Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

Bowling Green def. American 3–1

Bowling Green beat visiting American 3-1 (25-21, 22-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Bowling Green's Avery Hobson led with 17 kills, and Sydnie Hernandez added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
AMER212519191
BGSU252225253

Win probability

Bowling Green above 50 · American below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.5% AMERrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.5% to American — set 2, AMER 24-22 BGSU. Kill by Prinzez Zeck (set by Deniz Dakak). BGSU win probability 74% → 68%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 32.2%67.8% BGSU

American wins

3-0
6.3%
3-1
11.4%
3-2
14.5%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
21.8%
3-1
26.0%
3-2
20.0%
AMER break %
40.7% vs this opp
BGSU break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Prinzez ZeckKill+6.5%

    Kill by Prinzez Zeck (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 2 · AMER 24-22 BGSU · AMER 26% → 32%

  2. 02
    AmericanAce+6.4%

    American ace on Sydnie Hernandez

    Set 2 · AMER 23-22 BGSU · AMER 19% → 26%

  3. 03
    Helen WilfordAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Helen Wilford

    Set 3 · AMER 14-13 BGSU · AMER 36% → 41%

  4. 04

    Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 3 · AMER 14-15 BGSU · BGSU 62% → 67%

  5. 05
    AmericanAce+4.5%

    American ace

    Set 3 · AMER 17-18 BGSU · AMER 27% → 31%

  6. 06
    Amanda OttenBlock+4.5%

    Prinzez Zeck stuffed by Amanda Otten

    Set 3 · AMER 17-20 BGSU · BGSU 73% → 77%

  7. 07
    Elise SterlingAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Elise Sterling

    Set 3 · AMER 14-16 BGSU · BGSU 67% → 71%

  8. 08

    Avery Hobson stuffed by Deniz Dakak & Elise Sterling

    Set 2 · AMER 21-21 BGSU · AMER 15% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410324.2920000008414
44519-.05304130355.513.5
48228.2140115202110
48728.03600042111.59.5
47314.286000000429
4216.16729121000425
4001.000122720002
4000–300920000
4000–100730000
2326.167100100214
1000–100000000
Team totals4223126.151368646134261784
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417946.17403041031.521.5
413334.294021103010.515.5
49215.4671131002111
47415.20000010031.58.5
47216.313000100007
4124-.250420250212.53.5
4000–3421000004
4001.0003321530003
3000–000500000
1000–000000000
Team totals5422131.244491310528210797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AMER · BGSU 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 6 AMERBGSU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 AMERBGSU 8

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 AMERBGSU 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 AMERBGSU 7

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
20%2/10
2
80%8/10
50%9/18
3
57%8/14
20%2/10
4
38%8/21
33%4/12
5
35%8/23
50%8/16
6
46%6/13
63%12/19
All
49%47/96
44%37/85

