bad set	Deniz Dakak		+3.1
8	3-5	BGSU	BGSU×3	Ace	BGSU server	aced Salme Hollas	+3.1
9	4-5	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Sydney Guerrier	set Deniz Dakak	+2.4
10	4-6	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.5
11	5-6	BGSU	AMER×3	Kill	Carly Sciborski	set Sydney Guerrier	+2.4
12	6-6	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Helen Wilford	blk Sam McMillan	+3.3
13	7-6	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Amanda Otten	blk Elise Sterling	+3.5
14	7-7	AMER	BGSU×7	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+2.7
15	7-8	BGSU	BGSU×7	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+3.5
16	7-9	BGSU	BGSU×7	Attack err	Sydney Guerrier		+3.4
17	7-10	BGSU	BGSU×7	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+3.2
18	7-11	BGSU	BGSU×7	Attack err	Carly Sciborski		+2.9
19	7-12	BGSU	BGSU×7	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Avery Anders	+2.5
20	7-13	BGSU	BGSU×7	Ace	BGSU server	aced Bella Marrero	+2.0
21	8-13	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+1.2
22	9-13	AMER	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Deniz Dakak	+2.1
23	9-14	AMER	BGSU	Serve err	AMER server		+2.0
24	10-14	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Prinzez Zeck	set Deniz Dakak	+1.6
25	10-15	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Cecily Waynar	set Amanda Otten	+2.0
26	11-15	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+1.6
27	11-16	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.0
28	12-16	BGSU	AMER	Serve err	BGSU server		+1.6
29	12-17	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Karli Molnau	set Amanda Otten	+2.0
30	12-18	BGSU	BGSU	Attack err	Sydney Guerrier		+1.9
31	13-18	BGSU	AMER×3	Attack err	Anastasija Bozic	blk Elise Sterling, Sydney Guerrier	+1.0
32	14-18	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Elise Sterling		+1.9
33	15-18	AMER	AMER×3	Kill	Deniz Dakak	set Bella Marrero	+2.6
34	15-19	AMER	BGSU	Kill	Anastasija Bozic	set Amanda Otten	+2.7
35	16-19	BGSU	AMER	Kill	Salme Hollas	set Alex Ioannou	+2.0
36	16-20	AMER	BGSU×4	Kill	Helen Wilford	set Amanda Otten	+2.7
37	16-21	BGSU	BGSU×4	Attack err	Sam McMillan	blk Amanda Otten	+2.4
38	16-22	BGSU	BGSU×4	Attack err	Elise Sterling	blk Cecily Waynar, Avery Hobson	+1.4
39	16-23	BGSU	BGSU×4	Attack err	Sam McMillan		+0.6
40	17-23	BGSU	AMER×3	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak	+0.2
41	18-23	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Avery Hobson	blk Prinzez Zeck, Deniz Dakak	+0.4
42	19-23	AMER	AMER×3	Attack err	Cecily Waynar		+0.8
43	19-24	AMER	BGSU	Attack err	Prinzez Zeck		+1.2
44	19-25	BGSU	BGSU	Kill	Avery Hobson	set Amanda Otten	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.