FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeSEC

Florida def. Stony Brook 3–0

(25-16, 25-20, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STONY	16	20	20	0
FLA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

FLA above 50 · STONY below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Stony Brook — set 2, STONY 19-19 FLA. Alec Rothe stuffed by Ayanna Pierre Louis & Quinn Anderson. FLA win probability 100% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STONY 0.7%99.3% FLA

Stony Brook wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.5%

Florida wins

3-0

76.6%

3-1

19.6%

3-2

3.1%

STONY break %: 33.6% vs this opp
FLA break %: 52.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alec RotheAttack error+0.3%
Alec Rothe stuffed by Ayanna Pierre Louis & Quinn Anderson
Set 2 · STONY 19-19 FLA · STONY 0% → 1%
02
FLA serverAce+0.2%
Florida ace on Ella Sanders
Set 2 · STONY 19-21 FLA · FLA 99% → 100%
03
Kamryn ChaneyKill+0.2%
Kill by Kamryn Chaney (set by Lily Hayes)
Set 2 · STONY 19-20 FLA · FLA 99% → 99%
04
Jordyn ByrdAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Jordyn Byrd
Set 1 · STONY 12-13 FLA · STONY 1% → 1%
05
Ayanna Pierre LouisKill+0.2%
Kill by Ayanna Pierre Louis (set by Taryn Su)
Set 2 · STONY 18-19 FLA · STONY 0% → 0%
06
FLA serverService error+0.2%
Florida service error
Set 1 · STONY 13-14 FLA · STONY 1% → 1%
07
Damisi OsiboduAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Damisi Osibodu
Set 1 · STONY 13-16 FLA · FLA 99% → 99%
08
STONY serverAce+0.1%
Stony Brook ace on Kamryn Chaney
Set 1 · STONY 1-0 FLA · STONY 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stony Brookaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ella SandersOH	3	8	4	31	.129	0	0	1	9	2	0	0	0	8
7Ayanna Pierre LouisMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	1	0	2	0	2	2	3	7
10Mercedes MottonMB	3	3	4	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
5Damisi OsiboduMB	3	1	2	4	-.250	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	2
1Rayanne WheatS	3	0	0	0	–	11	2	2	5	0	0	0	0	2
12Avari AmstutzOH	2	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	3	5	0	1	0.5	1.5
14Quinn AndersonOH	3	6	4	19	.105	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
3Carey-Jean BlockL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
9Taryn SuS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Mopelola OjoMB	1	0	3	5	-.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Hanna BerkefeltOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Madison CignaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	20	86	.023	22	4	6	33	8	2	8	6	56

Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Taylor ParksS	3	3	1	6	.333	26	5	2	7	0	0	2	1	9
7Kamryn ChaneyOH	2	6	2	15	.267	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	2	8
25Alec RotheMB	2	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	8
4Brooklyn BriscoeMB	2	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	8
8Logan KingOPP	2	3	1	10	.200	1	2	0	1	0	0	4	2	7
14Jordyn ByrdOH	2	3	4	13	-.077	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
3Emerson HoyleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Lily HayesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
5Selena LebanOH	2	9	6	22	.136	2	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	9
55Amaya ThomasMB	2	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
21Bella LeeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
9Aniya MadkinOH	1	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
10Milica VidacicOPP	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Kira HutsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
22Olivia KlimisS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	17	93	.247	36	8	12	39	4	3	19	12.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 STONY · FLA 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 STONYFLA 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 STONYFLA 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 STONYFLA 4

Bars above the line = Florida leads, below = Stony Brook leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stony Brook

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	42%5/12
2	43%6/14	13%1/8
3	60%6/10	45%5/11
4	42%5/12	45%5/11
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	50%5/10	44%4/9
All	47%34/73	38%22/58

Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	57%8/14
2	86%6/7	54%7/13
3	50%6/12	54%7/13
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	71%5/7	58%7/12
6	42%5/12	50%5/10
All	62%36/58	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	STONY-FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STONY	STONY	Ace	STONY server	aced Kamryn Chaney	+0.1
2	1-1	STONY	FLA×4	Attack err	Mercedes Motton	blk Alec Rothe, Jordyn Byrd	+0.1
3	1-2	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Ella Sanders	+0.1
4	1-3	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
5	1-4	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Avari Amstutz	+0.1
6	2-4	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+0.1
7	2-5	STONY	FLA	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+0.1
8	2-6	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Logan King, Alec Rothe	+0.1
9	3-6	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
10	4-6	STONY	STONY	Ace	STONY server	aced Kamryn Chaney	+0.1
11	4-7	STONY	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
12	5-7	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
13	6-7	STONY	STONY	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+0.1
14	6-8	STONY	FLA×4	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
15	6-9	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis	blk Brooklyn Briscoe	+0.1
16	6-10	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
17	6-11	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks	+0.0
18	7-11	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Taryn Su	+0.0
19	8-11	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Taylor Parks	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis	+0.1
20	8-12	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.1
21	8-13	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Jordyn Byrd	+0.1
22	9-13	FLA	STONY×4	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.0
23	10-13	STONY	STONY×4	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney		+0.1
24	11-13	STONY	STONY×4	Ace	STONY server	aced Team	+0.1
25	12-13	STONY	STONY×4	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+0.2
26	12-14	STONY	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
27	13-14	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.2
28	13-15	STONY	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
29	13-16	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Damisi Osibodu		+0.1
30	14-16	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+0.1
31	14-17	STONY	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
32	14-18	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.1
33	15-18	FLA	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
34	15-19	STONY	FLA×5	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
35	15-20	FLA	FLA×5	Attack err	Avari Amstutz	blk Kamryn Chaney, Logan King, Brooklyn Briscoe	+0.1
36	15-21	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
37	15-22	FLA	FLA×5	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Logan King	+0.0
38	15-23	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Kamryn Chaney		+0.0
39	16-23	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
40	16-24	STONY	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
41	16-25	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Avari Amstutz	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Quinn Anderson	blk Logan King, Alec Rothe	+0.1
2	0-2	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Avari Amstutz	+0.1
3	0-3	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Avari Amstutz	+0.0
4	1-3	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
5	1-4	STONY	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
6	2-4	FLA	STONY	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+0.0
7	2-5	STONY	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
8	3-5	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Damisi Osibodu, Quinn Anderson	+0.0
9	3-6	STONY	FLA	Attack err	Mercedes Motton		+0.0
10	4-6	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Avari Amstutz		+0.0
11	5-6	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Amaya Thomas		+0.1
12	5-7	STONY	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
13	5-8	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Mercedes Motton	blk Kamryn Chaney	+0.1
14	6-8	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
15	6-9	STONY	FLA×4	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Lily Hayes	+0.0
16	6-10	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Ayanna Pierre Louis		+0.0
17	6-11	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
18	6-12	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Mercedes Motton	blk Kamryn Chaney, Alec Rothe	+0.0
19	7-12	FLA	STONY×3	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
20	8-12	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Quinn Anderson	+0.0
21	9-12	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.0
22	9-13	STONY	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
23	10-13	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.0
24	10-14	STONY	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
25	11-14	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
26	11-15	STONY	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Logan King	+0.0
27	12-15	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Logan King	blk Avari Amstutz, Damisi Osibodu	+0.0
28	13-15	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.1
29	13-16	STONY	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
30	13-17	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Avari Amstutz	+0.1
31	14-17	FLA	STONY	Kill	Avari Amstutz	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
32	14-18	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.0
33	15-18	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
34	16-18	STONY	STONY	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
35	16-19	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.1
36	17-19	FLA	STONY×3	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
37	18-19	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Ayanna Pierre Louis	set Taryn Su	+0.2
38	19-19	STONY	STONY×3	Attack err	Alec Rothe	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis, Quinn Anderson	+0.3
39	19-20	STONY	FLA×4	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Lily Hayes	+0.2
40	19-21	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Ella Sanders	+0.2
41	19-22	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Logan King		+0.1
42	19-23	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Alec Rothe		+0.1
43	20-23	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.0
44	20-24	STONY	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
45	20-25	FLA	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Lily Hayes	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	STONY	FLA	Kill	Amaya Thomas	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
2	1-1	FLA	STONY	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+0.0
3	2-1	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+0.0
4	2-2	STONY	FLA×3	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
5	2-3	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		+0.0
6	2-4	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Kira Hutson	+0.0
7	3-4	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
8	3-5	STONY	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
9	4-5	FLA	STONY×3	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Damisi Osibodu	+0.0
10	5-5	STONY	STONY×3	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
11	6-5	STONY	STONY×3	Ace	STONY server	aced Kira Hutson	+0.1
12	6-6	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.0
13	6-7	FLA	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe		+0.0
14	7-7	FLA	STONY	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
15	7-8	STONY	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
16	8-8	FLA	STONY	Kill	Damisi Osibodu	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
17	8-9	STONY	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Selena Leban	+0.0
18	8-10	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Amaya Thomas, Taylor Parks	+0.0
19	9-10	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
20	9-11	STONY	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
21	10-11	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
22	10-12	STONY	FLA×4	Attack err	Ella Sanders	blk Amaya Thomas	+0.0
23	10-13	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		+0.0
24	10-14	FLA	FLA×4	Bad set	Carey-Jean Block		+0.0
25	10-15	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Selena Leban	set Kira Hutson	+0.0
26	11-15	FLA	STONY×5	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+0.0
27	12-15	STONY	STONY×5	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Ayanna Pierre Louis	+0.0
28	13-15	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Quinn Anderson	set Taryn Su	+0.0
29	14-15	STONY	STONY×5	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Taryn Su	+0.1
30	15-15	STONY	STONY×5	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.1
31	15-16	STONY	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Kira Hutson	+0.1
32	16-16	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
33	17-16	STONY	STONY	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.1
34	17-17	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.1
35	17-18	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Quinn Anderson		+0.1
36	18-18	FLA	STONY	Kill	Mercedes Motton	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.1
37	18-19	STONY	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
38	18-20	FLA	FLA	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Selena Leban	+0.1
39	19-20	FLA	STONY	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
40	19-21	STONY	FLA	Serve err	STONY server		+0.1
41	19-22	FLA	FLA	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
42	20-22	FLA	STONY	Kill	Ella Sanders	set Rayanne Wheat	+0.0
43	20-23	STONY	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
44	20-24	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Jordyn Byrd	+0.0
45	20-25	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Mopelola Ojo		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Stony Brook first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.