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
42%5/12
2
73%8/11
33%4/12
3
67%8/12
20%2/10
4
53%8/15
53%9/17
5
67%8/12
64%14/22
6
37%7/19
65%15/23
All
56%48/85
51%49/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#AMER-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BGSUBGSUKillCecily Waynar+2.2
21-1BGSUAMER×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck+1.6
32-1AMERAMER×3BlockedCecily Waynarblk Prinzez Zeck, Carly Sciborski+2.4
43-1AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Anastasija Bozic+2.4
53-2AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+1.7
63-3BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Alex Ioannou+2.4
74-3BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.8
84-4AMERBGSUBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Cecily Waynar, Anastasija Bozic+1.8
94-5BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Salme Hollas+2.4
105-5BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+1.8
116-5AMERAMERKillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+2.6
126-6AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
137-6BGSUAMER×6Serve errBowling Green+2.0
148-6AMERAMER×6AceAmericanaced Sydnie Hernandez+2.8
159-6AMERAMER×6Attack errHelen Wilford+2.8
1610-6AMERAMER×6KillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.7
1711-6AMERAMER×6KillSam McMillan+2.4
1812-6AMERAMER×6BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Elise Sterling, Sam McMillan+2.1
1912-7AMERBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.2
2012-8BGSUBGSU×4AceBowling Greenaced Olivia Miller+2.0
2112-9BGSUBGSU×4BlockedElise Sterlingblk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford+2.3
2212-10BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.7
2313-10BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+2.3
2413-11AMERBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+2.0
2513-12BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Green+3.0
2613-13BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.2
2714-13BGSUAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.6
2814-14AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+2.4
2915-14BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.7
3015-15AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.6
3116-15BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.8
3216-16AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.7
3317-16BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+3.0
3417-17AMERBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.9
3517-18BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Green+4.0
3617-19BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.8
3718-19BGSUAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.5
3818-20AMERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.0
3918-21BGSUBGSUBlockedElise Sterlingblk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford+3.4
4019-21BGSUAMERAttack errAnastasija Bozic+1.8
4119-22AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+2.6
4220-22BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.8
4321-22AMERAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+3.9
4421-23AMERBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+4.0
4521-24BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Sydnie Hernandez+3.7
4621-25BGSUBGSU×3Attack errCarly Sciborski+1.4
Set 2
10-1AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+1.3
20-2BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Sam McMillan+1.7
31-2BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.3
42-2AMERAMERKillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+1.9
52-3AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.4
63-3BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.5
74-3AMERAMERBlockedHelen Wilfordblk Elise Sterling+2.1
84-4AMERBGSUAttack errDeniz Dakak+1.5
94-5BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Alex Ioannou+2.0
105-5BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+1.5
115-6AMERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.5
125-7BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
136-7BGSUAMERKillSalme Hollasset Olivia Miller+1.4
146-8AMERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.5
157-8BGSUAMER×6Serve errBowling Green+1.5
168-8AMERAMER×6KillSam McMillan+2.2
179-8AMERAMER×6KillDeniz Dakakset Amanda Otten+2.4
1810-8AMERAMER×6Attack errAvery Hobson+2.5
1911-8AMERAMER×6KillPrinzez Zeck+2.5
2012-8AMERAMER×6AceAmericanaced Anastasija Bozic+2.3
2112-9AMERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.4
2213-9BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+1.8
2314-9AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Anastasija Bozic+2.1
2414-10AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+1.2
2514-11BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Sam McMillan+2.0
2615-11BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.9
2716-11AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Avery Hobson+2.2
2816-12AMERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.2
2917-12BGSUAMERBad setAmanda Otten+1.6
3018-12AMERAMERBlockedKarli Molnaublk Elise Sterling, Salme Hollas+1.7
3118-13AMERBGSUAttack errSalme Hollas+0.8
3219-13BGSUAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3319-14AMERBGSU×8KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.7
3419-15BGSUBGSU×8KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.4
3519-16BGSUBGSU×8KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
3619-17BGSUBGSU×8AceBowling Greenaced Olivia Miller+2.6
3719-18BGSUBGSU×8BlockedSalme Hollasblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+3.3
3819-19BGSUBGSU×8KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+3.8
3919-20BGSUBGSU×8KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+4.0
4019-21BGSUBGSU×8Attack errElise Sterling+3.7
4120-21BGSUAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.4
4221-21AMERAMERBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Deniz Dakak, Elise Sterling+4.4
4321-22AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+3.7
4422-22BGSUAMER×4BlockedAmanda Ottenblk Elise Sterling+3.7
4523-22AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Sydnie Hernandez+6.4
4624-22AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+6.5
4725-22AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Sydnie Hernandez+3.9
Set 3
11-0BGSUAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+2.4
22-0AMERAMER×5KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+3.3
33-0AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+3.4
44-0AMERAMER×5BlockedKarli Molnaublk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck+3.3
55-0AMERAMER×5BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck+3.1
65-1AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.0
75-2BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Cecily Waynar+3.0
86-2BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+2.6
96-3AMERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.2
107-3BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+2.6
117-4AMERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.2
128-4BGSUAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.7
138-5AMERBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.3
148-6BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.4
158-7BGSUBGSU×3Attack errSam McMillan+3.6
169-7BGSUAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+3.0
179-8AMERBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.7
1810-8BGSUAMERBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Deniz Dakak, Prinzez Zeck+3.1
1910-9AMERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.8
2010-10BGSUBGSUAttack errSam McMillan+4.0
2111-10BGSUAMERBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck+3.2
2211-11AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+3.0
2312-11BGSUAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+3.3
2412-12AMERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.1
2512-13BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnau+4.3
2613-13BGSUAMERBad setAmanda Otten+3.2
2714-13AMERAMERAttack errHelen Wilford+4.8
2814-14AMERBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.4
2914-15BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+4.7
3014-16BGSUBGSU×4Attack errElise Sterling+4.5
3114-17BGSUBGSU×4AceBowling Greenaced Bella Marrero+3.9
3215-17BGSUAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.5
3315-18AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.0
3416-18BGSUAMERKillSam McMillanset Deniz Dakak+2.6
3517-18AMERAMERAceAmerican+4.5
3617-19AMERBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+3.9
3717-20BGSUBGSU×5BlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Amanda Otten+4.5
3817-21BGSUBGSU×5AceBowling Greenaced Olivia Miller+3.3
3917-22BGSUBGSU×5Attack errSam McMillan+2.0
4017-23BGSUBGSU×5KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.0
4118-23BGSUAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Lexie Richards+0.2
4218-24AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.5
4319-24BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.1
4419-25AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.2
Set 4
10-1AMERBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.9
21-1BGSUAMERKillSam McMillan+2.0
32-1AMERAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Deniz Dakak+2.8
42-2AMERBGSUAttack errPrinzez Zeck+2.0
53-2BGSUAMERBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Prinzez Zeck, Sydney Guerrier+2.2
63-3AMERBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.1
73-4BGSUBGSU×3Bad setDeniz Dakak+2.8
83-5BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Salme Hollas+2.7
94-5BGSUAMERKillSydney Guerrierset Deniz Dakak+2.0
104-6AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
115-6BGSUAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Sydney Guerrier+2.0
126-6AMERAMER×3BlockedHelen Wilfordblk Sam McMillan+3.0
137-6AMERAMER×3BlockedAmanda Ottenblk Elise Sterling+3.2
147-7AMERBGSU×7KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.3
157-8BGSUBGSU×7Attack errSam McMillan+3.1
167-9BGSUBGSU×7Attack errSydney Guerrier+3.0
177-10BGSUBGSU×7Attack errSam McMillan+2.7
187-11BGSUBGSU×7Attack errCarly Sciborski+2.4
197-12BGSUBGSU×7KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+2.0
207-13BGSUBGSU×7AceBowling Greenaced Bella Marrero+1.6
218-13BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+0.9
229-13AMERAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.6
239-14AMERBGSUServe errAmerican+1.5
2410-14BGSUAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2510-15AMERBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.5
2611-15BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+1.2
2711-16AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.5
2812-16BGSUAMERServe errBowling Green+1.2
2912-17AMERBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.5
3012-18BGSUBGSUAttack errSydney Guerrier+1.4
3113-18BGSUAMER×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Elise Sterling, Sydney Guerrier+0.7
3214-18AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterling+1.5
3315-18AMERAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero+2.1
3415-19AMERBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
3516-19BGSUAMERKillSalme Hollasset Alex Ioannou+1.6
3616-20AMERBGSU×4KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.1
3716-21BGSUBGSU×4BlockedSam McMillanblk Amanda Otten+1.9
3816-22BGSUBGSU×4BlockedElise Sterlingblk Cecily Waynar, Avery Hobson+1.0
3916-23BGSUBGSU×4Attack errSam McMillan+0.4
4017-23BGSUAMER×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+0.1
4118-23AMERAMER×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Prinzez Zeck, Deniz Dakak+0.3
4219-23AMERAMER×3Attack errCecily Waynar+0.6
4319-24AMERBGSUAttack errPrinzez Zeck+0.9
4419-25BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.3

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).